Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-2   WIN (7/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $19.80 $11.80 148%
DED-3   EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-8 $8.70 $2.70 45%
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-8-1 $8.95 $5.95 198%
    DD (7/5/4/6)-(2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $15.00 $3.00 25%
DED-5   EXA (4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $21.00 $9.00 75%
    TRI (4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-7-10 $21.35 $9.35 78%
DED-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $25.60 $19.60 327%
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $109.80 $103.80 1730%
    DD (9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-4 $80.20 $68.20 568%
    PK3 (4/10/2/7)-(9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-9-4 $101.75 $77.75 324%
DED-8   WIN (2/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $14.00 $6.00 75%
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-10 $113.90 $101.90 849%
    PK3 (9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-4-10 $365.85 $341.85 1424%
DED-9   DD (2/8/7/10)-(3/10/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-3 $25.10 $5.10 26%
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10)-(3/10/7/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-10-3 $358.35 $328.35 1095%
    PK4 (9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10)-(3/10/7/9/5) 240 $0.50 $120  5/9-4-10-3/11/12 $1593 $1473 1228%
    PK5 (4/10/2/7)-(9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10)-(3/10/7/9/5) 960 $0.50 $480  2/8-5/9-4-10-3/11/12 $2695 $2215 461%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:124 1:414   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL IN FOR LUTE 1 10 1015¼ 1012¾ 106 2½ 1nk (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00 13.50  
GRAVES MILL ROAD 2 8 6 6 6 4 2nk (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.80 P
DREWPOWER 8 9 910¼ 8 7 31 3¾ (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00 33.00  
EFFICIENCY 9 5 4 4 21 1½ 43 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 18% 4.60 2.90  
VODKA MARTINI 6 2 2nk 5 5 52 5 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 5.00 58% 0.70 1.60  
MINNESOTA MIRACLE 7 6 8 9 9 74 6 (segura kearney)STOKES A 119 6.00 20.30  
INTIMIDATION 5 7 7 7 8 9 7 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 4.50 9.30  
FAHAN 4 4 3.2 31 4 85 8 (noel dane)VARGAS P 119 6.00 13.30  
MUNQAD 3 3 1nk 11 11 63 910 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 6.00  
10  MEANT FOR ME 10 1 5 21 31 10 1021 (johnson b)MELANCON G 119 20.00 14.50  
SCR  DRIED PEPPER               (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
SCR  MBAGNICK (CHI)               (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00    
 
DED-2   11/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Jean Lafitte Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:141     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING ACES 6 6 32 2nk   1nk 1¼ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90 W
  (by HARD ACES out of JUST ALEX by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
AWESOME RUTA 1 1 55 5   33 2¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 15.00 42.70  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AWESOME PRAYER by AWESOME AGAIN)
GOOD LIKE MAGIC 5 3 21 1nk   2nk 3½ (cox h)THORNTON G 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.10 S
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STAR SILVER by ALDEBARAN)
NOT LISTENING 4 7 810½ 8   6 410 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 20% 4.10 9.70  
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAY ATTENTION by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
CAUGHT OFF GUARD 8 5 6 6   47 511¼ (berndt joel)BIRZER E 115 12.00 45.70  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMBUSHER by RAHY)
10  TWIRLING TROILLET 9 4 43 4   5 613 (milligan e)ERAMIA E 113 12.00 14.00  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RILL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
STRONG PROMISE 7 9 7 7   7 716¼ (gelner j)FUSILIER C 122 5.00 31% 2.20 0.80  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ST. JEAN by MACHO UNO)
GONE ELVIS 3 2 11 3½   810¾ 820 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 115 20.00 81.70  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
CLASSIC POWER (IRE) 2 8 915½ 910¾   913¾ 920¼ (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 115 8.00 52.00  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LONDON TOWER by HEAD CHOPPER)
SCR  GOOD AND STOUT               (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of READY WITTED by MORE THAN READY)
 
DED-3   11/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:152     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNLIKECARL 2 4 1nk 2nk   12 1 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 28% 2.60 0.40 W
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHORUS LINE by PARADING)
MAJESTIC PALACE 7 7 6 4   33 2 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 10.00 14% 6.40 8.70 P
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MAJESTIC FANTASY by CAHILL ROAD)
CUNIMBUS 1 5 2nk 1nk   22 35 (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 15% 5.70 3.20 S
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
POUND OUT A DEAL 4 1 31 3   46 410¼ (pomier d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00 55.60  
  (by EL DEAL out of FIFTYSHADESOFNAY by REDDING COLLIERY)
JOE T 6 6 7 5   59 515¾ (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 121 10.00 14.60  
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of DARK DOUBLE by KAFWAIN)
AUTUMN ROB 5 2 5 6   613 623¾ (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 121 6.00 11.90  
  (by GORMLEY out of THESCREENISRED by VAN NISTELROOY)
BABY'S LAST DANCE 3 3 4 7   717 737 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 22.10  
  (by ONE LINER out of DANCE BY EM by TAPIT)
SCR  NOPENOTTONIGHT               (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 121 3.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of GYPSY PRINCESS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
DED-4   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:13 1:264   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAK HILL LG 2 5 1½ 1nk 12 13 1 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 65% 0.50 0.40 W
BAYOU JAM 3 6 65 6 34 3 2 (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 119 10.00 22.30  
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 5 3 42 4 22 23 3 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.80 S
HEZA PICKLE 4 8 77 7 5 4 45 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 8.00 12.40  
PINCH ME A PENNY 7 1 3 32 7 7 5 (charles keith)VARGAS P 120 3.50 7% 14.10 3.40  
CHEROKEE TAKEOVER 6 7 87 8 8 67 6 (charles keith)ROSIER R 119 5.00 17.30  
BIND FAITH 8 2 53 5 6 5 7 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00 12.60  
FLASHING ANGELBABY 1 4 2½ 2nk 44 8 818½ (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 119 15.00 50.00  
 
