Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (7/9/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/11/2)-(7/9/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/11/2)-(7/9/11/2)-(7/9/11/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/11/2)-(6/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/11/2)-(6/2/1/5)-(4/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(4/8/7)-(6/1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/9/7)-(4/8/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7)-(6/1/2/5)-(4/3/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/5)-(4/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/5)-(4/3/5/7)-(3/6/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(3/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(3/6/5/4)-(6/5/9/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(6/5/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/4)-(6/5/9/4)-(10/9/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/9/4)-(10/9/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-8   WIN (10/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/3/1)-(10/9/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/3/1)-(10/9/3/4/1)-(10/9/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPERLE Oct25 Aug14 May06 Mar24 Feb24 (rossi j)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
2  EYE DEE KAY Oct26 Jul27 Jul14 Jun15 Jun02 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 123 6.00 6% 15.80    
3  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Oct26 Aug12 Jul02 Jun18 May29 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
4  DRIED PEPPER Oct26 Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 Feb15 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
SCR  SEAU Sep05 Jun17 May06 Apr19 Feb10 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
SCR  MOSQUITO FLEET Oct26 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
7  GOLD CRUSHER Sep17 Aug20 Jul28 Jul08 Jun23 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00 31% 2.30    
8  IN THE ARCH Nov03 Oct19 Aug20 Aug04 Jul22 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 8.00    
9  MISSED THE BOAT Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (troiani niccolo)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
10  DOUBLE THUNDER Sep23 Sep15 Aug14 Jul08 Jun16 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00    
11  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Nov04 Oct07 Sep23 Aug18 Jun22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
DED-2   11/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWER CAT Oct27 Jun25 May27 Mar09 Jan28 (ingram steve)BIRZER E 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
2  ADIEU ACES Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 Feb22 Feb01 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  LOVE TO SINGH Sep12 May15 Mar02     (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 119 10.00    
4  HALF A BUCK Oct13 Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 (pedigo randy)EDISON JOCELYN 114 10.00    
5  KAHAAL Oct18 Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 Feb11 (roberts kenneth)FUSILIER C 119 5.00 9% 10.10    
6  CUSTOM PRAYER Oct18 Aug11 Jun15 May18 Mar11 (ladner ra)THORNTON G 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  CLASSIC RED RACER Oct18 Aug10 Jul21 May26 Apr29 (zeno benjamin)DELCID MARLON 114 15.00    
8  PRICED RIGHT Oct20 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
 
DED-3   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHIN Oct26 Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 123 10.00    
2  COLE'S SENSATION Oct27 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 (delahoussa)ALBERT S 123 8.00    
3  SMOOTH CUSTOM Oct26 Jul28 May13 Jan21 Nov02 (celestine c)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 15.00    
4  GRAYSONS MALAGRA         (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 38% 1.70    
5  A FOOL FOR CARLOS Oct12 Jun02       (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00    
SCR  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Jun24 May18       (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  ST PIERRE Oct26 Jun08 May25 May06 Apr21 (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  STYLING HOOK Feb25 Feb09 Jan13 Dec27 Nov25 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
9  TRUE CRIMSON May26 May12 Mar22     (gelner scott)ROSIER R 122 5.00 ★    
10  TINCAN CAT Oct18         (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  KILO KEY Nov04 Oct11 Aug27 Aug12 Apr02 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
SCR  IRON N STEEL Nov04 Oct12 Jul21 Jun29 Apr21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.50    
 
DED-4   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Oct06 Aug05 May19 Apr19 Feb25 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 4.50 20% 4.00    
2  EXTIRPATOR Oct20 Sep09 Jul22 Jun24 Feb16 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  FLEETRIDGE Oct13 Sep15 Jul08 Jun12 Apr29 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
4  AMERICAN CODE Aug24 Apr19 Feb20 Dec22 Jul22 (ruggeri nicole)MELANCON G 119 20.00    
5  BLUE CHEESE Jun03 May05 Apr13 Mar26 Mar12 (breaux samuel)BIRZER E 116 6.00 8% 11.10    
6  MBAGNICK (CHI) Sep03 Jul30       (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
7  WISE VERDICT Nov02 Oct06 Aug17 Jul29 Jul12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00    
8  SMART N INTUITIVE Sep30 Sep04 Aug19 Jul01 Jun16 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
 
