Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - March 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (8/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (10/7/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-8   Win (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN GRACE         (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
CATCHING HEAT         (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
LOOKS FIRST Jul23 Jun18       (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
AUTUMN EVENING Dec20         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
I'M THINKING         (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
 
AQU-2   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Feb23 Feb09 Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 (persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 30.00    
MY FRIENDS BEER Feb09 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 (walder pete)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00    
MOUNT TRAVERS Feb25 Jan28 Jan18 Nov25 Oct27 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLU GROTTO Feb18 Jan12 Jan01 Dec01 Oct13 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
PIT BOSS Mar02 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
SWIFT TAP Mar01 Feb09 Jan18 May18 Apr14 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50    
SCR  MR PHIL Feb19 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QOROKWE Feb24 Feb03       (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 126 8.00    
FRANKIE R. Feb23 Dec02 Nov12     (coffey marialic)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00    
NEPTUNE BEACH Feb18 Jan13 Dec02     (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00    
CHARMING JIM Jan26 Nov19 Sep21 Jul14   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 8.00 15% 5.80    
WAFLR Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Nov17 (donk david)RIVERA R 126 4.50 8% 11.20    
RING ME Feb24 Jan18       (terranova p)LUZZI J 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Feb18 Jan06 Dec09 Aug02   (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.40 46% 1.20    
WATCH HILL Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Nov17 Oct15 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 3.50    
 
AQU-4   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY WITH SMARTY Feb01 Jan19 Nov12 Sep17 Aug26 (gutierrez james)OLVER MADISON 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
MIDWAY LIGHTS         (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
MAGIC EXPRESS Feb14         (russell brittany )CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
PLAY Jan07 Dec09       (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
MAJESTIC MICHAEL May20 Apr21       (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
XCELLENT MEN Feb09 Jan07 Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAGE MATCH         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
 
AQU-5   03/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATCH (GB) Feb25 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 123 12.00 9% 10.60    
NIGHT EFFECT Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Nov03 Sep24 (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
M B'S MUNNING Feb10 Feb04 Jan05 Dec10 Dec01 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Mar01 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 Dec09 (persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.50    
KANT BEAT THE ROCK Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED D G P Feb29 Feb17 Nov24 Jul15 Jul03 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
NOTAH Feb24 Jan26 Jan01 Aug26 Jun17 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
MANDATORY Feb16 Jan27 Dec29 Dec02 May13 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 35% 1.80    
 
AQU-6   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON'S HOPE Mar03 Feb19 Jan27 Jan12 Dec30 (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
PASCHAL MOON Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Nov25 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
P MONEY Feb11 Sep17 Aug03 Jan27 Dec30 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW Feb11 Dec30 Nov16 Dec15 May14 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
LOCKE AND KEY Jan11 Dec16 Nov10 Oct01 Aug31 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  WARALO Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov01 Sep19 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
KENTUCKY JOKER Feb04 Dec28 Nov10 Oct21 Jun25 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan27 Jan06 Dec07     (kantarmaci mer)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
 
AQU-7   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Feb10 Jan13 Nov05 Sep28 Jul30 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
GHOSTLYPRINCE Feb02 Dec17 Nov16 Oct19 Sep14 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jan27 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Oct22 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHIPSATIONAL Dec16 Jul01 Jun10 Apr14 Mar11 (barker edward )HARKIE K 120 12.00 9% 10.70    
EXPECTED VALUE Feb10 Jan13 Apr08 Sep18 Aug20 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
PRINCIPE D'ORO Jan13 Jun24 May11 Apr15 Feb25 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SUERTE Jan27 Dec30 Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 (maker michae)RIVERA R 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
MISTICAL CURLIN Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  LUCENCY Feb10 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Jul21 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
10  VESPUCCI Jun11         (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-8   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Correction Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSIC CITY STAR Jan27 Jan06 Mar17 Feb19 Dec31 (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP DEFIANT Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Oct04 Sep02 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
QUICK MUNNY Dec17 Dec01 Oct28 Sep17 Jul28 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 16% 5.40    
KANT HURRY LOVE Feb17 Dec09 Nov05 Aug11 Jun25 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
HOT FUDGE Jan27 Dec09 Dec01 Jun16 May07 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  BABA Jan24 Dec13 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 (jones mi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 50.00    
SECRET LOVE (ARG) Jan27 Dec17 Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
RISK FREE Feb24 Feb02 Jan11 Dec07 Oct14 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 
AQU-9   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J D FACTOR Jan28 Nov24 Oct21     (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
CUANDO Feb25 Jan27       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
FIRST TRUMPET Feb18 Jan27 Dec16 Oct15 Aug26 (delauro j)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
SCR  MITOLE'S DIAMOND         (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
HE HAS IT ALL Feb03         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
TRUE CONNECTION Jan13         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
COOL OPERATOR Jan27 Dec02       (gargan danny)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
SOCIETY MAN Feb03 Dec08 Jul22     (gargan danny)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
GLINT         (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.