The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
TAM-2   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $3.60 -4.00
TAM-3   Win (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
TAM-4   Win (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
TAM-5   Win (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TAM-6   Win (2/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.40 -8.00
TAM-7   Win (8/7/2/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $3.40 -10.00
TAM-8   Win (10/9/11/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $15.20 -10.00
TAM-9   Win (10/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $36.00 $36.00 30.00

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   12/30/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:16
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:142 1:411   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE MY DREAMS 3 2 4 4 21 21 1¾ (o'connell )GALLARDO A 121 1.80 21% 3.70 1.70 W
NUMERIC 1 1 2½ 1½ 11 11 2¾ (crichton rohan)BATISTA A 121 3.00 33% 2.10 1.80 P
TIPHARAH 5 5 53 5 4 32 33 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 30.00 51.20  
MARTINI'S AMICA 7 6 64 7 64 46 4(amado enriqu)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 3.80  
CAPTURE THIS 2 7 32 3½ 31 5510¾ (minguet ramon)MORELOS E 118 10.00 12.80  
ZIPPY ZINNY 4 3 74 6 5 68 611¼ (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00 12.00  
ENCHANTMENT (FR) 6 4 1½ 2½ 714½ 728 758½ (carrascojr vi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.50 15% 5.60 7.70  
SCR  R D BLESSING               (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 30.00    
 
TAM-2   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING FALIERO 2 4 1nk 11   14 110¼ (o'connell kathleen)FERRER C 120 3.50 0.80  
A BIT OF CAPTAIN 3 3 2nk 21   24 210¼ (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
SA SA SA 7 1 4 31   45 310¾ (bennett gerald )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 1.00 70% 0.40 2.40 S
ICONIC ROCK 4 2 3.2 4   34 411¾ (romero raf)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 15.00 37.80  
GRAY MEDALLION 5 7 6 5   56 514½ (parra hernan)DIAZ S 120 15.00 21.40  
TONADO 1 8 8 811½   614 617¾ (damen daniel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 17.20  
PRINCE DAVID 6 5 5 68   715 721½ (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 6.80  
STRAY PRINCE 8 6 7 710   840 872 (santilla)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00 49.70  
 
TAM-3   12/30/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:132 1:40   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROGANT RIDER 3 3 3 3 2 21 1(pickett cryst)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 8.00 7% 13.20 5.90 W
KING MIANO 5 4 12 1 1 11 2(o'connell kathlee)CENTENO E 121 12.00 1.50  
FIRE BARON 2 8 55 55 54 44 3(paragallo jenni)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00 48% 1.10 4.50 S
SIR DANIEL 8 6 6 66 6 5410 (wasiluk pet)HERRERA R 121 10.00 8.20  
ROCKY'S EXPRESS 1 1 4 4 3 34 510½ (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 124 15.00 7% 13.60 10.40  
SNOVEMBER 6 7 76 7 8 79 614¼ (lerman roy )VARGAS A 121 12.00 9% 10.60 18.80  
FLAVIAN 4 2 22 2 4 68 720½ (smith g)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00 3.60  
AMERICAN DAY 7 5 86 8 79 810½ 824¾ (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 124 12.00 26.80  
SCR  BLIND EYE               (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 124 1.80    
SCR  TIMO               (potts wayne)CASTANON L 124 3.50    
 
TAM-4   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN ARELLA 5 8 7 4   43 1¾ (ferraro antho)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00 23% 3.30 2.10 W
SHALL RETURN 7 7 3 2½   22 2¾ (bennett s)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 24% 3.20 6.10 P
DELIGHTFUL BREEZE 8 1 1 1½   12 3(rodriguez )GALLARDO A 122 3.00 13% 6.70 1.30 S
ROYAL TO BE 6 3 2 3   32 43 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 122 20.00 48.20  
RUBYSA 2 4 53 5   553 (rodriguez ang)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00 10.20  
TWIRLING GRACE 4 2 8 7   65 6(richards re)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.00 19% 4.30 7.60  
AWESOME APEAL 1 5 4 6   76 710½ (rodrigue)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 20.00 29.00  
LYRICAL 3 6 64 8   810 813¾ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 8.00 14.70  
SCR  RASMALAI               (baxter georgina)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50    
 
TAM-5   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:151 1:413   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE THE GOAT 3 2 3½ 4 4¾ 11¼ (david c)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 19% 4.40 1.20 W
GOOD BRIGHT FLAMES 6 7 7 7 5 42 2¼ (lutchman padar)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 4.00 P
TRENDY (ARG) 4 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 23(potts wayne)CENTENO E 118 4.00 19% 4.30 4.90 S
CORINTH 1 3 41 1½ 1½ 34(munoz ca)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 8.00 5.90  
WITH FEELING (GB) 7 6 52 5 3½ 55 512½ (rice kevin)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 35% 1.90 5.50  
ALTHENA 5 5 6 6 7 7616 (paragallo jenni)SOSA LAUREANO 111 12.00 16.70  
CHILLING FACTOR 2 4 1½ 3½ 6 6721 (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00 18.70  
SCR  JUICY JUSTICE               (granitz anthony)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00    
SCR  NO FAKE               (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00    
 
