The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Friday - December 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.40 -6.00
FG-2   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 10.20
FG-3   Win (2/9/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 3.60
FG-4   Win (10/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
FG-5   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
FG-6   Win (2/4/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $18.00 -8.00
FG-7   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
FG-8   Win (9/4/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -5.00
FG-9   Win (1/2/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $42.60 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAT FREE 3 3 1½ 1½   12 1(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 3.20  
PURPLE OCTOPUS 4 2 2½ 2½   22 2(stidham mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.40 45% 1.20 1.20 P
HIGH ENOUGH 6 5 55 56   33(desormeaux j )CARMONA SERAFIN 115 3.50 2.10  
MAJESTIC CRAKEN 2 6 4 4   44(silva miguel)TORRES A 120 5.00 14% 6.10 5.40  
DROMAS 5 4 65 6   610 511½ (savoie sherman)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 14% 6.10 27.90  
SIXTEEN DEGREES 1 1 31 3   58 615 (duke steven)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00 62.20  
 
FG-2   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:222 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONT AND SILVER 6 9 7 32   12 111¾ (jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 34% 1.90 7.10 W
10  SOY TU SUERTE 9 1 1½ 1nk   22 211¾ (gelner ja)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 61.60  
GIGI'S LUV 3 5 6 7   56 312¾ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 10.70 S
11  FLASH IT WIDE OPEN 10 2 2½ 2nk   32 413½ (rodriguez hu)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 15.40  
COSTA LADY 2 4 3 4   4513½ (boxie joseph)ALBERT S 120 12.00 5% 19.00 64.80  
EMILYHASHERTURN 5 10 9 6   6615¼ (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 120 4.00 40% 1.50 1.10  
LEXI'S FURY 8 6 10 8   99 715½ (duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 ######  
AURORA AUSTRALIS 1 3 4 9   8815½ (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 17.40  
OUR LAST HALF 7 8 53 5   78 919¾ (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 2.50  
QUITEGIRL 4 7 8 1010¼   1014 1022 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 10.00  
SCR  MARION ROSES GIRL               (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
 
FG-3   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE BO 9 1 2½ 1½   1½ 1½ (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 27% 2.60 5.80 W
ALMOST DIALED OUT 2 5 42 2½   2½ 2½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.60 33% 2.00 0.80 P
PURRFECT MOON 1 4 31 42   43(silva miguel)PARKER L 119 15.00 19.70  
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE 3 3 1½ 31   31 4(delahouss)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 116 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
KHOZY TAP 5 2 53 6   54 5(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 14% 6.20 4.00  
JESSICA BLAH BLAH 8 9 8 7   66(vitali j)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 5% 18.70 13.90  
GRACEFUL STREET 7 6 6 5   75 7(hatcher nath)WELLINGTON KYLIE 111 12.00 33.40  
SECRET MELODY 6 10 9 87   98(williams kevi)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00 27.70  
BRIGHTNMORNINGSTAR 4 8 10 9   899 (necaise larry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 30.00 ######  
10  MS. PRIESTLY 10 7 74 10   1010½ 1013 (constantine carol)MCMAHON J 121 12.00 75.30  
 
FG-4   12/22/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:112 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FINN AND BRENNAN 8 9 89 76 4 25 1½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 51% 1.00 1.00 W
12  MAX IS G MONEY 10 7 12 11 1 15 2½ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 6.90 P
YO DADDY 4 5 5 4 710¾ 48 3(desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 11.90  
SPOKEN CODE 2 6 910 1011½ 813¾ 612 410½ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5.50  
11  THIS TIME BLUE 9 4 3 31 2 36 511¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00 15.00  
PERFORMANCE PLUS 3 8 6 5 59 713 611¼ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 11.60  
ENGLISH BOBBY 7 3 22 21 3 510½ 716½ (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 20.00 5% 19.00 58.50  
MAX S 6 10 1011½ 910½ 1018¼ 1017½ 817¼ (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 30.00 64.10  
DUSTIN THE DIAMOND 1 2 78 88 916¼ 816 917¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 25% 3.00 4.80  
HASTKRAFTER 5 1 44 63 6 917 1025¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 5% 19.00 53.50  
SCR  GIANNO               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
SCR  VERY SATISFACTORY               (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50    
 
