Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-3   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
FG-8   TRI (9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-3-10 $37.60 $7.60 25%
    SFT (9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-3-10-9 $24.03 $12.03 100%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN YA WIN 2 7 6 44   31 1 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.00 39% 1.50 1.60 W
CRUSADER EXPRESS 3 5 2nk 1½   2½ 2 (zenon charles)MCMAHON J 121 15.00 15.70  
RECKLESS RANSOM 7 1 1nk 2½   1½ 3 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 2.30 S
BIBLEMAN 8 4 31 32   4 4 (jeansonne )MARQUEZ L 121 3.00 36% 1.80 2.10  
J B GRAY 1 3 8 810½   610½ 511¼ (balderas al)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 20.00 15.20  
GREELEY WENT WEST 4 2 42 5   5 615 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 116 5.00 15.50  
BUNKIE'S SONG 6 8 7 710   813 723½ (daigle)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00 5% 19.00 63.40  
SIR OVERANALYZE 5 6 56 6   712½ 828¼ (dandridge courtn)MELANCON G 121 20.00 64.20  
 
FG-2   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JRUE BREEZE 8 3 4 32   12 18 (scherer gary)CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 25% 3.00 1.40 W
OVER CALENDARED 6 6 5 55   66 28 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 12.00 36.50  
LORD DYLAN 3 5 6 6   5 3 (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 6.00 5.60  
CARLOS PUNCH 7 1 2nk 2nk   22 49 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00 47.50  
GALLANT BUCK 4 2 1nk 1nk   32 59 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.00 16% 5.40 4.50  
NEW DICE 1 7 7 79   7 610 (borel renay)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 18% 4.50 16.20  
CHEATIN CHARLIE 5 4 32 4   45 712 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 18% 4.50 1.80  
T J MUNNINGS 2 8 8 813   8 815½ (alba-hernande)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00 60.00  
 
FG-3   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZE SMILING 1 2 11 12   14 1 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 40% 1.50 2.70 W
KAZILLION 7 6 7 6   4 2 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00 3.00  
FREEFORM 4 3 31 22   34 3 (habeeb don)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 13.90  
GRAY PEARL 2 5 5 4   24 4 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 12.00 28.30  
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 6 7 6 7   6 5 (mcgee paul)NAVAS YOEL 119 4.50 34% 1.90 2.30  
GOTTAGONOWNOW 3 1 21 3   5 613 (savoie sherm)MURRAY M 122 8.00 17.40  
PETTICOAT 5 4 43 5   79 716¾ (johnston d)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
SCR  HIDE THE BRIDE               (williamson br)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
SCR  MRS. SPEAKER               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50    
 
FG-4   12/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUITY 1 1 6 6   4 1½ (breaux samue)TORRES A 121 5.00 4.90  
PLANE TALK 2 7 5 3½   1nk 2½ (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 17% 4.90 2.80 P
MISTER MMMMM 7 5 4 1nk   2nk 3 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 0.90 S
TWIRLING ROSES 6 6 7 7   6 4 (rodriguez eduardo)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
MISTER CHAIRMAN 5 3 3 2nk   31 5 (ecoffey gilbert )CURTIS BEN 121 10.00 34.50  
ROBO 3 2 1½ 5   5 67 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 26.30  
TOUGH CHARLIE 4 4 2½ 4¾   7 713 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 55% 0.80 6.80  
SCR  KAELY'S BROTHER               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
SCR  ONEMORETIMEAROUND               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
 
FG-5   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIBRACHOA KID 9 1 2½ 11   1 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.50 6.60  
SONO 1 3 6 6   6 2 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 2.50 P
PESO PESADO 6 8 99 99   5 3 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 119 10.00 37.90  
CHARCO 5 2 1½ 21   2 45 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 6% 16.30 2.80  
DREWMAZING 4 5 5 33   3 5 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 29% 2.50 5.20  
ORDER UP 3 4 3 5   45 6 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 121 30.00 49.00  
HOOSIER 7 9 88 8   911½ 717¼ (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
CAJUN CONNECTION 8 7 7 7   810½ 817¼ (broberg karl)LANERIE J 122 12.00 19.90  
HOLY BAYOU 2 6 4 44   710 932 (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 4.00 42% 1.40 3.40  
 
