Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   TRI (1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-9-8 $19.30 $7.30 61%
    SFT (1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-9-8-1 $10.99 $8.59 358%
DED-4   EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-3-2 $28.75 $25.75 858%
DED-5   DD (5/3/2)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $12.60 $0.60 5%
DED-6   EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-1 $13.70 $1.70 14%
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-1-4 $57.80 $45.80 382%
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(8/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-8 $22.30 $6.30 39%
DED-7   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    DD (8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-2 $23.10 $7.10 44%
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00  1-8-2 $101.30 $69.30 217%
DED-8   EXA (1/10/2/8/3)-(1/10/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-8 $68.50 $48.50 243%
    TRI (1/10/2/8/3)-(1/10/2/8/3)-(1/10/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-8-3 $461.80 $431.80 1439%
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(1/10/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-2 $28.50 $8.50 43%
    PK3 (8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7)-(1/10/2/8/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  8-2-2 $55.50 $15.50 39%
    PK4 (3/6/4/1)-(8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7)-(1/10/2/8/3) 320 $0.50 $160  1-8-2-2 $317.00 $157.00 98%
    PK5 (5/3/2)-(3/6/4/1)-(8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7)-(1/10/2/8/3) 960 $0.50 $480  5-1-8-2-2 $741.30 $261.30 54%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:143 1:273   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRTHDAY PARTY 6 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 12 1 (west henry)STOKES A 119 3.50 9% 10.20 2.20 W
MR B QUIET 8 1 31 3 31 22 2 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 2.50 24% 3.20 3.80 P
J C'S IN TOWN 7 5 52 4 43 45 3 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 6.00 6% 14.80 5.00 S
COOL INDIVIDUAL 1 6 64 8 7 56 4 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 4.50 40% 1.50 2.70  
REVENIR 2 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 33 55 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 14.00  
TAKEN BACK 3 8 76 6 55 67 68 (segura kearney)STOKES J 116 20.00 21.20  
DEALIN' STELEN 5 7 87 77 65 7 710 (toups brent)BIRZER E 119 6.00 12.00  
MOVE IT 4 4 42 5 8 8 812¼ (arey anthon)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 14.70  
SCR  FAST VERDICT               (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00    
 
DED-2   12/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:133     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET ART 2 2 1nk 11   1½ 1 (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 1.90 W
SPECIAL OPERATOR 9 6 4 21   2½ 2 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 5.00 8.60  
OVERTAXED 4 5 5 31   3 3 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 7% 13.00 3.00 S
SWEET RACHEL 1 1 8 7   4 4 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 116 20.00 32.10  
CHARMING CHARLIE 3 4 32 63   6 511 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 12% 7.30 16.70  
DRIVE FOR FUN 7 7 6 5   7 611¾ (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.20  
10  THE THIMBLE 10 8 7 8   811¾ 715½ (ramirez e)TORRES HUGO 116 15.00 35.10  
TAPALIST 5 10 1013¾ 1015   916¾ 816¾ (ladner billy)TAYLOR BETHANY 119 20.00 90.00  
MONITOR MILLS 8 3 2nk 42   5 918¼ (chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 116 2.50 14.90  
CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB) 6 9 9 98   1020¾ 1035¼ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00 25% 3.00 53.20  
SCR  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 12.00    
 
DED-3   12/14/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:151     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACY BILLE 1 7 6 4   17 1 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 33% 2.00 0.60 W
WHISKEY RED 6 4 52 5   27 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 8.00 10.00 P
CORTE 3 8 97 86   3 3 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 123 20.00 94.50  
ALPHIN 2 1 3½ 1nk   49 421 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 123 4.50 24.10  
STYLING HOOK 5 5 7 72   514 524½ (chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
POPPY T 4 2 4 6   614½ 625¼ (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00 14.00  
10  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT 9 6 2½ 2nk   715½ 732 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 2.00 43% 1.30 5.10  
CAME OUT KICKIN 8 9 84 911   822½ 843¾ (romero lynn)EDISON JOCELYN 117 20.00 73.10  
NOW NOW SAINT 7 3 1½ 3.2   923½ 948¾ (delany sarah)DEL-CID MARLON 118 12.00 15.60  
SCR  INDEFENSIBLE TOWN               (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 122 20.00    
SCR  R T'S IRON MAN               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 4.50    
SCR  VALID EARLY               (silkwood charles)STOKES J 122 20.00    
 
