The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - February 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $19.80 $19.80 15.80
CT-2   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
CT-3   Win (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
CT-4   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $37.20 -6.00
CT-5   Win (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
CT-6   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
CT-7   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
CT-8   Win (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $7.00 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALIFLY 3 3 3½ 1½   11 1(sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 6% 17.10 8.90 W
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND 1 6 610 612   46 2(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 10.10  
ONE MORE FACTOR 4 4 42 2½   21 3(maldonado)BRICENO GREGOR 124 3.50 1.70  
CAYENNE CREEK 5 5 57 4   54(davis e)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 25.70  
FIRST HOMESTEAD 6 1 1½ 3   36 5(meyers shan)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 71% 0.40 1.40  
REY O REYES 2 2 2½ 58   6615¼ (brown w)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.00 3.50  
 
CT-2   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:222 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 4 1 1nk     11(dollinger-s)BOCACHICA J 115 1.80 30% 2.40 2.10 W
SHENANDOAH CAT 3 4 2nk     22(reynolds)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 2.10  
AT THE HALF 5 5 5     45 3(davis rus)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 7.10  
WINDSOR'S PLAY 1 3 32     343 (rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 12% 7.50 5.50  
LIME AFTER LIME 6 2 6     65(atkins g)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 30.50  
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 2 6 44     57 611¼ (murdock ste)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 31% 2.30 2.70  
 
CT-3   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEROKEE CASTLE 2 5 2½     13 1(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 9% 9.80 1.70 W
WHALE OF A TIME 3 4 4     23 2(contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 9.20  
KEEP ON SPURRIN 5 3 32     33 35 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 2.50 60% 0.70 1.60 S
DIXIE YODELER 1 6 610½     646 (davis e)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
PURE NONSENSE 7 2 5     55(gillespie r)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 4.20  
ICY STARE 6 1 1½     4614½ (jones a)CHILO JACINTO 120 30.00 60.80  
LOVE OF GRACE 4 7 718½     712¾ 716¼ (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 6% 16.50 7.90  
 
CT-4   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWN SUGA BABE 3 4 5 35   23 11 (jones e)ACOSTA D 116 6.00 17.60  
LATE NITE MISTRESS 1 3 11 12   13 21 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.20 17% 4.80 0.60 P
ESME 2 5 21 22   33(king l)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 41% 1.40 6.60 S
OREO ANGEL 5 6 4 4   4410 (hess g)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 16% 5.20 3.90  
SKY BUY 6 2 6 6   5511 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00 9.60  
UNCONSCIOUS MIND 4 1 3 5   6618¼ (davis russe)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 7.00  
 
CT-5   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN COLLECTOR 5 2 33 1½   13 1(viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 23% 3.30 1.10 W
RAINBOW DAY 2 4 23 3½   32(runco c)CULLUM W 120 10.00 5.10  
HE ROLLS 4 1 13 2½   23 3(dove jr)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 8.30  
HERE COMES ELI 1 5 5 4   45 410 (clouston edwa)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 16% 5.10 4.00  
STRATEGIC (AUS) 3 3 4 56   511 517½ (clouston edward)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 23% 3.30 2.70  
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE               (deiter k)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  TREJO               (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SCR  YO VINNIE               (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 1.80    
 
CT-6   02/08/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:131 1:393   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN ANDREWS 4 4 5 43 32 13 1(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 21% 3.80 1.40 W
WALK AWAY JOE 6 3 3 3 45 46 2(capuano )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 7.40  
GOODLUCKCHUCK 3 1 11 1½ 21 34 3(lawrence james )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.50 14% 6.00 1.90 S
POLAR WIND 1 5 4 54 56 57 4(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 5.70  
MASTER THIS 2 6 6 67 68 65(murdock stephen)MAWING A 120 12.00 22.70  
HANALEI'S HOUDINI 5 2 21 2½ 11 23 610 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 33% 2.00 5.30  
 
CT-7   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:214 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNCAN IDAHO 4 2 1nk     1nk 1¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 42% 1.40 0.30 W
BAYTOWN FROSTY 6 1 2nk     2nk 2¾ (mcentee paul)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 23% 3.30 17.80 P
TAP SECRET 3 5 4     43¾ (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 9.80  
AMIDSHIPS 2 4 33     33 41 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 5.00 10% 9.00 3.20  
INSIDE RISK 1 6 66     66 5(caison l)MAWING A 120 30.00 47.30  
GOLDEN G 5 3 55     55 6(gillespie r)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 23.10  
 
CT-8   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:222 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONARY 1 4 12     11¾ (sigler r)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50 2.50  
DE'S CASTLE 5 1 22     22¾ (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 9% 9.70 1.80 P
BEAR'S ESTATE 3 6 34     33(garrido rau)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 34.70  
PINNACLE REEF 6 2 5     44(runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 5.00 3.10  
ROCKING TO HOME 2 5 4     58 5(obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 8.50  
JEFFERSON SECURITY 4 7 710     710½ 69 (carson laur)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 12.00 55.00  
DEVIL'S CANYON 7 3 6     69 710¼ (meyers shane)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 63% 0.60 4.30  
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR               (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.