Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-4   EXA (2/10/7/6/1)-(2/10/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-1 $41.30 $21.30 107%
    TRI (2/10/7/6/1)-(2/10/7/6/1)-(2/10/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-1-2 $110.00 $80.00 267%
DED-8   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $45.50 $39.50 658%
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-2-7 $55.90 $52.90 1763%
DED-9   WIN (5/9/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $23.40 $13.40 134%
    EXA (5/9/2/3/4)-(5/9/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-3 $40.20 $20.20 101%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:222 :462       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISKTAKER 1 8 5 53   2 1½ (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 8.00 5.30  
BAYOU BEAUX 9 1 1½ 11   1 2½ (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 33.70  
LOVEU AND PROUDOFU 2 3 2½ 31   32 3 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 111 5.00 32% 2.20 9.80 S
RAP ARTIST 4 4 4 4   44 4 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 115 20.00 38.90  
FEROCITY 3 10 74 8   54 5 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 6% 16.10 4.00  
DOUBLE TRAP 5 9 9 9   6 6 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 118 8.00 15.60  
WESLEYAN 8 6 84 7   8 7 (johnson b)FUSILIER C 119 6.00 6% 14.40 4.20  
TRAFFIC CONTROL 6 7 63 6   95 85 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 3.00 1.80  
10  CHICAGO CHROME 10 5 31 21   7 9 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 10% 9.10 12.70  
FIREINTHESTORM 7 2 106 1014¼   1020 10100 (courville ricky)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00 17% 4.90 40.00  
 
DED-2   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:142     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE 9 2 12 12   14 14 (bruno donald)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 2.00  
GONE SOLUTION 1 1 22 22   24 24 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00 6.00  
MY MY LIMIT 3 9 7 5   36 3 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 6.00 3.10 S
CARLOS'S MAMA 5 8 910½ 89   511 4 (bernard john)STOKES A 122 20.00 30.40  
TOOCAN DANCE 2 6 4 33   46 511 (avant kelly)MORALES ROBERTO 123 6.00 22.00  
FRIEND'S DO CARE 7 3 5 6   614 618¾ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 8.00 12.50  
CATINANDSCATIN 6 5 6 7   714¼ 719¾ (richard russell)TORRES HUGO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SABERMAN 4 4 33 44   814¾ 820¼ (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 118 15.00 38.80  
10  MR. CROMWELL 8 7 8 915   929¾ 9100 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 4.50 37% 1.70 3.70  
SCR  MULETRAIN               (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 123 20.00    
SCR  OURPERFECTPRINCE               (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  PROUDTOWN               (west henry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00    
 
DED-3   11/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:222 :473       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR THUNDER 6 2 31 21   21 13 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00 17% 4.80 3.20 W
10  SHEZA HOT STORM 9 1 11 11   11 23 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00 14.10  
REAL DEAL RYAN 2 8 812½ 810   7 3 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 22% 3.50 1.80 S
HART'S PRETTY GIRL 7 4 6 65   4 4 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 3.00 5.50  
MAXIMUM MOXIE 8 5 5 54   5 5 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 116 6.00 10% 9.30 6.50  
MARION ROSES GIRL 5 3 4 43   34 6 (fuselier jona)VARGAS P 121 12.00 4.30  
SPOONFUL OF SUGAR 1 6 21 3   65 710½ (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 116 15.00 11% 7.90 19.40  
DISCREET DEAL 4 7 7 79   8 812¼ (reeves a)FUSILIER C 121 20.00 35.80  
BAYOU BERTIE 3 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 121 8.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  DEAL PICKLE               (delany sara)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 5.00    
 
DED-4   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:132     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WAR RON 10 4 4 35   13 1 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00 17% 4.90 2.00 W
BIG MONEY MACHINE 1 2 2nk 1nk   23 2 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.10 P
UNFATHOMED 2 6 66 6   36 310¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.20 S
SMOKY TOPAZ 3 8 8 8   5 414 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 15.70  
TEMPRANO 4 1 5 4   47 514½ (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 20.00 30.10  
BIG ROJO 8 9 910¾ 1011¼   911½ 614½ (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 6.00 13.70  
HERZEN 6 10 1010¾ 910¼   811 714¾ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 4.00 9% 9.90 6.40  
QUANA DUDE 9 5 34 5   710 816¾ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 114 15.00 31.50  
FAST VERDICT 5 7 79 7   1012½ 918½ (nelson r)DELCID MARLON 111 20.00 37.60  
HOLIDAY HUSTLE 7 3 1nk 2nk   68 1021¼ (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.50 13% 6.70 3.50  
 
