The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - March 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.90 $9.90 3.90
AQU-2   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $40.00 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.80 -6.00
AQU-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
AQU-5   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
AQU-6   Win (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
AQU-7   Win (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -3.10
AQU-8   Win (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ENGINE 2 3 6 6   41½ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 14% 6.30 3.95 W
PRINTRACK 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 0.60 59% 0.70 0.30 P
BOURBON'S HOPE 3 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3¾ (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00 34.75  
NOLO CONTESTO 5 4 3½ 34   346 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 120 5.00 8% 12.30 7.20  
CAN'T BEAT ME 6 5 5 5   55(barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 26.25  
HORN OF PLENTY 1 6 41 4   66(barrera oscar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 26.00  
 
AQU-2   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSARIA 2 1 2½ 2½   1nk 1(hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 19.00  
SOLOSHOT 1 2 1½ 1½   2nk 2(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 45% 1.20 1.25 P
DORTH'S SOL DANCER 5 3 3 3   34 37 (ferraro an)RIVERA R 120 6.00 10% 9.40 2.60 S
TAVIN 4 5 5 55   44(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 3.90  
SPEIGHTS DANCE 3 4 4 4   57 510¾ (duggan p)LUZZI J 120 2.50 22% 3.50 3.45  
SCR  AMY'S LIGHT               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
 
AQU-3   03/03/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDDLE MARKET 7 4 4 44   31(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 4.40  
RALEIGH ST. CLAIR 4 1 6 6   2nk 2(ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 11.90  
SOUNDS LIKE FUN 6 3 1½ 12   1nk 3(pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 33.25  
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 3 7 7 79   544 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 5.50  
CONNIVING 2 6 5 55   44 5(chapman k)LUZZI J 120 10.00 7% 13.40 14.20  
HAVE YOU HEARD 1 5 31 32   65 612¾ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 66% 0.50 0.65  
HEARD ON THESTREET 5 2 2½ 22   76 714¾ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
 
AQU-4   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED 5 1 11 11   1½ 1¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 17% 4.70 1.60 W
COWAN 4 4 21 21   3½ 2¼ (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 16% 5.40 5.80 P
THRILL OF IT 3 5 53 42   4¾ 3¼ (terranova jo)RIVERA R 123 3.00 2.70  
SECRET RULES 2 2 4 54   54(falcone )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 4.00 27% 2.70 7.00  
1A  SAFFA'S DAY 1 3 31 3   2½ 5(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00 2.65  
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (jacobson david)LUZZI J 118 2.00    
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET               (jones e)ADORNO ABNER 123 12.00    
 
AQU-5   03/03/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:124 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAZON 7 3 5 53 1nk 11(pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00 9% 10.20 3.30 W
CAVENDISH 3 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 22(russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 42% 1.40 2.25 P
PHANTOM JEWEL 8 8 6 6 55 36 310¾ (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 126 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60 S
LEVEL UP 1 1 3½ 2nk 32 46 413¼ (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 6.00 4.80  
DUDLEY DICKERSON 6 7 7 75 7 6514 (moore michael )HADDOCK DEXTER 126 4.00 21% 3.80 6.50  
A LISTER 5 2 4 4 4 5615¼ (pringle )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 20.00 26.75  
PINE ALLEY 2 5 2nk 31 6 7722¾ (ryerson t)LUZZI J 126 30.00 28.50  
SHAMROCK SHAKE 4 6 810 813 812¼ 813¼ 825 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00 5.80  
SCR  GROWTH MINDSET               (walder pete)CAMACHO JR 126 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE EDDIE               (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
 
AQU-6   03/03/2024 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BROWN SUGAR 5 3 3 31   11(barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 10% 8.80 5.10 W
SOHANA 4 4 1nk 1nk   22(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20 1.50 P
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 7 6 53 54   34 3(chichakly amir)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 5.50  
BROWN SUGA BABE 2 1 7 76   65 4(jones mi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00 43.00  
CITY BLOCKS 3 7 6 65   75(barker edwar)RIVERA R 122 4.00 2.75  
SCARLET'S DREAM 1 5 4 4   56(reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 19% 4.30 5.80  
MY PERFECT MISTAKE 6 2 2nk 2nk   4712¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
 
AQU-7   03/03/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:131 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARA PARA 5 5 5 52 1½ 13 12 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 43% 1.30 0.45 W
JSK LUCKY'S PUSHPA 6 3 2½ 21 3½ 422 (lake a)OCASIO M 120 15.00 7.80  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 8 6 31 4 6 54 32 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 120 10.00 32% 2.10 8.60 S
SHIGEKO 7 4 63 6 5 33 43 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
STARRY MIDNIGHT 2 1 42 31 4¾ 23 54 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5.20  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 2 1½ 11 2½ 66(jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00 49.25  
LAVON 4 7 7 7 7 7711¾ (coffey marialic)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 33.50  
ICE LOVE 1 8 84 8 8 811¼ 814 (ferraro an)RIVERA R 120 30.00 52.25  
SCR  LADY FORTUNA               (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
SCR  SAIL WITH THE WIND               (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
 
AQU-8   03/03/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME GLO 5 1 1 1   11(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 10% 9.50 1.80 W
DANCING LIANA 2 5 5 35   32(ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 69% 0.50 1.25 P
KHALI'S STORM 3 3 2 2   23(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 3.25 S
EAST HARBOR 1 2 4 4   44 4(sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 20.00 12.00  
ALOTTA JAYS 4 4 32 5   512 518¼ (schettino domin)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 10.50  
SCR  DACTILOGRAFA               (jimenez l)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
SCR  JEN'S KISS               (quick j)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS               (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50    
SCR  MISS REBEL               (terranova jo)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST               (david carlo)CAMACHO JR 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.