Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-3   EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-1 $14.60 $5.60 62%
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-7 $11.70 $2.70 30%
FG-7   WIN (9/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    DD (2/9/3/10)-(9/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $18.70 $6.70 56%
FG-8   WIN (6/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    DD (9/5/6)-(6/1/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $15.10 $3.10 26%
    PK3 (2/9/3/10)-(9/5/6)-(6/1/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-5-1 $34.15 $10.15 42%
FG-9   WIN (3/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $20.20 $12.20 153%
    EXA (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $44.40 $32.40 270%
    TRI (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-8-3 $93.50 $81.50 679%
    DD (6/1/5/9)-(3/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-2 $70.30 $54.30 339%
    PK3 (9/5/6)-(6/1/5/9)-(3/6/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-1-2 $72.95 $48.95 204%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:222 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVERENT 4 5 5 4   1½ 1 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 1.40 36% 1.80 1.00 W
LONE STAR MAX 6 7 7 7   5 2 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 16.50  
PERFECT STRIKE 1 1 1nk 2½   3½ 36 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00 23.80  
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW 3 2 2nk 1½   2½ 47 (duhon josep)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 4.50 27% 2.80 7.80  
CHAD'S FLASH 7 3 4¾ 3   44 510½ (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 7% 12.80 2.80  
OLE STUD MUFFIN 2 6 6 66   7 610½ (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 14.80  
PROBLEM CHILD 5 4 3½ 5   67 715¼ (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 119 5.00 4.50  
 
FG-2   12/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BARILEY 5 4 53 5 4 1nk 1 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 3.50 39% 1.50 1.60 W
BONUS APPRECIATION 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 3.2 2 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 12% 7.10 2.30 P
LIONS NOT SHEEP 3 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 3 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00 20% 4.00 1.90 S
MAX PANDOWDY 4 7 75 7 5 4 413 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 25.70  
BIG POWER RED 6 5 64 6 6 6 516 (govea cesar)NAVAS YOEL 116 5.00 12.40  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 7 3 3 32 33 5 616¾ (hirdes john)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00 21.60  
BIG BLUE 2 6 4 42 7 719¼ 753 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 20.00 26.90  
SCR  MO THEM DOWN               (charles)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
 
FG-3   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERD IMMUNITY 7 6 6 64   5 1nk (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 124 3.50 17% 4.90 1.90 W
LUNAR MODULE 1 2 32 4   4 2nk (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 50% 1.00 4.30 P
SILVER WINGS 2 1 11 1½   11 3½ (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 8.10  
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE 6 4 4 31   31 42 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 11.50  
STARBURST 4 7 5 5   6 5 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 11% 8.30 1.50  
PESO IN MY POCKET 5 3 21 2½   21 6 (munoz yovani)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 27.90  
GOTTA GO 3 5 75 78   7 712½ (henry eric)MELANCON G 121 10.00 16.30  
 
FG-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE MONSTRE RAPIDE 2 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 3.10  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CHARGED COTTON by DEHERE)
CITY OF LOVE 5 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 1.00 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of JERRY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU 6 4 4 45   4 35 (david b)LANERIE J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30 S
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SKYLINE DRIVE by QUALITY ROAD)
MEASURE OF FAITH 1 9 52 56   5 47 (lee don)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00 5% 19.00 44.30  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of LEAVE A MESSAGE by FAVORITE TRICK)
SASSI D 7 3 31 33   3 5 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 65% 0.50 7.00  
  (by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
BOSTON BLITZ 8 8 9 79   6 6 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 11.70  
  (by POWER JAM out of GODDESS OF LOVE by LORD CARSON)
CONTRABAND EARLY 4 6 8 8   7 7 (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 10.70  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of UNAMUSED by STREET SENSE)
PASSING JUDGMENT 9 5 63 6   811¾ 821½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 11.90  
  (by OUTWORK out of PURPLE PIANO by STAY THIRSTY)
SOCIAL SOLUTION 3 7 7 913¼   916¾ 926¾ (david sam )WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 12.00 41.40  
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of PATTON ON PETITE by HANNIBALS STRATEGY)
 
FG-5   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:141 1:392   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BASELINE BEATER 8 8 8 8 6 33 1¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 117 12.00 5.70  
AGENT CREED 6 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 2¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 62% 0.60 1.70 P
BRIGADE COMMANDER 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 3 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 8% 11.80 2.70 S
GLUCKSTADT 7 2 32 32 4 4 4 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 31.30  
TREATY 3 7 42 4 32 5 513¼ (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 4.80  
SOLID COUNTRY GOLD 4 5 6 7 8 710¾ 614½ (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 9% 9.80 4.70  
SUMMER LOVER 2 4 54 6 7 610¼ 716¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 48.80  
SMARTY ALEX 5 6 7 5 5 812¾ 824¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00 25.80  
SCR  DAPPER DUDE               (rodriguez eduar)LANERIE J 117 8.00    
SCR  OLD ALLIANCE               (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.50    
 
