Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   EXA (7/9/11/2)-(7/9/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  11-7 $47.70 $35.70 298%
DED-2   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $17.40 $5.40 45%
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-2-1 $20.80 $8.80 73%
    DD (7/9/11/2)-(6/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  11-5 $32.50 $16.50 103%
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:133     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY 9 5 21 2½   11 12½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00 19% 4.30 2.70 W
7  GOLD CRUSHER 5 4 11 1½   21 22½ (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00 31% 2.30 8.10 P
8  IN THE ARCH 6 9 98 84   33 33 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 8.00 6.40  
9  MISSED THE BOAT 7 6 53½ 42   44 44¾ (troiani niccolo)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 23% 3.40 5.90  
2  EYE DEE KAY 2 3 75½ 73½   64½ 55¼ (modica oscar)MELANCON G 123 6.00 6% 15.80 4.10  
4  DRIED PEPPER 4 1 31½ 31½   54 67 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 15.90  
1  SPERLE 1 2 64½ 63   75½ 77¼ (rossi j)POMPELL L 119 15.00 19.00  
3  COUSVINNYSACANUCK 3 8 43½ 52½   85¾ 87¼ (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 7.40  
10  DOUBLE THUNDER 8 7 86 95   97¾ 911½ (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 6.80  
SCR  MOSQUITO FLEET               (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
SCR  SEAU               (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
 
DED-2   11/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:32
See original race card.
:221 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KAHAAL 5 1 12 13   12 12½ (roberts kenneth)FUSILIER C 119 5.00 9% 10.10 4.90 W
2  ADIEU ACES 2 5 44 23   22 22½ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 22% 3.50 1.20 P
1  FLOWER CAT 1 6 33 43½   34 35 (ingram steve)BIRZER E 123 4.00 11% 7.90 2.60 S
4  HALF A BUCK 4 4 76 79   78¾ 48 (pedigo randy)EDISON JOCELYN 114 10.00 29.60  
7  CLASSIC RED RACER 7 3 55½ 66   58½ 510¼ (zeno benjamin)DELCID MARLON 114 15.00 70.70  
6  CUSTOM PRAYER 6 7 66 55½   68½ 611¾ (ladner ra)THORNTON G 119 3.50 32% 2.10 4.10  
3  LOVE TO SINGH 3 8 88 812   810¾ 712¾ (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 119 10.00 30.50  
8  PRICED RIGHT 8 2 22 33½   48 813¼ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 23.30  
 
DED-3   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:16     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TRUE CRIMSON 8 4 42 32½   41½ 12½ (gelner scott)ROSIER R 122 5.00 ★ 1.20  
1  ALPHIN 1 2 1½ 1½   11 22½ (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 123 10.00 33.90  
2  COLE'S SENSATION 2 3 31½ 42½   31½ 33 (delahoussay)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 23.20  
8  STYLING HOOK 7 1 2½ 2½   21 43 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.00 5% 19.00 1.50  
10  TINCAN CAT 9 5 63 75½   55½ 54½ (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 11.60  
3  SMOOTH CUSTOM 3 7 74 54½   67½ 69 (celestine c)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 15.00 92.20  
7  ST PIERRE 6 8 99½ 911   711½ 712¼ (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
4  GRAYSONS MALAGRA 4 9 89 810½   811¾ 814¾ (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 38% 1.70 5.00  
5  A FOOL FOR CARLOS 5 6 53 65   921¾ 9100 (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00 99.70  
SCR  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT               (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  IRON N STEEL               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.50    
SCR  KILO KEY               (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
 
DED-4   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:132     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MBAGNICK (CHI) 6 6 63½ 64½   2nk 1¼ (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 30% 2.30 0.80 W
3  FLEETRIDGE 3 1 1nk 2½   1nk 2¼ (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 7.00  
1  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 1 3 2nk 1½   31 34½ (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 4.50 20% 4.00 7.60 S
7  WISE VERDICT 7 7 74½ 76   45 45¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00 6.00  
5  BLUE CHEESE 5 5 53 53½   56 58¼ (breaux samuel)BIRZER E 116 6.00 8% 11.10 5.00  
2  EXTIRPATOR 2 2 31 31½   69 615¾ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 15% 5.60 12.00  
8  SMART N INTUITIVE 8 4 42 43½   713 718¼ (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 28.80  
4  AMERICAN CODE 4 8 810½ 814   819 824½ (ruggeri nicole)MELANCON G 119 20.00 59.60  
 
