The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - February 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 3.40
PEN-2   Win (8/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
PEN-3   Win (4/11/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
PEN-4   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
PEN-5   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
PEN-6   Win (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
PEN-7   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $20.40 -6.00
PEN-8   Win (1/4/8/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -5.20

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/08/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:13 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHIONISTA 5 2 2 2 1½ 16 113¾ (allen ferris)MENA E 122 3.00 9% 10.20 4.70 W
ELEVENMONTHSLATER 1 1 1 1 2½ 26 213¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 3.50  
BRIEF 2 3 3 32 33 38 317¾ (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.50 S
LET'S GO MO 3 6 6 6 612 413½ 422 (miller a)CORA D 122 15.00 31.00  
MAKE A SPLASH 4 5 4 5 59 514 525 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 35% 1.80 2.50  
MOON POOL 6 4 5 4 49 615 630¾ (beattie sandee )ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
SCR  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS               (sanchez-piner)RAMOS C 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COULD BE A COUGAR 8 3 31 2nk   1nk 1½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 30% 2.40 1.40 W
ASHLEE'S RING 6 2 2½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (lucas bonn)DAVIS A 120 10.00 31.20  
CHARM ALARM 2 7 7 66   63(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 2.10  
BUSTIN DOWN DOORS 3 1 1½ 3   33 4(o'callahan carl)CORA D 120 10.00 13.00  
GIRVINIZED 4 4 52 5   45(allen ferris)MENA E 122 4.50 21% 3.90 4.50  
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 5 8 8 7   75 6(chircop ste)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 25.20  
MUSKOKA SUMMER 7 5 42 43   57(chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 26% 2.80 12.20  
CUT FROM CLASS 1 6 6 8   88 810¾ (keil d)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 10.90  
SCR  OUR UPTOWN GIRL               (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:212 :442 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  KAZ MUNNINGS 8 5 5 46   32 1(synnefias d)VARGAS L 120 6.00 24% 3.20 4.30 W
10  FREEDOM'S START 7 7 6 57   43 2(o'callahan carl)CORA D 120 12.00 3.30  
GIUSEPPE 3 1 2nk 2   23(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 27% 2.70 5.00 S
SEA TO AIR 4 2 1nk 1   146 (sullivan elliot)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 3.30  
MILLBANK MAN 5 6 7 711½   68 5(kravets bruce )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
LARZ 2 4 4 35   54 6(o'callahan)DAVIS A 120 15.00 11.50  
BORN HAPPY 1 3 3 6   710 713¾ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 55.20  
MONEY MAKING KAZ 6 8 813¾ 816½   814 815¼ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 11% 8.50 7.50  
SCR  BODE O               (sanchez-)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 8.00    
SCR  HE IS BAD               (salvaggio v)CORA D 124 6.00    
SCR  MAX FOSTER               (englehart jeffrey)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50    
 
PEN-4   02/08/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE DAR 6 4 1½ 1   14 13 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 68% 0.50 1.00 W
MAJOR THOMAS 2 3 31 4   24 23 (houghton thomas)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 7.10  
LILTONYTWOPHONES 4 8 6 66   33(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 13.70  
YO NESSROUNDONKERN 8 1 41 33   44(ramirez silvino)OCASIO M 120 30.00 30.40  
CAPITAL CONQUEST 5 7 7 88   78 5(lake scott )VARGAS A 120 4.50 5% 18.30 2.10  
ZAMBONI WARRIOR 3 5 5 56   68 6(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 16.80  
DIXIE CANNONBALL 7 6 8 77   8710½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
ONE TRUTH 1 2 2½ 2   57 811 (dimitriou harry)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 13.80  
SCR  DANCE CODE               (sanchez-)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 6.00    
 
PEN-5   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK FORTY 1 5 3 3   1nk 12 (salvaggio michae)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 58% 0.70 1.30 W
SISTER COUSIN 3 1 1 1   2nk 22 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.00 11.70  
PHABULOUS PHOEBE 7 7 7 6   333 (kravets bruce )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 14% 5.90 2.90 S
LADY AHAVA 6 6 6 54   44 4(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
VELVET VIXEN 4 2 2 42   5512½ (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ R 118 10.00 13.70  
NEISSA 5 4 4 2   6613¾ (padilla o)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 2.50 2.60  
SOPHIA'S ROSE 2 3 5 7   7714 (kravets br)DAVIS A 118 8.00 18.80  
 
PEN-6   02/08/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:38   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER ROYAL MOON 6 1 12 1 1 14 1(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 22% 3.60 1.90 W
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 4 2 22 2 2 24 2(bobadilla f)CORA D 124 4.00 6.00  
THE GREAT CASBY 3 6 57 5 4 310½ 311 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 19.70  
TEXTPECTATION 2 7 711 612½ 612½ 513 416¾ (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
DEVOTED KITTEN 5 4 6 49 3 411½ 518¼ (moreno-barban le)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 17.00  
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 1 3 3 34 5 618 630¼ (kravets bruce )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50 22% 3.60 3.30  
HELLMAN 7 5 4 713 732½ 7100 7100 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 23% 3.30 2.20  
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER               (breed rona)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS BELL 2 5 4 3.2   1½ 12 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 9.20  
GET A GRIP MARILYN 3 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 22 (morzan e)CORA D 120 8.00 5.30  
DOWSER 4 2 3½ 2nk   335 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 52% 0.90 0.50 S
UNFETTERED DIVA 5 4 55 5   4410¾ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 3.70  
LONDON LADY 1 3 2nk 4   5520¾ (kravets bruce )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00 8% 11.60 9.50  
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE               (breed rona)DAVIS A 120 3.00    
SCR  THROWBACK               (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-8   02/08/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:23 :471 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHT PATH 4 3 3 2½   1nk 15 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 12% 7.70 1.40 W
WARRIOR AT BAT 6 2 1nk 1½   2nk 25 (smith r)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 9% 10.10 12.60 P
COXZY 7 5 42 31   34 311¾ (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 8.10  
IN THE AIR 2 8 64 66   48 413½ (shuman mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00 4.30  
LUCCA'S LEGACY 1 7 2nk 42   5514 (padilla hugo)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 3.50 40% 1.50 2.60  
10  BIG SMILE 8 1 53 56   6618½ (kravets br)DAVIS A 122 15.00 5% 18.30 15.00  
PUTT 5 4 8 8   813¼ 718¾ (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 117 30.00 31.50  
RIGATONI ALA VODKA 3 6 75 7   712¾ 822¾ (lucas bonnie)ROJAS MARTINA 122 12.00 15.70  
SCR  SUPER ROCKY               (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  WORK FROM HOME               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.