Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-2   WIN (8/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $24.80 $16.80 210%
    DD (2/3/6)-(8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $40.90 $28.90 241%
FG-3   WIN (1/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $15.60 $7.60 95%
    DD (8/5/3/1)-(1/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-1 $72.80 $56.80 355%
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(8/5/3/1)-(1/7/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-5-1 $117.35 $93.35 389%
FG-7   WIN (6/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $12.60 $4.60 58%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:163 1:291   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SMOKING 3 1 2 3 2nk 11 13 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 118 5.00 12% 7.30 1.60 W
MACEE 2 2 1 1 1nk 21 23 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 1.60 60% 0.70 1.00 P
STAR'S DREAM 5 4 55 4 3 34 34 (hargrave kenneth)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.50 8.90  
MYLIES STAR 6 7 4 5 6 57 4 (dussette a)ALBERT S 121 15.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
I DONT KNOW EITHER 7 5 67 6 56 47 510½ (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 12.00 30.00  
KAITLYN'S COURT 1 6 7 7 7 711 615 (constan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 30.20  
KATIE'S C 4 3 3 2 4 610½ 725 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 121 2.50 7.00  
 
FG-2   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLING 5 6 33 21   1nk 1 (savoie sherman)MCMAHON J 122 5.00 18% 4.60 11.40 W
SWEET LITTLE ROSE 4 7 4 44   33 2 (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 6.90  
CCED FOR STEPH 3 2 2½ 11   2nk 34 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 11% 7.80 2.10 S
SCARLET STORM 2 8 810 5   46 4 (courville )MARQUEZ L 121 6.00 12.30  
WAR TOURIST 7 5 6 8   68 510½ (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 119 5.00 5.70  
CUSTOMIZED TWIN 1 1 1½ 32   5 617 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 8% 11.20 2.40  
SERENADINGTHEMOON 8 4 7 6   810¼ 718 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50 39% 1.60 6.40  
CECE WAVE 6 3 5 7   710 818½ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 8.00 33.00  
 
FG-3   12/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:151 1:404   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINN MURPHY 1 5 7 7 7 22 1 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60 6.80 W
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 5 3 1nk 2nk 11 12 2 (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 4.00 1.20  
FAT AND FURIOUS 2 6 2nk 4 63 7 3 (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 12.00 28.30  
SKYKAT 6 8 4 5 3 34 4 (govea cesar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 14% 6.40 2.80  
FADED MEMORIES 3 4 63 6 53 4 5 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00 33.70  
BROADWAY PEARL 8 7 8 8 8 65 612¼ (mouton patrick)GRAHAM J 114 6.00 9% 10.20 6.70  
CAVE CREEK 7 2 3½ 1nk 21 55 712¼ (dussette )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 6.90  
QUINN ELLA 4 1 5 31 42 8 834¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 12% 7.60 17.30  
SCR  ANGEL OF VERDUN               (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
 
FG-4   12/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:16 1:43   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  PI YO PRINCESS 11 6 64 7 7 12 1¼ (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 20.30  
J Z'S FIRST 8 9 10 9 9 22 2¼ (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 124 3.50 8% 11.90 3.60 P
CAVIAR RESOLUTION 7 7 9 10 10 4 3 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 24.30 S
NO NANNETTE NO 4 3 32 42 8 7 45 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 8.30  
MORNING LINE NEWS 5 8 5 5 6 6 55 (hernandez jav)HERNANDEZ K 121 30.00 ######  
10  STACK SHACK 10 10 8 6 3.2 3 6 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 39% 1.60 3.20  
PELLETIER 2 11 11 11 5 8 79 (alba-he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50 7% 14.20 4.50  
SWEET PERFECTION 9 5 7 31 1nk 5 811¾ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 5.00 30.00  
SERIOUSLY SAM 3 2 2 21 2nk 9 923¾ (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 25% 3.00 3.40  
LADY LANA 1 1 1 11 4 10 1024 (vitali j)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00 8.70  
LAKE RUNNER 6 4 4 8 11 11 1125½ (richards corale )NAVAS YOEL 113 20.00 64.70  
 
FG-5   12/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:141 1:421   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WHISKEY AND EASY 8 6 1½ 1½ 12 13 1 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 4.00 5.90  
FOE 3 2 6 3 3 33 2 (rubley kel)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 9.80  
11  SAVAGE KISS 9 8 8 7 22 23 3 (heitzman eric)NAVAS YOEL 116 8.00 16.10  
JOHNNNY'S GAME 7 7 4¾ 5 5 5 46 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 49% 1.00 2.30  
MEET GEORGE JETSON 1 3 106 10 8 6 5 (johnston lan)MURRAY M 124 50.00 59.90  
FEELING FREE 6 5 5 6 4 46 6 (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 6.00 9.40  
ROCKALL 4 4 3½ 4 7 710¾ 715¼ (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 8.00 6% 16.50 5.80  
12  MY TENNIS SHOES 10 10 7 8 10 812¼ 817¾ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00 33.50  
SWEET PRESENT 2 1 9 9 9 913¼ 920¼ (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
LARRY'S LUNCHBOX 5 9 2½ 2½ 6 1015¼ 1030 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 22% 3.50 2.10  
SCR  DATS TRUE LOVE               (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
SCR  NEVER SORRY               (alba-hernande)PANAIJO JORGE 121 50.00    
 