FG-6   12/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING ELLIE 4 1 3 34 32 12 1¾ (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 11% 7.90 3.20 W
CLEARLY COPPER 2 6 8 8 7 3 2¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 61% 0.60 1.60 P
MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA 6 3 2 23 1nk 22 3¾ (margolis steph)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 5.00  
BLUE VORTEX 7 4 56 6 44 4 4 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
SIGNING 5 2 1 13 2nk 53 510½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5.50  
13  DOOBLAY 10 9 67 55 6 67 612¾ (leonard i)PARKER L 120 8.00 26.60  
10  SAUCY SIX 8 7 7 7 8 810 715½ (arey ant)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00 5% 19.00 82.20  
ENGLISH LUNA 3 8 912½ 911½ 911¼ 912½ 817½ (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 18.30  
12  JOCELYN 9 5 45 4 55 7 918½ (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
SWEET MARIN 1 10 1013 1013 1012¾ 1016½ 1029¾ (hatcher nat)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 30.00 ######  
SCR  FRONT AND SILVER               (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
SCR  LOVE LIGHT               (delany sarah)PARKER L 120 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS AVERY               (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
SCR  SPITE LITE               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
 
FG-7   12/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:143 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROUGHTY FERRY 8 7 7 7 7 6 1¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 4.70  
  (by AUDIBLE out of PRAIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FASTA LAVISTA BABY 2 2 32 42 31 21 2¼ (scherer t)LANERIE J 120 15.00 13.90  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of VERY FASHIONABLE by OLD FASHIONED)
UNION MIST 5 3 4 5 5 31 3¼ (walsh brenda)TORRES A 120 2.50 11% 8.10 3.00 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
ANGEL OF FAITH 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 4 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 18% 4.70 2.70  
  (by JUSTIFY out of OUT FOR REVENGE by BERNARDINI)
10  THORNY 9 5 6 6 4 4 5 (mcpeek kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 16% 5.40 5.30  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BOULE by EXCHANGE RATE)
STARINA 4 6 5 32 6 7 6 (catalano way)MURRAY M 120 20.00 51.20  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REBRIDLED DREAMS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CHURNING BERNI 7 8 8 8 9 8 7 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 16.10  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
CONTROLLED TEMPER 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 5 86 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 35% 1.80 4.00  
  (by COLLECTED out of MOON MEETING TOO by MALIBU MOON)
STERLING LUCK 3 9 911¼ 9 8 9 9 (forster t)PARKER L 120 20.00 54.00  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
SCR  FLATHEAD FINALE               (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of GOLDEN FINALE by ARCH)
 
FG-8   12/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132 1:372   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST PERFORMER 6 4 4 43 3 1 1hd (sharp joe)TORRES A 117 3.50 28% 2.60 0.90 W
PAINT ME PERFECT 3 3 64 67 55 2 2hd (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 5.00 8% 12.30 7.20 P
10  SWEET ALYSSA 10 10 10 89 8 6 3 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70 S
SAKE (FR) 9 6 9 1010 9 5 4 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 34% 1.90 5.60  
NOW YUS CANT LEAVE 1 1 21 2 2 3 5 (rubley ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 17.10  
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 5 8 3 33 44 7 6 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 117 12.00 16.20  
UNION DOLLY 2 2 11 1 1 42 78 (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 6% 14.70 4.70  
CLEVER JOKE 8 9 7 78 7 9 8 (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 117 8.00 21.40  
LAST OF THE NILE 7 5 5 5 6 8 99 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 117 20.00 82.80  
CATHERINE BLAZE 4 7 8 9 1011 1011¼ 1012¼ (leonard i)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 85.80  
SCR  BELGIAN BLUE               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 117 8.00    
SCR  BELLA PALOMA               (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 117 12.00    
SCR  SHE TOLD YOU SO               (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 10.00    
SCR  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE               (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 8.00    
SCR  THEROANRUNNER               (sharp joe)TORRES A 117 4.50    
SCR  THESTRAL               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 3.50    
 
FG-9   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAOTIC JACK 3 10 87 8   6 12 (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 16.30  
CAJUN MISCHIEF 2 3 52 5   32 22 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 16.20  
A TRUE TARGET 1 6 7 7   4 32 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 6% 16.80 11.50 S
BOLIE 4 7 65 3.2   2nk 43 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 7% 13.70 16.30  
11  QUAIL 11 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 5 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 20% 4.10 2.40  
12  CANAL ST. CUPID 12 12 11 96   9 66 (delahoussaye gl)LANERIE J 120 30.00 23.80  
RUN RICE RUN 7 2 42 4   7 7 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 10.70  
A G'S GEM 6 5 1½ 1nk   5 8 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 11.70  
JACK THE WHISTLE 5 4 31 6   8 911¾ (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 12% 7.20 3.90  
KAH NIGH 8 8 10 119   1010¼ 1013¾ (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 7.00  
YOCKEY DOODLEDANDY 9 9 9 109   1110¾ 1114¾ (david b)MURRAY M 120 20.00 64.30  
10  RED ROCK SOLUTION 10 11 12 1210   1211¼ 1216½ (demouchet )ALBERT S 120 6.00 24% 3.20 7.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.