Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Saturday - December 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   EXA (6/12/5/1/11)-(6/12/5/1/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00  12-11 $72.32 $32.32 81%
    TRI (6/12/5/1/11)-(6/12/5/1/11)-(6/12/5/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00  12-11-5 $206.70 $176.70 589%
    SFT (6/12/5/1/11)-(6/12/5/1/11)-(6/12/5/1/11)-(6/12/5/1/11) 120 $0.10 $12.00  12-11-5-6 $213.43 $201.43 1679%
TP-2   WIN (3/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $27.86 $19.86 248%
    EXA (3/6/8/7)-(3/6/8/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-3 $194.62 $162.62 508%
    TRI (3/6/8/7)-(3/6/8/7/4)-(3/6/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-3-8 $375.77 $351.77 1466%
    DD (6/12/5/1/11)-(3/6/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  12-7 $113.95 $93.95 470%
TP-3   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.64 $1.64 21%
    DD (3/6/8/7)-(6/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-6 $92.71 $76.71 479%
    PK3 (6/12/5/1/11)-(3/6/8/7)-(6/7/3/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00  12-7-6 $245.12 $205.12 513%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:123     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SCOOT ALONG 11 1 74 4¾   1nk 1 (delacruz mej)RAMOS D 119 4.50 17% 4.80 3.30 W
11  MY GIRL GINGER 10 4 4 3.2   2nk 2 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 12.00 8% 11.00 14.64 P
CANOPY 4 8 8 8   3 3 (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 6.00 17% 4.80 4.06 S
QUALITY MOON 5 6 53 7   5 414½ (simms mar)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 17% 4.80 9.32  
10  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 9 2 31 2nk   4 514½ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 109 5.00 5.45  
ELUSIVE FASHION 7 9 6 6   6 615 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 119 10.00 5.09  
CADEY'S COUGAR 8 3 21 5   810¾ 715¾ (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 15.00 19.71  
L. A. LADY 3 10 9 9   913¼ 822 (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 6.00 8.67  
ANORIA 2 5 11 1nk   7 922½ (corrigan )CORREA L 119 5.00 7.72  
SAGATAGAN SUNRISE 6 7 10 10   1014¼ 1023¼ (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 62.27  
BEAKER 1 11 1121½ 1126¼   1124¼ 1146½ (acev)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 13% 6.60 47.48  
SCR  VINO MIZEL               (green troy)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 6.00    
 
TP-2   12/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:132 1:41   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETARY OF WAR 6 5 4 4 44 42 1hd (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 118 10.00 6% 14.50 12.93 W
WARRIOR'S PLACE 2 2 22 2nk 22 1nk 2hd (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 52% 0.90 5.49 P
AMAZING JUSTICE 7 9 8 7 79 5 3¾ (short rick)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 8% 11.60 2.01 S
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 1 1 9 9 912 7 4 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 2.32  
MYSTERY IMPACT 4 4 55 6 5 3 5 (duran antonio)PAULY SUMMER 108 12.00 27.57  
SAN MARCO CITY 5 7 77 8 89 63 6 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 3.50 8% 10.90 5.95  
KING OF TRUTH 3 3 12 1nk 12 2nk 7 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 10.00 5.87  
GOOD SOUL 8 8 6 5 6 8 814¼ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 118 12.00 59.74  
10  RAMBLIN CHROME 9 6 32 3.2 33 911½ 920¼ (perez c)CRUZ JUAN 118 20.00 79.96  
SCR  COUSIN ODELL               (guerrero sa)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 15.00    
 
