Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - January 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   EXA (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $14.60 $2.60 22%
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $13.00 $5.00 63%
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $16.80 $4.80 40%
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-4 $22.90 $6.90 43%
PEN-7   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $13.20 $7.20 120%
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $33.30 $21.30 178%
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(3/2/5/4)-(1/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-4-3 $42.35 $18.35 76%
PEN-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $17.60 $11.60 193%
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-6 $75.90 $66.90 743%
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $32.70 $23.70 263%
    PK3 (3/2/5/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-3-7 $249.55 $231.55 1286%
    PK4 (1/5/7/3)-(3/2/5/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/7) 144 $0.50 $72.00  5-4-3-7 $592.95 $520.95 724%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIVERSAL DESIGN 2 4 43 4   3½ 1 (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 17% 4.90 1.90 W
BUCKFAST ABBEY 3 1 11 2nk   1nk 2 (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 17% 4.90 4.60 P
MARTHA'S HEART 1 3 21 1nk   2nk 34 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 13.90  
DREAMERY 4 8 6 67   5 4 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 4.90  
THE LAST JET 8 6 55 5   4 5 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90 4.60  
GOLDEN BOSS LADY 7 2 3 3   65 614 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 115 6.00 17.70  
SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER 5 7 79 711½   710 714 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 4.20  
HASHTAGJILLPOWER 6 5 8 811¾   812 818 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 10.00 17% 4.90 32.50  
 
PEN-2   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELY PROSPECT 2 3 21 2 1nk 12 1 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00 57% 0.80 0.30 W
ASHAAB 6 5 6 43 32 22 2 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 9.90 8.50 P
PRACTICAL SENSE 5 8 8 7 56 49 312 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50 11.80  
SUSTENANCE 1 1 11 1 2nk 34 412 (sanchez-s)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 4.80  
RETWEET 3 2 3 33 4 510½ 516¾ (perez ruperto )MOYA F 120 6.00 22.70  
FREEDOM'S START 8 4 4 8 710 715½ 620 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 120 20.00 55.00  
GALILEE 4 6 7 67 6 614½ 724½ (moreno tito)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.80  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 7 7 5 5 811 823 833¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 7% 13.40 21.00  
SCR  BROOKLYN GUY               (alvarado )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-3   01/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LUISA 8 2 2½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 113 15.00 3.00  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 2 3 1½ 2½   2½ 2¾ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 9.40  
LIL H 6 1 3 5   53 3 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00 62.50  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 5 6 5 4   42 4 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
SUPER DUPER FLY 1 9 8 8   75 5 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 3.50 30% 2.30 1.70  
PEACH BE WITH Q 7 5 4 32   3 64 (brown how)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 8% 11.20 6.40  
MASKED HEROINE 3 8 7 7   6 74 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 8.10  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 4 7 910¼ 9   99 8 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 40% 1.50 9.40  
10  SCOREBOARD LILY 9 4 6 65   87 9 (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00 13.80  
SCR  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT               (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
SCR  NADIABIZNIZ               (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
SCR  THROWBACK               (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50    
 
PEN-4   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOSE ENDS 7 4 4 46 34 3 1 (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 5.50  
DR. STEVE 2 1 11 11 1½ 11 2 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 57% 0.80 1.60 P
JAYJAYDEE 8 3 21 21 2½ 21 3 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 21% 3.70 2.40 S
TRENDING UP 3 6 5 57 56 4 48 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
GET SET 6 2 33 35 4 56 59 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 6.20  
LINGFIELD PARK 4 7 78 612 612 610 610¾ (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00 24.20  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 5 5 67 712 712 712 713¾ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 39.00  
P JS SILVER DUKE 1 8 88 814 815 818 821¼ (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 20.00 27.90  
 
PEN-5   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:14 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIXTER 5 3 2 2½ 1 2nk 1hd (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.70 W
NIEUWENDYK 2 1 43 4 3 1nk 2hd (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 2.50  
I'M NOT A BABY 1 7 6 56 43 42 33 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 39% 1.60 8.10 S
BUSHWICK BRUISER 7 5 7 79 6 5 4 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 5.00 10% 8.70 7.70  
MOON SIGN 4 6 33 3 2 3 57 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 112 4.50 5.40  
LUDO 6 4 5 6 7 6 617½ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 9.60  
O T C WIZ 3 2 1 1½ 5 711½ 721½ (demario a)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
 
PEN-6   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW HIRE 4 5 5 5   32 1 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 2 8 811 811   75 2 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 19% 4.40 1.40 P
ORGANIZED CHAOS 1 1 1 1   12 33 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 12.00 21.60  
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 6 6 67 68   5 4 (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 6.00  
DOCTOR ABBIE 3 7 79 710½   6 5 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 41% 1.40 4.90  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 7 2 2 3   4 6 (beattie m)CORA D 122 6.00 8.50  
SEEKING THE DREAM 5 3 33 2   22 77 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 16% 5.30 7.20  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 8 4 4 43   811 832 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 15.70  
 
PEN-7   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIN THE PALACE 3 4 65 5   21 11 (stites w)CORA D 122 10.00 6% 15.20 3.70 W
SUNSHINE HARRY 1 6 11 1½   11 21 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 55% 0.80 1.10 P
BACK EAST 6 2 5 2½   3 3 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 6.00 9.00  
MIGHTY MINION 2 5 21 3½   43 45 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.00 3.30  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 5 1 32 4   5 511¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 6.30  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 4 3 42 6   68 616¾ (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 14.30  
SCR  CHUCKA MOON               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
 
PEN-8   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:142 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIA 7 5 5 59 3 21 1 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 4.00 6% 16.90 7.80 W
CRICKET WEST 6 2 21 2½ 1nk 11 2 (morzan javier )TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 7% 12.60 14.20 P
MIKEY'S JEWEL 1 6 79 710½ 5 5 3 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 8.00 10.80  
KATY THE CAT 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 3 4 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 2.50  
LONDONDERRY 8 8 4 3 47 45 5 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 117 3.50 14.90  
RIDGELYSREDHOT 3 4 34 4 611½ 610 6 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 30.00 43.20  
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 2 3 6 610½ 711¾ 711 710¼ (zalalas )DAVIS A 124 15.00 21.90  
CAR LADY 5 7 810½ 812½ 813¾ 812 811½ (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 61% 0.60 0.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.