DED-5   11/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY My Trusty Cat Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT JENALLIE 2 8 44 4   13 1 (milligan e)ERAMIA E 115 8.00 19% 4.20 1.00 W
  (by TAPIT out of TAKE CHARGE TRESSA by WAR FRONT)
KANT RESIST IT 7 2 12 1   23 2 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 6.00 10% 9.40 10.40 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOUNDS DELICIOUS by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 9 6 8 6   47 3 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 23% 3.40 2.40 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CHATEAU HOPE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
NANA'S CORN MUFFIN 3 3 22 2   37 49 (landry allen)MAGNON H 115 12.00 71.80  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of NOTHING BUT NETTA by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
PURSUIT OF LIBERTY 4 7 7 7   7 59 (cox h)THORNTON G 115 2.00 27% 2.80 2.90  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MEDIA MADNESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
TAYLORS MAGIC 1 4 65 8   69 613¼ (briley lon)ALBERT S 113 12.00 23.70  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MS MAGIC by MAGICIAN (IRE))
TRUE PRINCESS 8 5 33 3   58 713¾ (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 115 15.00 85.90  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
ABIGAIL'S ROAD 6 1 54 9   913¾ 821½ (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00 58.20  
  (by MITOLE out of KENTUCKY ROAD by MIDSHIPMAN)
CALL'EM ALL 5 9 9 5   813¼ 923½ (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00 72.20  
  (by DIALED IN out of CONGREGATION by HOLD ME BACK)
SCR  KATIES FACTOR               (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 115 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
DED-6   11/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:231 :484 1:164     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE SMILED AT ME 8 5 4 1½   14 17 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.00 43% 1.40 1.50 W
KENTUCKY ANGEL 4 8 710½ 7   37 27 (bustamante ray)EDISON B 121 8.00 5.30  
10  GOOD BY FAITH 9 6 6 31   24 3 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 121 3.50 4.70  
TALL TALE 2 7 812½ 8   69 412¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 10.00 19.30  
DYLAN'S DREAM 5 9 913½ 9   79 512¼ (husak j)TORRES HUGO 121 6.00 12% 7.40 7.90  
CINCO GAL 6 3 3 42   58 614½ (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 11% 8.30 19.60  
GNAUGHTY KIMMY 1 1 1½ 2½   4 719¼ (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00 31.20  
HIGHLY GRAND 7 4 5 64   815 832¾ (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 11% 8.10 5.00  
LONG LEGGED LADY 3 2 2½ 54   920 952 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 118 20.00 13.40  
SCR  PRINCESS FANNY               (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
 
DED-7   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:284   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILA'S KAT 4 2 21 1nk 1nk 2nk 1½ (latour nichol)VARGAS P 116 15.00 10% 9.20 11.80 W
LADY ENVOY 5 1 11 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 17% 4.80 5.70 P
CAJUN TWO STEP 3 4 32 31 34 34 3 (breaux samuel)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00 14.10  
AVENDORE 1 6 7 5 5 46 4 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 1.80 39% 1.50 0.40  
CHEROKEE SUMMER 7 3 6 7 6 59 510 (morrell cynt)EDISON JOCELYN 114 8.00 17.60  
INDY LOVER 6 7 5 6 7 610 613½ (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 3.50 6.70  
SWEET DYNASTY 2 5 43 43 45 710¼ 717¼ (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 119 10.00 22.40  
SCR  RYAN'S GRACE               (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
 
DED-8   11/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:223 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHARP CHARLIE 9 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 W
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 3 6 3 31   2½ 2 (husak j)POMPELL L 119 20.00 33.30  
DOUBLE BARREL MAN 2 8 63 4   4 3 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 45% 1.20 2.80 S
GOLDEN PALACE 8 3 53 6   66 4 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 2.50 27% 2.70 0.70  
CUSTOM BLUE GRASS 4 4 42 5   5 5 (winslo)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 9.00  
MUCHO MARVIN 5 5 8 8   7 67 (courville )MARQUEZ L 119 12.00 43.60  
BANKROLL 1 1 1½ 1nk   3 7 (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 26.30  
FULL POWER 6 9 7 7   8 810¼ (derousselle pete)ROSIER R 119 15.00 59.70  
SMOOTH COLLIERY 7 7 9 9   99 910¾ (bourgeois )ALBERT S 119 12.00 5% 17.70 23.10  
SCR  HOSTILE AFLEET               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 5.00    
 
DED-9   11/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:231 :481       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL JEFE COBB 3 5 5 31   1nk 1 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 26% 2.80 2.00 W
INGLIS 4 6 31 11   2nk 2 (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 3.10  
DEE'S LEGS 6 7 7 6   45 3 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00 29.20  
HALF CRAZY 5 8 6 4   34 4 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
JUSASTEELEDREAMER 7 4 8 8   59 513½ (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00 21% 3.90 30.40  
R AND R STAR 2 9 9 910½   711 615½ (nichols bessi)DELCID MARLON 120 8.00 40.10  
CAME OUT KICKIN 1 10 1011¼ 1012   813 718¾ (romero lynn)EDISON JOCELYN 114 20.00 82.30  
FLATTERSOLUTION 8 2 1½ 21   610 819¼ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00 7.10  
PALLATON 9 1 2½ 5   913½ 923¾ (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 6% 14.60 15.10  
10  YO PLAY 10 3 41 7   1015½ 1029 (west henry)ROSIER R 120 3.00 24% 3.20 4.20  
SCR  HOLIDAY FOREVER               (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 123 12.00    
SCR  WILDCATS'S MEOW               (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.