The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 7.60
CT-2   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.20 -6.00
CT-3   Win (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $11.60 -6.00
CT-4   Win (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
CT-5   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
CT-6   Win (4/1/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -3.80
CT-7   Win (7/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
CT-8   Win (6/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $18.20 -8.00
CT-9   Win (11/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $13.20 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   01/27/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHENANDOAH CAT 5 3 1nk     1nk 1½ (reynolds)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80 W
THUNDER PUNCH 6 2 2nk     2nk 2½ (adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.30 P
CLEARLY VISIBLE 3 5 5     43(clatterbuck fre)BATISTA C 122 4.00 23% 3.30 4.30 S
GRANDIOSELY 1 7 3     345 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 27% 2.70 2.40  
CALYPSO GHOST 4 4 6     656 (harting chris )BATISTA A 122 8.00 9.80  
CHURCH KEY 2 6 4     56(harrison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 12.20  
HOP TO A DECISION 7 1 7     710¾ 7(harigeorgiou konsta)LARROSA G 122 30.00 42.50  
 
CT-2   01/27/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:223 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLEBOURBONGIRL 5 4 44     2½ 1(grams ti)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 4.10  
JUBA'S PUNCH 1 5 12     1½ 2(joy j)BATISTA A 124 2.00 71% 0.40 0.80 P
FLORIDIFIED 3 6 5     53(curtis l)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00 7.80  
CREME DE LA QUEEN 4 3 22     32 45 (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 5% 19.00 3.50  
EVEN SMARTER 7 2 612     67 5(mcclure d)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00 35.70  
RUMORGOINGAROUND 6 7 712½     768 (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 38.00  
10  PALACIO 8 1 32     47(rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 34.70  
OUR BREW 2 8 816½     8814¼ (rawlings ama)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SCR  GANGSTER AMERICANO               (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
SCR  THETA               (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00    
 
CT-3   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:152     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MONEY MACHINE 2 1 6 5   31nk (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 4.80  
CHANNEL SCENT 5 6 8 8   72nk (mcgill sylvester)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 38.90  
TRUST THE NUMBERS 3 4 7 7   53½ (jones mi)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50 32% 2.10 3.80 S
HERECOMES SCARLETT 4 2 44 33   44(davis e)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
SKYLAR'S SISTER 9 7 21 22   25(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 44% 1.30 0.90  
PALMARY 6 5 11 12   16(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 6.80  
MARTHARITA 7 8 5 43   67(horner g)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00 12.30  
WAVERLEY 1 3 914½ 911¼   811¼ 87 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 20.00 39.70  
WICKED SAUCY 8 9 31 65   920¼ 927¼ (calhoun amanda)REAP E 122 30.00 47.40  
 
CT-4   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISYPHUS 5 2 31 4   1½ 1(rose dav)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.80 67% 0.50 0.70 W
DR JACK FLYER 1 1 11 11   2½ 2(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 9% 9.50 2.50 P
DYNA POINT 4 5 7 611   539 (caiazzo corby)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00 24.20 S
ZONA DE AMIGOS 3 3 5 53   449 (penaloza miguel)MARTIN MATTIE 115 15.00 6.80  
LANIE'S FIRST DUDE 6 4 21 21   3515 (penaloza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 8.80  
REBEL WARRIOR 7 7 42 3   6618 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 48.00  
IT'S SAUL GOODMAN 2 6 6 712   713¼ 720¾ (galligan ge)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
SCR  BESOTTED               (atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00    
SCR  LAWYER UP RILEY               (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
 
