Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Thursday - April 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-8 $24.14 $18.14 302%
KEE-2   WIN (7/12/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $15.24 $7.24 91%
    EXA (7/12/4/3)-(7/12/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  12-4 $42.45 $26.45 165%
    DD (5/8/2)-(7/12/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-12 $19.66 $7.66 64%
KEE-3   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.44 $2.44 61%
    PK3 (5/8/2)-(7/12/4/3)-(5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-12-5 $14.29 $2.29 19%
KEE-4   DD (5/6)-(5/8/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-8 $11.51 $3.51 44%
KEE-5   WIN (6/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $11.02 $5.02 84%
    DD (5/8/4/2)-(6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-9 $16.39 $4.39 37%
    PK3 (5/6)-(5/8/4/2)-(6/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-8-9 $33.93 $21.93 183%
    PK5 (5/8/2)-(7/12/4/3)-(5/6)-(5/8/4/2)-(6/9/10) 288 $0.50 $144  1/3/5/6-12-5-8-9 $402.67 $258.67 180%
KEE-7   EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-4 $11.47 $5.47 91%
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-4-5 $18.50 $15.50 517%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:15 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURFACE TO AIR 3 5 4 2½ 2nk 11 1 (miller darrin)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 29% 2.50 1.11 W
UNCLE TUFFY 5 4 53 5 33 3 2 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 118 20.00 25% 2.90 18.73 P
TRUE FAITH 2 2 1 1½ 1nk 21 3 (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 1.17  
BOAT HOUSE 1 1 32 4 4 4 414 (galindo-torres)LEZCANO ABEL 111 20.00 5% 19.00 10.03  
CAN'T YOU SEE 4 3 2 31 55 5 514¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 7.44  
SCR  CONFLICTED               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  MAIN LINE CIPHER               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.50    
SCR  TRAP LINE               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-2   04/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:214 :45 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  INTO DIAMONDS 11 1 53 53   2 1¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 20% 3.90 6.62 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIAMOND SPARKLES by WAR FRONT)
CHEVAL DE GUERRE 4 2 1½ 11   1 2¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 20% 4.10 3.30 P
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CHAMPAGNE DIET by DECLARATION OF WAR)
BRIGHT SKITTLE 5 12 10 9   65 3 (arnold george )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 8.85 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HARBOR LIGHTS by SHACKLEFORD)
MONTEREY BAY (NZ) 7 9 8 6   4 4 (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 37% 1.70 1.28  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BOLA DE CRISTAL by GALILEO)
11  MADROC 10 3 41 21   3 5 (lightner m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 14.65  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HOLLY HUNDY by YES IT'S TRUE)
CHADO 3 4 2½ 32   55 69 (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 27.96  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ORIOLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  BAYTOWN BARACUS 9 6 6 7   8 710¾ (mcentee paul)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 77.06  
  (by COLLECTED out of SANTINA DOND by EL PRADO (IRE))
MALEVAJE 2 5 7 8   910¼ 813½ (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 98.56  
  (by ACCELERATE out of REGAL SONG by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
THE TONER 8 8 31 4   7 915½ (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00 7.10  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
AMERICAN CITY 6 10 1111¾ 1114   1016¼ 1020¾ (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 67.93  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SKY PALACE by PALACE)
RAVENSHIRE 1 11 1211¾ 1214½   1117¼ 1122½ (rutledge )LEPAROUX R 116 30.00 64.84  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of GROGGER by PURIM)
16  BAYTOWN BUMP 12 7 9 109   1217¾ 1229¾ (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 12.00 74.57  
  (by MITOLE out of SECRET UNION by PRIVATE TERMS)
SCR  BLISTERING               (mccutchen jaso)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of EKATI'S PHAETON by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  GRAYDARIA               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of GRANDARIA by CURLIN)
SCR  JOHNNY COME LATELY               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of DOWN THE WELL by MUJADIL)
SCR  SPIRIT RAGS               (salas feli)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OCTOBER BRIDE by BERNARDINI)
 
KEE-3   04/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:134 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGOI 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (hiles rick)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80 2.22 W
ACCIDENTAL HERO 1 3 3 42 4 1nk 2¼ (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 1.51  
TIWANAKU 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 3 (amoss thomas )ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 29% 2.40 2.84 S
KEROUAC 2 4 4 3 3 4 411¾ (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 3.50  
SCR  COOKE CREEK               (o'dwyer jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
SCR  TRES SOLES               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80    
 
KEE-4   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERLAINE 8 6 8 6   1nk 1 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 6.00 21% 3.70 1.97 W
SMART WITH HEART 7 3 4 2nk   2nk 2 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 4.87  
LITTLE SASS 2 4 1nk 1nk   3.2 3 (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 118 6.00 6% 17.00 8.32 S
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 1 5 5 4   5 44 (nihei michelle)RUIZ JORGE 124 20.00 39.42  
FROSTED DIAMOND 5 1 2nk 3.2   4¾ 5 (delacruz jo)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 44% 1.30 3.19  
RIVIERE 4 7 6 5   6 67 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50 6% 15.30 3.63  
VERY WEALTHY 3 8 7 7   7 7 (lucas wayne)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 14.02  
ONE STORMY LADY 6 2 3.2 85   810¼ 833¼ (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 30.44  
 
