Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $33.32 $25.32 317%
    EXA (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $279.58 $255.58 1065%
    TRI (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-6 $425.90 $413.90 3449%
TP-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.08 $3.08 51%
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-7 $33.42 $15.42 86%
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-7-2 $33.00 $24.00 267%
TP-7   WIN (1/8/4/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $51.42 $41.42 414%
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/8/4/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-5 $133.71 $118.71 791%
TP-8   WIN (12/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.16 $4.16 52%
    EXA (12/4/2/5)-(12/4/2/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-4 $56.24 $24.24 76%
    TRI (12/4/2/5)-(12/4/2/3/5)-(12/4/2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-4-3 $62.31 $38.31 160%
    DD (1/8/4/2/5)-(12/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-2 $245.94 $225.94 1130%
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/8/4/2/5)-(12/4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-5-2 $458.53 $428.53 1428%
TP-9   WIN (12/8/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $15.26 $7.26 91%
    EXA (12/8/3/11)-(12/8/3/4/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00  11-8 $49.80 $17.80 56%
    TRI (12/8/3/11)-(12/8/3/4/11)-(12/8/3/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00  11-12-8 $38.45 $14.45 60%
    TRI (12/8/3/11)-(12/8/3/4/11)-(12/8/3/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00  11-8-12 $52.97 $28.97 121%
    SFT (12/8/3/11)-(12/8/3/4/11)-(12/8/3/4/11)-(12/8/3/4/11) 96 $0.10 $9.60  11-12-8-3 $44.79 $35.19 367%
    SFT (12/8/3/11)-(12/8/3/4/11)-(12/8/3/4/11)-(12/8/3/4/11) 96 $0.10 $9.60  11-8-12-3 $68.39 $58.79 612%
    DD (12/4/2/5)-(12/8/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-11 $38.27 $22.27 139%
    PK3 (1/8/4/2/5)-(12/4/2/5)-(12/8/3/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00  5-2-11 $627.62 $587.62 1469%
    PK4 (5/2/4)-(1/8/4/2/5)-(12/4/2/5)-(12/8/3/11) 240 $0.50 $120  5-5-2-11 $3385 $3265 2721%
    PK5 (1/11/7)-(5/2/4)-(1/8/4/2/5)-(12/4/2/5)-(12/8/3/11) 720 $0.50 $360  8-5-5-2-11 $400.12 $40.12 11%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEOKING 3 6 5 55   3.2 1 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 15.66 W
DEUS EX MACHINA 4 3 2nk 2   2nk 2 (garcia genaro)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 26% 2.90 4.18 P
KICK ROCKS KID 5 4 7 66   6 3 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 15.00 14% 6.30 11.25 S
I NINETY FIVE 1 7 1nk 1   1nk 4 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50 2.69  
MR. CUNNINGHAM 7 1 3 44   5 5 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 12.00 9.89  
COG 8 2 4 3   4 66 (short j)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00 8.04  
BRENTSPENCE 6 5 812¾ 813½   7 7 (langemei)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 26% 2.90 5.85  
SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 2 8 6 7   8 820 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00 2.86  
SCR  ENJOYMENT               (gorosti)DE CRUZ 121 4.00    
 
TP-2   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:25 :512 1:17 1:292   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXISUPERFLY 4 1 11 1 1nk 12 1 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 1.31  
  (by OPTIMIZER out of FIREFLY by WOODMAN)
ROSELEE MAY 1 2 3 5 3 33 2 (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 49% 1.00 3.18 P
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
SANCTIFY 7 6 4 4 4 55 3 (holsapple hutc)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00 25.02  
  (by AUDIBLE out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
VOICE FROM ABOVE 2 3 5 7 5 4 4 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 16% 5.30 2.59  
  (by AUDIBLE out of HOW FAR TO HEAVEN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CLASSY'N CONNECTED 5 4 7 3 2nk 22 5 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 8% 11.80 6.56  
  (by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
10  HONORS LEGACY 8 7 6 6 6 78 610 (mcentee paul)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 36.69  
  (by HONOR CODE out of TARLOW by STORMIN FEVER)
ANOINTED OF GOD 3 8 810½ 813¼ 710 67 710½ (douaihy )MARTINEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00 27.87  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FOURNINETEEN by FLATTER)
PASSING BAYOU 6 5 21 2 813 820 834¾ (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 31.55  
  (by CHITU out of HOW'S BAYOU by FLATTER)
SCR  EVERYTHING BUGS ME               (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of HISTORY MADE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  FLOWERY PATH               (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
 