DED-4   12/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:223 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO MUCH KIKI 5 6 52 4   4¾ 1¾ (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 68% 0.50 1.40 W
NANA'S CORN MUFFIN 3 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¾ (landry ray)ROSIER R 120 3.00 8% 11.00 3.80 P
AMERICAN TSUNAMI 2 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 17.70 S
CONVALIDATION 4 2 3½ 3.2   3.2 4 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 8.00 25.90  
KATIES SPIRIT 7 1 7 7   5 56 (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 5.00 4.30  
TRUE PRINCESS 6 5 6 5   6 6 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50 3.10  
WARM FUZZIES 1 7 4 6   75 713¼ (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00 13.50  
 
DED-5   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:134 1:274   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATE'S REVENGE 1 9 8 8 56 34 1¼ (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 12% 7.70 2.90 W
STEPHEN'S ANSWER 3 3 3.2 1nk 13 13 2¼ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.70 P
APPLEWOOD 9 8 9 910¾ 6 46 3 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 119 15.00 17.10  
BIG ROJO 5 7 6 5 23 23 4 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 6.00 6.40  
SILVER N LAI 4 4 5 4 35 5 5 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 3.50 14% 6.00 19.60  
FREEDOMFI 8 5 7 7 4 6 68 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 116 8.00 11.50  
WEDINGTON 7 1 4 6 7 713½ 722¼ (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00 ######  
HONORARIAN 2 2 1nk 2nk 8 814 824¼ (charles jonatha)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 ######  
ALYANAABI 6 6 2nk 3.2 910½ 921 936 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 4.50 15% 5.50 2.90  
 
DED-6   12/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:141     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLEEP BLEEP 8 5 33 3   13 1 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 33% 2.10 1.90 W
PITCH AND RUN 1 1 11 1½   23 2 (dunn ray)NEGRON LUIS 119 8.00 18% 4.60 4.90 P
ZIPPY TOGA 4 7 8 5   44 3 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 5% 19.00 15.60 S
MECKES PRIORITY 7 4 21 2½   3 4 (dussette alvin)TORRES HUGO 120 10.00 29.30  
COCAL 3 3 44 4   56 5 (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 46.60  
GOBOT 9 8 9 810¾   67 6 (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 15.00 33.10  
VIKING LEGACY 2 6 5 6   8 7 (woodley j)THORNTON G 119 4.50 7.60  
KING OF CONTRABAND 6 2 6 7   77 8 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 2.50 22% 3.50 1.40  
Z'S GUITAR 5 9 7 911¾   913¼ 923¼ (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 118 15.00 27.80  
 
DED-7   12/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S LIGHT 2 5 6 4   4¾ 1 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 18% 4.40 6.40 W
CPRIORITY 6 3 2 1nk   2nk 2 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 5.00 3.00  
JEFFROW 8 7 7 7   7 3 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 2.00 2.60  
SEEHOSS 5 1 1 2nk   1nk 43 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.00 42% 1.40 6.10  
HEARTTHROB HALO 7 4 3 3.2   3½ 53 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
BOY CHARLIE 4 6 5 6   6 64 (dunn r)MAGNON H 118 10.00 8% 12.10 11.00  
BET AGAIN 3 2 4 5   5 7 (toups brent)STOKES J 119 20.00 29.00  
FLASHY PREMO 1 8 813½ 818¼   823¼ 8100 (morrell cynthia)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 19.80  
 
DED-8   12/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:231 :48       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING I 2 6 2½ 2nk   14 1 (west henry)STOKES A 123 4.00 19% 4.40 1.90 W
GEMMY 8 5 32 33   24 2 (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00 27.20 P
SCRAPPY 3 4 43 5   4 3 (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 5% 19.00 76.70 S
CHUCHI 5 10 9 8   5 4 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 12.60  
WHORL GIRL 1 3 1½ 1nk   3 511¼ (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.50 31% 2.20 3.60  
DREAMED I AM FAST 7 2 7 7   6 611¼ (jackson dway)DEL-CID MARLON 114 8.00 63.30  
TENSAS CLEAR 4 8 8 6   7 711½ (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00 ######  
HEY YOU 6 9 10 108   9 811¾ (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 45.40  
10  ADAYINSPAIN 10 7 6 4   8 912½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 3.00 24% 3.20 1.30  
ST. FRANCIS OF LA. 9 1 53 96   1010 1015½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 5.00 14.60  
SCR  SENSE OF HEART               (noel dane)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.