Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/6/2)-(5/3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/3/4/6)-(1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/6)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/6)-(1/5/3)-(4/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/3/8)-(1/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8)-(1/3/6)-(5/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(5/1/7)-(1/2/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA DECENTE Feb10         (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
2  SNAPPIN BUTTONS         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  TROUBLED LUCK Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 Dec01 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
4  MAMBAGIGI Feb03         (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE Feb10         (martin carlos )LUZZI J 120 6.00    
6  WAR TERMINATRIX         (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00 5% 17.50    
 
AQU-2   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STRIKING SPEED Jan06 Dec17 Nov11 Nov03 Oct22 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 43% 1.40    
SCR  SUNRISE JOURNEY Feb19 Feb04 Nov10 Aug04 Jul04 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
2  JOKER BOY Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 Oct12 Sep28 (quick patri)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 20.00 7% 12.60    
3  SWIFT TAP Feb09 Jan18 May18 Apr14 Mar18 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
4  HONORARY DEGREE Jan31 Nov08 Oct18 Oct02 Jul05 (guerrero carl)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE Feb04 Dec29 Dec07 Nov03 Oct14 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80    
6  HEIR PORT Jan06 Nov26 Jul14 Jun03 May13 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
AQU-3   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD 'N' SCARLET Dec09         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
2  BADGE OF WAR Nov14 Oct03       (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
3  UPSIDE POTENTIAL         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  KING OF FRANCE         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LE BAR Jan07 Jun18 Apr08     (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  CLASSIC KINGDOM         (friedman m)RIVERA R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  VENGE Feb09 Jan06 Dec08 Nov24 Oct13 (ribaudo robert )RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.50    
 
AQU-4   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Feb02 Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 Dec02 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.50    
1A  UNCLE GEORGE Feb10 Feb04 Jan01 Dec09 Jan21 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
2  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 Dec09 Nov24 (per)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00    
3  CAPITAL CONQUEST Feb08 Jan30 Jan01 Nov15 Oct17 (lake scot)VARGAS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RETURN THE RING Feb04 Jan04 Dec16 Nov24 Aug13 (barker edward )LUZZI J 123 5.00    
5  NATURAL HARBOR Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 Nov03 Sep25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
6  BORLETTI (IRE) Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 Sep04 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOOD PENNY Feb24 Nov25 Oct15 Jul20 Apr07 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
2  MIA BEA STAR Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 (lev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00    
3  CUPIDS GIRL Feb23 Jan11 Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
4  RUN DEVIL Feb09 Jan14 Jan04 Nov30 Nov09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SISTER LINDA Feb02 Jan14 Dec07 Nov30 Oct15 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
6  DREAMAWAYSEVEN Jan14 Dec16 Nov12 Sep24 Jul04 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50    
7  HALO CITY Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 Nov25 Nov02 (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
8  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Feb02 Jan14 Jan07 Nov30 Nov09 (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   03/01/2024 6270ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEYOND BEST Jan09 Dec26 Dec04 Nov21 Oct24 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
SCR  REDDINGTON Jan27 Jan01 Nov23 Jun24 Apr29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60    
2  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Oct19 Aug30 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
3  MACALLAN Jan27 Oct21 Feb11 Jun09 Apr09 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  CENTAVO Feb11 Jan27 Jan12 Jan01 Dec15 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
5  SYSTEMIC CHANGE Dec10 Oct26 Jun25 May28 Apr23 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
6  RUNGIUS Feb02 Jan12 Nov12 Oct12 Sep14 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEACHWALKER Feb19 Feb04 Jan06 Dec28 Dec15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE Jan12 Dec10 May04 Apr01 Feb25 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY Feb16 Feb03 Dec16 Nov19 Nov04 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
3  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jan26 Nov24 Oct28 Sep04 Aug13 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
4  THUNDERIAN Feb10 Jan12 Dec06 Nov10 Oct28 (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 123 20.00    
5  LIFE CHANGER Feb19 Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 Jun10 (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  JEMOGRAPHY Feb16 Jan26 Dec03 Nov11 Oct14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00    
7  LAFITTE'S FLEET Feb03 Dec29 Nov04 Oct07 Sep02 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  JOKING WAY Feb02 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Aug25 (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
 
AQU-8   03/01/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEADING CONTENDER Feb03 Dec30 Nov30 Oct22 Sep03 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
2  NO BURN Jan26 Dec09 Dec02 May14 Mar25 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  MYSTIC NIGHT Jan12 Oct13 Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 (atras rob)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
4  KUCHAR Feb03 Aug28 Jul21 May19 Apr06 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
5  ROCCO STRONG Jan27 Dec17 Dec02 Oct21 Sep21 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
6  I AM THE LAW Jan07 Dec10 Nov02 Jan06 Dec02 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
7  DEE JAY Jan28 Dec06 Nov12 Sep23 Aug18 (lawrence ja)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALTERNATE REALITY Feb25 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov14 (cha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.