DED-5   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:142     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROYAL CONSORT 4 2 12 11   15 12¾ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.70 W
6  BARAHIN 6 4 33 31½   25 22¾ (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 119 8.00 19.70  
2  CARLOS' BLAST 2 7 55½ 54   39 38¾ (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 12.00 62.80  
3  G'S STORM 3 8 78 75½   510 49¼ (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 6.00 17% 4.90 13.60  
1  NEW DICE 1 9 912 98½   610½ 59¼ (litfin neva)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50 9.20  
5  LET'S GO RANDOM 5 1 22 21   49½ 611 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 14% 6.10 2.40  
9  HOMELAND MESSA 9 5 66 65   711½ 712 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 15.00 72.50  
7  WEIRD YEAR 7 6 88 88½   913½ 813¼ (rossi j)VARGAS P 121 8.00 6% 16.80 10.20  
8  BYATHREAD 8 3 43½ 43½   811½ 914½ (landry jacoby)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00 84.70  
 
DED-6   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:27
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:144     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS TULSA 3 5 64¼ 53   22 12½ (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 46% 1.20 0.80 W
6  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN 6 4 12 11   12 22½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00 17% 4.70 5.70 P
2  ABSOLUTELY 2 1 32 31   42¼ 32½ (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 6.00 5.80  
8  R T'S GEM 8 2 22 21   32 43¾ (sam thomas )MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00 46.20  
4  ADDI BUG 4 7 89½ 86¼   55¼ 55 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
1  MISS DARLENE 1 6 54¼ 73¼   66¾ 67¼ (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 12.00 12.70  
9  MAGNA COLORS 9 9 915½ 99¼   78¼ 77¾ (nelson r)VARGAS P 119 20.00 12.60  
7  RIOBELLA 7 8 42¼ 42   89¼ 812¼ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00 11.70  
5  ROSIE'S ANGUS 5 3 74½ 63¼   911¼ 914¾ (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00 12% 7.40 11.50  
 
DED-7   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:142 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HOT LE ROY 7 1 41½ 41¾ 31½ 1nk 12 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 9.40  
5  DRAFT CHOICE 4 5 1nk 1nk 11 2nk 22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 18% 4.40 3.90 P
3  JEFFROW 2 6 52½ 52¾ 43 33 33¼ (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50 6.00  
1  MO CREDO 1 8 84¾ 74¾ 84¾ 55¼ 44¾ (arnett g)MELANCON G 119 8.00 3.00  
9  REDDINGANDLEE 8 2 74¼ 85¼ 74½ 66¾ 58½ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 12.00 14% 6.20 4.80  
4  CALLINGINTHENIGHT 3 4 2nk 2nk 21 43¼ 69¼ (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
6  THROWIN' SHADE 5 7 62¾ 63¼ 54 78¾ 714 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50 42% 1.40 5.20  
7  BET AGAIN 6 3 31 3.2 64½ 810¾ 823 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 20.00 43.40  
SCR  TONTERIA               (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 118 5.00    
 
DED-8   11/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:223 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DREWMANIA 6 3 41¼ 41   11 13 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 8.30  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COWGIRL LASS by THE BIG BEAST)
2  THE DONEGAL CLAN 2 9 54¼ 54   43½ 23 (noel dane)VARGAS P 121 12.00 2.20  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AUNTJENN by UNCLE MO)
9  MR. SHORTY 9 1 1nk 1½   21 34½ (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00 26% 2.90 5.20 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  UPTURNED BRIM 10 2 3.2 2½   53½ 48¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.80  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of NEGOTIABLE by HAT TRICK (JPN))
3  DEFIANT MALICE 3 7 65¼ 67   66½ 59¼ (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 18% 4.60 11.50 DH
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
4  MICHAEL'S MOON 4 4 2nk 3½   33 59¼ (pomier chase)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 ★ 10.20 DH
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CALLE VISTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
7  HELLO MR COPELAND 7 5 78¼ 710   710½ 713¼ (dixon tim)MAGNON H 121 20.00 68.20  
  (by FIVE IRON out of ALIANA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  LEGENDARY DRAGON 8 6 89¾ 811   914½ 815¾ (pomier de)ROSIER R 121 12.00 42.10  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BERTIE'S IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
1  COWBOY CAUSE 1 10 912¾ 913   813½ 916 (litfin nevada)TORRES HUGO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 49.40  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of STAR KEEPER by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
5  HASTKRAFTER 5 8 1016¾ 1018   1018½ 1022¼ (calhoun wil)MORALES ROBERTO 121 10.00 16.80  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  KONTEEKEE               (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HEIR TO GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  MOTOR CITY               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of COUNTRY VILLA by PANCHO VILLA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.