TP-3   12/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:144 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S SUMMER 6 2 11 1½ 11 1 11 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 121 4.00 53% 0.90 3.82 W
MEGAN'S NOEL 8 8 6 63 4 2 21 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 121 5.00 9.29  
SHEAR 7 6 31 3 3 33 3 (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 14% 6.00 3.22 S
KATIE GOT LUCKY 9 9 9 9 9 45 4 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 108 4.50 3.75  
AMERICANA ANNA 2 5 8 8 8 78 5 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 15.00 17.78  
IN A PEACH 1 1 4 4 53 5 6 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
OH POLLYANNA 5 7 7 7 7 6 7 (estvanko richa)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 5.75  
A STAR FOR CORA 4 4 5 5 6 912 815 (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 21.17  
ANA 3 3 21 2½ 21 810 915¼ (greenhil)MARTINEZ A 118 3.50 9% 10.70 4.95  
 
TP-4   12/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT XO 2 9 1010 8   6 1¾ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 15.00 54.63  
11  SISTER SEVEN 9 3 64 52   5 2¾ (holsapple hutc)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.23 P
AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE 7 8 76 6   1nk 3¾ (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00 11.43  
CONURE 6 4 32 3   2nk 4 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00 31% 2.20 4.51  
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE 5 7 42 42   7 55 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00 22% 3.60 4.29  
COURTING WAR 3 5 21 2½   4 6 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 6% 15.40 1.83  
ROUNDBBALL 1 6 11 1½   3.2 7 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 16% 5.40 5.66  
12  BONITA D'ORO 10 2 8 9   8 88 (brafford michelle)FELIX E 122 15.00 13.93  
10  ARAYA 8 1 53 7   9 911 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 34.97  
CINNAMON DULCE 4 10 99 10   1011½ 1019 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 15.00 40.73  
SCR  BLOSSOM DIVA               (galindo-t)CORREA L 122 20.00    
SCR  CANCERFREE KIDS               (hester haley)MCKEE J 122 15.00    
SCR  MAGGIE E               (meraz antonio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50    
SCR  SONDRAS LAST HOPE               (matthews rand)FUENTES ERICK 112 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/23/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:383   2:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUADRA ISLAND 3 5 4 4 6 2nk 1 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 31% 2.20 2.13 W
10  AVENUE 9 64 6 5 2nk 1nk 2 (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 6% 15.90 2.05 P
FEBRUARY SON 1 10 10 104 8 6 3 (granitz)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 16.02  
REALLY GOOD 7 8 8 8 41 4 4 (maker michael )CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 9% 10.40 8.06  
SUGOI 4 32 32 3.2 1nk 3 5 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 10% 8.80 14.55  
11  WOW WHATA SUMMER 10 9 9 94 5 5 68 (lawrence james)ROCCO S 121 15.00 23.00  
UNDERDRESSED 8 4 5 6 9 7 711¼ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 121 12.00 12.74  
ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE) 5 75 7 7 10 8 815 (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 121 12.00 15.87  
LORD OF WAR 2 21 21 2nk 3½ 9 922¼ (casse mark)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00 24% 3.20 7.01  
SEVEN CHARMS 6 11 11 1nk 7 10 1023 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 29.26  
SCR  COMMON BOND               (wittek karyn)ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00    
 
TP-6   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gowell Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIAS DREAM 3 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 2.93  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CINNAMON GIRL by MEADOWLAKE)
BARAYE 1 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 2 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 21% 3.80 4.66 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
PIPIT 7 9 8 7   6 3 (attard kevin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 20% 4.10 3.57 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  PINOTSLILGIRL 10 3 3½ 3.2   3 4 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 14.93  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
CANDI GIRL 6 2 4 4   4 5 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 9% 10.30 5.73  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FIESTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TRIAL 8 10 108 98   8 6 (drury thomas)RAMOS D 118 5.00 28% 2.60 3.52  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARRAIGN by BLAME)
EDGE OF TOWN 5 6 7 86   9 7 (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 30.00 69.81  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMERICAN FALLS by CURLIN)
10  SECRET GLENDA 9 7 6 6   55 8 (west m)PAULY SUMMER 118 30.00 73.79  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GIRL SECRETS by TWIN SPIRES)
KERLO'S CAUSE 4 8 9 1011   10 911¼ (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 61.78  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELLES ORB by ORB)
LOGISTICS 2 5 5 5   7 1011½ (casse mark)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 10.49  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ARMY OF ONE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  LESLIE'S LOOT               (chapman jam)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of WICKED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  WHAT'S CRACKIN               (hamilton )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KELL PASO by DIVINE PARK)
 
