The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.22 $4.22 -1.78
KEE-2   Win (7/12/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $15.24 $15.24 7.24
KEE-3   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $6.44 $6.44 2.44
KEE-4   Win (5/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.94 $5.94 -2.06
KEE-5   Win (6/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $11.02 $11.02 5.02
KEE-6   Win (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $17.60 -8.00
KEE-7   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.74 $5.74 -0.26
KEE-8   Win (9/5/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.66 $6.66 -3.34
KEE-9   Win (10/1/9/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $7.14 $7.14 -2.86

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/25/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:15 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURFACE TO AIR 3 5 4 2½ 2nk 11 1 (miller darrin)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 29% 2.50 1.11 W
UNCLE TUFFY 5 4 53 5 33 3 2 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 118 20.00 25% 2.90 18.73 P
TRUE FAITH 2 2 1 1½ 1nk 21 3 (brisset rodolph)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 1.17  
BOAT HOUSE 1 1 32 4 4 4 414 (galindo-torres c)LEZCANO ABEL 111 20.00 5% 19.00 10.03  
CAN'T YOU SEE 4 3 2 31 55 5 514¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 7.44  
SCR  CONFLICTED               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  MAIN LINE CIPHER               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.50    
SCR  TRAP LINE               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-2   04/25/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:214 :45 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  INTO DIAMONDS 11 1 53 53   2 1¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 20% 3.90 6.62 W
CHEVAL DE GUERRE 4 2 1½ 11   1 2¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 20% 4.10 3.30 P
BRIGHT SKITTLE 5 12 10 9   65 3 (arnold r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 8.85 S
MONTEREY BAY (NZ) 7 9 8 6   4 4 (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 37% 1.70 1.28  
11  MADROC 10 3 41 21   3 5 (lightner mar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 14.65  
CHADO 3 4 2½ 32   55 69 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 27.96  
10  BAYTOWN BARACUS 9 6 6 7   8 710¾ (mcentee paul)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 77.06  
MALEVAJE 2 5 7 8   910¼ 813½ (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 98.56  
THE TONER 8 8 31 4   7 915½ (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00 7.10  
AMERICAN CITY 6 10 1111¾ 1114   1016¼ 1020¾ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 67.93  
RAVENSHIRE 1 11 1211¾ 1214½   1117¼ 1122½ (rutledge la)LEPAROUX R 116 30.00 64.84  
16  BAYTOWN BUMP 12 7 9 109   1217¾ 1229¾ (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 12.00 74.57  
SCR  BLISTERING               (mccutchen jason)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
SCR  GRAYDARIA               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
SCR  JOHNNY COME LATELY               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50    
SCR  SPIRIT RAGS               (salas felipe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/25/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:134 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGOI 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (hiles rick)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80 2.22 W
ACCIDENTAL HERO 1 3 3 42 4 1nk 2¼ (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 1.51  
TIWANAKU 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 3 (amoss m)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 29% 2.40 2.84 S
KEROUAC 2 4 4 3 3 4 411¾ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 3.50  
SCR  COOKE CREEK               (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
SCR  TRES SOLES               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80    
 
KEE-4   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERLAINE 8 6 8 6   1nk 1 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 6.00 21% 3.70 1.97 W
SMART WITH HEART 7 3 4 2nk   2nk 2 (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 4.87  
LITTLE SASS 2 4 1nk 1nk   3.2 3 (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 118 6.00 6% 17.00 8.32 S
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 1 5 5 4   5 44 (nihei michelle)RUIZ JORGE 124 20.00 39.42  
FROSTED DIAMOND 5 1 2nk 3.2   4¾ 5 (delacruz joel)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 44% 1.30 3.19  
RIVIERE 4 7 6 5   6 67 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50 6% 15.30 3.63  
VERY WEALTHY 3 8 7 7   7 7 (lucas wayne)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 14.02  
ONE STORMY LADY 6 2 3.2 85   810¼ 833¼ (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 30.44  
 
