The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $31.40 -8.00
FG-2   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.40 -6.00
FG-3   Win (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.20 -6.00
FG-4   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
FG-5   Win (8/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
FG-6   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
FG-7   Win (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $14.80 -8.00
FG-8   Win (3/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20
FG-9   Win (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.40 -6.00
FG-10   Win (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.60 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:214 :464 :60     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET ON BOBBY 4 4 11 1   12 1(duhon josep)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 14.70  
JACK THE WHISTLE 3 3 44 3   22 2(ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 24% 3.20 5.80 P
A TRUE TARGET 1 5 5 4   43 3(duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 40% 1.50 2.10 S
BOLIE 5 1 21 2   33 44 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 9% 10.10 2.90  
INVOLVEDNTERACTION 7 8 812½ 812   810½ 5(camejo m)RIQUELME J 120 4.00 4.00  
POETIC ROAD 6 7 7 6   66(schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 8.00 5% 18.20 11.80  
RUN RICE RUN 2 6 6 77   57 711¾ (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 9.90  
BABY'S LAST DANCE 8 2 32 53   7820¼ (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 16.10  
 
FG-2   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATIO'S PORCH 1 5 12 1   14 1(gelner sc)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50 1.70  
CHAD'S FLASH 3 3 3 2   24 2(rodriguez eduardo)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 10.50  
LIL WOADIE 5 1 54 3   3311½ (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 3.50 25% 3.10 3.40 S
CABOCHON TREASURE 2 4 43 57   410½ 416¼ (rubin donald)MELANCON G 122 4.00 16% 5.20 8.10  
HARPES HILL 7 6 6 712½   715½ 520 (patt roland )WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 6.00 8.10  
GOBOT 6 7 77 6   513 620¼ (castille carrol)LANERIE J 122 4.00 9.00  
MUCHO BUENO 4 2 22 4   615 727¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 22% 3.60 3.80  
 
FG-3   01/11/2024 3300ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :473       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL WON 3 7 7 55   2½ 11 (tracy tanner)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 4.10  
THINKABOUTIT 2 3 43 4   421 (handal raymond)TORRES A 121 3.00 44% 1.20 1.70 P
ALICIA'S KID 5 8 8 66   53 3(flint steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 6.80  
SILVER WINGS 6 4 6 77   64(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 8.60  
SMOKIN RICHIE 7 6 2nk 1nk   31 5(lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 121 6.00 3.60  
SATURDAY'S GOLD 4 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 6(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 6.00 24% 3.20 6.30  
FIREINTHESTORM 1 1 3½ 3   75 711 (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 118 10.00 47.50  
OUR FREDDIE MAC 8 5 54 8   810 815½ (ladner he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  LYRICAL POET               (rodriguez hugo)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
SCR  MISTER CHAIRMAN               (ecoffey w)CURTIS BEN 121 10.00    
SCR  PESO IN MY POCKET               (munoz yovani)NAVAS YOEL 116 12.00    
SCR  SIGN OF WAR               (govea cesar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00    
SCR  TOUGH CHARLIE               (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 118 3.50    
 
FG-4   01/11/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:141 1:411   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUKE 2 4 32 3 42 11 1nk (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 34% 2.00 1.80 W
HIGH ENOUGH 3 3 4 5 3 21 2nk (desormeaux j )CARMONA SERAFIN 117 4.50 2.00  
PERFORMANCE PLUS 1 1 5 42 53 55 3(lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 13% 6.60 8.00 S
ALVIN 6 2 1½ 1½ 11 347 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 16% 5.20 2.90  
EL KECZAL 4 5 6 6 6 66 5(silva wa)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 6.80  
SATURDAY STARTER 5 6 2½ 2½ 21 44 6(foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 22.30  
SCR  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 4.00    
SCR  MAX S               (camejo m)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
 
FG-5   01/11/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:231 :492 1:151 1:412   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA 8 6 6 5 1nk 14 110½ (margolis stephen)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 66% 0.50 1.80 W
BLUE VORTEX 3 4 43 42 5 3210½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.00 8% 11.60 4.80 P
A LIL PSYCHOTIC 9 2 21 21 2nk 24 314 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 18.60  
ENGLISH LUNA 5 8 910½ 7 8 511½ 415½ (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00 39.60  
SIGNING 7 7 88 8 6 410 518 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
STILL TEMPER 2 5 33 3 43 812¾ 618¾ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 4.50 4.20  
JOCELYN 6 3 5 64 7 612½ 721¼ (lopez elias)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 15.00 5% 18.60 48.20  
NOT TONIGHT JOE 1 1 11 11 31 712½ 823½ (morley thoma)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 4.00  
BAD BETTY 4 9 7 913½ 913¾ 920¾ 934½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6.80  
 
