Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/7/8)-(7/6/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/8)-(7/6/3/4/2)-(10/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/6/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/4/2)-(7/6/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/4/2)-(7/6/3/4/2)-(7/6/3/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/3/4/2)-(10/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/4/2)-(10/1/5)-(5/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/5)-(10/1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/1/5)-(10/1/5/7)-(10/1/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/1/5)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5)-(5/3/2)-(3/6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/6/4/1)-(8/6/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(8/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/4)-(5/2/4/7)-(1/10/2/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(1/10/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/10/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/2/8/3)-(1/10/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/2/8/3)-(1/10/2/8/3)-(1/10/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL INDIVIDUAL Nov24 Oct19 Sep10 Aug11 Jul06 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 4.50 40% 1.50    
2  REVENIR Nov08 Oct25 Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
3  TAKEN BACK Nov29 Jun22 May25 May03 Apr14 (segura kearney)STOKES J 116 20.00    
SCR  FAST VERDICT Nov29 Nov18 Nov02 Sep26 Sep05 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00    
5  MOVE IT Nov11 Jun24 Jun10 Apr21 Feb09 (arey anthon)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
6  DEALIN' STELEN Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 Jul06 May25 (toups brent)BIRZER E 119 6.00    
7  BIRTHDAY PARTY Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 Dec28 Oct22 (west henry)STOKES A 119 3.50 9% 10.20    
8  J C'S IN TOWN Dec01 Oct20 Sep03 Jul31 Jul03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 6.00 6% 14.80    
9  MR B QUIET Nov29 Nov01 Oct13 Jun10 Apr22 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
DED-2   12/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET RACHEL Nov11 Oct20 Jul09 Feb28 Feb03 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 116 20.00    
2  STREET ART Nov24 Sep05 Aug21 Jun24 Jun04 (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHARMING CHARLIE Nov11 Oct21 Sep03 Aug26 Aug11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  OVERTAXED Nov11 Aug04 Jul21 Jun04 Apr07 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 7% 13.00    
5  TAPALIST Dec02 Nov22 Nov01 Oct18   (ladner billy)TAYLOR BETHANY 119 20.00    
6  CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB) Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 Aug04 Jun17 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
7  DRIVE FOR FUN Nov24 Nov01 Jun15 May14 Jan13 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  MONITOR MILLS Oct20 Oct06 Jul13 May26 May10 (chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 116 2.50    
9  SPECIAL OPERATOR Nov11 Oct25 Aug12 Jun23 May20 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 5.00    
10  THE THIMBLE Aug27 Aug14 Jul01 Oct29 Sep17 (ramirez ro)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 116 15.00    
SCR  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Oct28 Oct07 Aug29 Jul29 Jul17 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 12.00    
 
DED-3   12/14/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACY BILLE Oct18 Jul06 Jun03 Apr21 Mar02 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  ALPHIN Nov15 Oct26 Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 123 4.50    
3  CORTE Nov08 Oct11 Sep09 Aug20 Jul29 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 123 20.00    
4  POPPY T Nov08 Oct11 Sep05 Jun05 May27 (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00    
5  STYLING HOOK Nov15 Feb25 Feb09 Jan13 Dec27 (chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INDEFENSIBLE TOWN Nov04 Aug05 Jun22 May25 Feb22 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 122 20.00    
7  WHISKEY RED Nov21 Oct11 Aug03 Jun24 May13 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 8.00 ★    
8  NOW NOW SAINT Nov09 Aug12 Jun12 May15 Oct26 (delany sarah)DEL-CID MARLON 118 12.00    
9  CAME OUT KICKIN Nov10 May25 Apr29 Feb09 Dec17 (romero lynn)EDISON JOCELYN 117 20.00    
10  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Jun24 May18       (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  R T'S IRON MAN Nov21 Nov08 Aug05 Jun22 Jun08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 4.50    
SCR  VALID EARLY Nov21 Nov08 Jul30 Mar22 Mar10 (silkwood charles)STOKES J 122 20.00    
 
