The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (7/9/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -0.60
DED-2   Win (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
DED-3   Win (4/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $4.40 -8.00
DED-4   Win (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
DED-5   Win (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60
DED-6   Win (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
DED-7   Win (6/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $20.80 -8.00
DED-8   Win (10/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $18.60 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:133     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY 9 5 21 2½   11 1(broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00 19% 4.30 2.70 W
GOLD CRUSHER 5 4 11 1½   21 2(knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00 31% 2.30 8.10 P
IN THE ARCH 6 9 98 84   33 33 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 8.00 6.40  
MISSED THE BOAT 7 6 5 42   44 4(troiani niccolo)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 23% 3.40 5.90  
EYE DEE KAY 2 3 7 7   65(modica oscar)MELANCON G 123 6.00 6% 15.80 4.10  
DRIED PEPPER 4 1 3 3   54 67 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 15.90  
SPERLE 1 2 6 63   77(rossi j)POMPELL L 119 15.00 19.00  
COUSVINNYSACANUCK 3 8 4 5   88(berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 7.40  
10  DOUBLE THUNDER 8 7 86 95   9911½ (gonzalez isai)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 6.80  
SCR  MOSQUITO FLEET               (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
SCR  SEAU               (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
 
DED-2   11/15/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:32
See original race card.
:221 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAHAAL 5 1 12 13   12 1(roberts kenneth)FUSILIER C 119 5.00 9% 10.10 4.90 W
ADIEU ACES 2 5 44 23   22 2(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 22% 3.50 1.20 P
FLOWER CAT 1 6 33 4   34 35 (ingram steve)BIRZER E 123 4.00 11% 7.90 2.60 S
HALF A BUCK 4 4 76 79   748 (pedigo randy)EDISON JOCELYN 114 10.00 29.60  
CLASSIC RED RACER 7 3 5 66   5510¼ (zeno benjamin)DELCID MARLON 114 15.00 70.70  
CUSTOM PRAYER 6 7 66 5   6611¾ (ladner rann)THORNTON G 119 3.50 32% 2.10 4.10  
LOVE TO SINGH 3 8 88 812   810¾ 712¾ (kanhai joseph)MAGNON H 119 10.00 30.50  
PRICED RIGHT 8 2 22 3   48 813¼ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 23.30  
 
DED-3   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:16     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE CRIMSON 8 4 42 3   41(gelner scott)ROSIER R 122 5.00 1.20  
ALPHIN 1 2 1½ 1½   11 2(ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 123 10.00 33.90  
COLE'S SENSATION 2 3 3 4   333 (delahoussaye )MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 23.20  
STYLING HOOK 7 1 2½ 2½   21 43 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.00 5% 19.00 1.50  
10  TINCAN CAT 9 5 63 7   55(lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 11.60  
SMOOTH CUSTOM 3 7 74 5   669 (celestine cha)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 15.00 92.20  
ST PIERRE 6 8 9 911   711½ 712¼ (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
GRAYSONS MALAGRA 4 9 89 810½   811¾ 814¾ (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 38% 1.70 5.00  
A FOOL FOR CARLOS 5 6 53 65   921¾ 9100 (broussard vin)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00 99.70  
SCR  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT               (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  IRON N STEEL               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.50    
SCR  KILO KEY               (melancon donald)LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
 
DED-4   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:132     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MBAGNICK (CHI) 6 6 6 6   2nk 1¼ (sanchez amado)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 30% 2.30 0.80 W
FLEETRIDGE 3 1 1nk 2½   1nk 2¼ (arnett g)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 7.00  
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 1 3 2nk 1½   31 3(broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 4.50 20% 4.00 7.60 S
WISE VERDICT 7 7 7 76   45 4(broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00 6.00  
BLUE CHEESE 5 5 53 5   56 5(breaux samuel)BIRZER E 116 6.00 8% 11.10 5.00  
EXTIRPATOR 2 2 31 3   69 615¾ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 15% 5.60 12.00  
SMART N INTUITIVE 8 4 42 4   713 718¼ (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 28.80  
AMERICAN CODE 4 8 810½ 814   819 824½ (ruggeri nicole)MELANCON G 119 20.00 59.60  
 
