Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - December 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/7/2)-(2/9/5/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-2   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/4/8/2)-(6/7/4/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(2/9/5/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(2/9/5/8/3)-(10/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/9/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/8/3)-(2/9/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/8/3)-(2/9/5/8/3)-(2/9/5/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/5/8/3)-(10/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/8/3)-(10/1/5/9)-(1/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (10/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/9)-(10/1/5/12/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/9)-(10/1/5/12/9)-(10/1/5/12/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/1/5/9)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5/9)-(1/3/6)-(2/4/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/4/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/4/8/10)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (2/4/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/10)-(2/4/8/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/10)-(2/4/8/9/10)-(2/4/8/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/8/10)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/10)-(5/2/1)-(9/4/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(9/4/2/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(9/4/2/1/5)-(1/2/5/8/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-8   WIN (9/4/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/1/5)-(9/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/1/5)-(9/4/2/1/5)-(9/4/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/1/5)-(1/2/5/8/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-9   WIN (1/2/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/8/10)-(1/2/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/8/10)-(1/2/5/8/10)-(1/2/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIXTEEN DEGREES Dec01 Sep12 Aug21     (duke steve)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
2  MAJESTIC CRAKEN         (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
3  SCAT FREE Oct20 Aug29       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50    
4  PURPLE OCTOPUS Dec01 Aug20       (stidham mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.40 45% 1.20    
5  DROMAS         (savoie sherman)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
6  HIGH ENOUGH Nov25 Oct29 Oct01     (desormeaux )CARMONA SERAFIN 115 3.50    
 
FG-2   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AURORA AUSTRALIS         (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
2  COSTA LADY Dec01 Oct27 Aug04     (boxie jose)ALBERT S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARION ROSES GIRL Nov18 Oct20 Oct07     (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
4  GIGI'S LUV Sep04 Aug26 Aug06     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
5  QUITEGIRL Dec08 Oct20 Aug28     (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
6  EMILYHASHERTURN Dec01 Sep04 Jul14 Jun16   (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  FRONT AND SILVER Sep04         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 34% 1.90    
8  OUR LAST HALF Nov18 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
9  LEXI'S FURY Dec01 Oct20 Aug28     (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
10  SOY TU SUERTE Nov04         (gelner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
11  FLASH IT WIDE OPEN Dec01         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
 
FG-3   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURRFECT MOON Dec01 Nov08 Oct05 Sep13 Aug27 (silva miguel)PARKER L 119 15.00    
2  ALMOST DIALED OUT Dec01 Nov02 Sep28 Aug26 Jun18 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.60 33% 2.00    
3  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Nov30 Nov17 Oct14 Sep04 Aug05 (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BRIGHTNMORNINGSTAR Aug10 Jul29 Jun23 May12 Mar26 (necaise larry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 30.00    
5  KHOZY TAP Dec01 Aug20 Aug03 Jun12 Sep18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  SECRET MELODY Dec01 Jul29 Jan29 Nov19 Sep25 (williams ke)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00    
7  GRACEFUL STREET Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Jun04 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 111 12.00    
8  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Dec01 Jul11 Jun20 May22 Oct17 (vitali j)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 5% 18.70    
9  BE BO Dec01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 27% 2.60    
10  MS. PRIESTLY Nov21 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 (constantine car)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
 
FG-4   12/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Nov30 Sep01 Jul27     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
2  SPOKEN CODE Nov23 Sep19       (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
3  PERFORMANCE PLUS Nov30 Nov01       (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00    
4  YO DADDY Dec01 Sep24       (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 15.00    
5  HASTKRAFTER Nov15         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAX S Dec10 Nov10       (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 30.00    
SCR  GIANNO Nov24         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
SCR  VERY SATISFACTORY Nov30         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50    
9  ENGLISH BOBBY Sep23         (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  FINN AND BRENNAN Nov14 Oct03 Aug19     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
11  THIS TIME BLUE Nov30 Nov01 Sep22     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
12  MAX IS G MONEY Nov25 Oct21 Sep12 Aug12 Jul28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
 
