Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-2   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-3   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-4   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-5   Win (8/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-6   Win (2/9/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-7   Win (9/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-8   Win (6/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-9   Win (3/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-10   Win (1/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT STRIKE Nov30 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 May10 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
OLE STUD MUFFIN May26 May10 Mar23 Mar04 Feb24 (ladner he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Jul17 Jun26 May14 Mar23 Mar05 (duhon joseph )CARMONA SERAFIN 116 4.50 27% 2.80    
REVERENT Nov30 Sep12 Aug28 Jul23 Jul01 (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
PROBLEM CHILD Nov30 Feb11 Dec23 Nov19 Oct21 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 119 5.00    
LONE STAR MAX Jun04 May14 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 119 8.00    
CHAD'S FLASH Nov30 Nov18 Aug06 Jul13 Jun14 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 7% 12.80    
 
FG-2   12/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONUS APPRECIATION Nov08 Oct18 Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
BIG BLUE Nov23 Oct05 Sep13 Sep03 Aug13 (alba-hernandez ir)COHEN DAVID 121 20.00    
LIONS NOT SHEEP Dec08 Jun19 May20 Apr14 Mar05 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  MO THEM DOWN Sep09 Aug11 Jul23 Jun10 Nov27 (charles j)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
MAX PANDOWDY Dec08 Jul23 Jun25 May28 May11 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
MY BARILEY Nov23 Oct13 Sep17 May26 Apr21 (leonard iii)PARKER L 121 3.50 39% 1.50    
BIG POWER RED Sep01 Jul23 Jun15 May27 Apr29 (govea cesar)NAVAS YOEL 116 5.00    
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Nov17 Sep12 Sep03 Jul30 Apr05 (hirdes john)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00    
 
FG-3   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR MODULE Oct06 Sep05 Jul30 Jun19 May22 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
SILVER WINGS Nov24 Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 Apr30 (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
GOTTA GO Nov18 Oct13 Aug12 Jun09 May06 (henry eric)MELANCON G 121 10.00    
STARBURST Nov17 Oct12 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 11% 8.30    
PESO IN MY POCKET Dec02 Sep12 Jul30 Jun11 May08 (munoz yovani)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Aug12 Jul15 Jun23 Apr26 Feb17 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
HERD IMMUNITY Nov17 Oct13 Sep29 Jun18 May03 (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
FG-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEASURE OF FAITH         (lee don)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
LE MONSTRE RAPIDE Nov23 Dec26       (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50    
SOCIAL SOLUTION         (david b)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 12.00    
CONTRABAND EARLY         (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
CITY OF LOVE Nov09 Oct08 Mar25     (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU Nov23         (david b)LANERIE J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SASSI D Nov09 Oct18 Sep11 Aug12   (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 65% 0.50    
BOSTON BLITZ Feb10 Jan20       (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
PASSING JUDGMENT Nov09         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
 
FG-5   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGADE COMMANDER Sep30 Sep09 Jul23 Jun22 May14 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 8% 11.80    
SUMMER LOVER Dec07 Nov21 Oct21 Oct12 Aug25 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  DAPPER DUDE Nov17 Aug31 Aug10     (rodriguez eduardo)LANERIE J 117 8.00    
SCR  OLD ALLIANCE Nov17 Oct15 Dec26 Nov04 Oct07 (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.50    
TREATY Oct12 Sep20 Aug06 Jun15 Mar19 (casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Nov23 Jul16 Jun25 Jun01 Apr12 (gelner jayde)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
SMARTY ALEX Sep11 Aug05 Jul17 Jun03 May13 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
AGENT CREED Nov10 Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
GLUCKSTADT Jul29 Jun24 May25 Apr22 Mar12 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 117 8.00    
10  BASELINE BEATER Nov17 Oct12 Sep10 Aug04 May14 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00    
 
FG-6   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RAGE OF ART Oct25 Oct06 Sep27 Sep02 Aug20 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00    
DE' ANS EIGHTY May20 Mar23 Feb25     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
HANNAH'S HAVEN Sep05 Jul31 Jun03 May06 Apr07 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Nov07 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 (lopez elias)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 15.00    
COPPER MOON Aug11 Jul29 Jun29 May20 Apr22 (richards coral)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 10.00    
BELMAR SUMMER Sep04 Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 (camejo m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 12.00    
MYSTIC STORM Nov04 Oct21 Aug06 May14 Mar23 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00    
SCR  GIRL AFRAID Dec03 Oct19 Aug31 Jul02 Jan22 (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00    
MADELYN BELLE Nov07 Aug24 Jul20 Jun25 Jun07 (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
10  TU CHA Oct30 Oct04 Aug26 Jun22 Jun08 (roussel loui)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 5% 18.10    
 
