Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(5/4/6)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(2/5/3)-(1/9/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/9/8/4)-(3/5/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/4)-(1/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/4)-(1/9/8/4)-(1/9/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/8/4)-(3/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8/4)-(3/5/1/8)-(5/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/8)-(5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/8)-(5/6/8)-(3/1/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/8)-(5/6/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/8)-(5/6/9/8)-(5/6/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/8)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8)-(3/1/4/2)-(7/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/2)-(7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNGFRAU Feb11 Jan27 Dec28 Sep17 Jun02 (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 ★    
2  STEADY PROGRESS Jan28 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Jul19 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 5.00    
3  I LOVE CARA Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 12.00    
4  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Feb17 Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 Mar18 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 62% 0.60    
5  ARREBATO Feb17 Jan06 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
6  GOLDEN PURCHASE Feb11 Jan18 Dec15 Dec01 Nov09 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Nov14 Nov04 Sep21 Aug30 Jul30 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 8% 11.70    
 
AQU-2   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINFULL Jun25 May29 Apr28 Mar03 Feb05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 Sep28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
3  RUVIES IN TIME Feb03 Sep09 Aug12 Jul20 Jun16 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
4  SILKEN DOLLAR Jan26 Dec02 Nov11 Jun25 May26 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 21% 3.90    
5  LADY MINE Jan19 Dec29 Jun16 Apr29 Apr16 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
6  HARLAN'S BOND Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 Dec17 Dec03 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 6% 16.90    
 
AQU-3   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Dec14 Oct27 Oct13 Aug29 Jul28 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
SCR  DAME CINCO Feb02 Jan05 Dec31 Nov26 Oct27 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.50    
2  TAMING THE TIGRESS Feb19 Feb04 Jan11 Oct28 Jul27 (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
3  ICY REPLY Feb09 Jan05 Dec14 Nov18 Oct26 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  I'M BUZZY Feb09 Jan19 Jan11 Dec14 Nov25 (rey)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50    
5  IT TAKES HEART Jul27 Jun17 Apr23 Mar25 Jan28 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  SHESALITTLE EDGY Feb16 Dec14 Nov24 Feb24 Jan27 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
7  VIOLENT VIXEN Jan14 Dec16 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
 
AQU-4   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN MAESTRO Jan18 Dec30 Dec17 Nov17 Oct21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  FLASHY ALEX Feb03 Jan06 Dec17 Jan01 Dec04 (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00    
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE Jan14 Jan11 Dec28 Nov16 Nov02 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
4  SCREW LOOSE Jan11 Dec02 Nov10 Sep21 Aug17 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SORPRESO Feb10 Feb03 Jan14 Dec28 Dec08 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
6  CHALKY CAT Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Oct15 Aug20 (barker edw)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
7  GRAND AGAIN Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Jul30 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
8  SOUTH STREET Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
9  RED D G P Feb17 Nov24 Jul15 Jul03 Jun04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 19% 4.20    
 
AQU-5   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION FLEET Feb17 Jan28 Dec29 Jun24 Jun03 (magana j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
2  PRINCE OF TRUTH Dec30 Dec01 Oct28 Sep04 Aug17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
3  AMEDEUS MUSIC Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Oct20 Sep24 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  HORSE BE WITH YOU Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov20 Oct23 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00    
5  ROSE'S PEPINO Feb22 Feb07 Jan24 Jan01 Dec13 (inman rober)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 10.00 17% 4.80    
6  AULA Feb04 Jan11 Dec15 Dec02 Nov17 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK Feb16 Jan01 Dec01 May21 Apr27 (rice linda)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
8  REFUAH Feb04 Dec14 Oct28 Aug27 Aug09 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  OCTOBER BLISS Jan26 Jul01 May19 Apr22 Mar18 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
 
AQU-6   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTEBELLO Feb03 Dec03 Aug23 Oct30 Sep24 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00    
2  PORTOS Feb04 Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
3  COLLECTION DAY Feb10 Jun28 May19 Mar11 Feb11 (gorham micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
SCR  FLASH KISS Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 Oct14 Apr20 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
5  H P MOON Sep24 Aug13 May20 Mar18 Mar04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  WINNING CONNECTION Feb04 Jan01 Nov26 Oct21 Aug31 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
7  COMPLETE AGENDA Jan13 Jan01 Dec07 Oct21 Aug24 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
8  GRANDPA'S KID Feb11 Dec29 Dec15 Dec01 Oct25 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Feb04 Dec03 Nov04 Oct04 Sep03 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEXT ON STAGE Feb04 Jan07 Oct29 Oct07 Sep03 (de hor)RIVERA R 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  TIZ RACE DAY Feb05 Sep28 Aug02     (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
3  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Jan19 Nov24 Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  PROGENY Feb18 Jan01 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  HANDLE ON YOU Jan19 Dec28 Dec01 Oct29 Oct01 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
6  GRACE REFORMED Jan18 Oct23 Oct07 Sep09 Aug25 (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 Nov18 Oct01 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
8  DIANE'S MERLOT Nov27 Nov08 Oct16     (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVISION Feb10 Jan01 Dec07 Nov02 Oct25 (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
2  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jan13 Aug05 Jul03 Jun03 May05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan27 Jan06 Dec07     (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 15.00    
4  DOC ADVANTAGE Jan13 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 Sep12 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLEVER FOREVER Feb04 Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
6  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov16 Sep17 (friedman m)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
7  LIGHT MAN Jan27 Jul17       (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  THANK YOU JON Feb16 Dec29 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
SCR  DR. KRAFT Feb11 Dec16 Dec01 Aug15 Jun26 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.