TP-3   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVENING NEWS 1 1 1½ 11   12 1 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 3.95  
PRINCE COLTON 4 8 6 32   22 2 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 9% 10.00 5.82 P
11  DU MONDE 9 3 52 53   3 3 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 9% 10.00 4.05 S
MR. MELO 2 2 2½ 21   45 410¾ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00 10.13  
BROTHER RICE 3 10 9 78   5 514¼ (blair jordan)CARROLL DECLAN 120 20.00 12.40  
PUBLIUS 6 7 31 42   6 619 (foster )DE CRUZ 120 3.00 53% 0.90 4.11  
SKY KEY 5 9 1010 9   810½ 720¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.94  
10  TEN BITS 8 5 8 8   710½ 821 (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00 58.43  
12  FALL AGAIN 10 4 74 6   911½ 927¾ (thomas jona)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
EARLY MUNNY 7 6 42 10   1013½ 1028¼ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00 15.09  
SCR  MIDNIGHT AMBITION               (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
SCR  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS               (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
 
TP-4   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED FROST 2 3 32 34   2½ 1 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 122 6.00 2.72  
  (by FROSTED out of SPOKEN NOT BROKEN by BROKEN VOW)
DAISY JONES 3 1 1nk 11   1½ 2 (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 21% 3.80 5.25 P
  (by BUCCHERO out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
10  MY MOON 5 2 2nk 21   31 3 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 1.54  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GIVE MY REGARDS by SMART STRIKE)
BETTER JUSTICE 1 4 46 4   4 4 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 4.63  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BETTER NOT CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCATLIE 4 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00 35% 1.80 3.70  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  CRIMALDI               (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  KARA AND COLLEEN               (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of Y'ALL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE               (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50    
  (by DANZA out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
SCR  RISKY SHOT               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RUN A RISK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  TARTAN GREEN (IRE)               (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
  (by GLENEAGLES out of ON LOCATION by OLYMPIO)
 
TP-5   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FASHION KATE 7 4 11 1   1 18 (minnock wayn)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 21.01  
CALADIUM 2 11 76 5   4 28 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 6.94 P
SHE'S SPLENDID 8 5 65 77   3 3 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 16.14  
TWO SIP SALLY 1 7 44 3   2 4 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 42% 1.40 3.75  
SANDRINHA LOVE 6 6 3 44   5 511¼ (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 11% 8.20 3.57  
WHITE DOVE 5 9 9 99   610 613 (walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 5.30  
13  HALCYON DAYS 11 3 1111 1011½   1015¼ 717½ (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 52.49  
10  VILLI OLENTO 9 2 55 6   712½ 818¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 3.16  
TICKET TO FLY 4 8 1010 1112½   1115¼ 919½ (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 120 20.00 36.76  
FLY HIGH BIRDIE 3 10 87 88   915 1022¾ (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 24.85  
11  JILLY'S WEST 10 1 21 2   813½ 1129¾ (amoss m)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 4.50 23% 3.40 13.15  
SCR  EVOCATION               (caramor)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
SCR  I WANT RUFFLES               (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
SCR  PALACE DRIVE               (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
 