KEE-5   04/25/2024 7920ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:15 1:411 2:052 2:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE JUAN 9 45 44 52 6 4 1½ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 13% 6.50 4.51 W
BETTER BET 2 6 65 63 53 32 2½ (sweezey kent)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6.36  
10  TRULY QUALITY 10 2 2 2½ 2nk 12 3¾ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.35 S
IRONSIDES 7 32 32 3 3 22 44 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 21.13  
CYBER NINJA 5 7 7 7 7 7 54 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 5.35  
SGT. PEPPER 6 56 5 4 4 64 6 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 63% 0.60 3.12  
GOOD MEDICINE 4 1 1 1½ 1nk 53 76 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 15.89  
MIRACLE ON ICE 8 911½ 109 9 9 9 8 (hughes g)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00 28.01  
BREES 1 89 86 8 8 88 910¼ (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 9.92  
MARQUET MALICE 3 1012 99 10 10 10 1011¾ (douaihy michel)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00 72.02  
 
KEE-6   04/25/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUMONT RED 7 1 1 11 2nk 13 1 (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 125 4.00 7.80  
JR'S GIFT 2 3 6 65 6 4 2 (andrade hugo)CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.00 10% 9.40 2.63 P
YORK TAVERN 1 2 2 32 4 5 3 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00 4.75 S
BROWN LIQUOR MAN 3 4 43 4 3½ 23 48 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 44% 1.30 6.10  
MAXIMUM CAPACITY 6 7 3 21 1nk 3 511 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5.89  
NEWHART 4 6 7 710 7 6 611½ (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 8.96  
DR KRINGLE 5 5 55 5 5 710 719¼ (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 24% 3.20 3.12  
 
KEE-7   04/25/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:10     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON HEIST 5 4 3 31   2nk 13 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 26% 2.90 1.87 W
EYE WITNESS 3 3 11 1½   1nk 23 (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.15 P
CONDEMN 4 1 21 2½   33 37 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 30% 2.30 7.73 S
WARRIOR JOHNY 1 5 5 52   45 49 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 3.21  
EYEING CLOVER 2 2 4 42   5 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 1.84  
SCR  ANGKOR               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 1.80    
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY               (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-8   04/25/2024 6270ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:371   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLE POINTS 7 4 6 66 6 3 1hd (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 39% 1.50 2.33 W
ROYAL WINTOUR 4 6 53 5 5 43 2hd (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 15% 5.60 4.82 P
HELLO HOLLYWOOD 3 3 2nk 2½ 21 21 3¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 15% 5.70 4.70 S
SASSY PRINCESS 1 2 1nk 1½ 11 11 4¼ (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 4.08  
10  JANEY CREED 8 8 87 99 89 7 52 (hughes g)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 54.26  
RAINING SUGAR 2 1 42 42 32 53 6 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 50.58  
SACRED IMAGE 6 7 76 7 77 66 7 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.23  
11  TARNEEMA 9 9 9 88 99 9 8 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 8% 10.90 3.90  
MIDSUMMER MARCH 5 5 31 32 4 8 9 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 27.45  
SCR  KAMIKAZE UMAGI               (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 50.00    
SCR  SPUTNIK               (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
SCR  VOICE FROM ABOVE               (danner kelsey)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :463 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PLUM TRICKY 10 1 52 2½   13 1 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 46% 1.20 2.57 W
CAROLINA CANDY 4 9 74 63   4 2 (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 28.27  
CONQUEST DANCER 8 10 10 8   5 3 (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5.48  
DIAL HOME 7 3 63 42   34 4 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 5% 19.00 16.05  
MIYAKO 5 8 8 7   6 5 (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 6% 14.40 10.59  
DAY DAWNING 1 7 11 1½   23 6 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 15% 5.80 2.67  
VELVET KISSES 3 4 21 10   10 711 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 25.44  
HANIWA 6 6 95 9   99 814¼ (correas iv)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00 37.36  
AIN'T NO OTHER 2 5 4 52   8 924 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 14.52  
SAME OLD FEARS 9 2 31 3   78 1024½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 9% 10.20 4.64  
SCR  INTO AMORE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.