KEE-5   04/25/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:15 1:411 2:052 2:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE JUAN 9 45 44 52 6 4 1½ (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 13% 6.50 4.51 W
BETTER BET 2 6 65 63 53 32 2½ (sweezey kent)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6.36  
10  TRULY QUALITY 10 2 2 2½ 2nk 12 3¾ (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.35 S
IRONSIDES 7 32 32 3 3 22 44 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 21.13  
CYBER NINJA 5 7 7 7 7 7 54 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 5.35  
SGT. PEPPER 6 56 5 4 4 64 6 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 63% 0.60 3.12  
GOOD MEDICINE 4 1 1 1½ 1nk 53 76 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 15.89  
MIRACLE ON ICE 8 911½ 109 9 9 9 8 (hughes g)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00 28.01  
BREES 1 89 86 8 8 88 910¼ (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 9.92  
MARQUET MALICE 3 1012 99 10 10 10 1011¾ (douaihy michel)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00 72.02  
 
KEE-6   04/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUMONT RED 7 1 1 11 2nk 13 1 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 125 4.00 7.80  
JR'S GIFT 2 3 6 65 6 4 2 (andrade hugo)CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.00 10% 9.40 2.63 P
YORK TAVERN 1 2 2 32 4 5 3 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00 4.75 S
BROWN LIQUOR MAN 3 4 43 4 3½ 23 48 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 44% 1.30 6.10  
MAXIMUM CAPACITY 6 7 3 21 1nk 3 511 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5.89  
NEWHART 4 6 7 710 7 6 611½ (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 8.96  
DR KRINGLE 5 5 55 5 5 710 719¼ (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 24% 3.20 3.12  
 
KEE-7   04/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:10     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON HEIST 5 4 3 31   2nk 13 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 26% 2.90 1.87 W
EYE WITNESS 3 3 11 1½   1nk 23 (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.15 P
CONDEMN 4 1 21 2½   33 37 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 30% 2.30 7.73 S
WARRIOR JOHNY 1 5 5 52   45 49 (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 3.21  
EYEING CLOVER 2 2 4 42   5 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 1.84  
SCR  ANGKOR               (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 1.80    
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY               (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-8   04/25/2024 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:371   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLE POINTS 7 4 6 66 6 3 1hd (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 39% 1.50 2.33 W
ROYAL WINTOUR 4 6 53 5 5 43 2hd (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 15% 5.60 4.82 P
HELLO HOLLYWOOD 3 3 2nk 2½ 21 21 3¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 15% 5.70 4.70 S
SASSY PRINCESS 1 2 1nk 1½ 11 11 4¼ (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 4.08  
10  JANEY CREED 8 8 87 99 89 7 52 (hughes g)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 54.26  
RAINING SUGAR 2 1 42 42 32 53 6 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 50.58  
SACRED IMAGE 6 7 76 7 77 66 7 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.23  
11  TARNEEMA 9 9 9 88 99 9 8 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 8% 10.90 3.90  
MIDSUMMER MARCH 5 5 31 32 4 8 9 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 27.45  
SCR  KAMIKAZE UMAGI               (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 50.00    
SCR  SPUTNIK               (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
SCR  VOICE FROM ABOVE               (danner kelsey)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :463 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PLUM TRICKY 10 1 52 2½   13 1 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 46% 1.20 2.57 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
CAROLINA CANDY 4 9 74 63   4 2 (ennis joh)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 28.27  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SENORITA CORREDORA by EL CORREDOR)
CONQUEST DANCER 8 10 10 8   5 3 (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5.48  
  (by FROSTED out of CONQUEST CITY GIRL by CITY ZIP)
DIAL HOME 7 3 63 42   34 4 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 5% 19.00 16.05  
  (by DIALED IN out of LENAWEE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
MIYAKO 5 8 8 7   6 5 (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 6% 14.40 10.59  
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERFECT STEP by IFFRAAJ)
DAY DAWNING 1 7 11 1½   23 6 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 15% 5.80 2.67  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DEAR TO ALL by TALE OF THE CAT)
VELVET KISSES 3 4 21 10   10 711 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 25.44  
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY KISSES by CONGRATS)
HANIWA 6 6 95 9   99 814¼ (correas ignacio )RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00 37.36  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BOSTON LADY by BOSTON HARBOR)
AIN'T NO OTHER 2 5 4 52   8 924 (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 14.52  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIFE OF ILLUSION by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SAME OLD FEARS 9 2 31 3   78 1024½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 9% 10.20 4.64  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BOMBO GENESIS by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  INTO AMORE               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EMBELLISH THE LACE by SUPER SAVER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.