DED-5   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW DICE Oct27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 (litfin neva)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50    
2  CARLOS' BLAST Oct18 Aug14 Jun09 May25 Apr29 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 12.00    
3  G'S STORM Oct27 Oct13 Aug29 Jul29 Jul06 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  ROYAL CONSORT Aug03 Apr18 Feb28 Jan27 Jan05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  LET'S GO RANDOM Oct27 Aug26 Jul13 Jun30 Jun02 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
6  BARAHIN Oct20 Jun30 Jun17 May26 May06 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 119 8.00    
7  WEIRD YEAR Oct11 Sep12 Feb05 Jan13 Nov19 (rossi j)VARGAS P 121 8.00 6% 16.80    
8  BYATHREAD Oct28 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May20 (landry jac)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
9  HOMELAND MESSA Oct20 Apr29 Oct08 May28 May14 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
 
DED-6   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS DARLENE Oct12 Aug27 Jul10 Jul10 Feb23 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 12.00    
2  ABSOLUTELY Sep04 Jul08 Jun10 May20 Apr26 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 6.00    
3  MISS TULSA Oct07 Jun04 May06 Mar26 Mar01 (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 46% 1.20    
4  ADDI BUG Jul29 Mar25 Feb23 Jan07 Dec10 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROSIE'S ANGUS Aug03 Jun10 May18 Apr28 Mar19 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Jul29 Jun23 May11 Apr15 Mar10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00 17% 4.70    
7  RIOBELLA Oct19 Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 Jun17 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00    
8  R T'S GEM Jul29 Jul06 Jun10 Apr26 Feb28 (sam thomas)ALBERT S 118 8.00    
9  MAGNA COLORS Oct26 Sep04 Jul08 Jun03 May06 (nelson r)VARGAS P 119 20.00    
 
DED-7   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CREDO Oct14 Aug10 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 (arnett g)MELANCON G 119 8.00    
SCR  TONTERIA Sep12 Aug19 Jul01     (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 118 5.00    
3  JEFFROW Oct07 Jun08 Apr21 Mar15 Mar03 (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50    
4  CALLINGINTHENIGHT Oct20 Aug19 Jul03 Jun03 Feb18 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DRAFT CHOICE Nov02 Oct13 Aug21 Aug03 Jul13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 18% 4.40    
6  THROWIN' SHADE Oct06 Aug13 Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  BET AGAIN Jul06 Jun08 Apr29 Apr07 Feb18 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 20.00    
8  HOT LE ROY Oct19 Aug03 Jul21 Jun29 Apr29 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00    
9  REDDINGANDLEE Oct20 Oct07 Aug21 Jul01 Jun03 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 12.00 14% 6.20    
 
DED-8   11/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY CAUSE         (litfin nevada)BOREL H 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of STAR KEEPER by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
2  THE DONEGAL CLAN         (noel dane)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AUNTJENN by UNCLE MO)
3  DEFIANT MALICE Oct07 Sep23 Aug14 Jul31   (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
4  MICHAEL'S MOON         (pomier chase)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CALLE VISTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  HASTKRAFTER         (calhoun wil)MORALES ROBERTO 121 10.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  DREWMANIA Oct07 Sep07       (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COWGIRL LASS by THE BIG BEAST)
7  HELLO MR COPELAND         (dixon tim)MAGNON H 121 20.00    
  (by FIVE IRON out of ALIANA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  LEGENDARY DRAGON         (pomier de)ROSIER R 121 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BERTIE'S IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
9  MR. SHORTY Oct20 Sep12 Aug29 Jul04   (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  UPTURNED BRIM Sep29 Sep13 Aug31     (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of NEGOTIABLE by HAT TRICK (JPN))
SCR  MOTOR CITY         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of COUNTRY VILLA by PANCHO VILLA)
SCR  KONTEEKEE         (chatters benard)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HEIR TO GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.