TP-7   12/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY GEM 5 4 3 22 2½ 1 1 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 1.80 0.37  
CAT ATTACK 4 2 12 12 1½ 2 2 (boyce michele)FELIX E 121 15.00 42.61  
RAVELLA 6 5 4 4 33 34 3 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 44% 1.20 4.14 S
10  POLKA POLENTA 9 6 57 5 4 46 410 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 8% 12.30 60.63  
CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE 2 8 911 711¼ 811½ 710 513¾ (alessi )DE CRUZ 121 30.00 45.80  
BABY NO WORRIES 1 1 68 811¼ 7 5 614 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 6% 15.60 9.20  
TIME FOR AN ANGEL 3 9 810 611 67 6 720½ (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 39.06  
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 8 3 22 32 5 813½ 832¾ (meah m)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 24.80  
JOYFUL APPLAUSE 7 7 7 912¾ 919½ 919½ 943¼ (pitts helen)MOJICA O 121 12.00 14% 6.30 13.95  
SCR  STATIC FIRE               (miller darri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
 
TP-8   12/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNCROFT 1 6 11 12   1 1 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00 33% 2.10 1.38 W
  (by ARROGATE out of PRINCESS KAREN by STAY THIRSTY)
BLESS AMERICA 4 5 5 22   3 2 (harty eoin)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 6.17  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LATTE DA by TIZNOW)
ZECA DIABO 8 7 85 5   2 3 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 8% 11.20 18.41 S
  (by DANZA out of BALA PERDIDA by BADGE OF SILVER)
11  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 9 1 32 43   48 411¼ (michael brian)ORM CORY 122 6.00 7% 14.30 7.70  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
LORD FALCON 5 4 7 88   611½ 512½ (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 31% 2.20 3.28  
  (by LORD NELSON out of FALCONRY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BE THERE 2 8 9 7   510 613¾ (zito nicholas)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00 12.69  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
ZED 6 2 42 66   812 715½ (o'neill dou)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 11.54  
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANE'S GIRLFRIEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
CALL BOB 7 3 21 3   711½ 818¾ (caramori e)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 20.00 45.68  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of POWHATAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
COMMAND' ORO 3 9 6 99   914½ 919¾ (amoss m)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00 11.46  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of C. S. INCHARGE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  JAHEZ               (fernandez)CORREA L 124 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ALMURRA by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  TASTERFOR THE KING               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50    
  (by IQBAAL out of PORTICIPATION by INCLUDE)
 
TP-9   12/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  AMAZON BARBIE 11 11 106 9 5 31 1½ (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00 15.99  
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK 6 5 32 3 21 1nk 2½ (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 44% 1.30 2.11 P
BIG DIG 1 4 8 8 7 2nk 32 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 15.10  
JUNOESQUE 2 3 6 7 32 4 4 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00 3.41  
LASERJET 4 8 9 10 9 6 5 (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00 13.85  
RESILIENT BEAUTY 5 1 4 5 10 73 66 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.48  
BOLTS BABE 7 6 1nk 11 11 5 7 (ruis mi)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 31% 2.20 4.49  
STUPENDOUS 3 2 11 11 11 87 811 (riley donna)MORALES JOSHUA 124 20.00 64.26  
13  KEEP IT SEXY 10 10 7 64 63 9 912¼ (pino michael )TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 8.19  
11  DELOVELY 9 9 5 4 42 10 1014¾ (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 12.00 48.40  
10  ENGLISH CHARM 8 7 2nk 21 8 1116½ 1130½ (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 121 20.00 60.06  
SCR  FLURR               (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00    
SCR  NOELANI               (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50    
SCR  WILLADEAN               (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.