The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
CT-2   Win (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
CT-3   Win (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $7.00 -8.00
CT-4   Win (3/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.80 -8.00
CT-5   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $8.00 -4.00
CT-6   Win (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $16.20 -6.00
CT-7   Win (7/6/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $41.20 -8.00
CT-8   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 11.40
CT-9   Win (1/10/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $6.00 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASE LIL ME 5 5 710¾ 7   511 (collins tim)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 24% 3.10 4.90 W
SCARE DEM 4 7 817¼ 810¾   821 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 12.50  
ALDRINALINE 2 2 6 6   32 31 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 3.00  
JAZZ WITH DENIS 7 3 2nk 1nk   142 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 20.00 8% 11.70 11.10  
BURR HILL BULLET 6 4 31 4   45(carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 23% 3.30 5.00  
MODERN DAY ROMANCE 1 1 5 52   76(jones micha)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 5.30  
ORANGEBURG 3 6 42 3½   27(meehan el)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 17% 4.90 2.70  
S S MIRAGE 8 8 1nk 2nk   6814 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00 17.30  
 
CT-2   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:214 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIDERHOUSE WAY 6 3 34     21¾ (greaves verno)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.90 W
GEORGE 8 1 1     12¾ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 3.70  
NOCASHREFUNDS 5 6 7     53(boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 26% 2.90 2.50 S
KARMA BUS 1 8 44     44(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 6% 15.30 3.90  
ELEANORS JACK 3 5 2     35(jackson angelo )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00 14.90  
MISSIONARY 2 7 55     66(sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00 25.70  
BERTRAM FLIGHT 4 4 6     710¾ 711 (boggs joa)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 45.10  
REMYS GUNSMOKE 7 2 8     812¾ 815¼ (grams c)REYNOLDS C 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
 
CT-3   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:214 :45       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKEMI 8 1 1½     16 1(cole-davis tina)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 10.00 2.50  
LITTLE BIT OF THAT 4 5 31     26 2(brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 13% 6.50 2.10 P
COACH RUBE 1 8 6     63(jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 6.40  
LUNATIC (CHI) 6 4 5     39 4(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 15% 5.60 4.80  
MY LOVELY GIRL 5 6 8     710¼ 58 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60  
GHOSTLY SQUALL 7 2 44     49 6(mckee cynth)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 16.90  
ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 7 7     810½ 7(mcclellan er)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 13.00  
TIZ THE REASON 2 3 2½     5815¼ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 50% 1.00 6.30  
 
CT-4   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:152 1:421   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD SLEW 5 4 2½ 11 1nk 12 1(perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 3.40  
HAPPY CHARLIE 8 6 4 32 52 52(gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 17% 5.00 6.00 P
CURLIN'S THRILL 1 1 7 74 63 43(brown keith)BOCACHICA J 115 3.50 3.20  
MAGNETRON 4 3 3 5 4 22 4(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
MIRACLE SILVER 7 8 8 8 78 75(nazario pedro)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 5.00  
PARTY MONSTER 2 2 1½ 21 2nk 32 6(smith collie)RIOS-CONDE A 119 15.00 36.70  
HOT N SPICY LOVE 9 7 6 42 31 67(hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
SKILLFUL 6 9 9 9 8 810¼ 813¼ (jones mic)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 87.40  
INDIAN BUZZ 3 5 5 6 9 912¼ 920¼ (kulp brandon)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 54% 0.90 3.10  
 
CT-5   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLY CRITICAL 3 1 4 4   21¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 3.00  
O'CONNER SUNSET 5 4 1nk 1nk   12¼ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00 2.30  
TAP SECRET 1 2 2nk 2nk   33 3(sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 22% 3.50 6.20 S
ALPHA CHI RHO 4 3 3 32   4414 (farrior )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 29% 2.40 1.10  
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 2 5 510¾ 511¼   513½ 519½ (ginter raymond)BATISTA A 120 15.00 17.10  
SCR  COLLECTORATE               (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 15.00    
SCR  COWBOY AT HEART               (grams c)REYNOLDS C 120 20.00    
SCR  TATE               (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
 
CT-6   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:131     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 5 7 58 5   31¾ (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 4.00 7.10  
REMYS SHOWTIME 7 5 2nk 11   12¾ (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00 48% 1.10 0.60 P
SPUNMAN 1 2 69 6   63(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 9% 10.60 5.60 S
GREAT DAYS AHEAD 2 1 1nk 21   24(parram derri)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 5.00 21% 3.70 6.20  
YO VINNIE 6 6 33 3   42 5(runco c)CULLUM W 120 12.00 27.30  
ROCKIN THE PALACE 4 4 711½ 710½   76(stites flin)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 21.10  
SARGENT KOBE 3 3 47 4   53 7(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 8.80  
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK               (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  LOW COUNTRY DUDE               (cuttino mar)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:224 :471       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIM FOR THE CORK 6 4 1½     1½ 11 (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 19.60  
10  RIDE THE BRAND 7 1 2½     2½ 21 (grams timot)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 8.00 7% 13.50 4.30 P
TIME TO ROCK 4 9 7     631 (viands r)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00 27% 2.80 1.30 S
WHALE OF A RUN 5 6 5     41 4(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 46% 1.20 3.00  
BRADLEY DO RIGHT 1 7 3     31 52 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50 6.90  
GREATEST NOTION 3 5 4     56(joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 12.30  
ESTRELLA FUGAZ 2 8 6     77(peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 52.30  
12  TIME TO SNOOZE 9 2 8     812¾ 8(petty kristy)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
11  BOUNDTONOONE 8 3 9     916¼ 919¾ (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 20.00 32.20  
SCR  FAPPIANO HALO               (dollinger-sthr li)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
SCR  HOPPITY HOOPER               (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
SCR  TAPINTHEPARADE               (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.00    
 
CT-8   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNIN RUNNER 4 3 11 12   111 (brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 19% 4.30 7.70 W
DULCIMER DAME 3 4 4 4   421 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 23% 3.40 1.20 P
AZZURRA 6 6 611½ 56   55 3(barber dona)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00 24.90  
MOONLIT SHADOW 5 5 21 32   24(grams c)REYNOLDS C 120 3.50 1.90  
FULL MOON LOVER 1 1 3 22   354 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90 3.50  
UNCAPTURED RUBY 2 2 5 6   68 65 (malgarini t)MAWING A 124 12.00 19.10  
SCR  AFANDI               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
SCR  DIVINE FASHION               (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00    
SCR  SILVER RULES               (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00    
 
CT-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER QUALITY 8 4 12 11   14 112 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 2.00  
ROYAL THUNDER 2 3 5 3   47 212 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.00 P
NEVER COMPROMISE 1 1 6 4   24 312¼ (murdock ste)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 59% 0.70 0.90 S
10  INDIANA RED 9 9 8 810¼   512 413¼ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 8% 11.00 4.70  
PROTA 5 7 22 21   3514¼ (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 17.60 29.10  
11  AT THE BEACH 10 10 911¼ 910¼   713½ 616¼ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 95.10  
ROCKY DICE 6 6 1016¾ 1020¼   916 717½ (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 42.00  
BLUE N GOLD 3 2 32 5   613 820½ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 68.70  
PEPE AND HEYWOOD 4 8 45 6   815 926 (nazario ped)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 26.50  
SEVEN AND SEVEN 7 5 7 7   1017 1028¾ (bryant donald )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00 99.90  
SCR  VELVET GHOST               (corrales jo)HERNANDEZ F 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.