Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-4-6 $4.35 $1.35 45%
FG-4   EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $23.60 $11.60 97%
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-4-5 $67.90 $55.90 466%
    SFT (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-4-5-7 $45.76 $43.36 1807%
FG-6   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-3 $34.50 $18.50 116%
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/6/4)-(5/1/3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-3-6 $76.20 $52.20 218%
FG-7   WIN (4/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (4/5/9/6)-(4/5/9/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00  9-6 $92.40 $76.40 478%
    TRI (4/5/9/6)-(4/5/9/6/11)-(4/5/9/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-6-5 $240.90 $216.90 904%
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(4/5/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-9 $45.30 $29.30 183%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   01/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:251 :511 1:172 1:411   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEY HARBOR 2 1 2½ 2½ 11 13 1 (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 116 1.60 19% 4.20 1.30 W
SUPER WISE 4 3 3 3 4 3 2 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.00 46% 1.20 1.20 P
ONE TIME GEM 6 4 42 4 31 4 310½ (johnston d)CURTIS BEN 121 4.00 14% 6.30 3.80 S
HOMEVIEW 1 2 1½ 1½ 21 23 410½ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 11.20  
MAX PANDOWDY 3 6 64 5 52 5 514 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 30.90  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 5 5 5 63 64 67 616 (hirdes john)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00 39.90  
 
FG-2   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:214 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC PERFORMER 3 1 2½ 11   14 1 (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 10% 9.30 2.10 W
MY ROYAL PRINCESS 4 7 813½ 812¾   5 2 (zenon charle)MURRAY M 119 10.00 22.30  
HURRICANE LASSIE 8 3 33 34   24 3 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 60% 0.70 4.10 S
MALLY'S MONSOON 1 5 46 4   4 4 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 13.90  
DREAMING ALWAYS 7 8 69 510   6 5 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 12.90  
MAHOMEBRED 2 2 1½ 21   34 6 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 2.70  
MY LADY LUNA 6 4 5 610   710¼ 712¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 7% 13.50 5.60  
AMARETTO DI AMORE 5 6 710 712½   814¾ 820½ (lund valorie)MCMAHON J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
 
FG-3   01/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:141 1:412   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z Z'S PRINCE 1 9 920½ 9 48 32 1½ (zeringue j)MELANCON G 125 8.00 3.90  
12  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 9 6 66 85 58 4 2½ (stewart da)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 5.00 22% 3.50 2.60 P
10  KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY 7 3 1 1 1 1½ 33 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00 22% 3.50 14.50 S
SOLOMON VANDY 3 7 717 3 2 2½ 43 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 27% 2.70 1.20  
GEMSTONE WARRIOR 6 4 2 2 3 55 5 (arndt theodore)MCMAHON J 125 20.00 37.40  
11  WITHOUT EQUAL 8 5 4 7 6 711 615¾ (lund valor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00 37.80  
FREE DROP ROB 4 2 55 64 710½ 610½ 716 (gelner scott)PARKER L 117 20.00 70.90  
REGIMENTAL 2 8 817 5 912½ 813 821¾ (rodriguez eduar)LANERIE J 125 4.00 7% 12.50 6.70  
SOCIAL SOLUTION 5 1 33 4 812 928 953¼ (david )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 74.50  
SCR  BEL AMI               (diodoro robe)TORRES A 125 3.00    
SCR  MY TENNIS SHOES               (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 125 30.00    
SCR  SWEET PRESENT               (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 30.00    
 
FG-4   01/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:151 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANITA'S VISION 3 1 2 21 2½ 11 12 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 29% 2.50 2.70 W
ENTITLEMENT 4 2 33 3 6 55 22 (david b)MURRAY M 121 4.00 18% 4.50 7.40 P
SMART IZZY 5 8 6 74 32 33 3 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 12.00 8% 11.50 18.00 S
STARSNMOTION 7 3 1 11 1½ 21 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.50 22% 3.60 0.80  
MO SMOKING 2 4 43 5 53 4 5 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 7.00  
FITTS N STARTS 8 6 5 4 4 6 610½ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 28.00  
TRINITY HOPE 1 7 810½ 8 810½ 79 713½ (wilson shane)LANERIE J 121 6.00 17.20  
QUEEN OF THE MOON 6 5 7 63 77 812 819 (antwine)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 49.30  
 
