Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/7/10/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/8/3)-(2/7/10/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/8/3)-(2/7/10/8/3)-(2/7/10/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/10/8/3)-(10/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/7/10/8/3)-(10/8)-(2/7/1/3/9) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
DED-2   WIN (10/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/8)-(10/4/11/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/8)-(10/4/11/8)-(10/4/11/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10/8)-(2/7/1/3/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/8)-(2/7/1/3/9)-(2/10/7/6/1) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/7/1/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/3/9)-(2/7/1/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/3/9)-(2/7/1/3/9)-(2/7/1/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/1/3/9)-(2/10/7/6/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/3/9)-(2/10/7/6/1)-(2/1/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-4   WIN (2/10/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/7/6/1)-(2/10/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/7/6/1)-(2/10/7/6/1)-(2/10/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/7/6/1)-(2/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/7/6/1)-(2/1/9)-(3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/9)-(2/1/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/9)-(2/1/9/7)-(2/1/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/9)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9)-(3)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(7/1/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/6)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/6)-(7/4/2)-(5/9/2/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
DED-9   WIN (5/9/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/3/4)-(5/9/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/3/4)-(5/9/2/3/4)-(5/9/2/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKTAKER Oct18 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 Jun26 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 8.00    
2  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Jul27 Jun15 May11 Apr14 Mar15 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 111 5.00 32% 2.20    
3  FEROCITY Oct28 Sep15 Aug27 Aug12 Jun26 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 6% 16.10    
4  RAP ARTIST Aug04 May29 May06 Mar23 Jul23 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 115 20.00    
5  DOUBLE TRAP Oct20 Sep11 Jul02 Jun04 Apr21 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 118 8.00    
6  TRAFFIC CONTROL Nov03 Oct21 Sep23 Sep05 Aug07 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 3.00    
7  FIREINTHESTORM Oct11 Sep12 Aug04 Jun22 May26 (courville ricky)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00 17% 4.90    
8  WESLEYAN Oct25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 Apr28 (johnson b)FUSILIER C 119 6.00 6% 14.40    
9  BAYOU BEAUX Oct28 Oct07 Sep04 Aug13 Jul29 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
10  CHICAGO CHROME Oct28 Sep24 Sep16 Sep03 Aug21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
DED-2   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROUDTOWN Feb25 Feb01 Dec19 Nov25 Nov09 (west henry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00    
2  GONE SOLUTION Jun23 May26 May10 Feb28 Feb16 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00    
3  TOOCAN DANCE Oct11 Aug19 Jun24 May14 Feb01 (avant kelly)MORALES ROBERTO 123 6.00    
4  MY MY LIMIT Nov22 Sep27       (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 6.00 ★    
5  SABERMAN Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun09 May04 (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 118 15.00    
6  CARLOS'S MAMA Aug11 Jun22 May10 Apr08 Feb22 (bernard john)STOKES A 122 20.00    
SCR  OURPERFECTPRINCE Oct20 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  CATINANDSCATIN Aug10 Jul22 Jun30 Jun15 Jun02 (richard russell)POMPELL L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  FRIEND'S DO CARE Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 May26 May13 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
10  MR. CROMWELL Oct11 Jul23 Jul01 May27 Apr28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
11  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Oct27 Sep04 Jul29 Jun26 Jun18 (bruno donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  MULETRAIN Oct27 Oct06 Sep04 Jul29 Jun15 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 123 20.00    
 
DED-3   11/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOONFUL OF SUGAR         (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 116 15.00 11% 7.90    
2  REAL DEAL RYAN Oct11 Aug05 Jul14     (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
3  BAYOU BERTIE         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 121 8.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  DEAL PICKLE Oct27         (delany sara)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 5.00    
5  DISCREET DEAL Aug26         (reeves a)FUSILIER C 121 20.00    
6  MARION ROSES GIRL Oct20 Oct07       (fuselier jona)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
7  READY FOR THUNDER Oct18         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
8  HART'S PRETTY GIRL Oct11 Jul07 Jun16     (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 3.00    
9  MAXIMUM MOXIE         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 116 6.00 10% 9.30    
10  SHEZA HOT STORM Oct18         (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00    
 
