Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - February 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-3 $5.90 $1.90 48%
AQU-2   TRI (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1-3 $29.00 $17.00 142%
    SFT (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-1-3-4 $20.45 $18.05 752%
    DD (6/3)-(1/5/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  6-5 $8.80 $0.80 10%
AQU-4   EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $17.60 $5.60 47%
AQU-5   WIN (7/10/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $10.80 $0.80 8%
    DD (3/5/2/6)-(7/10/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-7 $29.25 $9.25 46%
AQU-6   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.60 $2.60 33%
    DD (7/10/8/2/9)-(5/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-2 $35.00 $15.00 75%
    PK3 (3/5/2/6)-(7/10/8/2/9)-(5/2/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00  3-7-2 $143.50 $63.50 79%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY CARA 6 5 53 2   11 1 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 59% 0.70 1.10 W
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
EASTERN STAR 3 1 11 1   21 2 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 10% 8.60 1.90 P
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
HAPPY'S SMILE 2 2 32 42   3 3 (barrow paul)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 4.00  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
MOONLIT WEEKEND 4 4 21 3   4 48 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 9.80  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
SHE'S A NATURAL 5 6 4 5   56 5 (sciacca gar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 10.00 14.30  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
KRYSTALHEIR 1 3 6 64   68 612½ (cof)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 15.00 36.50  
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
 
AQU-2   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:232 :472 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMARETTI 6 1 11 1   1 1 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 24% 3.20 2.00 W
1A  KID'S LAST LAUGH 4 2 6 45   3 2 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.70  
MONGOLIAN PANTHER 2 3 31 5   5 3 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
KITTEN'S APPEAL 5 6 4 2   2 48 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 15% 5.60 6.70  
OBRIGADA 7 5 21 33   4 5 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 4.60  
RISK FREE 1 7 7 6   610 611½ (delauro edward)LUZZI J 123 5.00 6.80  
FANCY AZTECA 3 4 5 77   715 720½ (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 1.70  
 
AQU-3   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:15 1:274   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRICIA ANN 1 1 1½ 11 12 13 1 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 6.50  
  (by ENTICED out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
JUST MUSIC 4 2 5 52 3 23 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 30% 2.40 3.40 P
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
SWEET DISTRACTION 6 5 3 3 22 3 310¾ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00 15.80  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
CHANTILLY ROAD 2 6 6 64 5 49 413¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
GROWTH RATE 3 4 4 4 44 510 518¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 39% 1.60 2.25  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
COLORFUL LADY 5 3 2½ 21 6 613½ 629½ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 2.25  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAPPING COLORS by TAPIT)
 
AQU-4   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:27   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL WAYS 3 7 6 5 4 31 1 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 36% 1.80 2.55 W
PROVEN HOPE 6 5 7 7 56 43 2 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00 P
NOTAH 7 2 2nk 3.2 1½ 1nk 3 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 3.50  
SEEKING UNITY 1 4 31 2nk 2½ 2nk 4 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 5.00 9.00  
BARNSTORMING 5 1 1nk 1nk 3 57 510¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 18% 4.60 5.00  
SCREAMING UNCLE 4 3 4 4 7 613 615¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 6.00  
MAGNIFICENT MILE 2 6 5 6 67 713¼ 722¼ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 16% 5.40 10.00  
SCR  NIGHT EFFECT               (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
 
AQU-5   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLER'S STYLE 7 7 63 32 1½ 12 1 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 30% 2.40 4.40 W
DIVINE CROSS 6 1 1½ 12 2½ 22 2 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 10.80  
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 2 42 5 3 35 3 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 7% 12.40 4.90 S
GOOD PENNY 8 4 5 6 55 4 4 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 11% 8.00 4.20  
JOEY THE FISH 4 6 8 8 78 68 510 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 8.30  
TRADE SECRET 1 3 109 9 66 5 610 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00 30.25  
HOLIDAY JAZZ 9 10 31 4 89 712 715 (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
VEGAS WEEKEND 3 9 74 7 912 914½ 826½ (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 10.10  
VALLARAND 5 8 9 1012¾ 1017½ 1018 930 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 50.00 84.50  
10  JOLLY MISS JILL 10 5 2½ 22 45 812½ 1036¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 25% 3.00 2.50  
 
AQU-6   02/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SHOE LADY 1 3 11 1½   12 15 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 25% 3.00 4.30 W
  (by UPSTART out of ROSEDALE by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
ARIANA RYE 6 5 3 31   22 25 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 3.05  
  (by MITOLE out of RAPIDS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
FIVE TO TWO 4 2 4 4   4 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 47% 1.10 1.60 S
  (by HONOR CODE out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
FIND YOUR JOY 7 1 21 2½   36 413 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5.20  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
RAININGATTHEBEACH 3 7 715½ 722   621 520¾ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 5.50  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DISCLUDE by OVERANALYZE)
SAVANNAH DANCER 5 6 6 5   514½ 624¾ (metivier )CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 49.50  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ROYAL'S LASS by SMARTY JONES)
SONIA'S FLAME 2 4 55 614   721½ 737¾ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of G. T. SONIA by BRETHREN)
SCR  COOLEST               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SANDRA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
AQU-7   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:23 :471 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL SURGES 6 5 5 5   1½ 1 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 4.20  
ROLLIN IN DOUGH 3 6 1nk 2nk   2½ 2 (thomas jonatha)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 26% 2.80 5.10 P
1A  SHARPAZ 7 3 42 3   4 36 (barrow pau)RIVERA R 120 12.00 35.50  
GRAYWING 5 4 2nk 1nk   31 4 (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 118 20.00 9% 9.90 41.75  
ROCK THE WEEKEND 8 7 7 611¼   65 5 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 13.80  
WARALO 1 1 3 4   52 6 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.30  
PINEAPPLE MAN 2 2 67 726¼   740 7100 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.90  
ICY FLAVOR 4 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.00 12% 7.00 7.50  
SCR  FLOWING RIVER               (barrow pau)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
 
AQU-8   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Haynesfield Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITTINGTON PARK 1 6 5 53 2 2 1½ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 12.60  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
ANEJO 4 5 33 31 1 1 2½ (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 7.00  
  (by FREUD out of TIFFANY TWISTED by THUNDER GULCH)
DR ARDITO 2 4 6 6 410½ 311 311¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 29% 2.50 1.65 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
OVERSTEP 3 3 45 43 36 513 414¼ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 14% 6.20 9.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MODEST MAVEN by UNCLE MO)
MAMA'S GOLD 5 1 1 1½ 511 412½ 516¾ (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 23.00  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MAKER'S CANDY 6 2 2 2½ 631 6100 6100 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 36% 1.80 1.05  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
AQU-9   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:021     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SIN NOMBRE 9 9 43 32   2nk 1 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 5% 17.70 0.45 W
GOOD REUNION 5 8 5 5   42 1 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 44% 1.30 0.35 W
QOROKWE 8 6 9 43   3½ 3 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 31.50  
RING ME 4 3 84 9   6 4 (terranova )RIVERA R 122 4.00 28% 2.60 5.90  
BINGOOD TO KNOWYA 3 7 7 8   8 57 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
SOMAMA BEACH 7 2 1nk 1½   1nk 67 (jerkens stev)HARKIE K 122 50.00 43.00  
PERFECT OUTCOME 6 4 3 6   7 7 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 12.90  
ENGLISH STORM 1 5 6 75   9 8 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 122 8.00 11.70  
SUPPORT THE CAT 2 1 2nk 2½   5 910 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 30.00 30.50  
SCR  FIRST SONS               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
SCR  FOUR EYES               (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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