The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - March 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 12.00
AQU-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
AQU-3   Win (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -4.50
AQU-4   Win (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
AQU-5   Win (8/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -4.70
AQU-6   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
AQU-7   Win (10/7/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $7.90 -10.00
AQU-8   Win (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60
AQU-9   Win (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :463 :584     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN EVENING 4 5 2½ 1½   12 1(dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 32% 2.10 8.00 W
ROMAN GRACE 1 1 4 42   22 2(pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 1.50  
CATCHING HEAT 2 4 1½ 2½   33(brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 38% 1.60 1.90 S
I'M THINKING 5 3 52 32   44 4(dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 4.90  
LOOKS FIRST 3 2 3½ 5   55(donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
 
AQU-2   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT BOSS 3 1 21 21 21 1½ 1½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.00 39% 1.60 0.90 W
MOUNT TRAVERS 2 4 4 4 32 32½ (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 P
MY FRIENDS BEER 1 3 3 3 4 42 32 (walder pete)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00 7.70  
SWIFT TAP 4 2 11 11 11 2½ 4(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 1.40  
SCR  BLU GROTTO               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 30.00    
SCR  MR PHIL               (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 7 4 1nk 1nk 1 111 (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.40 46% 1.20 0.75 W
WATCH HILL 8 8 43 4 2 221 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 3.50 6.20  
NEPTUNE BEACH 3 1 5 5 5 33 34 (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00 19.40  
RING ME 6 3 32 3 3 44(terranova p)LUZZI J 126 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
WAFLR 5 2 2nk 2nk 42 55 511 (donk david)RIVERA R 126 4.50 8% 11.20 6.30  
CHARMING JIM 4 7 8 810¾ 7 713 615¼ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 8.00 15% 5.80 6.90  
QOROKWE 1 6 7 6 6 612 719¾ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 126 8.00 11.40  
FRANKIE R. 2 5 66 7 817¾ 822 822¾ (coffey marialic)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00 48.00  
 
AQU-4   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC EXPRESS 3 3 2nk 1nk   11(russell brittany )CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 36% 1.80 2.10 W
CAGE MATCH 7 6 5 52   34 2(dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 7.90  
MAJESTIC MICHAEL 5 4 31 3½   23(dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 38% 1.70 3.05 S
MIDWAY LIGHTS 2 7 7 7   67 48 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 5.40  
PLAY 4 2 1nk 2nk   56 5(rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 3.05  
PARTY WITH SMARTY 1 5 6 67   78 6(gutierrez james)OLVER MADISON 122 30.00 5% 19.00 41.75  
XCELLENT MEN 6 1 4 41   4710 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
 
AQU-5   03/09/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANDATORY 7 3 2nk 11   11(kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 35% 1.80 0.65 W
NOTAH 6 4 1nk 21   22(terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 5.40  
KANT BEAT THE ROCK 5 6 3 3   43(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 28.50 S
M B'S MUNNING 3 2 4 4   33 4(noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 31% 2.20 4.80  
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 4 7 7 5   55(persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.50 7.40  
NIGHT EFFECT 2 5 5 65   69 614¾ (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 11.00  
HATCH (GB) 1 1 6 76   710½ 716 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 123 12.00 9% 10.60 23.80  
SCR  RED D G P               (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
 
AQU-6   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKE AND KEY 5 5 6 5   1½ 1(ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 W
PASCHAL MOON 2 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2(sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 9.00  
BOURBON'S HOPE 1 4 1nk 1nk   3½ 33 (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00 15.70 S
P MONEY 3 6 5 6   41 4(klesaris rober)HARKIE K 120 8.00 13.70  
KENTUCKY JOKER 6 7 7 7   65(englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
MESSI THE MAGICIAN 7 2 4 4¾   56(kantarmaci mer)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00 24.50  
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 4 3 31 3.2   7711¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 39% 1.50 2.45  
SCR  WARALO               (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
 
AQU-7   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:103 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECTED VALUE 5 8 7 73 66 23 1hd (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 2.95  
10  VESPUCCI 9 6 31 2½ 1 13 2hd (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 33% 2.00 11.10 P
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 3 3 6 31 32 33 3(potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
SUERTE 7 2 2½ 4 4 44(maker michae)RIVERA R 123 6.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
SHIPSATIONAL 4 7 87 84 7 65(barker edward )HARKIE K 120 12.00 9% 10.70 15.80  
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 5 42 52 55 76(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 6.70  
MISTICAL CURLIN 8 4 1½ 1½ 2 57(rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00 15% 5.80 2.65  
GHOSTLYPRINCE 2 1 5 63 88 8812½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 49.25  
PRINCIPE D'ORO 6 9 910½ 98 914½ 918¼ 921¼ (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 9.80  
SCR  LUCENCY               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
 
AQU-8   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Correction Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE 5 4 5 45   41 1hd (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 26% 2.90 0.70 W
KANT HURRY LOVE 4 3 23 2   2nk 2hd (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 25% 3.00 3.40 P
STARSHIP DEFIANT 2 6 4 35   3½ 34 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 6.30  
QUICK MUNNY 3 1 13 1   1nk 4(atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 16% 5.40 5.50  
SECRET LOVE (ARG) 6 5 6 5   55 55 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 34.75  
RISK FREE 7 7 7 68   66(delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 24.75  
MUSIC CITY STAR 1 2 3 7   710½ 717¼ (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
SCR  BABA               (jones mi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 50.00    
 
AQU-9   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:114 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIETY MAN 6 5 6 510 54 113 (gargan danny)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.60 W
TRUE CONNECTION 4 6 710 712 6 33 23 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.50 P
GLINT 7 7 4 43 31 23(ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 13.80  
CUANDO 1 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 44(levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 44% 1.30 2.00  
HE HAS IT ALL 3 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 5511½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 30% 2.30 4.80  
COOL OPERATOR 5 4 55 610½ 711½ 712 611¾ (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 10.00 18.40  
FIRST TRUMPET 2 2 3½ 3 4 6712¾ (delauro j)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 12.60  
SCR  J D FACTOR               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
SCR  MITOLE'S DIAMOND               (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.