Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (6/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/2)-(6/9/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/2)-(6/9/3/2/4)-(6/9/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/9/2)-(7/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2)-(7/5/4/6)-(2/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/6)-(2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/6)-(2/1/8)-(2/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(2/7/5)-(4/10/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-4   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(4/10/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(4/10/2/7)-(9/6/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/10/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/2/7)-(9/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/10/2/7)-(9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (9/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/7)-(9/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/7)-(9/6/8/7)-(9/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/7)-(1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/8/7/10)-(3/10/7/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/10)-(2/8/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/10)-(2/8/7/10)-(2/8/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/10)-(3/10/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (3/10/7/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/9/5)-(3/10/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/9/5)-(3/10/7/9/5)-(3/10/7/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Oct20 Sep23 Sep05 Aug14 Jul23 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00    
2  GRAVES MILL ROAD Oct20 Sep10 Aug19 Jul03 Jun19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MUNQAD Oct13 Aug14 Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 ★    
4  FAHAN Jul01 May27 May12 Jul15 Jun17 (noel dane)VARGAS P 119 6.00 ★    
5  INTIMIDATION Aug03 Jul01 Jun17 Feb17 Jan25 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 4.50    
6  VODKA MARTINI Oct11 Jun02       (landry r)THORNTON G 118 5.00 58% 0.70    
7  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Jul13 Jun17 Jun02 Apr12 Feb25 (segura kearney)STOKES A 119 6.00    
8  DREWPOWER Jul14 Jun05 Mar03 Jan28 Dec27 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
9  EFFICIENCY Jul09 Jun04 Apr23 Apr01 Feb24 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
10  MEANT FOR ME Oct20 Sep02 Jun18 May22 Mar31 (johnson b)MELANCON G 119 20.00    
SCR  DRIED PEPPER Oct26 Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 Feb15 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
SCR  MBAGNICK (CHI) Sep03 Jul30       (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00    
 
DED-2   11/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Jean Lafitte Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME RUTA Sep12 Aug12       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AWESOME PRAYER by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  CLASSIC POWER (IRE) Sep29 Sep01       (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 115 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LONDON TOWER by HEAD CHOPPER)
3  GONE ELVIS Sep09 Jul28 Jul04     (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 115 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
4  NOT LISTENING Oct07         (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAY ATTENTION by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
5  GOOD LIKE MAGIC Sep24 Aug26 Jul23     (cox h)THORNTON G 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STAR SILVER by ALDEBARAN)
6  SPINNING ACES Oct13 Aug05       (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of JUST ALEX by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
7  STRONG PROMISE Oct13 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03   (gelner j)FUSILIER C 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ST. JEAN by MACHO UNO)
SCR  GOOD AND STOUT Oct13 Aug05 Jul08 Jun15   (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of READY WITTED by MORE THAN READY)
9  CAUGHT OFF GUARD Oct20         (berndt joel)BIRZER E 115 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMBUSHER by RAHY)
10  TWIRLING TROILLET Oct21 Sep13       (milligan e)ERAMIA E 113 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RILL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
DED-3   11/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUNIMBUS Oct06 Aug05 Jul08 Jun05   (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  RUNLIKECARL Sep17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun19   (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHORUS LINE by PARADING)
SCR  NOPENOTTONIGHT         (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 121 3.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of GYPSY PRINCESS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  BABY'S LAST DANCE Oct07 Jul20 Jun17     (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of DANCE BY EM by TAPIT)
5  POUND OUT A DEAL Oct21 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 Jun05 (pomier d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of FIFTYSHADESOFNAY by REDDING COLLIERY)
6  AUTUMN ROB Oct28 Aug29 Jul20     (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 121 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of THESCREENISRED by VAN NISTELROOY)
7  JOE T Oct13 Aug05       (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 121 10.00    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of DARK DOUBLE by KAFWAIN)
8  MAJESTIC PALACE Aug05         (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 10.00 14% 6.40    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MAJESTIC FANTASY by CAHILL ROAD)
 
DED-4   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHING ANGELBABY Jul15 Jul06 May27 Apr14 Feb25 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 119 15.00    
2  OAK HILL LG Oct26 Oct14 Sep02 Jul15 Jun12 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 65% 0.50    
3  BAYOU JAM Oct26 Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 May13 (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 119 10.00    
4  HEZA PICKLE Oct26 Oct06 Sep11 Aug14 Jul08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 8.00    
5  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Sep11 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 May07 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Oct06 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 Apr29 (charles keith)ROSIER R 119 5.00 ★    
7  PINCH ME A PENNY Oct07 Aug12 Jul27 Jun25 May28 (charles keith)VARGAS P 120 3.50 7% 14.10    
8  BIND FAITH Oct18 Aug12 Jul07 May19 Apr21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
 
