Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $16.00  
FG-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 3.60
FG-3   Win (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 13 1 0 $3.00  
FG-4   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
FG-5   Win (12/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
FG-6   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $5.00  
FG-7   Win (10/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
FG-8   Win (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAIT ON ME 2 7 5 3½   2nk 1 (hatcher nath)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 8.00 7.00  
WHAT CAN I SAY 3 1 11 1nk   1nk 2 (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 116 6.00 17% 4.80 5.30 P
TEXAS TIDELANDS 1 5 65 63   32 3 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 7.60  
HOT PATOOTIE 5 4 43 5   5 4 (ney john)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 5.00 10.90  
SHE'S MY PRIORITY 4 2 21 2nk   4 511 (broberg karl)LANERIE J 121 2.50 2.90  
GURKHA GOLD (IRE) 7 6 77 76   710 617¾ (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
GUANAJUATO 6 3 3 41   67 718¾ (brinkman br)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.00 53% 0.90 2.00  
 
FG-2   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:221 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL'S TOWER 4 5 45 21   1½ 11 (hernandez armando)GRAHAM J 120 1.60 33% 2.10 2.80 W
MISSED THE BOAT 3 2 32 3   3½ 21 (troiani n)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 3.80  
ALL WEST 1 4 5 44   43 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 3.20 S
SECRET RULES 5 1 12 11   2½ 4 (falcone rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.20 27% 2.70 1.10  
GIMME SOME MO 2 3 22 57   511 524¼ (munoz yovani)MELANCON G 120 20.00 27.00  
 
FG-3   12/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  SAINT SELBY 6 1 2nk 1nk   1 1 (atras rob)TORRES A 121 1.60 0.50  
PREMIUM 2 5 3 33   33 2 (hargrave ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 18.90  
SMOKIN RICHIE 1 3 1nk 2nk   2 3 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 121 4.00 29% 2.40 3.80 S
14  HE'S A BOMB 7 4 4 44   46 47 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 14.80  
HEZA PRIORITY 4 6 710¾ 712   610½ 5 (husak gar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00 16.30  
MEN OF KYLE 5 7 6 6   59 612 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 5.00 11% 7.80 11.70  
LYRICAL POET 3 2 5 58   712½ 728 (rodriguez hugo)NAVAS YOEL 116 8.00 22% 3.50 11.00  
SCR  ALICIA'S KID               (flint steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
SCR  CUSTOM KAT               (arey anthony)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  FIREINTHESTORM               (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  JAKE THE BAND MAN               (cravens ronnie)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  KLEINMEISTER               (arey anthony)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
SCR  SEVEN SCENTS               (breaux samuel)PARKER L 121 4.50    
SCR  SIGN OF WAR               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 12.00    
 
FG-4   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:133 1:27   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO MEDDLE 3 1 11 12 12 12 12 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 21% 3.80 3.10 W
IZEONDEC 6 3 5 5 3 3 22 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 3.00 P
OFFSHORE TITHE 7 6 21 22 22 22 3 (silva miguel)PARKER L 118 10.00 7.40  
FABLED RULER 2 5 67 6 59 48 45 (hargrave a)RIQUELME J 118 4.00 35% 1.90 1.90  
HUMOR ME PLEASE 5 4 79 713½ 712½ 610 511 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 6.00 14.70  
CLASSIC RUNNER 1 2 32 34 4 58 614¼ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 41.30  
CHILI RED 4 7 42 4 610 713 716¼ (terre david)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 23% 3.40 5.00  
 
FG-5   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:142 1:411   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SUNDAY BREEZE 7 7 6 6 53 2 1¾ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 30% 2.30 0.50 W
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 4 4 5 32 21 1 2¾ (turner patt)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00 13.00  
SILVER GALAXY 3 2 7 5 6 3 3¾ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 10.00 13% 6.40 5.70 S
TOUCHDOWN JOE 2 3 22 2 32 5 45 (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 6.80  
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT 1 1 12 1 11 43 5 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00 17.70  
10  PEPPER JACK 6 6 4 75 7 611½ 627¾ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00 14.60  
COFFEE COUNTY 5 5 32 43 43 713 743½ (cuccia j)MELANCON G 119 5.00 21% 3.80 9.10  
SCR  CALIBRACHOA KID               (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
SCR  CHARLIE G               (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 119 10.00    
SCR  DEER CROSSING               (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 119 3.50    
SCR  HUDSON'S TURN               (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
SCR  PERRINS               (stall m)LANERIE J 119 4.50    
 
FG-6   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLEMESILVER 6 2 2 22   2½ 11 (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 1.50  
AUTO DIAL 2 5 32 44   3 21 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 11.40  
MUSICAL MAESTRO 3 1 1 12   1½ 31 (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.70 S
BEAUTIFUL LIFE 5 4 43 3   4 4 (stall m)MURRAY M 122 3.50 13% 6.60 10.50  
FREE RAMBLING MAN 4 3 6 67   56 5 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 122 4.50 11% 8.40 7.40  
SOUTH SIDE 1 6 54 5   6 6 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 4.00 4.80  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 15.00    
 
FG-7   12/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN THE BREEZE 1 3 56 55   2nk 13 (robertson hugh)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 6% 15.60 4.60 W
10  CLEAR VOICE 5 4 3 3   1nk 23 (devaux cher)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 68% 0.50 0.30 P
11  MISCHIEVOUSNESS 6 5 4 44   54 3 (lovell michell)TORRES A 120 8.00 5% 18.30 10.00 S
GALADINI 4 2 2nk 1nk   31 4 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 6.40  
OH MACARENA 3 6 611½ 610½   6 5 (williamson brian)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 44.10  
SOTONA 2 1 1nk 2nk   42 6 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 24.00  
SCR  RENFREW               (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 5.00    
SCR  SARANAC LAKE               (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
SCR  TAMMY LYNN               (stall m)LANERIE J 120 2.50    
SCR  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
SCR  MATCHING ENERGY               (stidham micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING MYQUEEN               (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  JOKE MASTER               (maker j)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
SCR  TIPSY RUNNER               (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF               (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
SCR  FLEET FROST               (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 20.00    
 
FG-8   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:142 1:271   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN DOLLARS 2 3 36 3 3 11 1 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 121 1.80 46% 1.20 0.90 W
VERO CAMPIONE 7 5 510½ 4 4 21 2 (duke steven)MURRAY M 123 4.50 4.50 P
PUNCHIE 6 4 410 78 68 46 3 (duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00 61.60  
RENATI 4 7 712 5 8 810½ 411¼ (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 10.00 26.80  
LACEY'S STAR 3 8 813½ 66 7 7 511¼ (avant kelly)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00 57.10  
LINCOLN PRODUCTION 5 9 913½ 89 911 68 616¾ (duhon o)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
PARKER NOW 8 2 22 22 12 32 724¾ (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00 3.80  
ST PIERRE 1 6 611 9 57 56 833¼ (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 121 20.00 46.90  
RONALDS GATSBY 9 1 12 12 22 912 943¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 31% 2.20 7.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.