Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-3   WIN (6/10/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $11.50 $1.50 15%
KEE-4   EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-7 $9.76 $3.76 63%
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  8-7-1 $6.02 $3.02 101%
KEE-6   WIN (3/13/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.22 $1.22 20%
KEE-9   WIN (10/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.28 $4.28 54%
    EXA (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  9-2 $77.71 $61.71 386%
    TRI (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/6/2)-(10/9/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-2-6 $185.34 $161.34 672%
    SFT (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/6/2)-(10/9/8/6/2)-(10/9/8/6/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  9-2-6-8 $191.12 $181.52 1891%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TAKE SHAPE   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 58% 0.70 1.89 W
3  LITTLE DIXIE   (reavis mic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 2.85  
4  DIVINELY BOLT   (simms jr)ORTIZ L 125 4.50 2.29  
1  JACKIE'S LOVE   (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.18  
5  IT WASN'T ME   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 7% 12.60 4.96  
7  SHEAR   (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 125 30.00 5% 19.00 29.91  
SCR  CHIQUITA MOSCA   (bahena )DE CRUZ 125 2.50    
SCR  Q BOND   (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PERFECT SHANCES   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60 46% 1.20 0.54 W
  (by SHANCELOT out of AMERICAN BABY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
2  CITIZEN JUDY   (ennis joh)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 13.64  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HONESTLY DEB by SUPER SAVER)
3  HER HOLY NAME   (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.50 11% 7.90 3.05 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of I'LL TAKE THAT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
1  BAYTOWN STORM   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 109 8.00 9.26  
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
4  BAYTOWN AMY ROSE   (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00 5% 17.50 14.90  
  (by GAME WINNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  RIO DE PAZ   (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 30.76  
  (by BAL A BALI out of AMERICAN ROSE by DIGRESSION)
6  MISTY SUNDAY   (chapman jam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 27.85  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MAJESTIC PRINCESS by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  CRUZ CHICA   (ginter raymon)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MOOLAMISS by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  IMAGE OF ME   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of DELTALINA by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
KEE-3   04/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TRES CHIC (ARG)   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 126 3.00 16% 5.20 4.75 W
3  PITTORE D'ORO   (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 30.00 19.72  
2  SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ)   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 6% 15.40 5.93 S
8  LUMINOUS RULER   (barnett c)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 14.90  
5  INSPECTOR PENNY   (pessin l)LANERIE J 126 10.00 16.78  
6  BLUE VORTEX   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 46% 1.20 1.26  
4  MAYLEN   (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.38  
7  STAGE RIGHT   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 10.10  
1  FEDAH   (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 5% 17.50 10.47  
9  SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE)   (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 126 30.00 60.50  
 
KEE-4   04/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JEFFERSON STREET   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.00 63% 0.60 0.27 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of APIARY by BERNARDINI)
7  ACCIDENT   (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 125 20.00 5% 19.00 18.76 P
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
1  ROCK N ROLL BOLT   (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 15% 5.50 3.45 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLAKELY'S SMILE by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  GUILTY AFFAIR   (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 30.00 30.14  
  (by BLAME out of JENNIFER'S AFFAIR by NUREYEV)
6  TONKA TROUBLE   (wismer s)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 9.08  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KAYCE LU by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  CAGE MATCH   (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  MIDWAY LIGHTS   (dutrow ric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD   (rutledge l)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
KEE-5   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WELAKA   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00 7.13  
4  FAN THE FIRE   (cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 16% 5.40 4.97 P
1  DUAL MONARCHY   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 125 2.50 ★ 3.94 S
7  STRIKING SPARKS   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 21.24  
6  WRITEITONTHEICE   (hester h)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00 24.56  
3  LUKE   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 6.17  
10  AMERICUS   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 4.31  
9  LIAMS LAD   (evans mic)CORREA L 125 30.00 ★ 19.83  
8  HASKELLED   (delacruz joe)GRAHAM J 125 20.00 5% 19.00 20.62  
5  WRITE OFF JERRY   (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.50 57% 0.80 4.21  
 
KEE-6   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RO TOWN   (lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 14% 6.20 2.61 W
9  STIR CRAZY   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 20.00 12.72  
6  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE   (schultz linds)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 10.97  
10  STRIKINGLY SPUN   (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 6.02  
13  STORY HOUR   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.20 2.22  
3  SPANSIVE   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 44% 1.30 2.27  
SCR  SECRET STATEMENT   (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  QUALITY STAR   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
SCR  PLEASANT PASSAGE   (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  PAPILIO (IRE)   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80    
SCR  MAKE THE BOYS WINK   (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SCR  EMBRACE ME   (albertran)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
 
KEE-7   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  YONO   (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 6.00  
6  C F V BULLET   (gonzale)DE CRUZ 125 15.00 6% 17.10 3.19 P
10  HAROLD'S CLOUD   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 43% 1.30 3.17 S
4  STIRDATPOT   (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 125 20.00 13.20  
1  LIAM THE BRAVE   (esquivel )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 15.00 8% 10.80 6.57  
2  COTE D'IVOIRE   (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 30.00 27.33  
7  SANT' ANTIMO   (esquivel j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 3.13  
9  AMERICAN HERO   (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 125 6.00 17% 4.90 10.10  
SCR  COOKE CREEK   (o'dwyer jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA   (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 5.00    
 
KEE-8   04/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UNCLE JAKE   (vaccarezza car)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 1.64  
3  EL KABONG   (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 30.00 6% 15.10 19.97 P
6  QUADRA ISLAND   (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 9.41  
11  SANTORINI   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 14% 6.20 3.33  
12  LIMITED LIABILITY   (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 57% 0.70 2.36  
7  GUNTON ROE   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 6.12  
SCR  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE)   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  READY TO PURRFORM   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  HAYES STRIKE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
SCR  GIANT GAME   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  FORT WASHINGTON   (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00    
SCR  CHASING THE CROWN   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  UNDERDRESSED   (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  BAY STREET MONEY   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ROCK STAR DOCTOR   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.14 W
2  LASERJET   (antonuik je)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00 15.11 P
6  UPSWELL   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 ★ 4.46 S
8  BLUE GUITAR   (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.14  
11  AL TIRAH   (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 125 12.00 31.59  
3  VIVID EXPOSURE   (caramori edu)MONCADA IRVING 115 30.00 51.21  
4  MISSY BEE   (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 41.42  
7  LANETTA   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 4.68  
10  PERFECTLY WICKED   (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 65% 0.50 1.13  
SCR  DREAMING ALWAYS   (forster t)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
SCR  MARCO SUNSET   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.