DED-5   11/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY My Trusty Cat Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAYLORS MAGIC Sep13         (briley lon)ALBERT S 113 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MS MAGIC by MAGICIAN (IRE))
2  TAPIT JENALLIE Sep30         (milligan e)ERAMIA E 115 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TAPIT out of TAKE CHARGE TRESSA by WAR FRONT)
3  NANA'S CORN MUFFIN Oct11         (landry allen)MAGNON H 115 12.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of NOTHING BUT NETTA by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
4  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY Sep30 Aug18       (cox h)THORNTON G 115 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MEDIA MADNESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  CALL'EM ALL Sep02         (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of CONGREGATION by HOLD ME BACK)
6  ABIGAIL'S ROAD Oct25 Sep30 Sep02     (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of KENTUCKY ROAD by MIDSHIPMAN)
7  KANT RESIST IT Aug25 Aug13 Jul21     (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOUNDS DELICIOUS by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  KATIES FACTOR Sep04 Jul22       (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 115 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  TRUE PRINCESS Oct21 Sep03 Jul22     (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 115 15.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
10  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT Oct25 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06   (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CHATEAU HOPE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
DED-6   11/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GNAUGHTY KIMMY Oct14         (blanchet chr)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
2  TALL TALE Sep22         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 10.00    
3  LONG LEGGED LADY Oct18 Jun16 Jun03 May13   (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
4  KENTUCKY ANGEL Jul04         (bustamante ray)EDISON B 121 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS FANNY         (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
6  DYLAN'S DREAM         (husak j)TORRES HUGO 121 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  CINCO GAL Oct21 Oct11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 11% 8.30    
8  HIGHLY GRAND Oct21 Aug14       (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 11% 8.10    
9  SHE SMILED AT ME         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.00 43% 1.40    
10  GOOD BY FAITH Oct18 Aug28 Aug14 Jun11   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 121 3.50    
 
DED-7   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVENDORE Oct25 Sep05 Aug04 Jul07 Jun17 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 1.80 39% 1.50    
2  SWEET DYNASTY Oct25 Sep11 Aug19 Jul10 Jun25 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
3  CAJUN TWO STEP Oct14 Aug12 Jul06 Jun16 Apr27 (breaux samuel)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00    
4  MILA'S KAT May27 Feb28 Feb02 Jan20 Jan04 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 116 15.00 10% 9.20    
5  LADY ENVOY Oct25 Sep16 Aug25 Jul06 May17 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
6  INDY LOVER Oct25 Oct14 Aug27 Jun25 Jun11 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 3.50    
7  CHEROKEE SUMMER Oct25 Jun15 Apr30 Sep15 Aug27 (morrell cynt)EDISON JOCELYN 114 8.00    
SCR  RYAN'S GRACE Oct14 Jul20 May20 Apr28 Apr12 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
 
DED-8   11/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKROLL Oct11 Sep05 Aug04 Jul23 May21 (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
2  DOUBLE BARREL MAN Oct07 Jul14 Jun09 May11 Nov30 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Oct20 Sep11 Aug29 Aug04 Jul21 (husak j)POMPELL L 119 20.00    
4  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Oct13 Sep02 Aug03 Jul20 Jul08 (winslo)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00    
5  MUCHO MARVIN Oct07 Aug13 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 (courville )MARQUEZ L 119 12.00    
6  FULL POWER Apr14 Mar15 Feb23 Jan14 Dec30 (derousselle pete)ROSIER R 119 15.00    
7  SMOOTH COLLIERY Oct07 Aug13 Jun24 May18 Apr21 (bourgeois )ALBERT S 119 12.00 5% 17.70    
8  GOLDEN PALACE Oct20 Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 May04 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  HOSTILE AFLEET Nov02 Oct07 Aug13 Jun24 May20 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 5.00    
10  SHARP CHARLIE Oct11 Sep02 Jul24 Jul08 May21 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-9   11/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAME OUT KICKIN May25 Apr29 Feb09 Dec17 Nov19 (romero lynn)EDISON JOCELYN 114 20.00    
2  R AND R STAR May25 Jan27 Jan17 Jan03   (nichols s)MELANCON G 120 8.00    
3  EL JEFE COBB Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  INGLIS Oct07 Sep05 Aug12 Jul28 Jul15 (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00    
5  HALF CRAZY Oct07 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DEE'S LEGS Jun24 Feb25       (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
7  JUSASTEELEDREAMER         (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00 21% 3.90    
8  FLATTERSOLUTION Aug10         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
9  PALLATON Jun23 Jun01 Apr29 Feb28   (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 6% 14.60    
10  YO PLAY Jan12 Dec28 Sep13     (west henry)ROSIER R 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  HOLIDAY FOREVER Aug11         (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 123 12.00    
SCR  WILDCATS'S MEOW Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.