DED-4   12/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARM FUZZIES Nov16 Oct21       (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00    
2  AMERICAN TSUNAMI Nov03 Sep10 Aug17 Jul27 Jun10 (evans justin)VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  NANA'S CORN MUFFIN Nov10 Oct11       (landry ray)ROSIER R 120 3.00 8% 11.00    
4  CONVALIDATION Aug28 Jul30 Jun26     (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
5  TOO MUCH KIKI Jul01 Jun03       (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 68% 0.50    
6  TRUE PRINCESS Nov10 Oct21 Sep03 Jul22   (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50    
7  KATIES SPIRIT Nov03 Sep24 Aug25 Jul04   (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 5.00    
 
DED-5   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATE'S REVENGE Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 Jul08 Jun19 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 12% 7.70    
2  HONORARIAN May04 Apr08 Feb23 Feb02 Jul27 (charles jonatha)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
3  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Nov29 Nov08 Jul13 Jun09 Apr29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  SILVER N LAI Nov09 Dec28 Dec19 Oct27 Sep03 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  BIG ROJO Nov29 Nov18 Nov01 Jun23 May28 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 6.00    
6  ALYANAABI Nov01 Sep25 Aug07 Jul02 Jun18 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 4.50 15% 5.50    
7  WEDINGTON Nov11 Oct06 Aug21 Jul31 Jun03 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
8  FREEDOMFI Nov25 Nov02 Jul06 Jun12 May20 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 116 8.00    
9  APPLEWOOD Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Aug10 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
 
DED-6   12/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PITCH AND RUN Nov02 Oct11 Aug21 Jul01 May22 (dunn ray)NEGRON LUIS 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
2  VIKING LEGACY Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr28 Mar10 (woodley j)THORNTON G 119 4.50    
3  COCAL Nov18 Oct14 Aug29 Jun08 May26 (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00    
4  ZIPPY TOGA Nov01 Aug05 Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  Z'S GUITAR Oct14 Aug11 Jun30 Jun03 May18 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 118 15.00    
6  KING OF CONTRABAND Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 Aug28 Jul01 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  MECKES PRIORITY Nov08 Oct11 Aug14 Aug03 Jul06 (dussette alvin)TORRES HUGO 120 10.00    
8  BLEEP BLEEP Oct27 Jul13 Jun15 May18 Apr27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
9  GOBOT Nov02 Oct14 Aug05 Feb25 Feb04 (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 15.00    
 
DED-7   12/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY PREMO Oct26 Oct14 Aug10 Jul20 Jun23 (morrell cynthia)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00    
2  SADIE'S LIGHT Nov29 Nov01 Aug05 Jul27 Jun16 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  BET AGAIN Nov15 Jul06 Jun08 Apr29 Apr07 (toups brent)STOKES J 119 20.00    
4  BOY CHARLIE Nov24 Oct20 Aug20     (dunn r)MAGNON H 118 10.00 8% 12.10    
5  SEEHOSS Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Oct06 Jul22 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.00 42% 1.40    
6  CPRIORITY Nov30 Oct13 Mar26 Feb25 Feb10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 5.00    
7  HEARTTHROB HALO Nov24 Nov11 Oct20 Jul20 Jun22 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  JEFFROW Nov15 Oct07 Jun08 Apr21 Mar15 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 2.00    
 
DED-8   12/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHORL GIRL Nov21 Mar23 Feb24     (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
2  FLYING I Nov30 Nov11 Oct19 Oct20 Aug12 (west henry)STOKES A 123 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  SCRAPPY Nov21 Jul29 Jul23 Jul08 Jun16 (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  TENSAS CLEAR Nov30 Oct27 Aug28 Jul31 Jul23 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
5  CHUCHI Sep02 Aug05 Jun16 May12 Mar25 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
6  HEY YOU Nov21 Jul16 Jun25     (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
7  DREAMED I AM FAST Nov30 Oct28 Oct06 Aug05 Jul01 (jackson dway)DEL-CID MARLON 114 8.00    
8  GEMMY         (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  ST. FRANCIS OF LA. Nov21         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 5.00    
10  ADAYINSPAIN Nov21 Sep30       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  SENSE OF HEART Dec02 Nov09 Oct06 Jun01 Apr28 (noel dane)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.