Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $18.10 $12.10 202%
TAM-5   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-5 $25.40 $16.40 182%
    DD (1/5/2)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-7 $24.70 $15.70 174%
    PK3 (3/8/4/9)-(1/5/2)-(3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-2-7 $31.40 $13.40 74%
TAM-8   TRI (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-4-2 $17.75 $5.75 48%
TAM-10   EXA (1/8/5/12/6)-(1/8/5/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-1 $24.20 $4.20 21%
    TRI (1/8/5/12/6)-(1/8/5/12/6)-(1/8/5/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-1-8 $42.15 $12.15 41%
Simulator Race results
 
TAM-1   01/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:34
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:404   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NAUTILUS (BRZ) 4 4 21 2½ 2nk 11½ 11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 0.70  
2  CATATUMBO 1 2 31½ 42 33 32 21 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00 5% 17.40 9.20 P
14  BOLD MEDICATION 9 6 52½ 53 53¾ 43 33¼ (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 10.00  
8  NEW YORK PANTHER 5 9 73½ 63½ 65¾ 55½ 47¼ (nunn dougla)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 18.60  
13  ALVY 8 7 94¾ 95 76¾ 67 59½ (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 4.00 7% 12.70 8.20  
10  SANDY LANE KITTEN 7 5 11 1½ 1nk 21½ 69¾ (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 119 10.00 55% 0.80 9.80  
3  RUNAWAY READY 2 1 62½ 73½ 87¾ 78½ 712¾ (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 20.00 20.60  
6  ON THE ENGINE 3 3 42 31½ 43½ 89 819¾ (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 6.00 9% 10.10 8.80  
9  DAMIR 6 8 83¾ 84½ 911¼ 921 943½ (galvan baltaz)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 ★ 32.80  
SCR  GHOST OF KHOZAN               (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 119 30.00    
SCR  GRADED ON A CURVE               (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
SCR  INITFORTHELOVE               (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
SCR  KARTANO               (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 3.00    
SCR  SPIRITUAL KING               (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 6.00    
 
TAM-2   01/13/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:161 1:421   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THE GODDESS NIKE 2 1 11½ 11 11 11½ 16 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00 4.20  
1  RITZ ON BROADWAY 1 5 32½ 41½ 21 32 26 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.50 10% 8.70 4.00 P
5  JASSAI 4 6 74¼ 31½ 41¼ 21½ 36¾ (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.90 S
3  LITERATI 3 2 21½ 21 31 53 48¾ (morey william )CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 ★ 6.10  
7  GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME 6 3 53 52½ 52¾ 42 59½ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.00 39% 1.50 2.20  
6  MONEYSLOT 5 7 64 73¼ 64¾ 68½ 622½ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 20.00 14.00  
8  GULF COAST GIRL 7 4 43 62¾ 75¼ 710½ 723¾ (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00 18.60  
SCR  SOFSTER               (hayford je)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50    
SCR  SUPER SNEAKY               (potts wayne)ALICEA JEREMY 113 20.00    
 
TAM-3   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISTERCHILLIWILLI 2 5 11 12½   18½ 111½ (simone michael )CENTENO E 118 2.50 29% 2.40 1.10 W
8  CHARLIE LIGHTNING 7 1 21 22½   28½ 211½ (crichton roh)ARROYO S 118 3.50 25% 3.00 2.50 P
1  ETRETAT 1 8 84¾ 75½   39 312 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 11.90  
9  SAN ANDRES 8 4 42 33   510 414 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 12% 7.50 6.30  
5  JEST ABOVE 4 6 63½ 86   712 514¼ (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 12.00 23.00  
10  TUCKER ROAD 9 3 73¾ 54½   610½ 614¼ (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 ★ 9.80  
4  MEROKEE 3 7 52½ 43½   410 717½ (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 13% 6.90 11.90  
6  GREENPOINT 5 2 32 64½   815 822¾ (hunt donald)ALLEN D 118 8.00 32.40  
7  WOOTDAREITIS 6 9 96¼ 99   925 940¼ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 70.20  
SCR  DISCREET DEVIL               (ochoa gerar)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 15.00    
 
