Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(6/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(2/6/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(2/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/7)-(2/6/4/5)-(3/8/9/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/5)-(3/8/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/5)-(3/8/9/4)-(6/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/4)-(3/8/9/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/4)-(3/8/9/7/4)-(3/8/9/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/9/4)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8/9/4)-(6/1)-(9/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(9/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(9/2/1)-(7/6/10/12) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/1)-(9/2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/1)-(9/2/1/7)-(9/2/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/2/1)-(7/6/10/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1)-(7/6/10/12)-(1/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/6/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/10/12)-(7/6/10/9/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/10/12)-(7/6/10/9/12)-(7/6/10/9/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/10/12)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/10/12)-(1/5/6)-(1/10/6/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/10/6/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/10/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/2/3)-(1/10/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/2/3)-(1/10/6/2/3)-(1/10/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Sep07 Aug17 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
2  ALDRINALINE Nov30 Nov11 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50    
3  ORANGEBURG Dec05 Oct31 Oct08 Sep07 Aug17 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
4  SCARE DEM Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 Oct18 Sep22 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
5  CHASE LIL ME Nov01 Oct11 Sep07 Aug18 Jul07 (collins tim)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  BURR HILL BULLET Nov24 Oct27 Oct11 Sep25 Aug13 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
7  JAZZ WITH DENIS Nov18 Nov01 Oct14 Sep15 Sep01 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 20.00 8% 11.70    
8  S S MIRAGE Nov29 Nov16       (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
 
CT-2   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARMA BUS Nov29 Nov14 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 6% 15.30    
2  MISSIONARY Nov25 Oct28 Oct07 Mar30 Feb16 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00    
3  ELEANORS JACK Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 Sep08 Aug17 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
4  BERTRAM FLIGHT Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 May13 (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
5  NOCASHREFUNDS Nov18 Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  CIDERHOUSE WAY Oct18 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul01 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  REMYS GUNSMOKE Jan19 Jan07 Nov23 Oct29 Sep30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GEORGE Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00    
 
CT-3   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COACH RUBE Nov24 Oct14 Oct02 Aug25 Aug10 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
2  TIZ THE REASON Nov10 Oct25 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  ORGANIZED CHAOS Nov26 Nov02 Sep04 Aug19 Jul21 (mcclellan )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
4  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Nov10 Sep08 Jul07 Jun16 May26 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
5  MY LOVELY GIRL Nov24 Oct25 Sep11 Jul16 May22 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUNATIC (CHI) Oct25 Oct05 May27 Apr09 May20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
7  GHOSTLY SQUALL Nov22 Oct14 Jun03 Mar23 Feb11 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
8  AKEMI Dec11 Nov15 Oct19 Oct09 Sep09 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 
CT-4   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S THRILL Dec08 Nov01 Oct12 Sep16 Aug10 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 3.50    
2  PARTY MONSTER Dec09 Nov03 Oct21 Oct06 Sep09 (smith collie)RIOS-CONDE A 119 15.00    
3  INDIAN BUZZ Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 Sep02 Aug11 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
4  MAGNETRON Nov22 Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROAD SLEW Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 Sep25 Sep07 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
6  SKILLFUL Dec06 Nov02 Sep27 Sep11 Jul12 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
7  MIRACLE SILVER Dec10 Nov19 Oct27 Oct19 Sep29 (nazario pedro)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 ★    
8  HAPPY CHARLIE Nov25 Nov04 Sep27 Sep01 Jul21 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
9  HOT N SPICY LOVE Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 Sep08 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP SECRET Nov29 Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 Jul21 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) Nov30 Nov03 Aug24 Jul30 Oct22 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
SCR  COWBOY AT HEART Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Jul28 Jul07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 20.00    
SCR  COLLECTORATE Nov07 Sep17 Aug21 Jun18 Apr21 (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 15.00    
5  OVERLY CRITICAL Dec05 Nov22 Oct28 Sep21 Aug11 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 ★    
6  ALPHA CHI RHO Oct28 Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 Jul22 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 29% 2.40    
7  O'CONNER SUNSET Nov27 Nov14 Oct28 Sep22 Aug26 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00    
SCR  TATE Jul21 Jun29 May20 Apr20 Mar31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
 
CT-6   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNMAN Nov06 Oct06 Aug04 Jun23 May12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 9% 10.60    
2  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Jul15 Jun23 May14 Apr20 Apr06 (parram der)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  LOW COUNTRY DUDE Nov06 Aug06 Jul25 May14 Apr22 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
4  SARGENT KOBE Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Sep14 Sep01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Nov29 Oct28 Oct07 Sep02 Jul27 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 20.00    
6  ROCKIN THE PALACE Nov29 Sep19 Aug10 Jul19 Jul10 (stites fl)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00    
7  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Nov29 Nov18 Oct28 Sep28 Sep02 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 4.00 ★    
8  YO VINNIE Nov18 Oct28 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 12.00    
9  REMYS SHOWTIME Dec07 Nov29 Nov08 Oct28 Oct14 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
CT-7   12/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAPPIANO HALO         (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of ABSOLUTELYGORGEOUS by BEST TURN)
2  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Nov25 Nov03 Oct20 Oct12 Sep16 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
3  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Nov25 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22   (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SUYAI by FIBER SONDE)
SCR  TAPINTHEPARADE         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
5  GREATEST NOTION Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
6  TIME TO ROCK         (viands stacey )MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ANIMATION by FLATTER)
7  WHALE OF A RUN Nov25         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of FOLLOW THE WHALES by CIVILISATION)
SCR  HOPPITY HOOPER         (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
9  AIM FOR THE CORK         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 ★    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SWEET AIMEE by KEYED ENTRY)
10  RIDE THE BRAND Nov03         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
11  BOUNDTONOONE Jun30         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of BOUND TO by BOUNDARY)
12  TIME TO SNOOZE         (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of TIME'SONYOURSIDE by MALIBU MOON)
 
CT-8   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON LOVER Nov09 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  DIVINE FASHION Dec07 Nov16 Oct14 Oct06 Jul29 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00    
SCR  AFANDI Nov04 Oct13 Jul27 Jun25 Jun02 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
4  UNCAPTURED RUBY Dec02 Nov16 Oct20 Jun23 May27 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 12.00    
5  DULCIMER DAME Nov25 Nov09 Jun10 May09 Mar30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Nov15 Oct17 Sep30 Aug25 Jul29 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SILVER RULES Dec02 Nov10 Sep30 Sep07 Aug25 (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00    
8  MOONLIT SHADOW Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50    
9  AZZURRA Nov11 Oct14 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
 
CT-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER COMPROMISE Nov22 Nov08 Sep29 Aug31 Aug18 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 59% 0.70    
2  ROYAL THUNDER Nov25 Oct18 Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUE N GOLD Nov11 Sep29 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VELVET GHOST Dec09 Nov03 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 3.00    
5  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 (nazario p)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
6  PROTA Nov29 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 17.60    
7  ROCKY DICE Nov25 Nov04 Oct06 Sep29 Sep01 (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
8  SEVEN AND SEVEN Nov24 Jul03 Jun19 May27 May06 (bryant donal)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
9  SUPER QUALITY Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Oct07 Aug03 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
10  INDIANA RED Nov29 Nov01 Oct12 Sep29 Aug26 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
11  AT THE BEACH Nov26 Oct31 Sep20 Sep13 Aug17 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.