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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Fair Grounds
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

FG-3			EXA	(1/7/4)-(1/7/4/6)						9	$1.00	$9.00	7-1		$14.60			$5.60				62%
			DD	(6/3/1)-(1/7/4)						9	$1.00	$9.00	6-7		$11.70			$2.70				30%
FG-7			WIN	(9/5/6)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$6.80			$0.80				13%
			DD	(2/9/3/10)-(9/5/6)						12	$1.00	$12.00	2-5		$18.70			$6.70				56%
FG-8			WIN	(6/1/5/9)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$9.40			$1.40				18%
			DD	(9/5/6)-(6/1/5/9)						12	$1.00	$12.00	5-1		$15.10			$3.10				26%
			PK3	(2/9/3/10)-(9/5/6)-(6/1/5/9)						48	$0.50	$24.00	2-5-1		$34.15			$10.15				42%
FG-9			WIN	(3/6/8/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$20.20			$12.20				153%
			EXA	(3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2)						12	$1.00	$12.00	2-8		$44.40			$32.40				270%
			TRI	(3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2)						24	$0.50	$12.00	2-8-3		$93.50			$81.50				679%
			DD	(6/1/5/9)-(3/6/8/2)						16	$1.00	$16.00	1-2		$70.30			$54.30				339%
			PK3	(9/5/6)-(6/1/5/9)-(3/6/8/2)						48	$0.50	$24.00	5-1-2		$72.95			$48.95				204%

Simulator Race results


FG-1			12/16/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($15K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	REVERENT									(mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121						1.40		36%		1.80		1.00	W
6	LONE STAR MAX									(balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 119						8.00						16.50
1	PERFECT STRIKE									(mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121						12.00						23.80
3	OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW									(duhon josep)CARMONA SERAFIN 116						4.50		27%		2.80		7.80
7	CHAD'S FLASH									(rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 119						3.50		7%		12.80		2.80
2	OLE STUD MUFFIN									(ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121						12.00		★				14.80
5	PROBLEM CHILD									(sanchez c)MCMAHON J 119						5.00						4.50

FG-2			12/16/2023		5490ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($15K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MY BARILEY									(leonard i)PARKER L 121						3.50		39%		1.50		1.60	W
1	BONUS APPRECIATION									(bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121						3.50		12%		7.10		2.30	P
3	LIONS NOT SHEEP									(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121						3.00		20%		4.00		1.90	S
5	MAX PANDOWDY									(hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121						15.00						25.70
7	BIG POWER RED									(govea cesar)NAVAS YOEL 116						5.00						12.40
8	PHARAOH'S PROPHECY									(hirdes john)CARMONA SERAFIN 116						20.00		★				21.60
2	BIG BLUE									(alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121						20.00						26.90
SCR	MO THEM DOWN									(charles)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121						3.50

FG-3			12/16/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	WET FAST	Claiming ($15K)					Purse ($24K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	HERD IMMUNITY									(heitzman eric)LANERIE J 124						3.50		17%		4.90		1.90	W
1	LUNAR MODULE									(wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119						3.00		50%		1.00		4.30	P
2	SILVER WINGS									(wilson shane)GRAHAM J 121						8.00						8.10
6	MISCHIEF'S MACHINE									(bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121						3.50		★				11.50
4	STARBURST									(stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						3.50		11%		8.30		1.50
5	PESO IN MY POCKET									(munoz yovani)NIEVES EMANUEL 121						10.00						27.90
3	GOTTA GO									(henry eric)MELANCON G 121						10.00						16.30

FG-4			12/16/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	LE MONSTRE RAPIDE									(wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122						4.50		★				3.10
		(by STAR GUITAR out of CHARGED COTTON by DEHERE)
5	CITY OF LOVE									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.00		★				1.00	P
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of JERRY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6	YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU									(david b)LANERIE J 122						8.00		5%		19.00		17.30	S
		(by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SKYLINE DRIVE by QUALITY ROAD)
1	MEASURE OF FAITH									(lee don)NAVAS YOEL 117						20.00		5%		19.00		44.30
		(by CLEARLY NOW out of LEAVE A MESSAGE by FAVORITE TRICK)
7	SASSI D									(thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122						3.50		65%		0.50		7.00
		(by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
8	BOSTON BLITZ									(ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						8.00						11.70
		(by POWER JAM out of GODDESS OF LOVE by LORD CARSON)
4	CONTRABAND EARLY									(wilson shane)GRAHAM J 122						6.00						10.70
		(by STAR GUITAR out of UNAMUSED by STREET SENSE)
9	PASSING JUDGMENT									(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122						8.00						11.90
		(by OUTWORK out of PURPLE PIANO by STAY THIRSTY)
3	SOCIAL SOLUTION									(david sam )WELLINGTON KYLIE 117						12.00						41.40
		(by REAL SOLUTION out of PATTON ON PETITE by HANNIBALS STRATEGY)

FG-5			12/16/2023		5940ft	DIRT	RC10	SLOPPY	Allowance					Purse ($53K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	BASELINE BEATER									(pessin l)LANERIE J 117						12.00						5.70
8	AGENT CREED									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120						3.00		62%		0.60		1.70	P
1	BRIGADE COMMANDER									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 117						4.00		8%		11.80		2.70	S
9	GLUCKSTADT									(sanchez c)MCMAHON J 117						8.00						31.30
5	TREATY									(casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						12.00						4.80
6	SOLID COUNTRY GOLD									(gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						6.00		9%		9.80		4.70
2	SUMMER LOVER									(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120						8.00						48.80
7	SMARTY ALEX									(wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117						12.00		5%		19.00		25.80
SCR	DAPPER DUDE									(rodriguez eduar)LANERIE J 117						8.00
SCR	OLD ALLIANCE									(stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 117						3.50