TAM-6   12/30/2023 5400ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:132 1:403   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFF THE MEDS 7 7 8 76 7 515 (avila car)BATISTA A 123 12.00 3.70  
WAR NOVEL 8 5 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 25 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 15% 5.90 4.90 P
DREAM ASTRAY 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 1½ 3(rodriguez darien)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 29% 2.40 4.60 S
WAR CROSS 6 4 6 63 6 64(gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 25% 3.00 3.40  
LORD BARNA 1 2 4 3 5 34 59 (o'connell kathleen)FERRER C 123 4.00 8% 10.80 2.50  
REINER 3 3 3 52 4 46(ferraro a)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 4.50 12.90  
SUPER BROTHER 5 8 7 8 8 8715¾ (roque elis)LOPEZ E 121 20.00 21.80  
CITI CREEK 4 6 5 4 3 77 817¾ (sillaman rich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00 37.60  
SCR  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT               (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00    
 
TAM-7   12/30/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:113 1:241   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPER MANSION 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 1½ (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.00 0.70  
12  PRINCESS JAVONCIA 10 8 7 5 3 21 2½ (hamm timothy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 4.50 6% 16.20 11.40 P
SLIME QUEEN 2 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 334 (arriagada jua)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 7% 14.10 11.70 S
INANNA'S QUEST 7 10 10 10 94 55 4(sillaman richard )CENTENO E 117 8.00 28% 2.50 14.80  
STEPPER 6 7 63 74 7 45 5(russo j)LOPEZ E 116 12.00 39.50  
PACIFIC PRINCESS 8 6 5 63 6 76(laurin roger)BATISTA A 116 4.00 33% 2.00 8.50  
10  HIGH VIBES 9 9 9 85 5 87(carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 118 6.00 6.70  
THAT'S MY CAT 5 5 4 3 4 6810¼ (hardesty l)GALLARDO A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
DOMINEERING 4 4 8 96 10 10911¼ (perkinson cc)FERRER C 116 12.00 34.30  
GLITTER BAY 3 3 3 4 8 91020¾ (curto j)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00 62.20  
SCR  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL               (ryan s)CASTANON L 113 4.00    
SCR  KIKILOVE               (potts g)CEDENO CAROL 113 30.00    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY               (orantes r)JARA FERNANDO 115 20.00    
 
TAM-8   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO SALSA 3 3 2½ 12   13 13 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 124 6.00 6.60  
REAL MIKEY 6 11 55 43   23 23 (lusk r)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00 20.80  
LUNA AMARILLA 9 8 9 6   43(marrero nestor)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.50 13% 6.50 3.90 S
WOW LADY 8 7 1010¼ 97   69 4(spanabel kell)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00 23.50  
FONE YOUR MOM 7 5 7 7   58 513¾ (santilla)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 30.00 76.00  
AMARULA SUN 1 6 4 5   710 616¼ (wasiluk pe)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00 79.00  
SUMMER GOLD 2 4 1½ 22   3717 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 12.00 13.40  
MAUREEN 5 9 8 108   913½ 818¼ (cascallares nes)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 12.00 6% 17.20 4.40  
THIRSTY DATE 4 10 66 8   811 922 (mendieta alej)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 20.00 53.60  
11  AGUA ROJA 11 1 1111¼ 1111   1023½ 1037¼ (cascallares nes)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 11% 7.80 51.90  
10  ROMASHKA 10 2 3 3   11100 11100 (d'angelo jos)SANCHEZ J 122 1.60 47% 1.10 1.10  
SCR  AZTECA GIRL               (pickett cryst)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   12/30/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANNON'S ROAR 6 6 11 11 1½ 1nk 1¼ (wright michae)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.00 W
THE PENINSULA 5 5 6 7 52 32¼ (rodriguez dari)ARROYO S 116 10.00 25.60  
10  AMERICAN UNITY 9 7 42 32 31 2nk 3¼ (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 37% 1.70 2.10 S
SIR TERRE 3 4 9 9 8 54¼ (sacco greg)GALLARDO A 116 8.00 13.00  
IRWANI (ARG) 1 2 32 5 42 45(d'angelo jos)SANCHEZ J 116 8.00 1.20  
FLY NIGHTLY 2 1 7 8 9 66(clay pat)CASTANON L 121 5.00 34% 1.90 9.80  
TWO BY TWO 7 9 10 10 10 87(arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 23.80  
GUNSLINGER (IRE) 8 10 8 6 6 9810¾ (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 6.00 8.00  
GHOST OF KHOZAN 4 3 21 21 2½ 7911¾ (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 117 20.00 84.90  
11  KING RAMOS 10 8 5 42 7 1011¼ 1016¾ (o'connell kathleen)FERRER C 115 12.00 40.10  
SCR  ARIES REIGNS               (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 112 20.00    
SCR  BIG LOUIE               (marino gary)FERRER C 110 30.00    
SCR  DAMIR               (galvan baltazar)SANTOS ADEMAR 115 15.00    
SCR  DEEP FAITH               (rigattieri john)MARIN SAMUEL 116 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.