Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/4/6)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(1/2/5)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/6/7/8)-(4/1/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/8)-(4/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/8)-(4/1/5/6)-(6/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6)-(6/9/8)-(4/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/8)-(6/9/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/8)-(6/9/3/8)-(6/9/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/8)-(4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/9)-(4/9/7)-(4/9/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORN OF PLENTY Feb04 Jan01 Dec15 Oct17 Sep21 (barrera osc)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
2  BIG ENGINE Feb16 Jan12 Jan04 Dec09 Nov30 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 14% 6.30    
3  BOURBON'S HOPE Feb19 Jan27 Jan12 Dec30 Dec07 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
4  PRINTRACK Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 Oct04 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 0.60 59% 0.70    
5  NOLO CONTESTO Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Sep22 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
6  CAN'T BEAT ME Jan06 Nov21 Nov06 Oct09 Sep11 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
 
AQU-2   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMY'S LIGHT Feb11 Jan05       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
2  SOLOSHOT Feb09 Dec16 Nov18 Sep25 Aug27 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
3  MYSARIA Feb09 Jan11 Dec03 Nov10 Oct21 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
4  SPEIGHTS DANCE Jan05 Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 Sep16 (duggan p)LUZZI J 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  TAVIN Jan18 Jan01 Nov26 Nov09 Oct21 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
6  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Jan18 Nov20 Oct10 Sep21 Aug28 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
AQU-3   03/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVE YOU HEARD Jan27 Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 Oct21 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 66% 0.50    
2  CONNIVING Feb16 Sep29 Sep11     (chapman james )LUZZI J 120 10.00 7% 13.40    
3  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Jan28 Nov11 Oct27 Sep16   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 ★    
4  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR Feb02 Dec10 Nov02     (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
5  HEARD ON THESTREET Feb10 Jan12       (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Jan27 Nov09       (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
7  MIDDLE MARKET Jan27 Oct27 Aug19     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
AQU-4   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SAFFA'S DAY Jan07 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Jun09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE Jan12 Dec10 May04 Apr01 Feb25 (jacobson david)LUZZI J 118 2.00    
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET Feb15 Jan25 Dec16 Nov27 Nov14 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 123 12.00    
3  SECRET RULES Dec17 Aug13 Jul14 Jun22 May20 (falcon)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  THRILL OF IT Feb09 Jan01 Dec07 Nov04 Oct04 (terranova )RIVERA R 123 3.00    
5  COWAN Feb19 Feb03 Dec23 Nov24 Oct27 (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  DISARMED Jan28 Dec16 Oct29 Sep28 Sep01 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 17% 4.70    
 
AQU-5   03/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEVEL UP Jun25 Jun03 May20 Apr27 Apr13 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 6.00    
2  PINE ALLEY Jan14 Nov25 Jun04 May20 May05 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 126 30.00    
3  CAVENDISH Feb14 Dec26 Apr08     (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  SHAMROCK SHAKE Feb16 Dec08 Oct27 Sep02 Jul29 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
5  A LISTER Feb10 Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov19 (pringl)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 20.00    
6  DUDLEY DICKERSON Feb05 Jan01 Dec10 Nov17 Oct24 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  HAZON Jan04 Nov19       (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00 9% 10.20    
8  PHANTOM JEWEL Jan28 Jan01 Nov26 Nov10 Sep05 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE EDDIE Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 Sep03 Aug26 (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
SCR  GROWTH MINDSET Feb10 Jan19 Dec01 Nov24 Nov02 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 126 15.00    
 
AQU-6   03/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET'S DREAM Jan19 Dec09 Nov16 Oct22   (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  BROWN SUGA BABE Feb08 Jan07 Dec08 Nov25 Oct25 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 122 20.00    
3  CITY BLOCKS Feb10 Jan06 Dec31 Oct01   (barker edw)RIVERA R 122 4.00    
4  SOHANA Feb09 Dec31       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Feb09 Jan14 Nov06 Oct18   (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 10% 8.80    
6  MY PERFECT MISTAKE Feb09 Dec16 Nov10     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Feb09 Jan28 Jan06 Dec28   (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50    
 
AQU-7   03/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY FORTUNA Feb11 Jan07 Nov26 Sep03 Jul22 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
SCR  SAIL WITH THE WIND Feb11 Nov19 Oct19 Oct01 Aug27 (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
2  ICE LOVE Dec31 Nov20 Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 30.00    
3  STARRY MIDNIGHT Jan07 Jan01 Dec03 Apr16 Feb19 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR Feb19 Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
5  LAVON Jan12 Dec15 Nov25 Oct19 Aug11 (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
6  KARA PARA Jan07 Oct19 Sep22 Aug23 Aug04 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 43% 1.30    
7  JSK LUCKY'S PUSHPA Jan30 Jan02 Dec06 Oct11 Aug28 (lake a)OCASIO M 120 15.00    
8  SHIGEKO Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Jan26 Dec30 Dec08 Nov18 Oct26 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 10.00 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-8   03/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS REBEL         (terranova )RIVERA R 120 6.00    
2  EAST HARBOR Feb19         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
SCR  JEN'S KISS Jan18         (quick patrick )LUZZI J 120 12.00    
4  DANCING LIANA         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 69% 0.50    
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST Feb09 Jan28 Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 (david car)CAMACHO JR 120 4.50    
SCR  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Dec31 Dec02       (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50    
7  KHALI'S STORM Feb16 Jan11 Dec16 Aug27   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 ★    
8  ALOTTA JAYS Feb03 Jan11 Nov24 Oct20 Aug02 (schettino dom)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
9  AWESOME GLO Feb16 Feb03 Dec16 Oct08 Sep01 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  DACTILOGRAFA Feb16 Jan18 Dec28 Dec16 Nov19 (jimenez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.