Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/6)-(8/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6)-(8/5/1/4)-(1/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (8/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/4)-(1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/4)-(1/8/7)-(5/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(5/2/7)-(2/4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(3/6/12/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/1/7)-(2/4/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/5/7)-(3/6/12/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/7)-(3/6/12/10/9)-(1/6/10/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/6/12/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/12/10/9)-(3/6/12/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/12/10/9)-(3/6/12/10/9)-(3/6/12/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/12/10/9)-(1/6/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/12/10/9)-(1/6/10/5)-(9/6/3/2/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/10/5)-(1/6/10/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/10/5)-(1/6/10/5/9)-(1/6/10/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/10/5)-(9/6/3/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/10/5)-(9/6/3/2/10)-(10/11/5/4/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/6/3/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10)-(9/6/3/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/3/2/10)-(10/11/5/4/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-9   WIN (10/11/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/5/4/1)-(10/11/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/5/4/1)-(10/11/5/4/1)-(10/11/5/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J B GRAY Nov30 Aug27 Jul31 Jun19 May29 (balderas al)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 20.00    
2  WIN YA WIN Dec08 Nov18 Aug03 Jun30 May04 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
3  CRUSADER EXPRESS Nov30 Nov08 Jun23 Jun10 May18 (zenon charles)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
4  GREELEY WENT WEST Jan29 Dec17 Nov18 Oct12 Aug30 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 116 5.00    
5  SIR OVERANALYZE Nov30 May29 Mar24 Feb18 Dec27 (dandridge courtn)MELANCON G 121 20.00    
6  BUNKIE'S SONG Dec08 Nov01 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 (daigle)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  RECKLESS RANSOM Dec03 Jun25 May04 Mar15 Feb02 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 ★    
8  BIBLEMAN Nov30 Sep04 Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 (jeansonne )MARQUEZ L 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
FG-2   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW DICE Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (borel renay)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
2  T J MUNNINGS Sep09 Jun16 Jun07 May31 Apr27 (alba-hernande)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00    
3  LORD DYLAN Nov14 Oct28 Oct17 Sep30 Sep12 (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 6.00    
4  GALLANT BUCK Nov24 Oct17 Sep30 Sep09 Aug06 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  CHEATIN CHARLIE Nov24 Nov11 Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  OVER CALENDARED Nov24 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 12.00    
7  CARLOS PUNCH Nov30 Sep05 Aug12 Jul31 Jul01 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
8  JRUE BREEZE Dec07 Nov18 Oct20 Sep13 Sep04 (scherer gary)CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
FG-3   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZE SMILING Nov30 May01       (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  GRAY PEARL Nov30 Sep12 Sep03 Aug13 May16 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 12.00    
3  GOTTAGONOWNOW Dec08         (savoie sherm)MURRAY M 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  HIDE THE BRIDE         (williamson br)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
5  FREEFORM Nov30 Jun02 Oct14 Aug26   (habeeb don)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
SCR  MRS. SPEAKER Nov30 Oct22 Sep27 Aug26 Aug01 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50    
7  PETTICOAT Dec03 Oct25 Oct06 Aug14 Jul01 (johnston d)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Sep28 Sep05 Aug01 Jul08 Jul23 (mcgee paul)NAVAS YOEL 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
9  KAZILLION Jun03 May13 Apr23 Aug03 Jul13 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00    
 
FG-4   12/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUITY Jul01 May25 Apr08 Mar16 Feb12 (breaux samue)TORRES A 121 5.00    
2  PLANE TALK Dec03 Oct15 Jul20 Jun21 Sep14 (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  ONEMORETIMEAROUND Nov24 Oct14 Sep09 Jul15   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
4  ROBO Dec03 Jul01 May29 May21 Apr15 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
5  TOUGH CHARLIE Aug13 May26 Apr01 Feb15 Jul17 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 55% 0.80    
6  MISTER CHAIRMAN Dec02 Nov11 Oct19 Sep23 Jul15 (ecoffey gilbert )CURTIS BEN 121 10.00    
7  TWIRLING ROSES Dec02 Oct21 Oct03 Aug30 Aug09 (rodriguez eduardo)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MISTER MMMMM Sep02 Aug05 Jun23 Jun01 May02 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  KAELY'S BROTHER Oct02 Dec05 Oct27 Sep22 Jan30 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
 
FG-5   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONO Nov30 Oct18 Aug27 Jul14 May22 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 ★    
2  HOLY BAYOU Oct18 Jul28 Jun15 May11 Apr12 (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 4.00 42% 1.40    
3  ORDER UP Oct14 May26 May08 Aug03 Jul14 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 121 30.00    
4  DREWMAZING Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 Jul14 Mar01 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  CHARCO Dec03 May08 Apr10 Mar12 Feb17 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 6% 16.30    
6  PESO PESADO Aug21 Jun08 May11 Apr22 Mar22 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 119 10.00    
7  HOOSIER Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 Aug10 Jul01 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAJUN CONNECTION Dec07 Jun22 Jun01 Apr21 Mar26 (broberg karl)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
9  CALIBRACHOA KID Dec07 Jul15 Jun03 May15 Apr28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.50    
 
