Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/2)-(9/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(9/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(9/3/4)-(7/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/4)-(9/3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/4)-(9/3/2/4/6)-(9/3/2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/3/4)-(7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4)-(7/1/3)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(5/4/2)-(4/1/5/6/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/1/5/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/1/5/6/8)-(7/8/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/1/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8)-(4/1/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6/8)-(7/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6/8)-(7/8/9)-(6/3/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/9)-(7/8/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/9)-(7/8/9/1)-(7/8/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/9)-(6/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9)-(6/3/7/1)-(11/2/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/1)-(11/2/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-9   WIN (11/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/9/1)-(11/2/9/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/2/9/1)-(11/2/9/10/1)-(11/2/9/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDIOSELY Jan12 Dec02 Nov11 Oct20 Sep29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  CHURCH KEY Dec13 Nov20 Nov07 Oct16 Sep14 (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
3  CLEARLY VISIBLE Jan05 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr15 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  CALYPSO GHOST Dec09 Nov18 Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
5  SHENANDOAH CAT Jan03 Nov30 Jul21 May26 May12 (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  THUNDER PUNCH Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
7  HOP TO A DECISION Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 Sep14 Aug31 (harigeorgiou kons)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
 
CT-2   01/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S PUNCH Jan03 Nov29       (joy j)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 71% 0.40    
2  OUR BREW Jan11 Dec16 Dec09 Nov02 Oct13 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GANGSTER AMERICANO Jan13 Nov15 Oct25 Oct13   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
SCR  THETA Jan11 Dec06 Nov08     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00    
5  FLORIDIFIED Jan03         (curtis)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
6  CREME DE LA QUEEN Jan13 Dec14 Dec07     (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  LITTLEBOURBONGIRL Jan05 Nov02       (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 ★    
8  RUMORGOINGAROUND Jan11 Dec14 Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
9  EVEN SMARTER Jan11 Dec14       (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
10  PALACIO Jan11 Dec07 Nov04 Oct13 Aug12 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
 
CT-3   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAVERLEY Dec08 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
2  THE MONEY MACHINE Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 Oct18 Sep29 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 ★    
3  TRUST THE NUMBERS Jan11 Dec13 Dec06 Oct08 Aug25 (jones )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
4  HERECOMES SCARLETT Nov11 Oct25 Oct05 Aug10 Jul29 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHANNEL SCENT Dec08 Nov30 Nov11 Aug12 Jul22 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
6  PALMARY Jan12 Dec10 Nov26     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 ★    
7  MARTHARITA Jan13 Jan03 Nov29 Oct22 Sep14 (horner ellen )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00    
8  WICKED SAUCY Jan03 Nov29 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 (calhoun amanda)REAP E 122 30.00    
9  SKYLAR'S SISTER Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Sep01 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 44% 1.30    
 
CT-4   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR JACK FLYER         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 9% 9.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TERM PAPER by PRIVATE TERMS)
SCR  LAWYER UP RILEY Dec21         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CALL PAT by LAWYER RON)
3  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN         (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of IT'S A TREND by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  ZONA DE AMIGOS Dec04 Nov08 Sep03 Aug06 Jul18 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 115 15.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TE ATATU by BANKER'S GOLD)
5  DYNA POINT         (caiazzo corb)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00 ★    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BESOTTED Dec01         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  SISYPHUS Jan18 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep14 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.80 67% 0.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
8  LANIE'S FIRST DUDE Dec27 Dec19 Nov30     (penalo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SAILING FREE by MIZZEN MAST)
9  REBEL WARRIOR Sep20 Aug25 Aug02     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBOUR NEWS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
CT-5   01/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLITICAL DECISION Jan11 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Oct13 (murtaug)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
2  SWEET SYNTAX Jan11 Dec02 Nov16 Oct06 Sep29 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAPIO (IRE) Jan11 Dec02 Nov10 Sep25 Aug26 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 ★    
4  VIOLENT ROCK Jan11 Nov15 Jul15 Jun23 Dec09 (binning matt)BATISTA A 122 4.50 12% 7.10    
5  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Jan15 Dec10 Nov21 Nov12 Sep23 (gotera car)LEON A 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
6  CAJUN FUN Jan05 Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50    
7  RUNAWAY ROAD Jan11 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Sep28 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
SCR  NICK'S LITTLE BOY Dec17 Dec01 Nov01 Oct07 Sep21 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
9  ASSERT DOMINANCE Sep28 Sep01 Aug19 Aug03 Jul16 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jan05 Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  PARALLAX VIEW Oct06 Aug31       (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
3  DREAM STREET ROSE Jan12         (jones mic)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PARTY CAKE by REPARATIONS)
4  ROMAN CANDLE Nov17 Oct27 Sep21     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of ROMAN CHARITY by ROMAN RULER)
5  THELASTSAY         (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
6  SYMPTOMATIC Jan05 Dec15 Nov24     (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IDEAL THOUGHTS by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  QUEEN SABINE Jan05 Dec15       (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
8  SHOTGUN MARGARET Dec15 Oct27 Oct12 Aug31   (shuler r)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
9  QUINN ELIA Jan05 Oct27 Sep21 Aug31   (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
10  MY LUCKY DEIA Jan12 Nov17 Nov02     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
 
CT-7   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 Nov16 Oct20 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 8.00 ★    
2  TIMETOGETUP Jan03 Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
3  THUNDERTURTLE Nov15 Sep14 Sep02 Jul22 Jun17 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 12.00    
4  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jan13 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct08 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
5  EMBERLY Jan12 Jan03 Dec08 Nov25 Nov16 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 15.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Jan05 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 Jul13 (horn el)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
7  JUBA'S PARADE Jan12 Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
8  BARBERS POINT Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep08 Aug15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 17% 5.00    
9  JUBA BABY Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   01/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMONING DENIS Dec09 Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 Oct14 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SCARE DEM Jan12 Dec16 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
3  YOU BET A FORTUNE Dec28 Dec12       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.40 24% 3.20    
4  LIEUTENANT BROWN Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 Oct06 Sep22 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
5  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
6  PAPA LINGUINE Jan05 Dec15       (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 1.60 48% 1.10    
7  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00 6% 14.60    
8  HARPERSGONEFISHING Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 
CT-9   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW U DOIN Dec23 Dec08 Nov21 Oct30 Oct18 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MACHISTO Jan10 Mar19 Jan21     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  RUSH TO CANDY Jan11 Nov10 Oct25 Oct05 Sep09 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
4  J G JETT Jan10 Dec01 Oct28 Sep28 Sep01 (comi w)CHAVEZ ANDRES 109 20.00    
5  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jan13 Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Oct13 (shanle)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00    
6  MONEY MAC Jan13 Dec13 Sep22 Jun24 Jun16 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
7  SOUTHERN SAINT Jan10 Dec06 Nov15 Nov02   (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
8  FLOOR IT Jan13 Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Aug19 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00    
9  DOWSING ROD Jan11 Dec22 Dec01 Nov10 Oct26 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 13% 6.50    
10  A THOUSAND IDOLS Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 Oct05 (harting chri)BATISTA A 124 3.00 ★    
11  RUM CUP Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep01 Oct30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Dec23 Dec01 Nov12 Oct28 Jul02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.