CT-5   01/27/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:23 :47       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR 5 5 31     3.2 1½ (gotera carlo)LEON A 122 3.00 66% 0.50 1.70 W
ASSERT DOMINANCE 8 1 2nk     1nk 2½ (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 38.90  
SWEET SYNTAX 2 6 4     4¼ 3(brown ronne)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40 S
RUNAWAY ROAD 7 2 1nk     2nk 43 (figgins oll)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 12.00  
TAPIO (IRE) 3 4 5     55(viands stac)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 7.80  
VIOLENT ROCK 4 8 8     86(binning matthe)BATISTA A 122 4.50 12% 7.10 5.90  
POLITICAL DECISION 1 7 6     67(murtaugh )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 54.40  
CAJUN FUN 6 3 7     75 8(collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 1.80  
SCR  NICK'S LITTLE BOY               (capuano )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-6   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:151     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN CANDLE 3 1 21 2   1½ 13 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 36% 1.80 2.10 W
ANOTHER FINE JUBA 1 2 11 1   2½ 23 (boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 16% 5.40 2.10 P
QUINN ELIA 8 6 64 7   76 3(schiano-)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 4.80  
THELASTSAY 4 5 7 65   66 4(shuler john )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 9% 10.00 7.00 DH
SYMPTOMATIC 5 3 32 33   34 4(viands stacey)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 9% 10.10 7.70 DH
QUEEN SABINE 6 7 4 5   56(contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 20.50  
10  MY LUCKY DEIA 9 9 5 43   45 7(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 12.60  
SHOTGUN MARGARET 7 8 88 911   8810 (shuler r)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00 5% 19.00 47.70  
DREAM STREET ROSE 2 4 910 87   98 910¼ (jones micha)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00 36.00  
SCR  PARALLAX VIEW               (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 20.00    
 
CT-7   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S PARADE 6 5 6 5   31 1¼ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 61% 0.60 1.30 W
JUBA BABY 8 7 32 31   2½ 2¼ (keller christopher )HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60 P
EMBERLY 5 4 1nk 11   1½ 3(ramos agost)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 15.00 31.20  
EXTRA CRUNCHY 4 3 2nk 21   44(perri gina)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 23.90  
THUNDERTURTLE 3 6 8 63   63 5(runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 12.00 12.60  
UNCAPTURED RUBY 1 2 5 74   76 6(malgarini t)MAWING A 122 8.00 17.50  
TIMETOGETUP 2 1 4 42   57(petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00 28.40  
BARBERS POINT 7 8 7 85   811 825¼ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 17% 5.00 1.10  
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS               (horn eliz)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   01/27/2024 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144 1:42   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY 5 4 810½ 8 8 41½ (atkins m)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00 8.10  
LIEUTENANT BROWN 4 8 67 4 42 12½ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 30.40  
STROLLINGINTHEWIND 7 7 7 6 53 32 31 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00 6% 14.60 8.50 S
SUMMONING DENIS 1 1 5 7 64 54(petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
SCARE DEM 2 2 46 5 75 7510 (pyke joseph)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00 28.80  
YOU BET A FORTUNE 3 3 11 12 11 2610¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.40 24% 3.20 1.20  
HARPERSGONEFISHING 8 6 21 22 32 8715¼ (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 27.10  
PAPA LINGUINE 6 5 31 3 21 65 819 (johnson jamey)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 1.60 48% 1.10 1.90  
 
CT-9   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:161     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  A THOUSAND IDOLS 9 9 21 1nk   11¾ (harting chris )BATISTA A 124 3.00 5.60  
MACHISTO 2 2 710 6   22¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 20% 4.00 3.30 P
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS 4 10 6 4   32 32 (shanley )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00 15.50  
11  RUM CUP 10 8 56 5   53 4(grams c)REYNOLDS C 124 2.00 45% 1.20 5.20  
DOWSING ROD 8 7 911¼ 10   954 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 13% 6.50 1.70  
J G JETT 3 3 31 33   43 6(comi w)CHAVEZ ANDRES 109 20.00 64.30  
FLOOR IT 7 6 1011¼ 9   87(joy j)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00 22.80  
HOW U DOIN 1 1 811 8   78(sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
MONEY MAC 5 4 4 7   10916 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 20.00 59.00  
SOUTHERN SAINT 6 5 11 2nk   61016¾ (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 58.00  
SCR  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY               (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
SCR  RUSH TO CANDY               (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.