Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(5/4/2)-(3/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/5/9)-(2/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-3   WIN (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/9)-(3/5/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/9)-(3/5/4/9)-(3/5/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/9)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9)-(2/7/1)-(8/3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(8/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(8/3/6/7)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7/2)-(8/3/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/6/7)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/7)-(1/4/2)-(3/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/9/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(3/9/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5)-(7/5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-9   WIN (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/5)-(3/9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/5)-(3/9/8/5)-(3/9/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/5)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-10   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A TRUE TARGET Dec21         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  RUN RICE RUN Dec21         (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
3  JACK THE WHISTLE Dec21 Nov30 Aug29 Aug05   (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  BET ON BOBBY Nov30 Aug19       (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
5  BOLIE Dec21         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
6  POETIC ROAD         (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 120 8.00 5% 18.20    
7  INVOLVEDNTERACTION Dec30 Oct13 Sep22 Aug26 Aug20 (camejo m)RIQUELME J 120 4.00    
8  BABY'S LAST DANCE Nov10 Oct07 Jul20 Jun17   (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
 
FG-2   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIO'S PORCH Nov30 Oct19 Aug05 Jul03 May27 (gelner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
2  CABOCHON TREASURE Dec01 Feb10 Jan20 Jan05 Dec09 (rubin donald)MELANCON G 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  CHAD'S FLASH Dec16 Nov30 Nov18 Aug06 Jul13 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00    
4  MUCHO BUENO Dec07 Aug14       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
5  LIL WOADIE Dec30 Dec02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
6  GOBOT Dec14 Nov02 Oct14 Aug05 Feb25 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 122 4.00 ★    
7  HARPES HILL Dec15 Nov09 Oct11 Aug10 Jul15 (patt rolan)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 6.00    
 
FG-3   01/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LYRICAL POET Dec17 Nov24 Oct18 Sep03 Aug02 (rodriguez hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
2  FIREINTHESTORM Nov18 Oct11 Sep12 Aug04 Jun22 (courville )MARQUEZ L 118 10.00    
3  THINKABOUTIT Dec07 Oct14 Aug18 Jul14 Jun04 (handal raymo)TORRES A 121 3.00 44% 1.20    
4  CHANNEL WON Sep16 Aug26 Aug02 Jul15 Jun25 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 ★    
5  SATURDAY'S GOLD Oct14 Sep29 Aug21 Aug13 May30 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  ALICIA'S KID Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 Sep09 Aug18 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
7  SILVER WINGS Dec16 Nov24 Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
8  SMOKIN RICHIE Dec17 Nov24 Oct04 Sep04 Aug10 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 121 6.00    
9  OUR FREDDIE MAC Nov30 Sep02 Jun17 May20 Mar22 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOUGH CHARLIE Dec21 Aug13 May26 Apr01 Feb15 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 118 3.50    
SCR  MISTER CHAIRMAN Dec21 Dec02 Nov11 Oct19 Sep23 (ecoffey gilbert )CURTIS BEN 121 10.00    
SCR  PESO IN MY POCKET Dec16 Dec02 Sep12 Jul30 Jun11 (munoz yovani)NAVAS YOEL 116 12.00    
SCR  SIGN OF WAR Nov24 Aug21 Aug13 Apr01 Mar05 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00    
 
FG-4   01/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFORMANCE PLUS Dec22 Nov30 Nov01     (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
2  LUKE Nov25 Oct29       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  MAX S Dec22 Dec10 Nov10     (camejo m)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
4  HIGH ENOUGH Dec22 Nov25 Oct29 Oct01   (desormeaux )CARMONA SERAFIN 117 4.50    
5  EL KECZAL Dec19 Dec08 Nov18     (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
6  SATURDAY STARTER Nov30 Sep03       (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
7  ALVIN Nov30         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Dec22 Nov30 Sep01 Jul27   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 4.00    
 
FG-5   01/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT TONIGHT JOE Dec14 Oct20       (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00    
2  STILL TEMPER Dec14 Oct07 Sep02 Aug10   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 4.50 ★    
3  BLUE VORTEX Dec21 Nov17       (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.00 8% 11.60    
4  BAD BETTY         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
5  ENGLISH LUNA Dec21         (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
6  JOCELYN Dec21 Nov30 Oct26     (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 15.00 5% 18.60    
7  SIGNING Dec21 Nov17       (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA Dec21 Oct11       (margolis steph)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 66% 0.50    
9  A LIL PSYCHOTIC Dec16 Nov25       (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
 
FG-6   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN NINJA Dec14 Nov02 Sep28 Aug05 Mar12 (silva miguel)PARKER L 121 1.80 28% 2.60    
2  LOUISIANA LIBERTY Dec14 Nov17 Oct06 Aug05 Jun03 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 121 4.50 10% 9.50    
3  THAT'S MY MAMA Dec20 Nov16 Oct19 May26 May05 (noel dane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
4  LUYV Dec15 Dec01 Nov01 Oct19 Jul09 (goins garl)ALBERT S 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  SHES A LUCKY REBEL Dec14 Oct21 Aug26 Jun19 Jun03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 ★    
6  CALLING Dec10 Nov24 Jul31 Jun04 Mar23 (savoie sherman)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
7  COPPER MOON Dec16 Aug11 Jul29 Jun29 May20 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
 
