Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-4   EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-6 $11.40 $2.40 27%
AQU-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $19.20 $13.20 220%
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $15.50 $9.50 158%
AQU-7   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $18.00 $12.00 200%
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $22.40 $16.40 273%
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-1 $41.25 $32.25 358%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :473 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SNAPPIN BUTTONS 2 6 32½ 1nk   16 16½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.25 W
3  TROUBLED LUCK 3 2 63¾ 42½   26 26½ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 10.00  
1  LA DECENTE 1 5 53½ 65½   58½ 311¾ (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 9.50  
6  WAR TERMINATRIX 6 4 21½ 31   48 414¾ (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00 5% 17.50 9.80  
4  MAMBAGIGI 4 1 42½ 55   610 515¼ (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.50 38% 1.60 1.80  
5  ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE 5 3 11½ 2nk   37½ 617 (martin carlos )LUZZI J 120 6.00 7.20  
 
AQU-2   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HONORARY DEGREE 3 4 42½ 42   31 11 (guerrero carl)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 2.10  
1A  STRIKING SPEED 4 5 31 3½   1½ 21 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 43% 1.40 1.35 P
3  SWIFT TAP 2 2 2½ 1nk   2½ 32 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5.20  
6  HEIR PORT 5 1 1½ 2nk   42½ 49 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 16% 5.30 2.95  
2  JOKER BOY 1 3 510½ 514   512½ 513½ (quick patri)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 20.00 7% 12.60 27.25  
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80    
SCR  SUNRISE JOURNEY               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
 
AQU-3   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UPSIDE POTENTIAL 3 2 1nk 2½   12 13¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 35% 1.90 2.05 W
7  VENGE 7 5 2nk 1½   22 23¾ (ribaudo robert )RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.50 2.90  
5  LE BAR 5 3 42¾ 46½   38 36 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 3.00 39% 1.60 3.70 S
2  BADGE OF WAR 2 4 74¾ 68   48 48 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 9.50  
6  CLASSIC KINGDOM 6 6 63¾ 35½   512 517½ (friedman m)RIVERA R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
4  KING OF FRANCE 4 7 53¼ 57½   612½ 618 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
1  GOLD 'N' SCARLET 1 1 32½ 718   722½ 736½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 4.80  
 
AQU-4   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NATURAL HARBOR 4 6 3½ 1nk   11 1hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 15% 5.50 1.90 W
6  BORLETTI (IRE) 6 4 44 43¼   31 2hd (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 ★ 2.70 P
2  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 1 7 78 53¾   21 3nk (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00 5.20  
3  CAPITAL CONQUEST 2 3 55 65¾   63½ 44 (lake scot)VARGAS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
1A  UNCLE GEORGE 7 2 1nk 2nk   41½ 54¾ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 62% 0.60 2.75  
1  KANT BEAT THE ROCK 5 5 65½ 76¾   76 67½ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.50 2.75  
4  RETURN THE RING 3 1 2nk 3.2   53 79¼ (barker edward )LUZZI J 123 5.00 8.30  
 
AQU-5   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:133 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DREAMAWAYSEVEN 4 1 3½ 42½ 31 2nk 12¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 2.30  
4  RUN DEVIL 3 3 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 22¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 32% 2.10 1.50 P
8  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 6 2 2½ 21 2½ 32 37½ (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 5% 19.00 51.25 S
7  HALO CITY 5 4 61¼ 63½ 55½ 46 48½ (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 3.30  
3  CUPIDS GIRL 2 6 41 32 44 59½ 516¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 15% 5.60 7.30  
2  MIA BEA STAR 1 5 51¼ 53 612 615 622¼ (lev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00 6.90  
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  SISTER LINDA               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   03/01/2024 6270ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:144 1:402   2:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RUNGIUS 6 1 11 11 11 11½ 12 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
3  MACALLAN 2 4 42 42½ 32 44½ 22 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 28% 2.60 0.90 P
5  SYSTEMIC CHANGE 5 2 52½ 32½ 42½ 21½ 32½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 3.20  
1A  BEYOND BEST 4 3 21 21 21 55 46 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 123 1.60 30% 2.30 15.30  
4  CENTAVO 3 6 63½ 64 62¾ 32½ 58 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 12.00  
2  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 1 5 31½ 53 52½ 68 618 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 4.30  
SCR  REDDINGTON               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60    
 
AQU-7   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEACHWALKER 6 2 54¼ 53   2½ 13¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 22% 3.60 8.00 W
5  LIFE CHANGER 3 5 33½ 32   52 23¼ (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 42% 1.40 0.95 P
6  JEMOGRAPHY 4 1 2nk 1½   1½ 33¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 4.40  
4  THUNDERIAN 2 4 44 42   42 45½ (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 123 20.00 18.70  
3  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 1 3 1nk 2½   31 59½ (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5.60  
7  LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 6 65¼ 67½   67½ 69¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12% 7.70 4.40  
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
SCR  JOKING WAY               (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
 
AQU-8   03/01/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:123 1:384   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KUCHAR 4 4 42 42 31½ 1½ 11½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 9.60  
1  LEADING CONTENDER 1 3 52½ 52¼ 41½ 41 21½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 31% 2.20 1.00 P
5  ROCCO STRONG 5 1 31 31 2½ 31 32¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 13% 6.50 5.50 S
2  NO BURN 2 2 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 42¾ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 29% 2.40 3.75  
6  I AM THE LAW 6 6 63 63¾ 65½ 54 54¾ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 20.80  
8  ALTERNATE REALITY 8 7 75½ 77¾ 78½ 66 67¼ (cha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00 30.00  
7  DEE JAY 7 8 2½ 21 52 76½ 722½ (lawrence ja)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
3  MYSTIC NIGHT 3 5 87 88¾ 812 836½ 8100 (atras rob)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 7.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.