FG-6   12/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MARIN Nov30         (hatcher nat)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 30.00    
SCR  LOVE LIGHT Nov30         (delany sarah)PARKER L 120 6.00    
3  CLEARLY COPPER Nov30 Oct21 Sep20 Sep07 Aug04 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  ENGLISH LUNA         (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00    
SCR  FRONT AND SILVER Sep04         (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
6  SMILING ELLIE Nov17 Sep28 Aug17 Jul07   (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
7  SIGNING Nov17         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
8  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA Oct11         (margolis steph)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
9  BLUE VORTEX Nov17         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SAUCY SIX Nov30 Sep04       (arey ant)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCESS AVERY         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
12  JOCELYN Nov30 Oct26       (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  DOOBLAY Nov30 Sep20 Aug12 Jul19 Jul09 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 8.00    
SCR  SPITE LITE Nov24 Nov01       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
 
FG-7   12/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTROLLED TEMPER Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 Aug18   (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
  (by COLLECTED out of MOON MEETING TOO by MALIBU MOON)
2  FASTA LAVISTA BABY Nov15 Oct21 Sep27 Sep03 Aug05 (scherer t)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of VERY FASHIONABLE by OLD FASHIONED)
3  STERLING LUCK Sep20         (forster t)PARKER L 120 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
4  STARINA Nov24 Sep30       (catalano way)MURRAY M 120 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REBRIDLED DREAMS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  UNION MIST Nov24 Nov02       (walsh brenda)TORRES A 120 2.50 11% 8.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  ANGEL OF FAITH Nov24         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of OUT FOR REVENGE by BERNARDINI)
7  CHURNING BERNI Nov25 Nov03       (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  FLATHEAD FINALE Nov25         (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of GOLDEN FINALE by ARCH)
9  BROUGHTY FERRY Nov22 Oct27 Aug31     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 ★    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PRAIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  THORNY Nov24 Oct27 Sep30     (mcpeek kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BOULE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
FG-8   12/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Oct20 Oct01 Aug13 Jul13 Jun03 (rubley ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
2  UNION DOLLY Nov12 Jun01 May26 Apr21 Jan25 (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 6% 14.70    
3  PAINT ME PERFECT Nov23 Oct11 Aug29 Jul20 Jun24 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 5.00 8% 12.30    
4  CATHERINE BLAZE Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 Aug01 Jul09 (leonard i)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
5  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Nov23 Nov04 Oct11 Sep09 Aug13 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 117 12.00    
6  BEST PERFORMER Nov15 Oct01 Sep03 Jul15 Jun24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 117 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  LAST OF THE NILE Dec03 Oct26 Oct07 Jul08 Jun02 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 117 20.00    
8  CLEVER JOKE Nov23 Oct11 Jul23 May12 Mar09 (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 117 8.00    
9  SAKE (FR) Nov23 Oct11 Sep18 Aug24 May20 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
10  SWEET ALYSSA Nov04 Oct01 Aug31 Jun15 Apr27 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE TOLD YOU SO Sep09 Aug14 Mar18 Feb25 Jan13 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 10.00    
SCR  BELLA PALOMA Oct29 Oct04 Aug24 Aug10 Jul22 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 117 12.00    
SCR  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE Nov19 Sep24 Aug05 Jan21 Dec23 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 8.00    
SCR  BELGIAN BLUE Nov14 Oct05 Sep14 Jul21 Sep07 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 117 8.00    
SCR  THESTRAL Oct18 Sep21 Aug16 Jul20 Feb08 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 3.50    
SCR  THEROANRUNNER Dec03 Nov01 Sep09 Aug01 Jul01 (sharp joe)TORRES A 117 4.50    
 
FG-9   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A TRUE TARGET         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 6% 16.80    
2  CAJUN MISCHIEF Dec07 Sep09       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
3  CHAOTIC JACK Dec02 Oct28       (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00    
4  BOLIE         (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 7% 13.70    
5  JACK THE WHISTLE Nov30 Aug29 Aug05     (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
6  A G'S GEM Nov17 Nov03       (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
7  RUN RICE RUN         (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
8  KAH NIGH         (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
9  YOCKEY DOODLEDANDY Nov30         (david b)MURRAY M 120 20.00    
10  RED ROCK SOLUTION Nov30         (demouchet )ALBERT S 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
11  QUAIL Nov30 Oct21 Aug19     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
12  CANAL ST. CUPID Nov30 Oct26 Oct13 Sep09   (delahoussaye gl)LANERIE J 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.