TP-6   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 4 7 7 4   2nk 1 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 34% 1.90 3.54 W
ALL JOKES ASIDE 5 3 11 1   1nk 2 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00 2.46 P
GREY CHARMER 2 4 4 5   3 3 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 16% 5.20 5.24 S
EPIMYTHIUM 6 1 5 6   5 410¼ (meah m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 3.85  
SARGEANT BARGER 1 5 31 2   4 513½ (alessi james)MONCADA IRVING 110 20.00 22.49  
ONE LAST HAND 3 6 21 3   6 616¾ (watkins m)FELIX E 120 12.00 13% 6.60 5.38  
10  BOMBOLONI 7 2 6 7   7 719 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 6.23  
SCR  LOUISIANIMAL               (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
SCR  MAJOR WAGER               (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00    
SCR  MKAR THE FAST               (lynch e)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
 
TP-7   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:141 1:272   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION READY 4 10 7 7 53 3 1½ (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 24.71 W
GREAT RICHIE M 2 3 32 4 41 1nk 2½ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 9.11  
MUGATU 10 7 85 62 3½ 2nk 3¾ (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 6.74  
NOAHS ARK (IRE) 9 6 9 10 10 6 4 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 19% 4.30 5.19  
EPIC KNIGHT 5 11 10 95 9 8 510¾ (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 12.76  
J BIRD TIME 6 8 6 8 8 76 611¼ (romans dale)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.00 39% 1.60 1.96  
10  MIDNIGHT STORMY 11 9 53 31 2nk 42 711½ (minnock wayn)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00 13.04  
TAKEITANDRUN 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 53 815¼ (o'donnell mar)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.16  
PALHACO 8 5 11 119 11 9 915¾ (meraz antonio)LEON SONNY 118 30.00 34.35  
QUENCIO 3 4 42 52 7 10 1019¼ (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 3.50 16% 5.10 6.40  
1A  TIME MUSE 7 2 2½ 2½ 6 1116¾ 1143 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.00 1.96  
 
TP-8   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:14 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A STAND 1 2 6 5 3 21 1½ (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 12.00 13% 7.00 5.08 W
WHITE LILACS 3 3 11 11 11 11 2½ (noble f)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 29% 2.40 2.55 P
AMAZON QUEEN 2 1 32 32 21 3 3 (delacour arnau)ROCCO S 120 5.00 6.52 S
NAVY GOAT 6 10 9 8 66 5 4 (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 5.72  
LILLY LANE 5 9 10 10 5 44 5 (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 27.91  
BULSARA 7 7 8 9 8 66 610 (girten tim)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 22.83  
12  BEACH WALKN 9 8 7 64 76 7 715 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 31% 2.20 4.05  
14  TIC TIC TIC BOOM 10 5 42 42 44 89 817¾ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 20.00 30.28  
BALI KUTA 4 4 21 21 9 911 919¾ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.11  
11  SIGN OF PEACE 8 6 54 7 10 1016 1031½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 8.29  
SCR  ALEXA LOU               (pitts hel)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
SCR  GET SERIOUS               (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00    
SCR  SWEETS MAKER               (foley greg)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  TOERIS               (casse mark)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
 
TP-9   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:161 1:294   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WICKED INTENT 7 9 912½ 8 6 3 14 (caramori)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.63 W
12  CARIBBEAN NIGHT 8 8 8 5 5 4 24 (drury thomas)CARROLL DECLAN 120 3.00 63% 0.60 2.51 P
CLARA BELLE 6 6 67 6 1½ 1 24 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 8% 10.80 5.96 P
BLUE NEITH 2 1 11 11 2½ 2 4 (watkins m)FELIX E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.82  
FREDERICIA 3 5 7 9 7 5 5 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00 1.63  
TOO CROWDED 1 4 34 31 43 6 611 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 44.13  
13  SWIFT TEMPLE 9 3 4 4 3 7 716¾ (wisner )DE CRUZ 120 15.00 18.67  
LOTTA ROSES 5 7 5 7 910 814¼ 827 (meraz antonio)LEON SONNY 120 15.00 19.66  
NORA'S STAR 4 2 21 21 8 916¼ 934½ (elliott mich)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00 18.75  
SCR  LIEUTENANT KITTY               (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
SCR  LUCKY SHORE               (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 120 30.00    
SCR  RIBALDRY (IRE)               (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
SCR  SKIPPINJUSTICE               (gonzalez lilia)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.