Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (8/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (9/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (6/10/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-4   Win (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-5   Win (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (3/13/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (10/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (12/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-9   Win (10/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE'S LOVE Feb01 Dec21 Nov05 Oct12 Sep01 (butcher james)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHIQUITA MOSCA Mar28 Jan25 Dec05 Nov24 Oct27 (bahena is)DE CRUZ 125 2.50    
LITTLE DIXIE Mar15 Feb01 Jan03 Dec20 Nov23 (reavis micha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
DIVINELY BOLT Mar15 Feb14 Jan03 Nov04 Sep03 (simms jr)ORTIZ L 125 4.50    
IT WASN'T ME Feb15 Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 Aug06 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  Q BOND Mar21 Oct24 Sep22 Sep06 Jul29 (alvarez nery)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00    
SHEAR Mar15 Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE SHAPE Mar20 Feb07 Dec22 Nov23 Sep13 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 58% 0.70    
 
KEE-2   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN STORM         (mcentee paul)MONCADA IRVING 109 8.00    
CITIZEN JUDY         (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
HER HOLY NAME         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
BAYTOWN AMY ROSE         (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00 5% 17.50    
RIO DE PAZ         (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00    
MISTY SUNDAY         (chapman james)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRUZ CHICA         (ginter raymond )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
SCR  IMAGE OF ME Apr07         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
PERFECT SHANCES         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
KEE-3   04/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEDAH Mar23         (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 5% 17.50    
SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) Mar27 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 Jan01 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 6% 15.40    
PITTORE D'ORO Mar06 Feb22 Feb03 Jan06 Dec22 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 30.00    
MAYLEN Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 Aug30 (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
INSPECTOR PENNY Mar10 Nov20 Oct22     (pessin l)LANERIE J 126 10.00    
BLUE VORTEX Mar08 Feb09 Jan11 Dec21 Nov17 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
STAGE RIGHT Mar09         (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
LUMINOUS RULER Mar07 Feb16 Dec31 Nov25 Oct19 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 118 8.00    
SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE) Mar16         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 126 30.00    
10  TRES CHIC (ARG) Mar27 Feb22 Jan06 Dec14 Jul02 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
KEE-4   04/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK N ROLL BOLT Mar09 Feb15 Jan13 Dec14 Nov18 (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
GUILTY AFFAIR Mar24 Dec09 Nov21     (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 30.00    
SCR  MIDWAY LIGHTS Mar09         (dutrow richa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50    
SCR  CAGE MATCH Mar09         (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 125 3.00    
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD Mar16 Feb10       (rutledge lan)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00    
TONKA TROUBLE         (wismer s)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
ACCIDENT Mar30 Mar16 Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
JEFFERSON STREET Mar02 Sep02       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.00 63% 0.60    
 