TAM-4   01/13/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:144 1:392   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH 2 5 41½ 42 41¼ 2nk 12¼ (wilkes r)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 7% 12.80 2.80 W
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LAC DU PRINTEMPS by MEADOWLAKE)
1  AFRICAN WATERS 1 6 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 22¼ (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 2.00 47% 1.10 2.70 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of VAULCLUSE by A.P. INDY)
6  DIVINE (IRE) 6 4 31½ 31½ 3.2 31½ 32¾ (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 6.00 3.30  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WORSHIPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  EYES OF GOLD 5 3 52½ 53 52¼ 53½ 49 (demeritte la)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50 16% 5.20 2.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
4  LUCKY COMBINATION 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 42 510 (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50 6.10  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of LUCKY NUMBER by POLISH NUMBERS)
3  FAR ABOVE 3 2 63 63½ 63¼ 64 613½ (dobber arnoud )CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00 61.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MAGICA STRIPES by EQUAL STRIPES (ARG))
 
TAM-5   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MANAGING MISCHIEF 7 1 1½ 11   12 12 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 5.00 11% 8.10 3.00 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ENCHANTING ESSENCE by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  FLUFFY 5 3 74¼ 52   32½ 22 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 ★ 11.90 P
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of HAUNTING MELODY by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  THE DOVE RULES 2 2 41½ 42   22 32½ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 12.00 15.90  
  (by BUCCHERO out of MY SWEET DOVE by HELLO BROADWAY)
1  ISABELLE ANNE 1 6 52½ 63   65½ 49 (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 120 2.50 31% 2.30 4.30  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CICADA'S SONG by TWIRLING CANDY)
3  CHANTILLY ROAD 3 7 2½ 21   44 59½ (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 32% 2.10 1.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
6  HOT CANDY 6 4 62¾ 74½   710 613¼ (pletcher)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 3.80  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of RED HOT BERTIE by TABASCO CAT)
4  ONE SPECIAL ACT 4 5 3½ 31½   55½ 713¾ (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 113 8.00 22.40  
  (by KHOZAN out of SCANDALOUS ACT by ACT OF DUTY)
 
TAM-6   01/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wayward Lass Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:124 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPUS FORTY TWO 1 4 31 31 41¼ 52½ 1¾ (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 1.40 3.20  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
4  DREAM CONCERT 4 2 21 21 2nk 1nk 2¾ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 1.60 P
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of SPANISH CONCERT by CONCERTO)
6  MAGICAL LUTE 6 6 64¼ 42½ 31 31 31¼ (wilkes r)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 ★ 3.70 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of STREET SONG by FLATTER)
2  LIBBAN 2 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 41¼ (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 1.80 67% 0.50 2.30  
  (by LAOBAN out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
5  SOUL OF AN ANGEL 5 5 54 65½ 51¼ 41½ 52½ (james gerald)MORELOS E 118 10.00 17.60  
  (by ATREIDES out of FACTOR ONE by THE FACTOR)
3  SHE'S MY WARRIOR 3 3 42½ 53½ 62¾ 69½ 619½ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 33.80  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of GARDEN GLOVES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
TAM-7   01/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gasparilla Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC LAKE 1 3 11 11½   1½ 1¾ (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.20 43% 1.30 0.80 W
  (by MO TOWN out of SALTY SOUL by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
6  GORGEOUS GIRL (ARG) 5 2 31½ 63¾   32 2¾ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 4.00  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IMA JERSEY GIRL by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
8  CORINTH 7 5 21 21½   2½ 32¾ (munoz )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 30.00 87.10  
  (by STREET BOSS out of MEGARA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  GENUINE PERIL 6 1 75¼ 75¼   65 47½ (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 118 20.00 40.10  
  (by ENTICED out of SHOYOYA by MACHO UNO)
5  GIRVIN'S PRINCESS 4 7 62¾ 32½   44½ 510 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50 20% 3.90 2.70  
  (by GIRVIN out of DUDE'S PRINCESS by FIRST DUDE)
3  D'LIGHTFUL SUMMER 2 6 41½ 52¾   54½ 610¼ (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00 ★ 17.50  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HOT SUMMER by MALIBU MOON)
4  RUNAWAY DIVA 3 4 51¾ 42½   76½ 713¾ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 10.00 14% 5.90 7.50  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of THEE PIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  COPPER BOUND               (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LOUISVILLE FIRST by GIROLAMO)
 
