Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/5/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/3)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/3)-(3/4/2)-(3/5/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/5/2/6)-(7/10/8/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/6)-(7/10/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/6)-(7/10/8/2/9)-(5/2/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/10/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/8/2/9)-(7/10/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/8/2/9)-(7/10/8/2/9)-(7/10/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/8/2/9)-(5/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/8/2/9)-(5/2/3/6)-(2/4/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(7/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(7/3/4)-(5/4/11/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(5/4/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (5/4/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/11/3)-(5/4/11/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/11/3)-(5/4/11/3/1)-(5/4/11/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRYSTALHEIR Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Aug27 Jul15 (cof)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
2  HAPPY'S SMILE Jan27 Jan05 Nov21 Dec03   (barrow paul)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
3  EASTERN STAR Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Oct26 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 10% 8.60    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
4  MOONLIT WEEKEND Jan27 Jan05 Dec07     (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 ★    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
5  SHE'S A NATURAL Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 (sciacca gar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 10.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
6  FOXY CARA Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Oct12 Sep24 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
AQU-2   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY AZTECA Feb02 Dec17 Nov25 Oct05 Aug09 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 ★    
1A  KID'S LAST LAUGH Jan04 Nov25 Nov10 Oct28 May05 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  RISK FREE Feb02 Jan11 Dec07 Oct14 Sep15 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
3  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Jan05 Dec22 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KITTEN'S APPEAL Jan05 Nov26 Apr16 Feb25 Jan29 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  AMARETTI May20 Apr12 Jun05     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 24% 3.20    
6  OBRIGADA Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 Jun10 May20 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00    
 
AQU-3   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRICIA ANN Dec30         (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
2  CHANTILLY ROAD Jan13         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
3  GROWTH RATE Jan27 Aug20       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
4  JUST MUSIC Feb18 Jan19 Dec28 Nov04 Oct14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
5  COLORFUL LADY Jan07         (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAPPING COLORS by TAPIT)
6  SWEET DISTRACTION Feb05 Dec26 Dec07 Nov21 Jul29 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
 
AQU-4   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING UNITY Jan28 Jan12 Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 5.00    
2  MAGNIFICENT MILE Jan13 Nov18 Oct20 Sep16 Aug26 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  MAGICAL WAYS Jan27 Dec30 Nov09 Oct21 Oct15 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  SCREAMING UNCLE Dec28 Dec16 Nov24 Oct13 Aug31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
5  BARNSTORMING Jan27 Jan01 Nov01 Oct06 Nov26 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
6  PROVEN HOPE Feb11 Jan13 Dec28 Oct15 Oct04 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NIGHT EFFECT Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Nov03 Sep24 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
8  NOTAH Jan26 Jan01 Aug26 Jun17 May29 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
 
AQU-5   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRADE SECRET Feb10 Jan07 Nov24 Nov10 Oct06 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
2  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 Aug03 Jul02 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 7% 12.40    
3  VEGAS WEEKEND Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 Oct15 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
4  JOEY THE FISH Feb16 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
5  VALLARAND Feb10 Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov24 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
6  DIVINE CROSS Jan28 Jan04 Dec28 Dec17 Nov30 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
7  WHISTLER'S STYLE Feb09 Jan14 Jan04 Dec23 Dec08 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 30% 2.40    
8  GOOD PENNY Nov25 Oct15 Jul20 Apr07 Mar25 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 11% 8.00    
9  HOLIDAY JAZZ Feb02 Nov15 Oct23 Sep20 Sep11 (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  JOLLY MISS JILL Feb17 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-6   02/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COOLEST         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SANDRA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  THE SHOE LADY Jan14         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by UPSTART out of ROSEDALE by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
3  SONIA'S FLAME Feb10         (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of G. T. SONIA by BRETHREN)
4  RAININGATTHEBEACH         (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DISCLUDE by OVERANALYZE)
5  FIVE TO TWO Jan28 Dec17 Dec01     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
6  SAVANNAH DANCER         (metivier )CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ROYAL'S LASS by SMARTY JONES)
7  ARIANA RYE         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of RAPIDS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  FIND YOUR JOY Jan18 Aug02 Jul09     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
AQU-7   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHARPAZ Jan18 Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 Jun25 (barrow pau)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
SCR  FLOWING RIVER Jan27 Nov08 Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 (barrow pau)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
2  WARALO Jan13 Dec16 Nov01 Sep19 Aug29 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  PINEAPPLE MAN Aug31 Jul03 May29 May06 Jun25 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
4  ROLLIN IN DOUGH Dec09         (thomas jonatha)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  ICY FLAVOR Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
6  GRAYWING Jan25 Sep05 Aug01 Jul17 May02 (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 118 20.00 9% 9.90    
7  DONEGAL SURGES Jan27 Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 Aug11 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
8  ROCK THE WEEKEND Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Dec10 Nov11 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
 
AQU-8   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Haynesfield Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS Feb23 Jan26 Jan07 Nov30 Oct29 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  WHITTINGTON PARK Jan13 Aug13 Jul01 May29 Apr14 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
3  DR ARDITO Dec29 Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Aug11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
4  OVERSTEP Jan27 Dec30 Dec02 Feb19 Jan26 (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 14% 6.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MODEST MAVEN by UNCLE MO)
5  ANEJO May14 Apr06 Feb11 Jan05 Dec01 (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of TIFFANY TWISTED by THUNDER GULCH)
6  MAMA'S GOLD Jan27 Jan13 Dec03 Oct20 Oct07 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  MAKER'S CANDY Jan27 Dec17 Nov04 Oct07 Aug27 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
AQU-9   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH STORM Feb03 Jan04 Dec10 Oct05 Jul26 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 122 8.00 ★    
2  SUPPORT THE CAT Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 Nov22 Oct16 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
3  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Jan26 Jan07 Nov18 Oct27   (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RING ME Jan18         (terranova )RIVERA R 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  GOOD REUNION Feb18 Jan04 Dec09 Nov10   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  PERFECT OUTCOME Feb03 Dec10 Nov04 Oct21 Sep21 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
7  SOMAMA BEACH Dec07 Nov10 Sep21 Aug19 Jul09 (jerkens stev)HARKIE K 122 50.00    
8  QOROKWE Feb03         (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
SCR  FIRST SONS Jan18 Dec07       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
SCR  FOUR EYES Feb03 Jan18 Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
11  SIN NOMBRE Jan26 Jan04 Dec07 Nov10 Aug20 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 5% 17.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.