DED-5   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:142     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL CONSORT 4 2 12 11   15 1(broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.70 W
BARAHIN 6 4 33 3   25 2(escobar aliso)MORALES ROBERTO 119 8.00 19.70  
CARLOS' BLAST 2 7 5 54   39 3(melancon dona)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 12.00 62.80  
G'S STORM 3 8 78 7   510 4(dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 6.00 17% 4.90 13.60  
NEW DICE 1 9 912 9   610½ 5(litfin nevada)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50 9.20  
LET'S GO RANDOM 5 1 22 21   4611 (brinkman bret)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 14% 6.10 2.40  
HOMELAND MESSA 9 5 66 65   711½ 712 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 15.00 72.50  
WEIRD YEAR 7 6 88 8   913½ 813¼ (rossi j)VARGAS P 121 8.00 6% 16.80 10.20  
BYATHREAD 8 3 4 4   811½ 914½ (landry jacoby)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00 84.70  
 
DED-6   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:27
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:144     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS TULSA 3 5 6 53   22 1(ducoing sturg)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 46% 1.20 0.80 W
PICKIN ANA GRINNIN 6 4 12 11   12 2(broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00 17% 4.70 5.70 P
ABSOLUTELY 2 1 32 31   43(landry r)MAGNON H 119 6.00 5.80  
R T'S GEM 8 2 22 21   32 4(sam w)MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00 46.20  
ADDI BUG 4 7 8 8   555 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
MISS DARLENE 1 6 5 7   66(ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 12.00 12.70  
MAGNA COLORS 9 9 915½ 9   77(nelson r)VARGAS P 119 20.00 12.60  
RIOBELLA 7 8 4 42   8812¼ (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00 11.70  
ROSIE'S ANGUS 5 3 7 6   911¼ 914¾ (breaux samuel)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00 12% 7.40 11.50  
 
DED-7   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:142 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT LE ROY 7 1 4 4 3 1nk 12 (larrosa juan )MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 9.40  
DRAFT CHOICE 4 5 1nk 1nk 11 2nk 22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 18% 4.40 3.90 P
JEFFROW 2 6 5 5 43 33 3(brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50 6.00  
MO CREDO 1 8 8 7 8 54(arnett g)MELANCON G 119 8.00 3.00  
REDDINGANDLEE 8 2 7 8 7 65(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 12.00 14% 6.20 4.80  
CALLINGINTHENIGHT 3 4 2nk 2nk 21 46(delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
THROWIN' SHADE 5 7 6 6 54 7714 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50 42% 1.40 5.20  
BET AGAIN 6 3 31 3.2 6 810¾ 823 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 20.00 43.40  
SCR  TONTERIA               (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 118 5.00    
 
DED-8   11/15/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:223 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWMANIA 6 3 4 41   11 13 (briley lonnie)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 8.30  
THE DONEGAL CLAN 2 9 5 54   423 (noel dane)VARGAS P 121 12.00 2.20  
MR. SHORTY 9 1 1nk 1½   21 3(johnson henry)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00 26% 2.90 5.20 S
10  UPTURNED BRIM 10 2 3.2 2½   54(broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.80  
DEFIANT MALICE 3 7 6 67   65(arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 18% 4.60 11.50 DH
MICHAEL'S MOON 4 4 2nk 3½   33 5(pomier chasey )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 10.20 DH
HELLO MR COPELAND 7 5 7 710   710½ 713¼ (dixon tim)MAGNON H 121 20.00 68.20  
LEGENDARY DRAGON 8 6 8 811   914½ 815¾ (pomier devi)ROSIER R 121 12.00 42.10  
COWBOY CAUSE 1 10 912¾ 913   813½ 916 (litfin nevada)TORRES HUGO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 49.40  
HASTKRAFTER 5 8 1016¾ 1018   1018½ 1022¼ (calhoun willi)MORALES ROBERTO 121 10.00 16.80  
SCR  KONTEEKEE               (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
SCR  MOTOR CITY               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.