Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $11.80 $3.80 48%
CT-2   DD (5/6/3/7)-(6/5/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-6 $57.40 $25.40 79%
CT-8   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $17.40 $11.40 190%
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $25.10 $19.10 318%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHASE LIL ME 5 5 710¾ 78¼   52½ 11 (collins tim)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 24% 3.10 4.90 W
4  SCARE DEM 4 7 817¼ 810¾   83¾ 21 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 12.50  
2  ALDRINALINE 2 2 64¼ 62¼   32 31 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 3.00  
7  JAZZ WITH DENIS 7 3 2nk 1nk   11½ 42 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 20.00 8% 11.70 11.10  
6  BURR HILL BULLET 6 4 31 41½   42½ 54¼ (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 23% 3.30 5.00  
1  MODERN DAY ROMANCE 1 1 52¼ 52   72¾ 64¾ (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 5.30  
3  ORANGEBURG 3 6 42 3½   21½ 75¼ (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 17% 4.90 2.70  
8  S S MIRAGE 8 8 1nk 2nk   62¾ 814 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00 17.30  
 
CT-2   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:214 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CIDERHOUSE WAY 6 3 34     22½ 1¾ (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.90 W
8  GEORGE 8 1 11½     12½ 2¾ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 3.70  
5  NOCASHREFUNDS 5 6 76¾     57½ 35½ (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 26% 2.90 2.50 S
1  KARMA BUS 1 8 44     44½ 45¾ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 6% 15.30 3.90  
3  ELEANORS JACK 3 5 21½     32½ 55¾ (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00 14.90  
2  MISSIONARY 2 7 55     67¾ 69½ (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00 25.70  
4  BERTRAM FLIGHT 4 4 66½     710¾ 711 (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 45.10  
7  REMYS GUNSMOKE 7 2 87¼     812¾ 815¼ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
 
CT-3   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:214 :45       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AKEMI 8 1 1½     16 14½ (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 10.00 2.50  
4  LITTLE BIT OF THAT 4 5 31     26 24½ (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 13% 6.50 2.10 P
1  COACH RUBE 1 8 64½     69¼ 35¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 6.40  
6  LUNATIC (CHI) 6 4 54½     39 45¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 15% 5.60 4.80  
5  MY LOVELY GIRL 5 6 87½     710¼ 58 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60  
7  GHOSTLY SQUALL 7 2 44     49 68½ (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 16.90  
3  ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 7 76½     810½ 79¼ (mcclellan )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 13.00  
2  TIZ THE REASON 2 3 2½     59¼ 815¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 50% 1.00 6.30  
 
CT-4   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:152 1:421   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROAD SLEW 5 4 2½ 11 1nk 12 11½ (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 3.40  
8  HAPPY CHARLIE 8 6 41½ 32 52 52¼ 21½ (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 17% 5.00 6.00 P
1  CURLIN'S THRILL 1 1 73¾ 74 63 42¼ 31½ (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 3.50 3.20  
4  MAGNETRON 4 3 31½ 52½ 41½ 22 41½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
7  MIRACLE SILVER 7 8 85¾ 86½ 78 76¼ 53¾ (nazario pedro)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 ★ 5.00  
2  PARTY MONSTER 2 2 1½ 21 2nk 32 65¼ (smith collie)RIOS-CONDE A 119 15.00 36.70  
9  HOT N SPICY LOVE 9 7 62¾ 42 31 63¼ 76¼ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
6  SKILLFUL 6 9 97¼ 96¾ 88¼ 810¼ 813¼ (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 87.40  
3  INDIAN BUZZ 3 5 52½ 63½ 98¼ 912¼ 920¼ (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 54% 0.90 3.10  
 
CT-5   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OVERLY CRITICAL 3 1 41¾ 42¼   21½ 1¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 ★ 3.00  
7  O'CONNER SUNSET 5 4 1nk 1nk   11½ 2¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00 2.30  
1  TAP SECRET 1 2 2nk 2nk   33 35½ (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 22% 3.50 6.20 S
6  ALPHA CHI RHO 4 3 31½ 32   46½ 414 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 29% 2.40 1.10  
2  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 2 5 510¾ 511¼   513½ 519½ (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 120 15.00 17.10  
SCR  COLLECTORATE               (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 15.00    
SCR  COWBOY AT HEART               (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 20.00    
SCR  TATE               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
 
