Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - January 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (6/7/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/9)-(6/7/2/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/9)-(6/7/2/8/9)-(6/7/2/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/2/9)-(2/10/11/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/9)-(2/10/11/8)-(8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (2/10/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/11/8)-(2/10/11/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/11/8)-(2/10/11/8/7)-(2/10/11/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/11/8)-(8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/11/8)-(8/4/6)-(2/11/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/6)-(8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/6)-(2/11/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6)-(2/11/3/10)-(13/8/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-4   WIN (2/11/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/11/3/10)-(2/11/3/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/11/3/10)-(2/11/3/10/6)-(2/11/3/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/11/3/10)-(13/8/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/11/3/10)-(13/8/7/10)-(4/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-5   WIN (13/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/8/7/10)-(13/8/7/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/8/7/10)-(13/8/7/4/10)-(13/8/7/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (13/8/7/10)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (13/8/7/10)-(4/3)-(7/2/6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/2/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(4/5/6/11/13) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-7   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3/4)-(7/2/6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/6/3)-(4/5/6/11/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/3)-(4/5/6/11/13)-(7/11) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (4/5/6/11/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/11/13)-(4/5/6/11/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/11/13)-(4/5/6/11/13)-(4/5/6/11/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/6/11/13)-(7/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TP-9   WIN (7/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/11)-(7/11/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/11)-(7/11/2)-(7/11/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT DOT Dec06 Aug20 Jul09 Apr28 Apr12 (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 110 10.00    
JUST LIKE YOU         (gorosti)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 12% 7.70    
TAMBARELLA Jan03 Dec16       (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00    
SCR  DON'T TOUCH Dec20 Dec02 Nov07     (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 15.00    
BOYNE VALLEY Dec06 Nov11       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50    
AKARI         (boyce michele)FELIX E 120 8.00 15% 5.90    
OUTRAGEOUSLY         (thomas jona)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 15% 5.90    
TIZ JOSEPHINE         (waltermire bru)PAULY SUMMER 110 20.00    
LIPSTICK N LASHES         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00 12% 7.70    
10  LANDY Dec30         (ewing michael )CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
 
TP-2   01/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK ROBE Dec15 Nov01 Oct17 Sep05 Aug15 (short ricky)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
BACK UP GHOST May18         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
ENGLISH CHARM Dec23 Oct19 Sep23 Aug28 Jul31 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
DELOVELY Dec23 Jun23 May24 Apr01 Feb01 (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00    
TOP HAT TIGRESS Dec27 Dec15 May15 Apr25 Mar05 (adams l)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
TEXAS PRINCESS Dec15 Sep22 Sep03 Jul23 Jun29 (cristel j)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
STUPENDOUS Dec23 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Jul12 (riley donna)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00    
CAPTIVE STAR Dec27 Nov15 Oct07 Sep15 Aug29 (cline r)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LEA ANN'S PRINCESS Nov15 Oct16 Sep27     (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00    
10  HONEYTOWN Dec27 Dec15 Aug16 Jun06 May10 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 3.50 18% 4.50    
11  CASINO ANNIE Dec15 Nov29 Oct05 Sep21 Aug31 (parker r)MCKEE J 122 4.00 11% 7.80    
12  ALTER THE STARS Dec22 Dec02 Oct18 Aug18 Jul08 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  EMERSON'S DREAM Nov14 Nov07 Aug23 Jul20 Jul03 (greenhill jeff)LEON SONNY 122 10.00    
 
TP-3   01/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAGON DREW Jan04 Nov17 Sep03 Aug23 Aug02 (cook brian)RAMOS D 121 8.00    
MILITARY DRILL Oct28 Oct19 Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT Oct31 Sep23 Sep12 Aug02 Jul16 (martinez a)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
HAIG POINT Jan03 Dec14 Nov30 Oct23 Oct11 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
CUT GLASS Nov01 Oct03 Jul21 Jun15 May27 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00    
INDEFATIGABLE Dec30 Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 Aug24 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
BOISE Jan04 Dec08 Nov17 Sep30 Sep02 (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
JARETH Dec21 Dec06 Oct26 Oct17 Oct03 (brooks )DE CRUZ 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  GIACOMETTI Dec06 Oct23 Oct09 Sep21 Aug30 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 121 4.50    
 
TP-4   01/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMBLIN TRAIN Nov29 Sep13 Sep01 Jul01 Jun09 (sandy stephen)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
FIRESIDE KITTEN Dec07 Oct23 Jul15 Jun13 May06 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
KICK OUT THE JAMS Dec20 Oct23 Oct07 Aug18 Aug05 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 12.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  KING'S LEGACY Jan03 Dec02 Aug23 May06 Feb16 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
BUOY Dec20 Nov16 Oct02 Aug31 Jul05 (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
LUNAR ICE Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04 (garcia israe)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00    
CASCADE PARK Dec06 Oct24 Oct05 Aug14 Jul08 (estvanko)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
ABIGAIL LEE Dec04 Nov08 Oct06 Sep16 Jul19 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
SCR  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Aug18 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 Aug16 (peach chadwick )BAYS BROOKE 110 3.50    
10  MIZZEN ASH Dec30 Nov17 Oct23 Oct07 Sep03 (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 10.00 12% 7.70    
11  HOPE OVER FEAR Dec30 Nov18 Sep17 Sep06 Aug04 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
 