FG-5   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RASTANI Oct20 Sep22 Aug11 Jul09   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
2  BALI DREAMIN Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 May27 May20 (hernandez armand)PARKER L 120 10.00    
3  MISS ARLINGTON Nov08 Oct12 Sep17 Aug01 Jul07 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  ONEROLLOFTHEDICE Aug12 Sep03 Aug04 Jun24 May23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  JOKE SISI (CHI) Nov22 Sep01 Jun30 Jun03   (correas )SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
6  CHARRIERE Nov08 Oct14 Sep12 Aug08 Jul16 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 10% 9.50    
7  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Oct12 Sep10 Mar25 Feb04 Jan16 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
8  NAUGHTY LOTTIE Mar03 Feb11 Dec30 Nov19 Oct08 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
SCR  ROSE PALACE Nov18 Oct21 Jul21 Jun24 Apr27 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   12/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE ELVIS Nov10 Sep09 Jul28 Jul04   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 117 20.00    
2  HIDDEN CLASS Oct29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03   (sharp joe)TORRES A 114 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  AWESOME RUTA Nov23 Nov10 Sep12 Aug12   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00    
4  ASPENITE Nov25 Sep10 Aug31 Aug05   (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  CLASSIC POWER (IRE) Nov10 Sep29 Sep01     (gelner j)PARKER L 117 20.00    
6  TIPSY TALES Nov23 Aug25 Aug05     (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 8.00    
7  SPONGE BATH Oct08 Aug31 Jul30     (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00    
8  VICTORY FOR VETS Jul01 Jun04       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 8.00 21% 3.80    
9  COWES Oct28 Oct08 Sep03     (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 117 5.00 ★    
10  LEMON MERINGUE Oct24 Oct03 Sep11 Aug08   (silva miguel)GRAHAM J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  VITEMENT Nov25 Jun11 May03     (kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00    
 
FG-7   12/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joseph Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNINGSTONE Nov24 Oct27 Aug23 Aug02 Jul08 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ICE WOMEN by STREET SENSE)
2  THE ALYS LOOK Nov24 Jun03 May05 Mar25 Jan21 (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONNECT out of FOUL PLAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  BOW DRAW Dec16 May11 Apr28 Mar26 Feb25 (west h)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 50.00    
  (by OXBOW out of WICKED DRAW by WILD AND WICKED)
4  UNBRIDLED MARY Nov03 Oct09 Jul28 Jun24 Apr22 (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BAUBLE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  HIDDEN CONNECTION Nov18 Sep16 Aug13 Jun24 Jun03 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by CONNECT out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  SKRATCH KAT Nov23 Nov03 Oct18 Sep22 Jul23 (bauer a)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  LEXA (FR) Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 Sep23 Aug05 (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SMILE MORE by TIZNOW)
8  ROSE PALACE Nov18 Oct21 Jul21 Jun24 Apr27 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
  (by PALACE out of ROSES PLUS by VALUE PLUS)
 
FG-8   12/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCELOT Nov04 Oct06 Sep29 Sep22 Aug24 (broberg karl)LANERIE J 119 8.00 6% 14.90    
2  KENTUCKY GHOST Nov30 Sep13 Sep03 Jul08 Jun03 (cox h)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 11% 8.20    
3  SPLIT THE WICKETS Sep15 Jul11 Jun20 Mar16 Jan20 (van t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
4  JAMES ALOYSIUS Nov12 Oct19 Aug26 Jul20 May27 (morley thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  PARROT HEAD Aug19 Aug03 Jul14 Jul02 Jun23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GROUP EIGHTEEN Nov19 Oct19 Sep21 Aug12 Jul21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
7  HE'S GOT THIS Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 Sep17 Aug12 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 20.00    
8  NATIVE THUNDER Nov18 Nov02 Sep23 May27 May04 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
9  SAILING SOLO Nov23 Aug16 Jun15 Mar09 Nov26 (roussel j)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
10  BOURBON DAY Nov17 Sep02 Jul29 Jun24 May10 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
11  MICROPHONE (IRE) Nov23 Nov02 May19 Apr27 Mar02 (west w)PARKER L 119 10.00    
SCR  BETWITHBOTHHANDS Dec01 Jul11 Jun25 May28   (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
13  ALEX JOON Nov30 Nov02 Aug12 Jul15 Apr23 (schultz lind)TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  SONNY SMACK Dec02 Sep24 Sep09 Aug17 Jun21 (lund valor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
SCR  BRIGHT SPARK Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 Oct19 Sep23 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
SCR  THE REDS Nov18 Oct22 Sep14 Jul21 Apr28 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
FG-9   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PRIORITY Dec09 Nov17 Oct19 Sep05 Aug05 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  COUNTRY LADY Nov25 Sep10 Aug04 Jun01 May11 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
3  OURS AND THEIRS Dec03 Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 120 5.00    
4  MISS KENNEDY Dec01 Aug29 Aug05 Jun17 May21 (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00    
5  CANADA'S CUSTOMS Nov25 Oct05 Aug22 Jul27 May08 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
6  LOVERS NEVER SAY Dec01 Oct25 Aug14 Aug05 Jul10 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
7  SUMITUP Jul24 May28 Mar23 Mar01 Feb04 (dandridge cou)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00    
8  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Nov17 Aug05 Jun18 May05 Mar26 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 7% 12.60    
9  SIENNA BREEZE Nov25 Aug04 Jun10 May13 Apr27 (rosier cha)ALBERT S 120 8.00    
10  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Nov25 Jun10 May13 Apr19 Mar26 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.