Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-3   WIN (6/10/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $11.50 $1.50 15%
KEE-4   EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-7 $9.76 $3.76 63%
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  8-7-1 $6.02 $3.02 101%
KEE-6   WIN (3/13/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.22 $1.22 20%
KEE-9   WIN (10/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.28 $4.28 54%
    EXA (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  9-2 $77.71 $61.71 386%
    TRI (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/6/2)-(10/9/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-2-6 $185.34 $161.34 672%
    SFT (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/6/2)-(10/9/8/6/2)-(10/9/8/6/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  9-2-6-8 $191.12 $181.52 1891%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:132 1:392   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TAKE SHAPE 6 3 2½ 1nk 11 12½ 12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 58% 0.70 1.89 W
3  LITTLE DIXIE 2 5 53 63 53½ 34 22 (reavis mic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 2.85  
4  DIVINELY BOLT 3 6 63½ 31 21 22½ 32 (simms jr)ORTIZ L 125 4.50 2.29  
1  JACKIE'S LOVE 1 1 1½ 2nk 32 45½ 410¼ (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.18  
5  IT WASN'T ME 4 2 31½ 41½ 42½ 57 512½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 7% 12.60 4.96  
7  SHEAR 5 4 42 52½ 68½ 616 627½ (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 125 30.00 5% 19.00 29.91  
SCR  CHIQUITA MOSCA               (bahena )DE CRUZ 125 2.50    
SCR  Q BOND               (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PERFECT SHANCES 7 1 11     12 14¾ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60 46% 1.20 0.54 W
  (by SHANCELOT out of AMERICAN BABY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
2  CITIZEN JUDY 2 3 21     22 24¾ (ennis joh)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 13.64  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HONESTLY DEB by SUPER SAVER)
3  HER HOLY NAME 3 4 52¾     35½ 36 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.50 11% 7.90 3.05 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of I'LL TAKE THAT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
1  BAYTOWN STORM 1 2 31     46½ 411½ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 109 8.00 9.26  
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
4  BAYTOWN AMY ROSE 4 6 65¼     68½ 514¾ (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00 5% 17.50 14.90  
  (by GAME WINNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  RIO DE PAZ 5 5 42½     58 615 (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 30.76  
  (by BAL A BALI out of AMERICAN ROSE by DIGRESSION)
6  MISTY SUNDAY 6 7 75¼     711½ 724½ (chapman jam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 27.85  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MAJESTIC PRINCESS by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  CRUZ CHICA               (ginter raymon)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MOOLAMISS by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  IMAGE OF ME               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of DELTALINA by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
KEE-3   04/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:15 1:434   1:583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TRES CHIC (ARG) 10 7 96¼ 97 65 1nk 1¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 126 3.00 16% 5.20 4.75 W
3  PITTORE D'ORO 3 8 83¾ 64½ 33½ 2nk 2¼ (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 30.00 19.72  
2  SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) 2 1 52½ 43 54 42 33½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 6% 15.40 5.93 S
8  LUMINOUS RULER 8 10 1012¼ 1012 811½ 67½ 48 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 14.90  
5  INSPECTOR PENNY 5 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 31½ 58¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 126 10.00 16.78  
6  BLUE VORTEX 6 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 54 68¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 46% 1.20 1.26  
4  MAYLEN 4 9 63 32½ 43½ 713½ 740 (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.38  
7  STAGE RIGHT 7 5 31½ 53½ 912 922 841¾ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 10.10  
1  FEDAH 1 4 73¼ 75 710½ 821½ 945 (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 5% 17.50 10.47  
9  SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE) 9 6 42½ 86 1014½ 1025½ 1051¾ (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 126 30.00 60.50  
 
KEE-4   04/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:092     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JEFFERSON STREET 5 1 21 1½   15½ 19 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.00 63% 0.60 0.27 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of APIARY by BERNARDINI)
7  ACCIDENT 4 2 33½ 33   36 29 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 125 20.00 5% 19.00 18.76 P
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
1  ROCK N ROLL BOLT 1 4 11 2½   25½ 311¼ (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 15% 5.50 3.45 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLAKELY'S SMILE by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  GUILTY AFFAIR 2 3 44½ 412   418 430 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 30.00 30.14  
  (by BLAME out of JENNIFER'S AFFAIR by NUREYEV)
6  TONKA TROUBLE 3 5 510½ 514½   521 543 (wismer s)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 9.08  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KAYCE LU by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  CAGE MATCH               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  MIDWAY LIGHTS               (dutrow ric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD               (rutledge l)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
KEE-5   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:122 1:381   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WELAKA 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 16¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00 7.13  
4  FAN THE FIRE 4 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 33½ 26¼ (cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 16% 5.40 4.97 P
1  DUAL MONARCHY 1 3 32 31½ 3½ 23 36½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 125 2.50 ★ 3.94 S
7  STRIKING SPARKS 7 5 52¼ 64 67½ 59 415¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 21.24  
6  WRITEITONTHEICE 6 7 83¾ 53½ 44 47½ 516½ (hester h)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00 24.56  
3  LUKE 3 6 42 42½ 56 610½ 620¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 6.17  
10  AMERICUS 10 9 73¾ 74 78 711 722¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 4.31  
9  LIAMS LAD 9 10 95¾ 106¼ 810½ 814 828 (evans mic)CORREA L 125 30.00 ★ 19.83  
8  HASKELLED 8 4 62¾ 84½ 911 916½ 937¼ (delacruz joe)GRAHAM J 125 20.00 5% 19.00 20.62  
5  WRITE OFF JERRY 5 8 106¼ 96 1013½ 1020 1048 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.50 57% 0.80 4.21  
 
