Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - March 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $18.00 $12.00 200%
AQU-2   EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-3 $6.90 $4.90 245%
    DD (2/4/3)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $14.20 $8.20 137%
AQU-3   PK3 (2/4/3)-(5/3)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-5-7 $28.00 $4.00 17%
AQU-9   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-6 $21.90 $12.90 143%
    DD (5/4/3/1)-(2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $14.20 $2.20 18%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :463 :584     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN EVENING 4 5 2½ 1½   12 1 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 32% 2.10 8.00 W
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LUCKY LONG by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
ROMAN GRACE 1 1 4 42   22 2 (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 1.50  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
CATCHING HEAT 2 4 1½ 2½   3 3 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 38% 1.60 1.90 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of PHILLY MIGNON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
I'M THINKING 5 3 52 32   44 4 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 4.90  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
LOOKS FIRST 3 2 3½ 5   5 5 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SPINNING LOOKS by HARD SPUN)
 
AQU-2   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT BOSS 3 1 21 21 21 1½ 1½ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.00 39% 1.60 0.90 W
MOUNT TRAVERS 2 4 4 4 32 3 2½ (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 P
MY FRIENDS BEER 1 3 3 3 4 42 32 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00 7.70  
SWIFT TAP 4 2 11 11 11 2½ 4 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 1.40  
SCR  BLU GROTTO               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 30.00    
SCR  MR PHIL               (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 7 4 1nk 1nk 1 1 11 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.40 46% 1.20 0.75 W
WATCH HILL 8 8 43 4 2 2 21 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 3.50 6.20  
NEPTUNE BEACH 3 1 5 5 5 33 34 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00 19.40  
RING ME 6 3 32 3 3 4 4 (terranova john)LUZZI J 126 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
WAFLR 5 2 2nk 2nk 42 55 511 (donk david)RIVERA R 126 4.50 8% 11.20 6.30  
CHARMING JIM 4 7 8 810¾ 7 713 615¼ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 8.00 15% 5.80 6.90  
QOROKWE 1 6 7 6 6 612 719¾ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 126 8.00 11.40  
FRANKIE R. 2 5 66 7 817¾ 822 822¾ (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00 48.00  
 
AQU-4   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC EXPRESS 3 3 2nk 1nk   1 1 (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 36% 1.80 2.10 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ASK THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
CAGE MATCH 7 6 5 52   34 2 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 7.90  
  (by GORMLEY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
MAJESTIC MICHAEL 5 4 31 3½   2 3 (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 38% 1.70 3.05 S
  (by JUSTIFY out of EMILY B by SMART STRIKE)
MIDWAY LIGHTS 2 7 7 7   67 48 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 5.40  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PLAY 4 2 1nk 2nk   56 5 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 3.05  
  (by KANTHAROS out of BAKKEN BABY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
PARTY WITH SMARTY 1 5 6 67   78 6 (gutierrez jam)OLVER MADISON 122 30.00 5% 19.00 41.75  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
XCELLENT MEN 6 1 4 41   4 710 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-5   03/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANDATORY 7 3 2nk 11   1 1 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 35% 1.80 0.65 W
NOTAH 6 4 1nk 21   2 2 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 5.40  
KANT BEAT THE ROCK 5 6 3 3   4 3 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 28.50 S
M B'S MUNNING 3 2 4 4   33 4 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 31% 2.20 4.80  
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 4 7 7 5   5 5 (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.50 7.40  
NIGHT EFFECT 2 5 5 65   69 614¾ (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 11.00  
HATCH (GB) 1 1 6 76   710½ 716 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 12.00 9% 10.60 23.80  
SCR  RED D G P               (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
 
AQU-6   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKE AND KEY 5 5 6 5   1½ 1 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 W
PASCHAL MOON 2 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 9.00  
BOURBON'S HOPE 1 4 1nk 1nk   3½ 33 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00 15.70 S
P MONEY 3 6 5 6   41 4 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 8.00 13.70  
KENTUCKY JOKER 6 7 7 7   6 5 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
MESSI THE MAGICIAN 7 2 4 4¾   5 6 (kantarmaci m)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00 24.50  
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 4 3 31 3.2   7 711¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 39% 1.50 2.45  
SCR  WARALO               (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
 
AQU-7   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:103 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECTED VALUE 5 8 7 73 66 23 1hd (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 2.95  
10  VESPUCCI 9 6 31 2½ 1 13 2hd (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 33% 2.00 11.10 P
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 3 3 6 31 32 33 3 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
SUERTE 7 2 2½ 4 4 4 4 (maker mich)RIVERA R 123 6.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
SHIPSATIONAL 4 7 87 84 7 6 5 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 120 12.00 9% 10.70 15.80  
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 5 42 52 55 7 6 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 6.70  
MISTICAL CURLIN 8 4 1½ 1½ 2 5 7 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00 15% 5.80 2.65  
GHOSTLYPRINCE 2 1 5 63 88 8 812½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 49.25  
PRINCIPE D'ORO 6 9 910½ 98 914½ 918¼ 921¼ (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 9.80  
SCR  LUCENCY               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
 
AQU-8   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Correction Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE 5 4 5 45   41 1hd (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 26% 2.90 0.70 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
KANT HURRY LOVE 4 3 23 2   2nk 2hd (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 25% 3.00 3.40 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
STARSHIP DEFIANT 2 6 4 35   3½ 34 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 6.30  
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of BOSSY BELLE by STREET BOSS)
QUICK MUNNY 3 1 13 1   1nk 4 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 16% 5.40 5.50  
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUICK CLICK by TIZNOW)
SECRET LOVE (ARG) 6 5 6 5   55 55 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 34.75  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of EXOTIC DESIGN by A.P. INDY)
RISK FREE 7 7 7 68   6 6 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 24.75  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
MUSIC CITY STAR 1 2 3 7   710½ 717¼ (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
  (by TAPITURE out of WARM SPRINGS GIRL by CITY ZIP)
SCR  BABA               (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 50.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SETTLE 'N SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
AQU-9   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:114 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIETY MAN 6 5 6 510 54 1 13 (gargan dan)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.60 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
TRUE CONNECTION 4 6 710 712 6 33 23 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.50 P
  (by CONNECT out of TIPPANY by TAPIT)
GLINT 7 7 4 43 31 2 3 (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 13.80  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
CUANDO 1 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 4 4 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 44% 1.30 2.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
HE HAS IT ALL 3 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 5 511½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 30% 2.30 4.80  
  (by LAOBAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
COOL OPERATOR 5 4 55 610½ 711½ 712 611¾ (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 10.00 18.40  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SIREN'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FIRST TRUMPET 2 2 3½ 3 4 6 712¾ (delauro edward )RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 12.60  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  J D FACTOR               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MITOLE'S DIAMOND               (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TRUCKSTOP DIAMOND by FLAT OUT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.