FG-5   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARLINGTON 3 3 2½ 11   114 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 25% 3.00 1.70 W
CHARRIERE 5 1 42 3   224 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 10% 9.50 1.90 P
ONEROLLOFTHEDICE 4 6 53 4   33(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 12.70 S
NAUGHTY LOTTIE 7 5 6 6   547 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 9.30  
RASTANI 1 7 3 53   65(walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 40% 1.50 2.80  
BALI DREAMIN 2 4 1½ 21   44 612 (hernandez armando)PARKER L 120 10.00 14.30  
TAKE CHARGE WOMAN 6 2 7 7   711 714¾ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00 60.10  
SCR  JOKE SISI (CHI)               (correas ig)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
SCR  ROSE PALACE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   12/22/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  VITEMENT 11 3 3 33   21½ (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00 8.00  
CLASSIC POWER (IRE) 5 2 11 11   12½ (gelner j)PARKER L 117 20.00 46.90  
ASPENITE 4 4 43 45   43(asmussen m)LANERIE J 117 3.00 25% 3.00 2.30 S
COWES 9 1 21 21   34(catalano m)COHEN DAVID 117 5.00 4.10  
TIPSY TALES 6 9 54 6   55(tracy tanne)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 8.00 13.80  
AWESOME RUTA 3 5 76 89   77 6(foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 17.20  
HIDDEN CLASS 2 11 9 910   87(sharp joe)TORRES A 114 3.50 30% 2.30 3.40  
VICTORY FOR VETS 8 10 1111½ 1013   1011¼ 8(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 8.00 21% 3.80 15.30  
GONE ELVIS 1 8 6 5   699 (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 117 20.00 82.90  
SPONGE BATH 7 7 86 77   910(catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00 6.00  
10  LEMON MERINGUE 10 6 1011 1113½   1114¼ 1121¾ (silva miguel)GRAHAM J 117 20.00 5% 19.00 43.80  
 
FG-7   12/22/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Joseph Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:122 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN CONNECTION 5 4 31 3½ 1½ 12 14 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 32% 2.20 2.20 W
CORNINGSTONE 1 1 21 1nk 31 22 24 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 17% 5.00 3.60 P
UNBRIDLED MARY 4 6 5 4 4 33(mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 16.80 S
SKRATCH KAT 6 7 7 7 7 67 4(bauer a)LANERIE J 122 4.00 4.90  
BOW DRAW 3 3 11 2nk 2½ 458 (west hen)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 50.00 65.80  
ROSE PALACE 7 5 6 5 53 56(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 18.00  
THE ALYS LOOK 2 2 42 6 66 7717¼ (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 24% 3.20 1.50  
SCR  LEXA (FR)               (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
 
FG-8   12/22/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:111 1:352   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMES ALOYSIUS 4 1 1½ 22 2nk 12 12 (morley thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 17% 5.00 1.50 W
13  ALEX JOON 12 10 9 9 8 422 (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 119 10.00 19.10  
KENTUCKY GHOST 2 7 6 7 7 33(cox h)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 11% 8.20 3.50 S
SPLIT THE WICKETS 3 12 10 8 10 74(van tho)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 36.30  
HE'S GOT THIS 7 9 12 1110 129 1056 (troiani nic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 20.00 93.30  
OCELOT 1 5 42 44 4 22 6(broberg karl)LANERIE J 119 8.00 6% 14.90 7.90  
PARROT HEAD 5 2 32 34 3 65 7(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
10  BOURBON DAY 10 4 53 5 6 86 8(bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 10.00 47.30  
SAILING SOLO 9 3 7 66 5 96 9(roussel j)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 38% 1.60 4.10  
GROUP EIGHTEEN 6 8 8 10 97 117 10(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 53.50  
NATIVE THUNDER 8 11 11 1210 119 12119 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 9.80  
11  MICROPHONE (IRE) 11 6 2½ 12 1nk 54 1211¾ (west w)PARKER L 119 10.00 35.70  
SCR  BETWITHBOTHHANDS               (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
SCR  BRIGHT SPARK               (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
SCR  SONNY SMACK               (lund valorie)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
SCR  THE REDS               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
FG-9   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMITUP 7 1 1 12   11(dandridge court)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 20.30  
CANADA'S CUSTOMS 5 3 4 3   32(asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 16% 5.10 3.20 P
MISS PRIORITY 1 4 2 22   23(duhon paul)MELANCON G 120 3.50 36% 1.80 3.20 S
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN 8 5 64 5   44(terre dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 7% 12.60 2.40  
10  GALAXY THIRTYSIX 10 8 86 8   89 56 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
LOVERS NEVER SAY 6 9 5 7   67 66 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 35.70  
MISS KENNEDY 4 2 9 1010½   976 (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00 48.70  
OURS AND THEIRS 3 7 10 910½   1011½ 8(schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 5.00 22.50  
COUNTRY LADY 2 10 33 44   5911¼ (forster gran)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 17% 4.80 3.20  
SIENNA BREEZE 9 6 75 66   79 1012¼ (rosier charl)ALBERT S 120 8.00 38.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.