Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(7/3)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(2/6/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(2/6/3/1)-(7/5/4/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/1)-(7/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/1)-(7/5/4/8)-(9/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/8)-(9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/8)-(9/4/3)-(2/7/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/3)-(9/4/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/3)-(9/4/3/8)-(9/4/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/3)-(2/7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3)-(2/7/9/1)-(8/7/2/12/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/9/1)-(8/7/2/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/1)-(8/7/2/12/5)-(10/9/11/5/12) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (8/7/2/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/12/5)-(8/7/2/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/12/5)-(8/7/2/12/5)-(8/7/2/12/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/2/12/5)-(10/9/11/5/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/12/5)-(10/9/11/5/12)-(10/2/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (10/9/11/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/11/5/12)-(10/9/11/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/11/5/12)-(10/9/11/5/12)-(10/9/11/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/11/5/12)-(10/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/7)-(10/2/9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/7)-(10/2/9/7/8)-(10/2/9/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMERIC Dec09 Aug19 Jul29 Aug26 Jul31 (crichton roh)BATISTA A 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
2  CAPTURE THIS Dec09 Nov22 Oct14 Sep16 Sep09 (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 118 10.00    
3  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Dec09 Oct06 Sep03 Aug02 Jun30 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 1.80 21% 3.70    
4  ZIPPY ZINNY Dec15 Oct06 Sep04 Aug18 Jul30 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00    
SCR  R D BLESSING Dec15 Dec09 Nov24 Jul01 Apr22 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 30.00    
6  TIPHARAH Dec09 Oct10 Oct02 Sep06 Aug18 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 30.00    
7  ENCHANTMENT (FR) Nov22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Jun03 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
8  MARTINI'S AMICA Dec15 Aug26 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (amado enri)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 ★    
 
TAM-2   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONADO         (damen danie)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
2  KING FALIERO Nov11 Oct14       (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 120 3.50 ★    
3  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Dec08 Sep25 Aug23 Jul19 Jun14 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ICONIC ROCK         (romero r)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 15.00    
5  GRAY MEDALLION         (parra hernan)DIAZ S 120 15.00    
6  PRINCE DAVID         (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 ★    
7  SA SA SA Dec13         (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 1.00 70% 0.40    
8  STRAY PRINCE         (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 
TAM-3   12/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Dec16 Sep06 Jul19 Jun17 Nov29 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 124 15.00 7% 13.60    
2  FIRE BARON Nov25 Oct22 Aug31 Aug04 Jul28 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00 48% 1.10    
3  ARROGANT RIDER May20 May06 Feb08 Jan13 Dec09 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 8.00 7% 13.20    
4  FLAVIAN Apr02 Dec09 Oct30 Sep17 Aug12 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00    
5  KING MIANO Dec09 Apr16 Mar11 Feb10   (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 121 12.00    
6  SNOVEMBER         (lerman ro)VARGAS A 121 12.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  BLIND EYE Dec07 Nov04 Sep20 Aug23 Aug11 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 124 1.80    
8  AMERICAN DAY Dec16 Dec06 Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 124 12.00    
9  SIR DANIEL Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 Sep10   (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 121 10.00    
SCR  TIMO Dec16 Oct22 Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 (potts wayne)CASTANON L 124 3.50    
 
TAM-4   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME APEAL Dec20 Oct21 Oct13 Aug10 Jul21 (rodrig)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 20.00    
2  RUBYSA Dec20 Nov25 Sep22 Aug05 Jul09 (rodriguez a)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
3  LYRICAL Sep04 Aug13 Jul19 Jun24 May29 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 8.00    
4  TWIRLING GRACE Jun25 Jun04 Apr23 Apr06 Dec21 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  QUEEN ARELLA Oct20 Oct03 Aug14 Jul12 Jun26 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00 23% 3.30    
6  ROYAL TO BE Oct23 Oct07 Jul12 Jun24 Jun14 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 122 20.00    
7  SHALL RETURN Dec20 Oct21 Aug27 Aug06 Jun30 (bennett gerald)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
8  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Nov25 Oct23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  RASMALAI Sep08 Jun30 May26 Feb25 Nov23 (baxter georgi)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50    
 