KEE-6   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:123 1:39   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RO TOWN 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 13 12 (lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 14% 6.20 2.61 W
9  STIR CRAZY 4 5 55 55 43 44½ 22 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 20.00 12.72  
6  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE 3 6 43 31½ 31 23 32 (schultz linds)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 10.97  
10  STRIKINGLY SPUN 5 4 66½ 66 55 57 47¼ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 6.02  
13  STORY HOUR 6 3 21 2½ 2½ 34 58¼ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.20 2.22  
3  SPANSIVE 2 2 33 42 68½ 637 675¼ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 44% 1.30 2.27  
SCR  SECRET STATEMENT               (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  QUALITY STAR               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
SCR  PLEASANT PASSAGE               (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  PAPILIO (IRE)               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80    
SCR  MAKE THE BOYS WINK               (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SCR  EMBRACE ME               (albertran)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
 
KEE-7   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:114 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  YONO 4 5 78½ 711 610 21 14 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 6.00  
6  C F V BULLET 5 3 34½ 37½ 35½ 41½ 24 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 125 15.00 6% 17.10 3.19 P
10  HAROLD'S CLOUD 8 4 21 21½ 22 31½ 37½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 43% 1.30 3.17 S
4  STIRDATPOT 3 2 11 11½ 12 11 47¾ (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 125 20.00 13.20  
1  LIAM THE BRAVE 1 7 67 610 48 52 59¼ (esquivel )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 15.00 8% 10.80 6.57  
2  COTE D'IVOIRE 2 1 45 49 715 714½ 623¾ (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 30.00 27.33  
7  SANT' ANTIMO 6 6 57 59½ 59½ 612 741½ (esquivel j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 3.13  
9  AMERICAN HERO 7 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 125 6.00 17% 4.90 10.10  
SCR  COOKE CREEK               (o'dwyer jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA               (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 5.00    
 
KEE-8   04/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:373   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UNCLE JAKE 2 1 11 1½ 12½ 16 19¼ (vaccarezza car)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 1.64  
3  EL KABONG 1 6 610 615 614 39½ 29¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 30.00 6% 15.10 19.97 P
6  QUADRA ISLAND 3 3 42 32½ 32½ 26 39¾ (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 9.41  
11  SANTORINI 5 2 21 2½ 22½ 414½ 426¼ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 14% 6.20 3.33  
12  LIMITED LIABILITY 6 5 55½ 510½ 512½ 519 534 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 57% 0.70 2.36  
7  GUNTON ROE 4 4 32 42½ 44½ 627 695¾ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 6.12  
SCR  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE)               (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  READY TO PURRFORM               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  HAYES STRIKE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
SCR  GIANT GAME               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  FORT WASHINGTON               (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00    
SCR  CHASING THE CROWN               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  UNDERDRESSED               (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  BAY STREET MONEY               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13 1:403   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ROCK STAR DOCTOR 7 4 87½ 56½ 42½ 1½ 11¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.14 W
2  LASERJET 1 8 77½ 77¼ 65½ 32 21¼ (antonuik je)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00 15.11 P
6  UPSWELL 4 2 21 11 1½ 2½ 32½ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 ★ 4.46 S
8  BLUE GUITAR 6 6 43 43 31½ 42 45¾ (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.14  
11  AL TIRAH 9 9 911½ 911¾ 710 58 56½ (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 125 12.00 31.59  
3  VIVID EXPOSURE 2 1 11 21 53 711 622¼ (caramori edu)MONCADA IRVING 115 30.00 51.21  
4  MISSY BEE 3 5 55½ 66¾ 811 815 727 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 41.42  
7  LANETTA 5 3 31½ 31 2½ 610½ 827¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 4.68  
10  PERFECTLY WICKED 8 7 67 88¼ 912 916½ 933½ (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 65% 0.50 1.13  
SCR  DREAMING ALWAYS               (forster t)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
SCR  MARCO SUNSET               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.