Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(5/3)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/4/5/6)-(5/3/6/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6)-(5/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6)-(5/3/6/1)-(8/3/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/1)-(8/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(8/3/1/5)-(4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/5)-(8/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/5)-(8/3/1/5)-(8/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/5)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/5)-(4/5/7)-(10/7/8/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(10/7/8/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(10/7/8/4/3)-(5/4/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (10/7/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/4/3)-(10/7/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/4/3)-(10/7/8/4/3)-(10/7/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/8/4/3)-(5/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/4/3)-(5/4/3/1)-(2/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1)-(2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/6/8)-(2/5/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN GRACE         (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
2  CATCHING HEAT         (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PHILLY MIGNON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  LOOKS FIRST Jul23 Jun18       (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SPINNING LOOKS by HARD SPUN)
4  AUTUMN EVENING Dec20         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LUCKY LONG by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  I'M THINKING         (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-2   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Feb23 Feb09 Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 30.00    
2  MY FRIENDS BEER Feb09 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00    
3  MOUNT TRAVERS Feb25 Jan28 Jan18 Nov25 Oct27 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLU GROTTO Feb18 Jan12 Jan01 Dec01 Oct13 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
5  PIT BOSS Mar02 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
6  SWIFT TAP Mar01 Feb09 Jan18 May18 Apr14 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50    
SCR  MR PHIL Feb19 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QOROKWE Feb24 Feb03       (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 126 8.00    
2  FRANKIE R. Feb23 Dec02 Nov12     (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00    
3  NEPTUNE BEACH Feb18 Jan13 Dec02     (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00    
4  CHARMING JIM Jan26 Nov19 Sep21 Jul14   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  WAFLR Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Nov17 (donk david)RIVERA R 126 4.50 8% 11.20    
6  RING ME Feb24 Jan18       (terranova john)LUZZI J 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Feb18 Jan06 Dec09 Aug02   (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.40 46% 1.20    
8  WATCH HILL Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Nov17 Oct15 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 3.50    
 
AQU-4   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY WITH SMARTY Feb01 Jan19 Nov12 Sep17 Aug26 (gutierrez jam)OLVER MADISON 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  MIDWAY LIGHTS         (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  MAGIC EXPRESS Feb14         (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ASK THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  PLAY Jan07 Dec09       (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BAKKEN BABY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
5  MAJESTIC MICHAEL May20 Apr21       (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of EMILY B by SMART STRIKE)
6  XCELLENT MEN Feb09 Jan07 Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
7  CAGE MATCH         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
AQU-5   03/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCH (GB) Feb25 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 12.00 9% 10.60    
2  NIGHT EFFECT Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Nov03 Sep24 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
3  M B'S MUNNING Feb10 Feb04 Jan05 Dec10 Dec01 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
4  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Mar01 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 Dec09 (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.50    
5  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED D G P Feb29 Feb17 Nov24 Jul15 Jul03 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
7  NOTAH Feb24 Jan26 Jan01 Aug26 Jun17 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
8  MANDATORY Feb16 Jan27 Dec29 Dec02 May13 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 35% 1.80    
 
AQU-6   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON'S HOPE Mar03 Feb19 Jan27 Jan12 Dec30 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00 ★    
2  PASCHAL MOON Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Nov25 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
3  P MONEY Feb11 Sep17 Aug03 Jan27 Dec30 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
4  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW Feb11 Dec30 Nov16 Dec15 May14 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  LOCKE AND KEY Jan11 Dec16 Nov10 Oct01 Aug31 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  WARALO Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov01 Sep19 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
7  KENTUCKY JOKER Feb04 Dec28 Nov10 Oct21 Jun25 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan27 Jan06 Dec07     (kantarmaci m)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
 
AQU-7   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Feb10 Jan13 Nov05 Sep28 Jul30 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
2  GHOSTLYPRINCE Feb02 Dec17 Nov16 Oct19 Sep14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
3  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jan27 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Oct22 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHIPSATIONAL Dec16 Jul01 Jun10 Apr14 Mar11 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 120 12.00 9% 10.70    
5  EXPECTED VALUE Feb10 Jan13 Apr08 Sep18 Aug20 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
6  PRINCIPE D'ORO Jan13 Jun24 May11 Apr15 Feb25 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
7  SUERTE Jan27 Dec30 Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 (maker mich)RIVERA R 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
8  MISTICAL CURLIN Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  LUCENCY Feb10 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Jul21 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
10  VESPUCCI Jun11         (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-8   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Correction Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSIC CITY STAR Jan27 Jan06 Mar17 Feb19 Dec31 (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WARM SPRINGS GIRL by CITY ZIP)
2  STARSHIP DEFIANT Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Oct04 Sep02 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of BOSSY BELLE by STREET BOSS)
3  QUICK MUNNY Dec17 Dec01 Oct28 Sep17 Jul28 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUICK CLICK by TIZNOW)
4  KANT HURRY LOVE Feb17 Dec09 Nov05 Aug11 Jun25 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
5  HOT FUDGE Jan27 Dec09 Dec01 Jun16 May07 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 26% 2.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  BABA Jan24 Dec13 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 50.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SETTLE 'N SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Jan27 Dec17 Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of EXOTIC DESIGN by A.P. INDY)
8  RISK FREE Feb24 Feb02 Jan11 Dec07 Oct14 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
 
AQU-9   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J D FACTOR Jan28 Nov24 Oct21     (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  CUANDO Feb25 Jan27       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
3  FIRST TRUMPET Feb18 Jan27 Dec16 Oct15 Aug26 (delauro edward )RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  MITOLE'S DIAMOND         (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TRUCKSTOP DIAMOND by FLAT OUT)
5  HE HAS IT ALL Feb03         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
6  TRUE CONNECTION Jan13         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of TIPPANY by TAPIT)
7  COOL OPERATOR Jan27 Dec02       (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SIREN'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  SOCIETY MAN Feb03 Dec08 Jul22     (gargan dan)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
9  GLINT         (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.