FG-7   01/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TRUE GENTLEMAN Dec15 Nov05 Sep08 Jun24 May28 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00 8% 11.30    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of WILD STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
2  CAFE RACER Dec15 Oct06 Jun10 Jan06 Nov27 (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 ★    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
3  MO SATURDAYS Dec01 Sep02 Jun22 May04 Feb02 (stall m)LANERIE J 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MIGHTY KATHERINE by SEEKING THE DIA)
4  AMANWALKSINTOABAR Dec01 Oct26 Mar15 Feb04 Jan07 (stidham mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DRIVEN by FORESTRY)
5  PRINCE COSMO Aug21 Jul28 Jun24 Jun02 May13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 15.00 7% 13.80    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of COSMIC QUEEN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  EL PAJARO LOCO Oct07 Sep12       (silva walter)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SUNDY SUNFLOWER by SUNDARBAN)
7  COACHES MEETING Mar25 Jul16       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS SAMMY by TALE OF EKATI)
8  HOGSLAYERS R I P Dec01 Sep30 Aug31 Jul23 Jan22 (pessin l)CURTIS BEN 125 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCATTER GUN by SCAT DADDY)
9  AUTO DIAL Dec17 Nov24 Aug18 Jul31 Jul12 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TAPICERA by TAPIT)
SCR  KOOPS Jul30 Sep22       (sharp joe)TORRES A 125 8.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ARCHANGELUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
FG-8   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY PEARL Dec21 Nov30 Sep12 Sep03 Aug13 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 12.00    
2  MARMO MOON Dec14 Sep12 Aug13 Jul29 Jun12 (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 125 10.00 7% 13.00    
3  FIRST LOVE Dec14 Dec03 Apr01     (amoss m)NAVAS YOEL 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  GOTTAGONOWNOW Dec21 Dec08       (savoie sherm)MURRAY M 125 20.00    
5  MRS. SPEAKER Nov30 Oct22 Sep27 Aug26 Aug01 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  MOR FOXY Dec23 Dec08       (ecoffey gil)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 20.00    
SCR  SHEHASANATTITUDE         (husak gary)MARQUEZ L 125 10.00    
8  GOLD PLUS Nov30 Jul29 Jun22 May10 Mar24 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
9  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Dec21 Sep28 Sep05 Aug01 Jul08 (mcgee paul)GRAHAM J 125 5.00 20% 4.10    
10  FREEFORM Dec21 Nov30 Jun02 Oct14 Aug26 (habeeb don)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00    
 
FG-9   01/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREWATER JAKE Dec02 Jul21 May25 Mar09 Feb04 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 10.00    
SCR  RIGHTANDJUST Dec01 Sep22 Aug11 Jul10 May27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
3  BIG DREAMING Nov23 Nov05 Aug31 Aug05 Nov20 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
4  HIGH TIDE Nov17 Oct06 Aug25 Jul27 Jun04 (atras rob)TORRES A 121 6.00    
5  SOUL COAXING Dec14 Dec01 Oct19 Aug06 Jun22 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  VITALE Dec22 Dec01 Oct26 Aug30 Aug06 (ecoffey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
7  TIDE OF THE SEA Nov11 Sep21 Aug23 Jun09 May06 (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50    
8  BIZZEE CHANNEL Nov23 Sep07 Aug16 Feb12 Jan15 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 ★    
9  FLY NIGHTLY Dec30 Nov29 Aug27 Aug03 Jul20 (ecoffey w)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  GROUP EIGHTEEN Dec22 Nov19 Oct19 Sep21 Aug12 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  THE REDS Nov18 Oct22 Sep14 Jul21 Apr28 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00    
 
FG-10   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUSADER EXPRESS Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Jun23 Jun10 (zenon charles)MCMAHON J 121 4.50    
2  MUCHO MARVIN Dec06 Nov10 Oct07 Aug13 Aug04 (courville )MARQUEZ L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SABER RUN Dec03 Sep04 Aug05 Jul01 May30 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
4  BIG SCULLY Dec14 Sep11 Aug12 May20 Feb23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 7% 13.20    
5  SMOOTH COLLIERY Nov10 Oct07 Aug13 Jun24 May18 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  GREELEY WENT WEST Dec21 Jan29 Dec17 Nov18 Oct12 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
7  BIBLEMAN Dec21 Nov30 Sep04 Jul29 Jul04 (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 4.50 44% 1.30    
8  NORTHERNREFLECTION Dec16 Nov25 Aug21 Jul27 Jun18 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
9  J B GRAY Dec21 Nov30 Aug27 Jul31 Jun19 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.