FG-6   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:152 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWSILLA 3 2 21 2nk 1nk 11 1 (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 3.70  
12  STARSNMOTION 6 1 11 1nk 2nk 21 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 13% 6.70 3.30 P
CZAR'S BALLERINA 2 6 5 53 4 35 3 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 20% 4.00 2.70 S
SMART IZZY 1 4 64 66 6 4 4 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 20.00 25.40  
CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA 4 3 3 4 5 56 514¾ (lee don)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 11.20  
LEAD ME 5 5 42 31 34 612 651¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 121 6.00 32% 2.10 1.60  
SCR  CERTIFIED GEM               (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY               (garcia luis)RIQUELME J 121 4.00    
SCR  FOURALIVIA               (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.50    
SCR  GRACE HAZEL               (terre david)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  SIKARA SIKARA               (delhomme j)ALBERT S 118 5.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA               (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
 
FG-7   12/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:131 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTONIC POWER 1 1 7 6 5 11 1 (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 19% 4.20 5.30 W
EL ORIENTE (CHI) 3 2 55 53 6 5 2 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 4.80  
NELSON AVENUE 6 7 31 4 2nk 21 33 (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 44% 1.30 0.80 S
ROMAN CENTURIAN 7 8 810½ 8 7 42 4 (hamilton sarah)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 24.50  
MONAASIB 2 4 42 3 1nk 31 5 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 49.70  
UNIFIED DREAMS 8 5 2nk 21 3½ 6 6 (scherer ga)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 9% 9.70 11.60  
MR. BIG NEWS 5 6 6 7 83 8 7 (calhoun will)TORRES A 120 12.00 21.60  
TIWANAKU 4 3 1nk 11 4¾ 7 811½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 5.30  
 
FG-8   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LURE'EM IN 1 3 4 4   1½ 1 (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 8.90  
CATSKILL HUMOR 2 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 2 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 31% 2.20 2.20 P
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 4 1 2nk 2nk   3 3 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 3.20  
MISS RIVER RAT 3 5 63 710   7 4 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 17.00  
11  LITTLE MOMBO 7 6 3½ 31   44 59 (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 6.00 1.70  
10  JUST PUSH SEND 6 4 5 5   5 610¾ (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 22% 3.60 18.10  
EMPIRES PRINCESS 5 7 7 6   6 713¾ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 15% 5.80 9.70  
SCR  FIRING BULLETS               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  NUMERO SEIS               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  OCEAN SPIRIT (GB)               (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
SCR  SISTER SEEK               (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
 
FG-9   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEBURN 3 4 2 2½   1 1 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 31% 2.20 0.40 W
  (by MITOLE out of FIREFOOT by TAPIZAR)
PLATINUM MINIT 5 3 811¾ 710½   5 2 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 9% 9.60 11.20 P
  (by GIVEMEAMINIT out of PLATINUM LADY by IRON RULER (IRE))
12  A MISS DEAMEANOR 9 1 3 32   35 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 27% 2.60 3.40 S
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of A RUNNIN POP by SCREEN IDOL)
ARMY DAY 6 2 1 1½   2 4 (gelner jayde)TORRES A 120 15.00 11.80  
  (by ARMY MULE out of VICTORINA by DELAWARE TOWNSHIP)
10  MOION 7 5 6 47   4 510½ (scherer gary)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 20.00  
  (by MUNNINGS out of AS THE SNOW FLIES by MALIBU MOON)
FRANCESNFRIENDS 2 6 7 811   612½ 614½ (ludwig jame)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00 69.50  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GENTILLY LACE by ON TARGET)
DELIGHTFUL HALO 4 7 58 5   714½ 717½ (duke steven)MURRAY M 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.90  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
11  GIANT TUDE 8 9 912¾ 913   918½ 825 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00 56.10  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of GIANTLY CONFUSED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
NO FEAR (IRE) 1 8 4 6   815½ 943½ (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00 8% 11.10 24.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  AURORA AUSTRALIS               (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of OL' BLUE EYES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  CHAPELLETE               (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of PLEASANTLY BLESSED by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  GOOD N SASSY               (henry eric)MELANCON G 120 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CLASSY GREY LASSY by SILVER TRAIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.