DED-5   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:16     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARING CUSTOMS 8 5 5 65   31 12 (knudsen kent)VARGAS P 121 10.00 8.80  
I NITA WARRIOR 1 1 1 12   11 22 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 118 6.00 22% 3.60 3.70 P
10  YES JACK 10 3 2 22   21 3 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 7.70  
HOWARD'S GRIT 2 4 45 4   45 4 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.00  
DYNAMIC SUN 7 9 67 5   57 57 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 4.80  
GUNPOWDER N' LEAD 4 6 8 9   7 610 (guillory j)BIRZER E 121 6.00 16.90  
EL KECZAL 9 8 7 77   98 711 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 121 15.00 9% 9.90 36.90  
FRENETIC DAY 3 10 1011¾ 1010¼   109 811½ (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00 62.30  
FRUIT CUP 6 7 9 8   8 911½ (garza e)STOKES A 118 15.00 87.00  
DADSAMUMBLER 5 2 3 3   6 1015¾ (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 20.00 51.70  
SCR  PRINCE IS MY BOY               (rosin w)BIRZER E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:14     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL FACTOR 2 2 3 4   21 1¾ (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 4.00 1.80  
LO LO'S LAUGHTER 1 1 1 11   11 2¾ (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 5.90  
KID SHELLEEN 3 8 89 95   5 3 (borel renay)BOREL H 119 3.00 75% 0.30 1.30 S
12  CAJUN AMI 9 7 66 5   6 4 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 8.00 16.50  
ALLIGATOR CRAWL 5 6 9 6   7 5 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 ######  
LIBERTY'S HAULER 4 9 78 7   44 6 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 36.30  
BRIARTOWN 7 4 43 21   34 7 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50 4.80  
DOUBLE ON THE RED 6 5 55 84   9 810¾ (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 10.00 53.20  
10  COCAL 8 3 2 31   8 912¼ (blanchet chr)MAGNON H 116 12.00 75.10  
SCR  FLYING HOUDINI               (west henry)STOKES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOSAN               (morrell cynthia)TORRES HUGO 116 20.00    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP               (rossi j)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
 
DED-7   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S BABY BOY 3 2 2½ 11   14 14 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 2.10  
LIKEN IT 8 7 7 5   24 24 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 6.00 3.90  
CODETOWIN 7 8 8 8   46 3 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 47% 1.10 6.80 S
GOLDEN QUALITY 5 3 5 7   7 4 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00 27.10  
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE 1 4 6 6   6 5 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 116 4.00 13% 6.70 4.90  
CARBON STRYKER 4 5 4¾ 4   36 611 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 121 12.00 9% 9.80 9.10  
JAZZY JUSTIN 6 6 3½ 31   5 712¼ (toups brent)BIRZER E 119 12.00 6% 16.50 16.90  
GENTLEMAN'S SECRET 2 1 1½ 21   810¼ 821 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 3.90  
 
DED-8   11/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14     1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD WAR 4 2 1nk 2nk   12 1 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 29% 2.40 4.70 W
A WISH FOR MADELYN 2 1 2nk 1nk   22 2 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 9% 10.60 9.20 P
ALLIACEOUS 7 7 52 6   59 3 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 1.80 37% 1.70 0.90 S
GIRL THIRSTY 3 6 7 53   48 49 (ward ronnie)BIRZER E 119 15.00 34.60  
FOLLOW THE SAINT 5 3 31 3½   36 5 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 5.00 2.20  
SHE'S GONE D'WILD 1 5 6 7   715 616 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 10.00 15.20  
CATCAKE 6 4 4 4   612 717¼ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 8.00 43.20  
 
DED-9   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:52
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:161     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIORITY CATCH 9 9 64 4   13 1 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 6.00 19% 4.40 10.70 W
OUR HALLIE 3 1 1nk 1nk   23 2 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 3.00 5% 19.00 1.70 P
BODI ODI 8 5 8 5   46 3 (northrop deb)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 13.30  
PINTORA 5 2 2nk 2nk   34 4 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.50 38% 1.60 1.00  
AD LIBITUM 7 10 10 6   57 5 (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00 ######  
10  SPARKLE CITY 10 3 32 32   6 69 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00 16.90  
SPOOKY GUITAR 4 6 9 7   712½ 719¾ (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
KOSTROMA'S DANCER 6 4 43 8   819½ 840½ (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 122 12.00 47.00  
MAJESTIC CINEMA 1 7 5 1012¾   923½ 943½ (espinoza edga)DELCID MARLON 117 20.00 ######  
DEE'S LIL FOOL 2 8 7 911¾   10100 10100 (segura kearney)THORNTON G 119 4.00 10% 9.40 15.10  
SCR  BEAT THE DOUBLE               (zeno benjami)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
SCR  ILIMITADA               (escobar alis)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.