CT-6   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:131     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MINISTRY OF MAGIC 5 7 58 56½   31½ 1¾ (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 4.00 ★ 7.10  
9  REMYS SHOWTIME 7 5 2nk 11   11½ 2¾ (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00 48% 1.10 0.60 P
1  SPUNMAN 1 2 69 68½   63½ 31¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 9% 10.60 5.60 S
2  GREAT DAYS AHEAD 2 1 1nk 21   21½ 42¾ (parram der)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 5.00 21% 3.70 6.20  
8  YO VINNIE 6 6 33 35½   42 52¾ (runco c)CULLUM W 120 12.00 27.30  
6  ROCKIN THE PALACE 4 4 711½ 710½   77½ 63¾ (stites fl)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 21.10  
4  SARGENT KOBE 3 3 47 46½   53 75½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 8.80  
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK               (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  LOW COUNTRY DUDE               (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:224 :471       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AIM FOR THE CORK 6 4 1½     1½ 11 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 ★ 19.60  
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SWEET AIMEE by KEYED ENTRY)
10  RIDE THE BRAND 7 1 2½     2½ 21 (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 8.00 7% 13.50 4.30 P
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
6  TIME TO ROCK 4 9 74¼     61¼ 31 (viands stacey )MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00 27% 2.80 1.30 S
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ANIMATION by FLATTER)
7  WHALE OF A RUN 5 6 51¾     41 41¾ (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 46% 1.20 3.00  
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of FOLLOW THE WHALES by CIVILISATION)
2  BRADLEY DO RIGHT 1 7 31½     31 52 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50 6.90  
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
5  GREATEST NOTION 3 5 41½     51¼ 63½ (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 12.30  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
3  ESTRELLA FUGAZ 2 8 63¾     78¼ 79½ (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 52.30  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SUYAI by FIBER SONDE)
12  TIME TO SNOOZE 9 2 89¼     812¾ 89¾ (petty kristy)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of TIME'SONYOURSIDE by MALIBU MOON)
11  BOUNDTONOONE 8 3 99¾     916¼ 919¾ (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 20.00 32.20  
  (by JUBA out of BOUND TO by BOUNDARY)
SCR  FAPPIANO HALO               (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of ABSOLUTELYGORGEOUS by BEST TURN)
SCR  HOPPITY HOOPER               (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  TAPINTHEPARADE               (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
 
CT-8   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIGHTNIN RUNNER 4 3 11 12   12½ 11 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 19% 4.30 7.70 W
5  DULCIMER DAME 3 4 42½ 43½   43½ 21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 23% 3.40 1.20 P
9  AZZURRA 6 6 611½ 56   55 31¼ (barber do)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00 24.90  
8  MOONLIT SHADOW 5 5 21 32   22½ 42¼ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50 1.90  
1  FULL MOON LOVER 1 1 31½ 22   32½ 54 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90 3.50  
4  UNCAPTURED RUBY 2 2 52½ 67½   68 65 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 12.00 19.10  
SCR  AFANDI               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
SCR  DIVINE FASHION               (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00    
SCR  SILVER RULES               (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00    
 
CT-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SUPER QUALITY 8 4 12 11   14 112 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 2.00  
2  ROYAL THUNDER 2 3 55¼ 33½   47 212 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.00 P
1  NEVER COMPROMISE 1 1 66¼ 44½   24 312¼ (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 59% 0.70 0.90 S
10  INDIANA RED 9 9 89¾ 810¼   512 413¼ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 8% 11.00 4.70  
6  PROTA 5 7 22 21   36½ 514¼ (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 17.60 29.10  
11  AT THE BEACH 10 10 911¼ 910¼   713½ 616¼ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 95.10  
7  ROCKY DICE 6 6 1016¾ 1020¼   916 717½ (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 42.00  
3  BLUE N GOLD 3 2 32 54½   613 820½ (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 68.70  
5  PEPE AND HEYWOOD 4 8 45 64¾   815 926 (nazario p)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 26.50  
8  SEVEN AND SEVEN 7 5 76¼ 76¾   1017 1028¾ (bryant donal)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00 99.90  
SCR  VELVET GHOST               (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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