The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.50 $4.50 -1.50
AQU-2   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 -1.90
AQU-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
AQU-5   Win (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.60 -6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 13.20
AQU-7   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 12.00
AQU-8   Win (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $21.20 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :473 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAPPIN BUTTONS 2 6 3 1nk   16 1(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.25 W
TROUBLED LUCK 3 2 6 4   26 2(delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 10.00  
LA DECENTE 1 5 5 6   5311¾ (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 9.50  
WAR TERMINATRIX 6 4 2 31   48 414¾ (contessa c)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00 5% 17.50 9.80  
MAMBAGIGI 4 1 4 55   610 515¼ (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.50 38% 1.60 1.80  
ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE 5 3 1 2nk   3617 (martin f)LUZZI J 120 6.00 7.20  
 
AQU-2   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORARY DEGREE 3 4 4 42   31 11 (guerrero carlos)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 2.10  
1A  STRIKING SPEED 4 5 31 3½   1½ 21 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 43% 1.40 1.35 P
SWIFT TAP 2 2 2½ 1nk   2½ 32 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5.20  
HEIR PORT 5 1 1½ 2nk   449 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 16% 5.30 2.95  
JOKER BOY 1 3 510½ 514   512½ 513½ (quick patrick)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 20.00 7% 12.60 27.25  
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80    
SCR  SUNRISE JOURNEY               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
 
AQU-3   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSIDE POTENTIAL 3 2 1nk 2½   12 1(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 35% 1.90 2.05 W
VENGE 7 5 2nk 1½   22 2(ribaudo j)RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.50 2.90  
LE BAR 5 3 4 4   38 36 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 3.00 39% 1.60 3.70 S
BADGE OF WAR 2 4 7 68   48 48 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 9.50  
CLASSIC KINGDOM 6 6 6 3   512 517½ (friedman mit)RIVERA R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
KING OF FRANCE 4 7 5 5   612½ 618 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
GOLD 'N' SCARLET 1 1 3 718   722½ 736½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 4.80  
 
AQU-4   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURAL HARBOR 4 6 3½ 1nk   11 1hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 15% 5.50 1.90 W
BORLETTI (IRE) 6 4 44 4   31 2hd (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 2.70 P
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 1 7 78 5   21 3nk (persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00 5.20  
CAPITAL CONQUEST 2 3 55 6   644 (lake scott )VARGAS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
1A  UNCLE GEORGE 7 2 1nk 2nk   45(jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 62% 0.60 2.75  
KANT BEAT THE ROCK 5 5 6 7   76 6(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.50 2.75  
RETURN THE RING 3 1 2nk 3.2   53 7(barker r)LUZZI J 123 5.00 8.30  
 
AQU-5   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:133 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 4 1 3½ 4 31 2nk 1(englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 2.30  
RUN DEVIL 3 3 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 2(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 32% 2.10 1.50 P
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 6 2 2½ 21 2½ 32 3(figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 5% 19.00 51.25 S
HALO CITY 5 4 6 6 5 46 4(walder r)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 3.30  
CUPIDS GIRL 2 6 41 32 44 5516¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 15% 5.60 7.30  
MIA BEA STAR 1 5 5 53 612 615 622¼ (levin)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00 6.90  
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  SISTER LINDA               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   03/01/2024 6270ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:144 1:402   2:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNGIUS 6 1 11 11 11 112 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
MACALLAN 2 4 42 4 32 422 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 28% 2.60 0.90 P
SYSTEMIC CHANGE 5 2 5 3 4 23(brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 3.20  
1A  BEYOND BEST 4 3 21 21 21 55 46 (padilla-preciado)ADORNO ABNER 123 1.60 30% 2.30 15.30  
CENTAVO 3 6 6 64 6 358 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 12.00  
MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 1 5 3 53 5 68 618 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 4.30  
SCR  REDDINGTON               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60    
 
AQU-7   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEACHWALKER 6 2 5 53   2½ 1(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 22% 3.60 8.00 W
LIFE CHANGER 3 5 3 32   52 2(kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 42% 1.40 0.95 P
JEMOGRAPHY 4 1 2nk 1½   1½ 3(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 4.40  
THUNDERIAN 2 4 44 42   42 4(sells rache)CAMACHO JR 123 20.00 18.70  
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 1 3 1nk 2½   31 5(barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5.60  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 6 6 6   66(potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12% 7.70 4.40  
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
SCR  JOKING WAY               (romero jesus)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
 
AQU-8   03/01/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:123 1:384   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUCHAR 4 4 42 42 3 1½ 1(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 9.60  
LEADING CONTENDER 1 3 5 5 4 41 2(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 31% 2.20 1.00 P
ROCCO STRONG 5 1 31 31 2½ 31 3(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 13% 6.50 5.50 S
NO BURN 2 2 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 4(barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 29% 2.40 3.75  
I AM THE LAW 6 6 63 6 6 54 5(terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 20.80  
ALTERNATE REALITY 8 7 7 7 7 66 6(chatt)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00 30.00  
DEE JAY 7 8 2½ 21 52 7722½ (lawrence jame)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
MYSTIC NIGHT 3 5 87 8 812 836½ 8100 (atras rob)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 7.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.