TAM-5   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORINTH Dec08 Nov22 Sep30 Sep07 Aug11 (munoz )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 8.00    
2  CHILLING FACTOR Nov05 Oct07 Sep02     (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
3  SADIE THE GOAT Nov19 Nov05 Sep24 Aug27   (david)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  TRENDY (ARG) Dec02 Nov22 Oct25 Sep28 Sep02 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  ALTHENA Dec15 Dec02 Oct14 Sep17 Aug30 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 111 12.00    
SCR  NO FAKE Dec01 Nov04       (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00    
SCR  JUICY JUSTICE Oct28 Aug28 Aug16     (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00    
8  GOOD BRIGHT FLAMES Dec09 Nov24 Oct13 Sep24 Aug20 (lutchman pad)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 ★    
9  WITH FEELING (GB) Dec15 Dec02 Oct25 Oct10   (rice kev)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-6   12/30/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD BARNA Dec15 Jul05 Jun13 May31 May06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 123 4.00 8% 10.80    
2  DREAM ASTRAY Nov24 Oct09 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  REINER Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 Jul04 Jun20 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 4.50    
SCR  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Dec15 Dec08 Nov24 Jun30 Mar18 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00    
5  CITI CREEK Nov29 Oct27 Oct14 Sep28 Aug30 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
6  SUPER BROTHER Sep22 Sep09 Aug26 Aug17 Jul27 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
7  WAR CROSS Dec20 Dec06 Nov03 Oct15 Aug19 (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
8  OFF THE MEDS Dec22 Dec01 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 (avila c)BATISTA A 123 12.00    
9  WAR NOVEL Dec15 Dec01 Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 15% 5.90    
 
TAM-7   12/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC8 GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPER MANSION Dec15 Oct29 Oct12 Sep29 Aug29 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.00    
2  SLIME QUEEN Nov29 Jul30 Jun03 Apr21 Mar25 (arriagada j)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 7% 14.10    
3  GLITTER BAY Oct17 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 Jul08 (curto beverly)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00    
4  DOMINEERING Dec16 Nov29 Sep22 Sep01 Aug06 (perkinson cc)FERRER C 116 12.00    
5  THAT'S MY CAT Dec09 Oct12 Sep06 Aug21 Jul03 (hardesty)GALLARDO A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STEPPER Aug04 Jun21 Mar07 Aug06 Jul10 (russo j)LOPEZ E 116 12.00    
7  INANNA'S QUEST Nov29 Nov10 Sep09 Jul27 Jul13 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 117 8.00 28% 2.50    
8  PACIFIC PRINCESS Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 Sep10 Aug27 (laurin roger)BATISTA A 116 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  KIKILOVE Nov25 Aug27 Jul22 May26 Apr29 (potts g)CEDENO CAROL 113 30.00    
10  HIGH VIBES Dec13 Nov29 Aug31 Aug09 Jul22 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
SCR  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Dec22 Nov16 Nov04 Oct11 Sep03 (ryan s)CASTANON L 113 4.00    
12  PRINCESS JAVONCIA Nov17 Aug16 May11 Nov06 Oct21 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 4.50 6% 16.20    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Dec09 Oct26 Aug22 Jul23 Jun04 (orantes yoni )JARA FERNANDO 115 20.00    
 
TAM-8   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMARULA SUN Dec06 Oct20 Oct08 Aug25 Jun17 (wasiluk )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00    
2  SUMMER GOLD Dec16         (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
3  TIME TO SALSA Dec16 Nov25       (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 124 6.00    
4  THIRSTY DATE Dec22 Dec16 Nov29 Dec26 Dec11 (mendieta al)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 20.00    
5  MAUREEN         (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 12.00 6% 17.20    
6  REAL MIKEY Nov29 Oct04 Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
7  FONE YOUR MOM Dec06 Jul01 Jun16 May28   (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 30.00    
8  WOW LADY Dec09 Nov29 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
9  LUNA AMARILLA Dec16 Nov29 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (marrero nestor)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
10  ROMASHKA Nov25 Nov03 Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
11  AGUA ROJA         (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  AZTECA GIRL Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep22 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   12/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC8 GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRWANI (ARG) Dec08 Nov25 Jul09 Jun30 Jun04 (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 116 8.00    
2  FLY NIGHTLY Nov29 Aug27 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (clay pat)CASTANON L 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
3  SIR TERRE Nov12 Oct22 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 116 8.00    
4  GHOST OF KHOZAN Sep15 Sep02 Aug02 Jul15 Jun30 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 117 20.00    
SCR  DEEP FAITH Dec15 Oct20 Sep20 Aug19 Jul19 (rigattieri joh)MARIN SAMUEL 116 15.00    
6  THE PENINSULA Dec15 Sep09 Aug06 Jul22 Jul07 (rodriguez da)ARROYO S 116 10.00    
7  CANNON'S ROAR Nov16 Oct22 Oct14 Aug19 Jul13 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TWO BY TWO Sep14 Aug04 Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 (arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 ★    
9  GUNSLINGER (IRE) Dec01 Nov12 Oct22 Sep08 Aug18 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 6.00 ★    
10  AMERICAN UNITY Dec13 Nov03 Sep24 Sep08 Aug23 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
11  KING RAMOS Jun10 Apr29 Mar26 Mar08 Feb11 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 115 12.00    
SCR  DAMIR Dec22 Aug26 Jul27 Jun14 Apr08 (galvan baltaz)SANTOS ADEMAR 115 15.00    
SCR  BIG LOUIE Dec15 Nov22 Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 (marino gary)FERRER C 110 30.00    
SCR  ARIES REIGNS Dec15 Oct15 Aug06 Jul12 Jun25 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 112 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.