TAM-8   01/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NIGHT CAP 3 5 31 2nk   2nk 1½ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.60 W
4  FLAG WOMAN 4 2 1nk 1nk   3.2 2½ (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 119 3.50 35% 1.90 6.40 P
2  HIHELLOHOWAREYOU 2 7 63¼ 52   41¾ 31 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 6% 16.80 4.60 S
1  AWESOME PIC 1 6 41¼ 41   1nk 41½ (smith g)CENTENO E 119 8.00 2.90  
5  PASSIONFORTREASURE 5 8 86¾ 73¾   66¼ 57¾ (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00 11% 7.80 27.90  
8  MERCY WARREN 8 1 2nk 3½   53¼ 69½ (o'connor r)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00 8.90  
6  JUMEIRAH 6 3 52¾ 63½   78¾ 714¼ (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00 50.80  
7  ITSAKEYPER 7 4 74¼ 84¼   812¼ 822½ (albertrani )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00 8.70  
 
TAM-9   01/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Pasco Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:104     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOOK'EM DANNO 3 5 53½ 41¼   12½ 112½ (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.50 68% 0.50 0.10 W
  (by BUCCHERO out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
1  WEST SARATOGA 1 3 43 31   34½ 212½ (demeritte larr)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.80 4.50  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MO WICKED by UNCLE MO)
7  RATHMORE 6 1 31½ 51¼   22½ 312¾ (albertra)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.40 S
  (by CUPID out of TEMPERATURE RUNNIN by STORMIN FEVER)
6  EL PRINCIPITO 5 4 2nk 2nk   45½ 414¼ (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00 99.30  
  (by ACCELERATE out of ROXIE FAST MOON by MALIBU MOON)
2  BATI KING 2 6 65 66¼   59 516¾ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 30.00 64.40  
  (by MO TOWN out of SWEET BABY BEA by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  BANDED ROCKET 4 2 1nk 1nk   610½ 626 (o'connell ka)ZAYAS J 118 10.00 6% 14.60 13.30  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SCION POWER by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  CRAZY MASON               (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 118 4.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of IZSHELEGAL by MARIA'S MON)
 
TAM-10   01/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CALLIHOO 6 5 1½ 11   12 14¼ (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.60 W
1  WYNN TRIP 1 6 53 41½   22 24¼ (robertson m)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 5.00 36% 1.80 3.90 P
8  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY 8 3 43 31½   43½ 36 (smith robert )SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 32% 2.10 3.10 S
2  SEAX 2 9 1010¾ 107¾   55½ 46¾ (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 122 8.00 12.00  
7  IM STILL BRAVE 7 2 32½ 51¾   33½ 57¾ (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00 10.50  
4  HOLLYWOOD HERO 4 11 1111¾ 119¾   1010¼ 612½ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 20.00 51.10  
3  GRAND FESTIVAL 3 8 64 63¾   67½ 715 (campbell )RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 88.80  
11  INSTIGATING 10 10 85¾ 84¾   99¼ 815¼ (spanabel kell)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00 79.10  
12  NOBLE AND KIND 11 1 96¾ 96¾   89 916 (bennett ger)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
5  FLAVIAN 5 7 74¼ 74¾   78½ 1017¼ (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50 8% 12.30 4.40  
10  SIR AUSTIN 9 4 2½ 21   1112¼ 1127 (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00 15.10  
SCR  CITY HUMOR               (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
SCR  MYSPECIALVALENTINE               (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
SCR  SEMINOLE AUSTIN               (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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