FG-7   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALTIMORE HEART         (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
SCR  SHARP STRIKE         (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00    
SEVEN ANNIVERSARY         (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
MIGHTY MESSAGE Nov12         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00    
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Nov18 Oct29 Oct07 Aug20   (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE         (asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 4.50 6% 14.80    
SCR  FINISH THE MISSION Nov18 Oct18       (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
BIG FIG Sep29         (maker j)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
REDEPOSIT Nov26 Oct20       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  GAVEL Nov24 Sep03       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
SCR  GOTTA KEEP HIM Oct20 Sep10 Aug19     (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  BRENNAN'S HONOR Nov10 Oct20       (asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 6.00    
 
FG-8   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO STARS Oct19 Sep16 Aug10     (cox h)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
REMUNZEL         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 10.00    
OH MY MIA Nov25 Oct29       (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
A LIL PSYCHOTIC Nov25         (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
VELVET KISSES         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 11% 8.40    
BEELIEVE HER Nov25         (hartman chris)PARKER L 120 3.50 43% 1.40    
SCR  MT. MASADA         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
LIUZZA         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SYBARITE Nov19         (vaccarezza carlo)NAVAS YOEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  PLUM TRICKY         (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
 
FG-9   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) Nov18 Oct09 Sep07 Jul08 Jun08 (beckman whitwort)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
TRYINMYHEARTOUT Nov18 Sep02 Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 7% 13.40    
ACADEMIC HONOR May04 Apr14 Feb13     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  RUSSIAN MAFIA Nov18 Sep03 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 (rodriguez eduardo)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
SCR  ELLE EST FORTE Nov23 Oct28 Aug20 Jul26 May18 (handal raymon)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
MISS RIDDLER Sep10 Jul15 Jun03 Apr27 Jul29 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  TASWEYA Nov18 Oct18 Aug27 Jul19 Jun21 (walsh brenda)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
LADY JEOPARDY Nov18 Aug27 Jul08 Jun10 Mar26 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 15% 5.80    
COTTON CANDY ANNIE Oct27 Oct10 Aug10 Jun08 May23 (hernandez armando)GRAHAM J 117 20.00    
10  FLAMAND Oct27 Sep23 Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 117 20.00    
SCR  MUSICAL SCORE Nov18 Oct26 Sep16 Aug05 May06 (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.50    
12  HAPPY HELEN Nov17 Oct03 Sep13 Jan11 Dec07 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 8.00    
13  NOMADIC PRIDE Sep24 Aug18 Jun29 May29 Mar25 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 117 5.00    
 
FG-10   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAK HILL SOLUTION Jul21 Jul03 Jun18 May29 Mar18 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
UNWANTED INTRUDER Apr19 Mar02 Feb16 Jan29 Dec18 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
ARCTIC ROSE Nov23 Oct14 Sep10 Aug03 Jun09 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121 5.00 9% 10.00    
GALLANT STAR Nov30 Nov17 Oct13 Aug04 Jul22 (husak j)MARQUEZ L 121 12.00    
JUJU NINETEEN Aug27 Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 Mar16 (savoie sherman)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
STEAL IT BACK Nov25 Sep10 Jul30 Jun17 May18 (west patricia)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 6.00    
CAEUS IN PASADENA Nov30 Oct25 Jun10 May18 Jan08 (leblanc john)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 50.00    
FORT BONZ Nov25 Aug10 May10 Nov11 Aug19 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
NORTHERNREFLECTION Nov25 Aug21 Jul27 Jun18 May19 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 8.00    
10  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT Nov25 Jun25 Jun04 Apr23 Mar24 (tracy tanner)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
11  TSURIS Nov24 Aug28 Jul21 Jun29 Jun15 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  MEDITATE (IRE) Nov25 Jun12 May27 May08 Feb17 (dandridge cou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
SCR  PAYDAY TOO Oct27 Sep10 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (gibson jona)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.