Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(8/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(8/7/4/5)-(4/11/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/5)-(4/11/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/5)-(4/11/7/8)-(6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/11/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/7/8)-(4/11/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/11/7/8)-(4/11/7/8)-(4/11/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/11/7/8)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/11/7/8)-(6/5/7)-(1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(1/7/6)-(7/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(7/6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(1/4/8/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(1/4/8/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-8   WIN (1/4/8/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/6/10)-(1/4/8/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/6/10)-(1/4/8/6/10)-(1/4/8/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Jan11 Dec01 Nov08 Oct03 Aug29 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
2  BRIEF Dec27 Dec09 Nov24 Nov10 Oct14 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  LET'S GO MO Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct18 (miller a)CORA D 122 15.00    
4  MAKE A SPLASH Jan11 Dec27 Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  FASHIONISTA Jan13 Dec22 Oct27 Oct05 Sep08 (allen ferris)MENA E 122 3.00 9% 10.20    
6  MOON POOL Jan25 Dec09 Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 (beattie sande)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Jan09 Dec20 Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 (sanchez-pin)RAMOS C 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUT FROM CLASS Jan26 Dec22 Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 (keil d)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
2  CHARM ALARM Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 Nov22 Nov08 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
3  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Sep21 Sep02 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
4  GIRVINIZED Jan24 Dec28 Nov16 Oct25 Oct09 (allen ferris)MENA E 122 4.50 21% 3.90    
5  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Jan25 Dec16 Nov04 Oct03 Sep19 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ASHLEE'S RING Jan25 Jan06 Dec22 Nov17 Oct28 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
7  MUSKOKA SUMMER Jan26 Dec14 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  COULD BE A COUGAR Jan26 Dec20 Nov29 Aug25 Jun22 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  OUR UPTOWN GIRL Jan08 Nov14 Oct18 Sep23 Aug03 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN HAPPY Jan10 Dec03 Nov15 Oct23 Sep13 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
SCR  HE IS BAD Jan24 Dec22 Dec08 Nov08 Sep20 (salvaggio v)CORA D 124 6.00    
3  LARZ Jan10 Dec22 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 (o'callahan c)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
4  GIUSEPPE Jan26 Nov16 Oct05 Aug26 Aug03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  SEA TO AIR Jan12 Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 Oct13 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00    
SCR  BODE O Dec18 Nov21 Jul19 May30 May09 (sanche)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 8.00    
7  MILLBANK MAN Jan26 Jan10 Dec08 Nov15 Oct26 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  MONEY MAKING KAZ Dec22 Nov29 Nov09 Oct25 Aug23 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  MAX FOSTER Jan25 Jan02 Dec10 Nov22 Oct30 (englehart jeffr)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50    
10  FREEDOM'S START Jan31 Jan12 Dec22 Dec06 Nov16 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 120 12.00    
11  KAZ MUNNINGS Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-4   02/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TRUTH Nov09 Oct20 Oct01 Sep09 Jul28 (dimitriou har)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 ★    
2  MAJOR THOMAS May26 May10 Dec07 Oct21 Feb01 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50    
3  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Jan11 Oct26 Oct09 Sep15   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
4  LILTONYTWOPHONES Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 May26 May04 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
5  CAPITAL CONQUEST Jan30 Jan01 Nov15 Oct17 Sep15 (lake scot)VARGAS A 120 4.50 5% 18.30    
6  UNCLE DAR Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Oct24 Sep20 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 68% 0.50    
7  DIXIE CANNONBALL Jan12 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Jul20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DANCE CODE Jan01 Oct24 Sep21 Jun10 May08 (sanche)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 6.00    
9  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jan11 Jan01 Dec15 Nov01 Oct24 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 120 30.00    
 
PEN-5   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK FORTY Jan19 Dec13 Nov22 Oct25   (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 58% 0.70    
2  SOPHIA'S ROSE Dec20 Nov29 Oct31 Oct03 Sep04 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 8.00    
3  SISTER COUSIN Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Oct28 Sep09 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.00    
4  VELVET VIXEN Dec17 Sep16 Jul29 Jul18   (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 118 10.00    
5  NEISSA Jan10 Dec20 Nov27 Oct25 Aug27 (padilla hugo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 2.50 ★    
6  LADY AHAVA Jan24 Nov22 Oct25 Sep14   (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PHABULOUS PHOEBE Jan24 Nov22 Nov09 Oct25   (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
 
PEN-6   02/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Jan26 Jan18 Dec29 Nov10 Oct28 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  TEXTPECTATION Jan26 Jan10 Dec13 Dec05 Nov15 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE GREAT CASBY Jan18 Dec29 Jun16 May26 Mar29 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
4  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 Oct25 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 4.00    
5  DEVOTED KITTEN Jan24 Dec29 Dec07 Nov02 Sep21 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
6  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Jan18 Dec21 Nov10 Sep10 Aug25 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  HELLMAN Jan18 Dec21 Nov24 Nov09 Oct19 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER Jan28 Jan05 Dec17 Nov20 Nov08 (breed ro)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THROWBACK Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
2  LONDON LADY Jan25 Dec15 Dec01 Nov16 Nov01 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 8% 11.60    
3  MRS BELL Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE Jan11 Dec29 Dec15 Nov13 Oct23 (breed ro)DAVIS A 120 3.00    
5  GET A GRIP MARILYN Jan29 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Oct18 (morzan e)CORA D 120 8.00    
6  DOWSER Jan25 Oct27 Sep22 Jan12 Dec28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
7  UNFETTERED DIVA Jan25 Dec29 Dec01 Nov01 Jul21 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PEN-8   02/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCCA'S LEGACY Jan10 Dec28 Nov28 Jul23 Jun25 (padilla hu)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  IN THE AIR Dec28 Dec06 Nov11 Oct10   (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00    
3  RIGATONI ALA VODKA Jan18 Oct18       (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
4  BRIGHT PATH Jan18 Dec27 Nov29     (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 12% 7.70    
5  PUTT Jan19         (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 30.00    
6  WARRIOR AT BAT Dec20 Nov15 Nov03 Sep06   (smith thomas )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
7  COXZY Jan19 Dec28       (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  WORK FROM HOME Jan19 Dec20 Nov29 Nov03 Sep13 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SUPER ROCKY Jan18 Nov10 Jul27     (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
10  BIG SMILE Jan19 Dec20 Nov29 Nov03   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 5% 18.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.