Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/1)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/1)-(2/1/5)-(8/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(8/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(8/6/3)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/3)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3)-(5/4/3)-(4/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/6/2)-(8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Dec08 Sep14 Jul06 Jun03 Mar31 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00    
REY O REYES Dec06 Nov18 Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 (brown ronney )CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.00    
QUALIFLY Jun21 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 Nov15 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 6% 17.10    
ONE MORE FACTOR Jan24 Dec08 Nov22 Sep22 Aug25 (maldona)BRICENO GREGOR 124 3.50    
CAYENNE CREEK Jan04 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 (davis e)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
FIRST HOMESTEAD Jan18 Nov01 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 (meyers sh)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 71% 0.40    
 
CT-2   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S PLAY Jan18 Jan03 Dec13 Nov25 Nov03 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Jan03 Nov08 Oct21 Sep16 Sep07 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
SHENANDOAH CAT Jan27 Jan03 Nov30 Jul21 May26 (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 Nov08 Oct27 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 115 1.80 30% 2.40    
AT THE HALF Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
LIME AFTER LIME Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 Jan21 Jan14 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
 
CT-3   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE YODELER Dec14 Nov25 Nov10 Oct21 Sep07 (davis e)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHEROKEE CASTLE Jan26 Jan10 Dec04 Nov10 Nov02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 9% 9.80    
WHALE OF A TIME Dec14 Nov12 Oct25 Sep07 Aug02 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00    
LOVE OF GRACE Dec04 Oct26 Sep30 Aug19 Jul28 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 6% 16.50    
KEEP ON SPURRIN Jan03 Dec06 Nov08 Sep07 Aug19 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
ICY STARE Jan18 Aug24 Aug18 Jul15 Jun15 (jones royland)CHILO JACINTO 120 30.00    
PURE NONSENSE Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 Nov02 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
 
CT-4   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE NITE MISTRESS Jan04 Dec06 Jun16 Apr19   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.20 17% 4.80    
ESME Dec27 Dec02 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 (king l)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
BROWN SUGA BABE Jan07 Dec08 Nov25 Oct25 Sep28 (jones e)ACOSTA D 116 6.00    
UNCONSCIOUS MIND Jan03 Dec15 Nov04 Oct13 Sep22 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
OREO ANGEL Jan24 Jan03 Nov08     (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
SKY BUY Jan26 Dec15 Nov25 Oct27 Oct05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TREJO Dec13 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SCR  YO VINNIE Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 Sep01 Aug11 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 1.80    
HERE COMES ELI Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct16   (clouston ed)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
RAINBOW DAY Jan10 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20   (runco c)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE Dec14 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 (deiter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
STRATEGIC (AUS) Dec04 Nov11 Oct15 Aug13 Jul04 (clouston edward)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
HE ROLLS Jan12 Jan05 Dec15 Sep08 Aug26 (dove jr)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
GUN COLLECTOR Dec14 Nov22 Oct17 May06 Mar28 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
CT-6   02/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLAR WIND Jan18 Jan05 Dec13 Dec06 Nov07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
MASTER THIS Jan25 Dec13 Dec06 Oct21 Sep30 (murdock stephen)MAWING A 120 12.00    
GOODLUCKCHUCK Dec27 Dec08 Oct20 Oct06 Aug26 (lawrence jame)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.50 14% 6.00    
GRAN ANDREWS Dec08 Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 21% 3.80    
HANALEI'S HOUDINI Dec27 Nov29 Nov19 Nov01 Oct21 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
WALK AWAY JOE Dec22 Dec03 Nov10 Jul14 Jun09 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE RISK Jan31 Jan10 Dec14 Nov29 Nov03 (caison l)MAWING A 120 30.00    
AMIDSHIPS Jan18 Dec14 Nov16 Aug17 May19 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 5.00 10% 9.00    
TAP SECRET Jan25 Dec16 Nov29 Oct07 Sep21 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
DUNCAN IDAHO Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 Sep21 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 42% 1.40    
GOLDEN G Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
BAYTOWN FROSTY Jan18 Oct21 Aug17 Jun11 Jan12 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-8   02/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONARY Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Oct07 Mar30 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50    
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Jan31 Dec01 Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
ROCKING TO HOME Jan18 Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00    
BEAR'S ESTATE Jan18 Nov02 Oct16 Aug19 Jul08 (garrido r)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
JEFFERSON SECURITY Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 Aug19 May20 (carson la)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 12.00    
DE'S CASTLE Feb02 Dec01 Nov09 Oct27 Oct05 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 9% 9.70    
PINNACLE REEF Jan18 Dec01 Nov09 Oct16 Aug31 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 5.00    
DEVIL'S CANYON Jan18 Nov07 Oct31 Oct11 Aug18 (meyers shan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 63% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.