FG-6   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :453 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN NINJA 1 4 54 1   15 1(silva miguel)PARKER L 121 1.80 28% 2.60 0.40 W
LOUISIANA LIBERTY 2 7 711 7   32(castille carrol)MELANCON G 121 4.50 10% 9.50 8.60 P
LUYV 4 3 2½ 3   43(goins garlan)ALBERT S 124 3.50 26% 2.90 3.90 S
SHES A LUCKY REBEL 5 2 1½ 2   25 4(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 20.60  
THAT'S MY MAMA 3 5 67 57   55(noel dane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 7.60  
CALLING 6 6 4 68   6611¼ (savoie sherman)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 23.10  
COPPER MOON 7 1 3 4   7714¾ (richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 33.30  
 
FG-7   01/11/2024 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:22 :464 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACHES MEETING 7 1 7 6   41(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 6.00 6.40  
ONE TRUE GENTLEMAN 1 3 1½ 1½   12(flint steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00 8% 11.30 12.50 P
AMANWALKSINTOABAR 4 5 32 3   23(stidham mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.00 26% 2.90 4.90 S
CAFE RACER 2 7 53 54   34(stall alber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 9.40  
HOGSLAYERS R I P 8 4 42 4   555 (pessin l)CURTIS BEN 125 8.00 4.90  
AUTO DIAL 9 8 6 7   76(desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00 9.10  
MO SATURDAYS 3 6 8 8   67(stall m)LANERIE J 125 3.00 33% 2.00 1.30  
PRINCE COSMO 5 2 2½ 2½   8810¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 15.00 7% 13.80 32.90  
EL PAJARO LOCO 6 9 9 911¾   911¾ 915½ (silva walter)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 54.50  
SCR  KOOPS               (sharp joe)TORRES A 125 8.00    
 
FG-8   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST LOVE 3 3 1½ 1   15 1(amoss m)NAVAS YOEL 120 2.50 31% 2.30 0.40 W
MRS. SPEAKER 5 1 33 34   25 2(hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.50 16% 5.40 5.40 P
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 7 7 6 69   48 35 (mcgee paul)GRAHAM J 125 5.00 20% 4.10 8.30 S
10  FREEFORM 8 5 5 46   34(habeeb donal)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00 24.90  
MARMO MOON 2 6 710 812½   812½ 512 (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00 7% 13.00 17.20  
GRAY PEARL 1 8 810 7   611 612¼ (hatcher nath)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 12.00 64.60  
GOTTAGONOWNOW 4 4 4 5   711½ 714¾ (savoie sherman)MCMAHON J 125 20.00 62.90  
GOLD PLUS 6 2 2½ 2   59 820¾ (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00 8.40  
SCR  MOR FOXY               (ecoffey gilbe)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 20.00    
SCR  SHEHASANATTITUDE               (husak j)MARQUEZ L 125 10.00    
 
FG-9   01/11/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:14 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH TIDE 3 7 67 56 5 3.2 1(atras rob)TORRES A 121 6.00 6.70  
FIREWATER JAKE 1 3 56 6 6 4¾ 2(leonard iii)PARKER L 121 10.00 20.70  
BIG DREAMING 2 5 3 33 3½ 2nk 3(catalano m)COHEN DAVID 121 3.00 59% 0.70 2.80 S
SOUL COAXING 4 4 4 4 41 5¾ 4(robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
BIZZEE CHANNEL 7 1 2½ 2 2nk 1nk 5(sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 2.90  
TIDE OF THE SEA 6 2 1½ 1 1nk 6611¼ (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 3.40  
VITALE 5 8 810 814 815¼ 715¼ 714¾ (ecoffey g)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00 68.80  
FLY NIGHTLY 8 6 7 711 712¾ 818¼ 822 (ecoffey w)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 15% 5.60 9.30  
SCR  GROUP EIGHTEEN               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  RIGHTANDJUST               (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
SCR  THE REDS               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00    
 
FG-10   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:214 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSADER EXPRESS 1 3 2nk 12   13 1(zenon charles)MCMAHON J 121 4.50 3.30  
SMOOTH COLLIERY 4 8 710 5   34 2(bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 27% 2.70 4.00 P
MUCHO MARVIN 2 4 4 4   23 3(courville ri)MARQUEZ L 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.10 S
NORTHERNREFLECTION 7 6 810½ 710½   710 4(jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 5.30  
BIG SCULLY 3 2 1nk 32   45(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 7% 13.20 2.90  
GREELEY WENT WEST 5 7 57 67   66(schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00 45.80  
J B GRAY 8 5 69 812½   813 7(balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 28.20  
BIBLEMAN 6 1 3½ 22   57 813 (richards a)LANERIE J 121 4.50 44% 1.30 3.50  
SCR  SABER RUN               (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.