FG-6   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE' ANS EIGHTY 2 7 3 3   11 12 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 37% 1.70 1.60 W
10  TU CHA 9 3 53 4   4 22 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 5% 18.10 3.50 P
MADELYN BELLE 8 4 2 21   3 3 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 4.50 19% 4.20 3.70 S
COPPER MOON 5 1 1 11   21 45 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 10.00 39.50  
MYSTIC STORM 7 2 4 5   55 56 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 5.00  
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY 4 6 6 77   78 6 (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 15.00 33.50  
HANNAH'S HAVEN 3 8 75 64   66 7 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 15% 5.50 6.40  
THE RAGE OF ART 1 9 9 89   8 8 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00 63.50  
BELMAR SUMMER 6 5 87 910½   912½ 916¼ (camejo jose)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 12.00 26.50  
SCR  GIRL AFRAID               (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00    
 
FG-7   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 4 1 1½ 11   14 1 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 13% 6.60 2.40 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHARED HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
REDEPOSIT 7 3 3 32   24 2 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 56% 0.80 1.20 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of KIDORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SEVEN ANNIVERSARY 2 5 54 44   46 3 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 18.90  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAHBADIHA by MORE THAN READY)
BIG FIG 6 2 2½ 21   3 4 (maker j)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 13.80  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN FAME by WESTERN FAME)
MIGHTY MESSAGE 3 7 7 7   6 511¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 3.60  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIANT REVIEW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE 5 6 6 6   58 615 (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 4.50 6% 14.80 9.60  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FASTBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BALTIMORE HEART 1 4 4 55   711½ 720¼ (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 24.10  
  (by HEART TO HEART out of FLIGHT PATTERN by STRAIGHT LINE)
SCR  BRENNAN'S HONOR               (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GENUINE CLASS by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  FINISH THE MISSION               (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of TOO GOOD TO B TRUE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  GAVEL               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
SCR  GOTTA KEEP HIM               (kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  SHARP STRIKE               (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DANCING FANCY by SHEIKH ALBADOU (GB))
 
FG-8   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:22 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO STARS 1 5 66 5   2½ 1 (cox h)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 22% 3.60 3.70 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR BILLING by DYNAFORMER)
OH MY MIA 3 8 810 8   6 2 (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 8.00 11.10  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
REMUNZEL 2 9 910 9   9 3 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 10.00 15.50  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SILHOUETTE by SMART STRIKE)
BEELIEVE HER 6 1 21 2   1½ 4 (hartman chris)PARKER L 120 3.50 43% 1.40 2.00  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of AARONESS by AARON'S CONCORDE)
10  PLUM TRICKY 9 7 78 7   8 53 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 3.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
LIUZZA 7 3 54 43   7 64 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 9.10  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ELUSIVE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
VELVET KISSES 5 4 4 6   52 7 (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 11% 8.40 6.60  
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY KISSES by CONGRATS)
SYBARITE 8 6 3 3   3 8 (vaccarezza carlo)NAVAS YOEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
  (by TAPITURE out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
A LIL PSYCHOTIC 4 2 11 1   4 9 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 120 20.00 62.20  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DREAMBOAT ANNIE by FREUD)
SCR  MT. MASADA               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
FG-9   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRYINMYHEARTOUT 1 6 65 53 2½ 1 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 7% 13.40 9.10 W
LADY JEOPARDY 4 1 1 1 1½ 2 2 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 15% 5.80 5.20 P
ACADEMIC HONOR 2 3 2 2 3 36 311 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 29% 2.40 1.60 S
13  NOMADIC PRIDE 8 8 7 74 76 510 416¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 5.00 4.30  
COTTON CANDY ANNIE 5 5 54 3 4 4 517¾ (hernandez armando)GRAHAM J 117 20.00 11.90  
MISS RIDDLER 3 2 44 6 55 610 620¼ (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.50 22% 3.50 6.70  
12  HAPPY HELEN 7 7 8 8 6 710¼ 720½ (walsh bren)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00 6.10  
10  FLAMAND 6 4 3 4 8 817¼ 834½ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 117 20.00 23.70  
SCR  ELLE EST FORTE               (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
SCR  MUSICAL SCORE               (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.50    
SCR  PRESENT MOMENT (IRE)               (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN MAFIA               (rodriguez eduar)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
SCR  TASWEYA               (walsh bren)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
 
FG-10   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:142 1:274   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT STAR 4 3 44 32 32 1nk 12 (husak gary)MARQUEZ L 121 12.00 8.40  
ARCTIC ROSE 3 5 12 1 1½ 2nk 22 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121 5.00 9% 10.00 2.20 P
FORT BONZ 8 11 88 5 5 33 3 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00 23.70  
OAK HILL SOLUTION 1 1 22 2 2½ 4 48 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 40% 1.50 5.40  
NORTHERNREFLECTION 9 8 10 9 8 8 5 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 8.00 10.70  
JUJU NINETEEN 5 4 6 7 9 55 69 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
STEAL IT BACK 6 9 9 11 11 10 79 (west patric)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 6.00 10.00  
11  TSURIS 11 10 11 10 10 11 8 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00 15.00  
10  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT 10 6 7 8 44 7 912 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 26% 2.80 4.60  
UNWANTED INTRUDER 2 7 55 42 7 6 1013¼ (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 9.10  
CAEUS IN PASADENA 7 2 33 64 6 9 1116½ (leblanc jo)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 50.00 89.20  
SCR  MEDITATE (IRE)               (dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
SCR  PAYDAY TOO               (gibson jo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.