FG-5   01/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:131 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYCOCKS BAY 1 1 11 1 1½ 15 110¾ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00 1.60  
BLOWN COVER 3 2 21 2 2½ 25 210¾ (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00 58% 0.70 1.00 P
HAWKS CREEK 2 4 56 4 5 38 312¾ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 4.30  
MIGHTY KAI 5 6 6 6 45 511½ 417 (maker j)LANERIE J 119 6.00 7% 14.10 12.20  
DUMBSTRUCK 4 3 4 55 34 411 518¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00 40.40  
NOT LISTENING 6 5 3 3 6 615½ 628 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 7% 14.10 17.90  
SCR  CARD TRICK               (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
SCR  ELEVATED GAME               (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 20.00    
SCR  ST. ARMANDS KEY               (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 3.50    
 
FG-6   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSED THE BOAT 1 3 3 3   1nk 1¾ (troiani)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.00 23% 3.30 4.10 W
TOPPER T 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (arnett jon )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 7% 12.80 7.00 P
ALL WEST 6 6 5 45   43 3 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 9.50 S
HIGH CRUISE 7 1 2½ 2nk   3½ 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00 14.00  
HERD IMMUNITY 4 8 79 811   8 56 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
PALACE KITTEN 2 4 45 5   55 6 (scherer t)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 7.00  
UPHOLD THE LAW 5 9 911½ 911¼   910¾ 7 (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 44% 1.30 2.30  
WICKED TRICK 8 7 8 78   67 8 (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 8.00 4.80  
KAELY'S BROTHER 9 5 66 6   7 9 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 15.20  
 
FG-7   01/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUE LALA 5 6 7 5   1½ 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 10% 9.50 5.20 W
FIRING BULLETS 3 8 5 6   4 2 (casse mark)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30 P
OCEAN SPIRIT (GB) 2 1 3 32   31 3 (correas i)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 27% 2.70 6.40 S
10  EMPIRE OF MY OWN 6 5 4 42   6 46 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 4.60  
CATSKILL HUMOR 1 2 1½ 11   2½ 56 (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 37% 1.70 2.00  
14  NEUTRALIZE 9 3 2½ 21   53 6 (stall m)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 11.80  
EMPIRES PRINCESS 4 4 64 7   7 7 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 20.00 23.00  
11  MISS RIVER RAT 7 7 8 8   8 8 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5.50  
13  RUBY FOO 8 9 9 9   98 910¼ (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 12.00 14.90  
SCR  DULCIA               (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
SCR  FOURALIVIA               (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00    
SCR  NUMERO SEIS               (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 8.00    
SCR  PORT TOWNSEND               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
SCR  THE RAGE OF ART               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00    
 
FG-8   01/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :462       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CCED FOR STEPH 7 4 34 3   22 11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.30 W
MADAM BLUE 1 1 12 1   12 21 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.00 33% 2.10 1.60 P
JUST ANOTHER WIN 6 6 6 7   4 3 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 122 10.00 26.80  
SUM CHARM 8 7 8 8   6 46 (ney john)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 28.90  
CUSTOMIZED TWIN 4 3 22 2   3 5 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 16% 5.20 5.80  
SHO NUFF 2 5 7 4   56 6 (cormier do)ALBERT S 122 15.00 12.20  
ABSOLUTELY MINDY 3 10 1010¾ 911¼   812 711¼ (charles jon)LEDET THEODRICK 122 20.00 ######  
CECE WAVE 9 8 9 1014¼   1012¼ 811¼ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00 48.50  
CONTINENTAL RED 5 2 4 5   710½ 914 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00 68.30  
10  SERENADINGTHEMOON 10 9 5 6   912 1014½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 6% 15.30 14.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.