The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - January 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
PEN-2   Win (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40
PEN-3   Win (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $8.00 -8.00
PEN-4   Win (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $13.00 -6.00
PEN-5   Win (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
PEN-6   Win (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 5.00
PEN-7   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
PEN-8   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $17.60 $17.60 11.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIVERSAL DESIGN 2 4 43 4   3½ 1(kravets bruce )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 17% 4.90 1.90 W
BUCKFAST ABBEY 3 1 11 2nk   1nk 2(agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 17% 4.90 4.60 P
MARTHA'S HEART 1 3 21 1nk   2nk 34 (mancilla carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 13.90  
DREAMERY 4 8 6 67   54(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 4.90  
THE LAST JET 8 6 55 5   45(kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90 4.60  
GOLDEN BOSS LADY 7 2 3 3   65 614 (penaloza miguel)MARTIN MATTIE 115 6.00 17.70  
SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER 5 7 79 711½   710 714 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 4.20  
HASHTAGJILLPOWER 6 5 8 811¾   812 818 (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 117 10.00 17% 4.90 32.50  
 
PEN-2   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELY PROSPECT 2 3 21 2 1nk 12 1(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00 57% 0.80 0.30 W
ASHAAB 6 5 6 43 32 22 2(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 9.90 8.50 P
PRACTICAL SENSE 5 8 8 7 56 49 312 (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50 11.80  
SUSTENANCE 1 1 11 1 2nk 34 412 (sanchez-sal)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 4.80  
RETWEET 3 2 3 33 4 510½ 516¾ (perez a)MOYA F 120 6.00 22.70  
FREEDOM'S START 8 4 4 8 710 715½ 620 (o'callahan ca)INIRIO J 120 20.00 55.00  
GALILEE 4 6 7 67 6 614½ 724½ (moreno tito)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.80  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 7 7 5 5 811 823 833¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 7% 13.40 21.00  
SCR  BROOKLYN GUY               (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-3   01/31/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LUISA 8 2 2½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (penaloza miguel)MARTIN MATTIE 113 15.00 3.00  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 2 3 1½ 2½   2½ 2¾ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 9.40  
LIL H 6 1 3 5   53 3(cifarell)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00 62.50  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 5 6 5 4   42 4(miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
SUPER DUPER FLY 1 9 8 8   75 5(salvaggio v)CORA D 120 3.50 30% 2.30 1.70  
PEACH BE WITH Q 7 5 4 32   364 (brown howar)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 8% 11.20 6.40  
MASKED HEROINE 3 8 7 7   674 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 8.10  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 4 7 910¼ 9   99 8(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 40% 1.50 9.40  
10  SCOREBOARD LILY 9 4 6 65   87 9(kravets bruce )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00 13.80  
SCR  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT               (crook-demasi kat)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
SCR  NADIABIZNIZ               (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
SCR  THROWBACK               (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50    
 
PEN-4   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOSE ENDS 7 4 4 46 34 31(lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 5.50  
DR. STEVE 2 1 11 11 1½ 11 2(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 57% 0.80 1.60 P
JAYJAYDEE 8 3 21 21 2½ 21 3(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 21% 3.70 2.40 S
TRENDING UP 3 6 5 57 56 448 (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
GET SET 6 2 33 35 4 56 59 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 6.20  
LINGFIELD PARK 4 7 78 612 612 610 610¾ (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00 24.20  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 5 5 67 712 712 712 713¾ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 39.00  
P JS SILVER DUKE 1 8 88 814 815 818 821¼ (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 120 20.00 27.90  
 
PEN-5   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:14 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIXTER 5 3 2 2½ 1 2nk 1hd (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.70 W
NIEUWENDYK 2 1 43 4 3 1nk 2hd (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 2.50  
I'M NOT A BABY 1 7 6 56 43 42 33 (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 39% 1.60 8.10 S
BUSHWICK BRUISER 7 5 7 79 6 54(deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 5.00 10% 8.70 7.70  
MOON SIGN 4 6 33 3 2 357 (pradenas s)RODRIGUEZ L 112 4.50 5.40  
LUDO 6 4 5 6 7 6617½ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 9.60  
O T C WIZ 3 2 1 1½ 5 711½ 721½ (demario a)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
 
PEN-6   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW HIRE 4 5 5 5   32 1(mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 2 8 811 811   75 2(ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 19% 4.40 1.40 P
ORGANIZED CHAOS 1 1 1 1   12 33 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 12.00 21.60  
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 6 6 67 68   54(beattie m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 6.00  
DOCTOR ABBIE 3 7 79 710½   65(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 41% 1.40 4.90  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 7 2 2 3   46(beattie m)CORA D 122 6.00 8.50  
SEEKING THE DREAM 5 3 33 2   22 77 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 16% 5.30 7.20  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 8 4 4 43   811 832 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 15.70  
 
PEN-7   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIN THE PALACE 3 4 65 5   21 11 (stites w)CORA D 122 10.00 6% 15.20 3.70 W
SUNSHINE HARRY 1 6 11 1½   11 21 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 55% 0.80 1.10 P
BACK EAST 6 2 5 2½   33(kreiser timot)INIRIO J 124 6.00 9.00  
MIGHTY MINION 2 5 21 3½   43 45 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.00 3.30  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 5 1 32 4   5511¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 6.30  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 4 3 42 6   68 616¾ (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 14.30  
SCR  CHUCKA MOON               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
 
PEN-8   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:142 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIA 7 5 5 59 3 21 1(zalalas michael)CORA D 124 4.00 6% 16.90 7.80 W
CRICKET WEST 6 2 21 2½ 1nk 11 2(morzan e)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 7% 12.60 14.20 P
MIKEY'S JEWEL 1 6 79 710½ 5 53(salinas jose)FLORES E 124 8.00 10.80  
KATY THE CAT 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 34(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 2.50  
LONDONDERRY 8 8 4 3 47 45 5(penaloza miguel)MARTIN MATTIE 117 3.50 14.90  
RIDGELYSREDHOT 3 4 34 4 611½ 610 6(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 30.00 43.20  
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 2 3 6 610½ 711¾ 711 710¼ (zalalas mi)DAVIS A 124 15.00 21.90  
CAR LADY 5 7 810½ 812½ 813¾ 812 811½ (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 61% 0.60 0.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.