The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $19.00 -6.00
AQU-2   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
AQU-3   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.60 -6.00
AQU-4   Win (1/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
AQU-5   Win (3/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
AQU-6   Win (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $18.80 -6.00
AQU-7   Win (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 -0.70
AQU-8   Win (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:133 1:264   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEADY PROGRESS 2 5 53 6 43 22 1nk (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 5.00 8.50  
I LOVE CARA 3 7 713½ 7 7 55 2nk (barrera oscar)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 12.00 15.60  
ARREBATO 5 1 11 1 1 12 3.2 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5.60  
YOUBETTERBEJOKING 4 3 31 3 2 32 4¼ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 62% 0.60 1.75  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 6 2 6 5 3 45(jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00 5% 19.00 37.00  
JUNGFRAU 1 6 4 2 5 66(bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 1.85  
ATLANTA'S ACUNA 7 4 21 4 6 711¼ 711¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 8% 11.70 6.10  
 
AQU-2   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :473 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MINE 4 5 4¾ 13   15 1(englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 50% 1.00 0.20 W
SILKEN DOLLAR 3 2 2nk 23   25 2(donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 21% 3.90 6.20 P
HARLAN'S BOND 5 3 3.2 3   38 37 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 6% 16.90 12.10 S
SHINFULL 1 4 5 55   48 4(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 6.60  
RUVIES IN TIME 2 1 1nk 4   510½ 511½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 20.00 21.30  
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
 
AQU-3   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY 3 6 5 52   31nk (reyno)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50 5.30  
1A  EVERYONELOVESLINDA 5 2 1nk 1nk   11 2nk (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 1.30  
ICY REPLY 2 4 41 4   43½ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00 5% 19.00 13.40 S
IT TAKES HEART 4 3 2nk 2nk   21 4(falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 28% 2.60 3.80  
TAMING THE TIGRESS 1 5 6 64   652 (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 28% 2.50 4.30  
VIOLENT VIXEN 6 1 3½ 3½   56(baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 6.00  
SCR  DAME CINCO               (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.50    
SCR  SHESALITTLE EDGY               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
 
AQU-4   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED D G P 8 1 3 2   12 1¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 19% 4.20 1.20 W
CHALKY CAT 5 7 7 56   22 2¼ (barker edwar)RIVERA R 123 6.00 4.90  
SOUTH STREET 7 3 6 67   63(jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 18% 4.50 7.00 S
SCREW LOOSE 3 4 4 4   44(hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
GRAND AGAIN 6 2 1 1   32 5(shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 23.70  
GUN MAESTRO 1 5 2 32   54 6(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 37% 1.70 3.00  
SORPRESO 4 6 58 710   710¾ 713½ (delauro j)LUZZI J 120 30.00 57.00  
FLASHY ALEX 2 8 811¼ 814½   815¼ 820½ (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00 23.40  
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
 
AQU-5   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:132 1:263   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMEDEUS MUSIC 3 7 7 7 6 31 12 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 38% 1.60 1.60 W
HORSE BE WITH YOU 4 2 11 1½ 1½ 11 22 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 9.00  
PRINCE OF TRUTH 2 3 21 2½ 2½ 21 3(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 6.20  
OCTOBER BLISS 8 6 6 6 42 42 44 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 24.50  
AULA 6 1 31 41 74 65(maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 2.65  
UNION FLEET 1 5 5 52 5 53 66 (magana j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11% 8.40 6.70  
ROSE'S PEPINO 5 8 816¾ 815½ 810½ 87(inman robert )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 10.00 17% 4.80 13.50  
REFUAH 7 4 4 31 3½ 78(walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK               (rice linda)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
 
AQU-6   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:141 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 8 1 6 5 4¾ 2nk 1(duggan david)RIVERA R 120 5.00 8.40  
COMPLETE AGENDA 6 6 7 4 3.2 3½ 2(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 11.30  
GRANDPA'S KID 7 2 4 31 2nk 1nk 3(persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
PORTOS 2 7 53 7 6 56 4(potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 5.50  
H P MOON 4 3 1 11 1nk 45 5(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 57% 0.80 1.75  
MONTEBELLO 1 5 3 6 711¼ 710½ 614¾ (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 3.60  
WINNING CONNECTION 5 4 2 21 5 610 722¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 15% 5.90 4.80  
COLLECTION DAY 3 8 8 8 815¼ 817½ 828½ (gorham michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00 53.75  
SCR  FLASH KISS               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
 
AQU-7   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14 1:273   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROGENY 4 5 1nk 2nk 2nk 12 11 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 15% 5.60 2.65 W
NEXT ON STAGE 1 6 6 4 31 321 (de horac)RIVERA R 120 5.00 21% 3.80 7.50 P
HANDLE ON YOU 5 1 5 6 4 45 35 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 14.20  
GRACE REFORMED 6 3 7 7 56 56 4(catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 6.40  
TIZ RACE DAY 2 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 22 5(lawrence jam)SANCHEZ J 120 10.00 13% 6.80 12.00  
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 3 7 4 31 67 612 613½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40  
DIANE'S MERLOT 7 2 3½ 5 710½ 716½ 720 (pino v)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 7.70  
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG               (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:133 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT MAN 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 51% 0.90 1.10 W
CLEVER FOREVER 4 2 21 31 31 3.2 2nk (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 2.90  
SAFALOW'S MISSION 2 4 31 2½ 2½ 2nk 3.2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 14% 5.90 2.40 S
PROVISION 1 5 5 52 5 44(shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 23.10  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 5 3 6 6 43 55(friedman mit)RIVERA R 120 15.00 19.20  
DOC ADVANTAGE 3 6 4 4 6 66(barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  DR. KRAFT               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
SCR  MESSI THE MAGICIAN               (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 15.00    
SCR  THANK YOU JON               (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.