Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - January 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/6)-(2/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/6)-(2/6/7/4)-(5/2/8/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/4)-(5/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/4)-(5/2/8/6)-(2/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6/4)-(5/2/8/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/8/6)-(2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/6)-(2/8/3)-(1/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(3/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(3/2/5/4)-(1/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTHA'S HEART Jan05 Dec03 Nov17 Oct22   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
2  UNIVERSAL DESIGN Jan12 Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Sep14 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  BUCKFAST ABBEY         (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  DREAMERY Jan11 Nov20 Aug12 Jul27 Jun23 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50    
5  SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER Dec20         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
6  HASHTAGJILLPOWER         (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 10.00 17% 4.90    
7  GOLDEN BOSS LADY Dec11 Nov29       (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 115 6.00    
8  THE LAST JET         (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
 
PEN-2   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSTENANCE Jan08 Dec22 Dec01 Nov18 Oct20 (sanchez-s)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
2  TIMELY PROSPECT Dec13 Nov04 Aug23 Jul18 Jun15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00 57% 0.80    
3  RETWEET Jan08 Nov22 Nov01 Oct03 Sep12 (perez ruperto )CORREA JULIO 120 6.00    
4  GALILEE Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 (moreno tito)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRACTICAL SENSE Jan12 Dec09 Oct01 Aug25 Aug03 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50    
6  ASHAAB Dec28 Dec06 Nov10 Oct26 Sep01 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
7  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 7% 13.40    
8  FREEDOM'S START Jan12 Dec22 Dec06 Nov16 Jun09 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 120 20.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN GUY Jan06 Dec08 Nov18 Oct25 Oct11 (alvarado )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-3   01/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THROWBACK Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50    
2  SUPER DUPER FLY Jan12 Dec28 Dec18 Dec11 Nov01 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Dec28 Nov29 Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
4  MASKED HEROINE Dec28 Dec14 Nov17 Oct17 Sep22 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 ★    
5  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Jan12 Dec28 Nov17 Oct26 Sep22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
6  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Oct07 Sep16 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIL H Sep20 Sep08 Aug10 Jul13 Jun01 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00    
8  PEACH BE WITH Q Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 Oct30 Sep27 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00 8% 11.20    
9  LA LUISA Jan12 Dec11 Nov01 Oct02 Sep20 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 113 15.00    
10  SCOREBOARD LILY Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Nov29 Nov17 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00    
SCR  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Jan12 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Jun20 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
SCR  NADIABIZNIZ Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Nov15 Nov04 (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P JS SILVER DUKE Nov30 Oct27 Sep14 Apr20 Mar22 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
2  DR. STEVE Dec28 Nov30 Oct27 Sep26 Aug18 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
3  TRENDING UP Dec28 Nov30 Aug18 Jul26 Jun29 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LINGFIELD PARK May31 May10 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
5  STRAWBERRY TREAT Dec22 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Sep08 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
6  GET SET Jan01 Nov20 Oct18 Sep20 Aug28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 ★    
7  LOOSE ENDS Oct14 Aug05 Jul21 Jun13 May10 (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
8  JAYJAYDEE Nov30 Nov08 Oct06 Sep14 Aug18 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-5   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M NOT A BABY Dec15 Nov16 Oct25 Sep06 Aug06 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  NIEUWENDYK Jan12 Dec20 Dec01 Oct28 Oct14 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
3  O T C WIZ Dec29 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 Jun02 (demario a)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOON SIGN Jan04 Dec22 Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 112 4.50    
5  TWIXTER Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 Nov04 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  LUDO Dec15 Nov29 Oct25 Oct12 Sep30 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
7  BUSHWICK BRUISER Nov29 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Aug10 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
 
PEN-6   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORGANIZED CHAOS Dec16 Nov26 Nov02 Sep04 Aug19 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 12.00    
2  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Dec23 Nov25 Oct31 Oct10 Sep23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  DOCTOR ABBIE Dec20 Nov22 Oct31 Oct14 Sep25 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  NEW HIRE Dec20 Nov01 Sep24 Sep02 Aug17 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SEEKING THE DREAM May25 May06 Mar24 Mar02 Feb07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Dec20 Nov15 Oct25 Aug18 Jul21 (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
7  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Dec22 Dec01 Nov08 Oct04 Sep15 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
8  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Dec01 Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE HARRY Nov24 Nov08 Aug30 Aug10 Jul06 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  MIGHTY MINION May25 Apr21 Apr07 Feb25 Feb10 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.00    
3  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jan12 Dec16 Nov29 Sep19 Aug10 (stites w)CORA D 122 10.00 6% 15.20    
4  ABBY'S SPIRIT Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 Sep13 Aug16 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
SCR  CHUCKA MOON Dec06 Feb10 Jan20 Nov18 Oct29 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
6  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Dec27 Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
7  BACK EAST Jan12 Dec20 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
 
PEN-8   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKEY'S JEWEL Jan10 Nov24 Nov08 Oct26 Oct12 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 8.00    
2  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jan10 Dec15 Nov08 Jul19 Jun29 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00    
3  RIDGELYSREDHOT Jan10 Jul26 Jun28 May25 May11 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 30.00    
4  KATY THE CAT Jan10 Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 Oct06 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
5  CAR LADY Jan10 Nov14 Oct13 Aug24 Aug09 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
6  CRICKET WEST Jan18 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Oct15 (morzan javier )TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 7% 12.60    
7  MELODIA Jan18 Dec22 Jul05 Jun16 May26 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 4.00 6% 16.90    
8  LONDONDERRY Jan10 Dec27 Dec11 Nov29 Oct28 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 117 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.