TP-5   01/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNAR MOSA Dec13 Nov02       (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  TAMMY'S CRUISER Dec14         (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of STOP THE LIGHTS by STORM CAT)
LADY HIPSTER         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MS KNAUSS by MALIBU MOON)
CABERNEIGH Nov18 Oct19 Sep16     (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BOUDICEA'S REVENGE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  GIN GIN'S APPROVAL         (trombetta mich)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHOCOLATE POP by CUVEE)
FINAL DRAFT Dec14 Oct15       (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOWNWIND by CURLIN)
SPELLCHECK Dec09         (carroll josie)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LITERARY CRITIC by CITY ZIP)
TOFFEE APPLE Dec14         (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
COUNTY FAIR         (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  MOON FLEET         (o'neill d)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of DANCING AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
11  HAND IT OVER         (miller darri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of POCKET GIFT by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  BENET         (hiles a)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ITS A FORD by SHACKLEFORD)
13  SILK Dec20         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  THESE APPLES Dec20         (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DIVINE TRICK by DIVINE PARK)
 
TP-6   01/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I GOTTA BOLT Jan03 Dec15 Oct30 Sep05 Aug11 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00    
SCR  PSYCHEDELIC Dec15 Feb01 Dec22 Nov20 Oct16 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
FORTUNE BOUND Dec15 Nov05 Jul27 Jun24 Apr19 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
MADEMOISELLEJACKIE Dec20 Oct29 Sep07 Aug13 Apr14 (delacour arnau)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  VOGELSANG Oct05 Sep08 Jul29 Jun27 Jun06 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
SCR  MAZOKU Jan03 Dec20 Nov01 Sep28 Jun29 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 120 15.00    
JENNY LIND Dec15 Nov17 Oct18 Sep13 Jul15 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00    
DIVINELY BOLT Jan03 Nov04 Sep03 Jun02 May18 (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00    
SCR  ESME Dec27 Dec02 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 (king barry )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
 
TP-7   01/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANEL POINT Dec15 Oct22 Sep15 Sep13 Aug20 (catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
VIDEO PRINCESS Dec22 Dec02 Oct24 Sep26 Aug29 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 3.50 10% 8.50    
ANCIENT RELIC Jul20 May18 Mar23 Feb10 Jan27 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 18.70    
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Dec23 Dec02 Oct01 Sep03   (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50    
WILL VIRGINIA DARE Nov30 Nov15 Nov01 Sep15 Sep02 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 30.00    
MAGGIE E Jan05 Dec26 Nov16 Nov01 Oct17 (meraz antonio)MOJICA O 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
SISTER SEVEN Dec23         (holsapple hutc)ASHTON GAVIN 122 4.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES Dec30 Nov29 Oct30 Aug26 Aug11 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00    
CANCERFREE KIDS Jan05 Dec15 Oct05 Sep16 Aug30 (hester haley)MCKEE J 122 30.00    
SCR  ALLINTHECALL Dec22 Dec02 Oct12 May04 Mar30 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 122 3.00    
SCR  VIVID EXPOSURE Dec22 Dec02 Oct24 Sep28 Sep02 (caramori edu)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00    
12  MALI BALI Dec27 Nov29 Nov07 Oct24 Oct17 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
 
TP-8   01/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY VIXEN Dec20 Oct26 Oct10 Sep08 Aug01 (ewing michae)RAMOS D 121 20.00    
CHA CHA TAP Dec20 Nov24 Oct29 Oct08 Sep06 (milosevic mila)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00    
PUFFIN Aug26 Jul07 Apr27 Mar02 Jan25 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
JUNGLE CAT Dec30 Nov30 Oct26 Sep07 Jul31 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
PROUVER Oct26 Feb03 Dec14 Oct13 Sep04 (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
RAPPING WISH Dec14         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00 12% 7.40    
TITUBA Nov15 Oct01 Sep13 Jun29 Apr28 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00    
R ROSE' ALL DAY Dec21 Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Jun18 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00    
TREASURED GEM Nov25 Oct05 Aug09 Jun13 May07 (colebrook ben)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
SCR  ICICLES Jan13 Dec20 Nov16 Oct30 Oct07 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50    
11  CONDONE Nov15 Oct18 Sep09 Apr07 Mar09 (oliver )DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  SWEET SWEETFANTASY Dec14 Apr07 Jan18 Dec21 Nov26 (gutierrez faus)CONNER TYLER 121 20.00    
13  SWEET DUTCHESS Oct12 Aug25 Jul09 Jun03 Apr23 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-9   01/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO SMOOTH Dec15 Oct18       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
RAMPAGIUS         (mccarthy micha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  BOAT HOUSE Dec08         (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  BROTHER RICE         (blair jordan)CARROLL DECLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  INMYDREAMS Nov30 Oct03 Sep05 Aug18 Aug03 (rider m)LEZCANO ABEL 116 30.00    
SCR  BETTER LUCK Dec21 Aug12       (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
AZOI Dec21         (morey wil)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  PLANET Oct25 Oct01 Sep05 Aug19   (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 3.50    
SCR  QUIET RUSH Nov01 Oct01 Aug27 Jul30   (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
SCR  TRACK LIGHT Nov23 Oct18       (reed r)MCKEE J 120 12.00    
11  BIG WALT         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  WAUHATCHIE Oct28 Sep21       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
SCR  EVENING NEWS Dec21 Nov04 Aug27     (asm)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00    
14  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN Dec21 Nov11 Oct14     (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.