DED-4   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MONEY MACHINE Oct19 Jul27 Jun22 May25 May13 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNFATHOMED Nov08 Oct25 Oct13 Aug27 Jul22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  SMOKY TOPAZ Oct26 Jun29 Jun09 May20 Apr22 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00    
4  TEMPRANO Nov01 Oct19 Jul30 Jun19 May21 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 20.00    
5  FAST VERDICT Nov02 Sep26 Sep05 Aug13 Jul16 (nelson r)DELCID MARLON 111 20.00    
6  HERZEN Nov01 Oct18 Sep23 Sep04 Jul28 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 4.00 9% 9.90    
7  HOLIDAY HUSTLE Sep02 Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.50 13% 6.70    
8  BIG ROJO Nov01 Jun23 May28 May11 Apr29 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 6.00    
9  QUANA DUDE Nov01 Oct13 Aug04 Jul22 Jun29 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 114 15.00    
10  WAR RON Nov01 Sep24 Sep16 Aug25 Jul17 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
DED-5   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I NITA WARRIOR Oct26 Aug19 Jul20     (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
2  HOWARD'S GRIT         (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  FRENETIC DAY Nov03 Oct21       (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00    
4  GUNPOWDER N' LEAD Sep30 Sep18 Sep04     (guillory henry )POMPELL L 121 6.00    
5  DADSAMUMBLER Oct26         (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 20.00    
6  FRUIT CUP Oct28 Oct12 Aug29 Aug19   (garza e)STOKES A 118 15.00    
7  DYNAMIC SUN Nov02 Aug21 Jul28     (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 ★    
8  CLEARING CUSTOMS Nov02 Oct12 Aug29     (knudsen kent)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00    
9  EL KECZAL         (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 121 15.00 9% 9.90    
10  YES JACK Oct12 Sep12 Aug29 Aug12   (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00    
SCR  PRINCE IS MY BOY Oct26 Aug27 Aug06     (rosin w)BIRZER E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LO LO'S LAUGHTER Oct14 Sep02 Aug16 Jul23 Jun24 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
2  DONEGAL FACTOR Oct25 May25 Feb19 Nov26 Oct05 (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 4.00 ★    
3  KID SHELLEEN Oct25 Oct11 Sep09 Aug28 Aug13 (borel renay)BOREL H 119 3.00 75% 0.30    
4  LIBERTY'S HAULER Oct19 Sep17 Aug27 Jul28 Jul07 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00    
5  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Sep12 Aug27 Jul28 Jun18 May15 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 119 10.00    
6  DOUBLE ON THE RED Jul29 Jul08 Jun03 May13 Apr27 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 10.00    
7  BRIARTOWN Oct21 Sep02 Aug10 Jul30 Jul07 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  JOSAN Oct20 Jan05 Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 (morrell cynthia)TORRES HUGO 116 20.00    
SCR  FLYING HOUDINI Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 Jul26 Jul13 (west henry)STOKES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  COCAL Oct14 Aug29 Jun08 May26 May25 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 116 12.00    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP Oct26 Sep12 Aug13 May28 Apr27 (rossi j)POMPELL L 119 6.00 ★    
12  CAJUN AMI Nov02 Jul29 Jun24     (landry r)THORNTON G 115 8.00    
 
DED-7   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Oct21 Aug21 Jul08 Jun22 May20 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 116 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  GENTLEMAN'S SECRET Nov03 Oct20 Oct07 Sep13 Sep04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50    
3  IZZY'S BABY BOY Oct21 Aug11 Aug03 Jul22 Jul01 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
4  CARBON STRYKER Nov04 Oct12 Aug26 Jul16 Jun17 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 121 12.00 9% 9.80    
5  GOLDEN QUALITY Nov01 Oct19 Jul28 Jul13 May27 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00    
6  JAZZY JUSTIN Nov04 Oct12 Apr26 Feb15 Jan26 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 12.00 6% 16.50    
7  CODETOWIN Oct20 Jul24 Jun12 May27 Jul29 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 47% 1.10    
8  LIKEN IT Nov04 Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 6.00    
 
DED-8   11/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Oct25 Aug29 Jun23 Jun06 May02 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
2  A WISH FOR MADELYN Nov02 Oct11 Jun25 Apr15 Feb04 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 9% 10.60    
3  GIRL THIRSTY Oct21 Sep03 Aug05 Jul01 May21 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
4  WORLD WAR Oct25 Aug20 Jul27 Jun16 May04 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  FOLLOW THE SAINT Oct21 Jul29 Jun29 May21 Feb24 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 5.00    
6  CATCAKE Oct19 Aug29 Aug04 Jun29 Jun10 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 8.00    
7  ALLIACEOUS Nov01 Oct21 Jul27 Jul01 May13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
DED-9   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC CINEMA Sep16 Aug30       (espinoza edga)DELCID MARLON 117 20.00    
2  DEE'S LIL FOOL Oct27 Jul22 Jul01 May03   (segura kearney)THORNTON G 119 4.00 10% 9.40    
3  OUR HALLIE Oct28 Sep03 Jul17 Jul09   (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPOOKY GUITAR Oct19         (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PINTORA Oct28 Oct06 Aug12 Jul08 Jun16 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
6  KOSTROMA'S DANCER Oct28 Oct06       (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 122 12.00    
7  AD LIBITUM Feb24 Apr02 Mar12     (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
8  BODI ODI Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 Jul01 (northrop deb)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
9  APRIORITY CATCH Oct27         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
10  SPARKLE CITY Oct27 Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 Jul13 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00    
SCR  ILIMITADA Oct28 Sep03 Jul23 Jul02   (escobar alis)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
SCR  BEAT THE DOUBLE Oct28 May11 Apr26 Apr15 Feb15 (zeno benjami)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.