FG-6			12/16/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($25K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	DE' ANS EIGHTY									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						4.00		37%		1.70		1.60	W
10	TU CHA									(roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121						5.00		5%		18.10		3.50	P
9	MADELYN BELLE									(catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119						4.50		19%		4.20		3.70	S
5	COPPER MOON									(richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 116						10.00						39.50
7	MYSTIC STORM									(robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119						8.00		★				5.00
4	LOVEYOULIKECRAZY									(lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114						15.00						33.50
3	HANNAH'S HAVEN									(wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121						8.00		15%		5.50		6.40
1	THE RAGE OF ART									(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119						20.00						63.50
6	BELMAR SUMMER									(camejo jose)CARMONA SERAFIN 114						12.00						26.50
SCR	GIRL AFRAID									(falcone n)CURTIS BEN 119						3.00

FG-7			12/16/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($52K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	HONKY TONK HIGHWAY									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						6.00		13%		6.60		2.40	W
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHARED HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9	REDEPOSIT									(foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120						3.50		56%		0.80		1.20	P
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of KIDORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3	SEVEN ANNIVERSARY									(camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120						12.00						18.90
		(by KANTHAROS out of MAHBADIHA by MORE THAN READY)
8	BIG FIG									(maker j)GRAHAM J 120						12.00						13.80
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN FAME by WESTERN FAME)
4	MIGHTY MESSAGE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120						4.00		★				3.60
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of GIANT REVIEW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6	HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE									(asmussen ste)TORRES A 120						4.50		6%		14.80		9.60
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FASTBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1	BALTIMORE HEART									(williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						12.00						24.10
		(by HEART TO HEART out of FLIGHT PATTERN by STRAIGHT LINE)
SCR	BRENNAN'S HONOR									(asmussen ste)TORRES A 120						6.00
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of GENUINE CLASS by BIRDSTONE)
SCR	FINISH THE MISSION									(amoss m)LANERIE J 120						5.00
		(by NOBLE MISSION out of TOO GOOD TO B TRUE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR	GAVEL									(rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120						3.00
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
SCR	GOTTA KEEP HIM									(kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 120						8.00
		(by STREET BOSS out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR	SHARP STRIKE									(roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 115						6.00
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DANCING FANCY by SHEIKH ALBADOU (GB))

FG-8			12/16/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($52K)			2		F		PT- 5:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	INTO STARS									(cox h)GRAHAM J 120						4.50		22%		3.60		3.70	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR BILLING by DYNAFORMER)
3	OH MY MIA									(amoss m)LANERIE J 120						8.00						11.10
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
2	REMUNZEL									(sharp joe)TORRES A 120						10.00						15.50
		(by MUNNINGS out of SILHOUETTE by SMART STRIKE)
6	BEELIEVE HER									(hartman chris)PARKER L 120						3.50		43%		1.40		2.00
		(by BEE JERSEY out of AARONESS by AARON'S CONCORDE)
10	PLUM TRICKY									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120						8.00						3.30
		(by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
8	LIUZZA									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						6.00		★				9.10
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ELUSIVE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5	VELVET KISSES									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						4.50		11%		8.40		6.60
		(by MASTERY out of KINSLEY KISSES by CONGRATS)
9	SYBARITE									(vaccarezza carlo)NAVAS YOEL 115						12.00		5%		19.00		17.20
		(by TAPITURE out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
4	A LIL PSYCHOTIC									(sanchez c)MCMAHON J 120						20.00						62.20
		(by PALACE MALICE out of DREAMBOAT ANNIE by FREUD)
SCR	MT. MASADA									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120						6.00
		(by SKY MESA out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)

FG-9			12/16/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC3	SLOPPY	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	TRYINMYHEARTOUT									(wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117						12.00		7%		13.40		9.10	W
8	LADY JEOPARDY									(duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120						15.00		15%		5.80		5.20	P
3	ACADEMIC HONOR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120						4.50		29%		2.40		1.60	S
13	NOMADIC PRIDE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117						5.00						4.30
9	COTTON CANDY ANNIE									(hernandez armando)GRAHAM J 117						20.00						11.90
6	MISS RIDDLER									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 117						4.50		22%		3.50		6.70
12	HAPPY HELEN									(walsh bren)MURRILL MITCHELL 117						8.00						6.10
10	FLAMAND									(lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 117						20.00						23.70
SCR	ELLE EST FORTE									(handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						6.00
SCR	MUSICAL SCORE									(cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117						3.50
SCR	PRESENT MOMENT (IRE)									(beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 120						8.00
SCR	RUSSIAN MAFIA									(rodriguez eduar)LANERIE J 120						15.00
SCR	TASWEYA									(walsh bren)MURRILL MITCHELL 120						4.50

FG-10			12/16/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($15K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	GALLANT STAR									(husak gary)MARQUEZ L 121						12.00						8.40
3	ARCTIC ROSE									(schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121						5.00		9%		10.00		2.20	P
8	FORT BONZ									(mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121						20.00						23.70
1	OAK HILL SOLUTION									(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121						4.00		40%		1.50		5.40
9	NORTHERNREFLECTION									(delany sarah)PARKER L 121						8.00						10.70
5	JUJU NINETEEN									(savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121						10.00		5%		19.00		11.90
6	STEAL IT BACK									(west patric)CARMONA SERAFIN 116						6.00						10.00
11	TSURIS									(ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118						5.00		★				15.00
10	IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT									(tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121						6.00		26%		2.80		4.60
2	UNWANTED INTRUDER									(wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121						20.00						9.10
7	CAEUS IN PASADENA									(leblanc jo)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116						50.00						89.20
SCR	MEDITATE (IRE)									(dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						12.00
SCR	PAYDAY TOO									(gibson jo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121						5.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.