KEE-5   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUAL MONARCHY Feb23 Jan27 Jan06 Nov23 Oct20 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 125 2.50    
WELAKA Mar22 Aug26 Jul14 Mar24 Jan08 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00    
LUKE Feb29 Jan11 Nov25 Oct29   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50    
FAN THE FIRE Mar09 Feb04 Dec17 Nov02 Oct07 (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
WRITE OFF JERRY Mar21 Feb14 Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.50 57% 0.80    
WRITEITONTHEICE Mar15 Feb17 Jul13 May25 May12 (hester hal)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00    
STRIKING SPARKS Sep30 Jul29 Jul12     (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
HASKELLED Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Jan24 Jan11 (delacruz joel)GRAHAM J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIAMS LAD Mar21 Mar06 Feb17 Oct03 Sep23 (evans micha)CORREA L 125 30.00    
10  AMERICUS Jan12 Nov23 Oct31 Oct04   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMBRACE ME Mar09 Feb10 Nov12 Sep22 Aug25 (albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
RO TOWN Mar03 Jan26 Jan07 Nov10 Apr07 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 14% 6.20    
SPANSIVE Mar02 Jan27 Jun11 May13 Apr01 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  PLEASANT PASSAGE Aug17 Jul27 Jun18 Apr08 Nov04 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  QUALITY STAR Dec07 Oct07 Sep10 May27 Apr13 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Feb22 Feb03 Apr12 Mar25 Oct20 (schultz lindsay)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  MAKE THE BOYS WINK Nov24 Nov04 Oct11 Sep10 Aug13 (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH Jan27 Dec30 Nov12 Sep01 Jul04 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
STIR CRAZY Feb25 Dec07 Nov12 Sep15 Aug02 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
10  STRIKINGLY SPUN Nov01 Aug31 Aug04 Jul08 Jun11 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  PAPILIO (IRE) Feb24 Oct14 Aug04 Jul08 Jun03 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80    
SCR  SECRET STATEMENT Nov24 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 May05 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
13  STORY HOUR Feb11 Dec27 Nov23 Oct19 Sep29 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
KEE-7   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM THE BRAVE Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 Jan04 Dec20 (esquivel je)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 15.00 8% 10.80    
COTE D'IVOIRE Mar01 Feb08 Jan24 Dec29 Dec16 (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 30.00    
SCR  COOKE CREEK Feb17 Dec22 Nov11 Oct14 Jun03 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50    
STIRDATPOT Feb03 Dec20 Oct23 Jul22 Jul06 (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 125 20.00    
YONO Feb03 Dec20 Nov19 Oct23 Sep27 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00    
C F V BULLET Feb22 Dec09 Oct23 Sep25 Jun27 (gonzalez )DE CRUZ 125 15.00 6% 17.10    
SANT' ANTIMO Mar01 Feb03 Dec09 Nov03 Oct11 (esquivel jes)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA Mar06 Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 Oct13 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 5.00    
AMERICAN HERO Apr13 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
10  HAROLD'S CLOUD Mar06 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 43% 1.30    
 
KEE-8   04/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  READY TO PURRFORM Mar02 Apr20 Jan21 Oct29 Sep05 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  BAY STREET MONEY Jun17 May20 Apr01 Feb18 Jan13 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
EL KABONG Feb17 Jan04 Dec01 Jul09 May20 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 30.00 6% 15.10    
UNCLE JAKE Mar07 Jan28 Oct17 Aug26 Jul21 (vaccarezza carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
SCR  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Jul30 Jun09 Apr27 Feb05 Jan20 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
QUADRA ISLAND Feb17 Dec23 Nov15 Oct14 Aug18 (ortiz al)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
GUNTON ROE Feb17 Jan05 Aug20 Jul09 Jan21 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  UNDERDRESSED Feb17 Dec23 Nov18 Oct19 Oct06 (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  CHASING THE CROWN Feb17 Jan20 Sep07 Jul20 Jun22 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  FORT WASHINGTON Dec30 Oct19 Sep03 Aug12 May06 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00    
11  SANTORINI Feb17 Jan06 Dec02 Oct28 Sep07 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
12  LIMITED LIABILITY Nov11 Oct13 Jul22 May20 Apr23 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  GIANT GAME Mar01 Nov24 Nov04 Aug25 Aug05 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  HAYES STRIKE Mar09 Feb17 Jul08 Jun24 May29 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
 
KEE-9   04/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAMING ALWAYS Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 Jan07 Apr19 (forster t)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
LASERJET Mar16 Feb14 Feb03 Jan06 Dec23 (antonuik jer)CORRALES GERARDO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
VIVID EXPOSURE Mar15 Jan24 Dec22 Dec02 Oct24 (caramori eduar)MONCADA IRVING 115 30.00    
MISSY BEE Mar15 Feb29 Jan24 Dec29 Dec13 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MARCO SUNSET Mar24 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Jan01 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00    
UPSWELL Mar10 Feb18 Jan01 Nov23 Nov03 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50    
LANETTA Mar07 Jan28 Feb15 Jan01   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00    
BLUE GUITAR Mar27 Mar07 Feb23 Feb07 Jan13 (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROCK STAR DOCTOR Jan27 Nov18 Oct27 Sep20 Aug13 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  PERFECTLY WICKED Mar22 Feb24 Jan12 Dec13 Nov05 (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
11  AL TIRAH Mar01 Feb14 Dec13 Mar11 Jan14 (torres con)RODRIGUEZ A 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.