Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (8/10/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    EXA (8/10/7/4)-(8/10/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-7 $22.30 $6.30 39%
    TRI (8/10/7/4)-(8/10/7/4/1)-(8/10/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-7-10 $32.20 $8.20 34%
DED-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $15.00 $9.00 150%
DED-7   DD (6/2/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-5 $22.10 $13.10 146%
DED-8   PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/3/6)-(2/6/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50  2-5-2 $18.80 $5.30 39%
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COOL SPIRIT 8 4 2½ 2½   11½ 11¾ (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.00 49% 1.00 4.10 W
7  ARKANSAS ZONG 7 3 31½ 32   21½ 21¾ (dison m)TORRES HUGO 123 6.00 7% 12.60 5.80 P
10  ADMIRAL RISTY 10 7 42 43½   44 35¾ (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 4.00 16% 5.20 1.40 S
9  INGLIS 9 6 73½ 55   55½ 46½ (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 6.00 3.70  
6  QUICK ZONG 6 2 1½ 1½   32 58¼ (dison ma)STOKES A 122 20.00 33.80  
1  CLASSIC WARRIOR 1 10 105¼ 87½   66 69¼ (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 ★ 13.70  
3  UNCLE CHAN 3 5 94¾ 77½   710 711¼ (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 120 10.00 63.30  
5  TOAST TO THE GIRLS 5 8 63½ 67   812 816¼ (silva walte)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 50.60  
4  YO PLAY 4 1 53 99½   913 920 (west henry)DELCID MARLON 115 10.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
2  HOLIDAY FOREVER 2 9 84½ 10100   10100 10100 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 8.00 14.50  
 
DED-2   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:134 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN OF STORMS 1 3 2nk 21½ 31½ 3½ 12½ (arnett g)VARGAS P 118 20.00 18.60  
2  GRAVES MILL ROAD 2 2 52¼ 41¾ 2nk 1nk 22½ (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 6.00 14% 6.00 6.60 P
8  MINNESOTA MIRACLE 7 1 1nk 11½ 1nk 2nk 33¾ (segura kearney)STOKES A 119 15.00 25.30  
6  COUSVINNYSACANUCK 5 6 73¾ 83¾ 52¾ 42½ 45 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 9.10  
7  RUNNING LATE 6 7 62¾ 62¾ 63¼ 54 59¼ (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.80 63% 0.60 0.40  
4  DEEP STATE 3 5 42 51¾ 85¼ 75½ 612¾ (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00 ★ 9.50  
5  DREWPOWER 4 8 84¾ 73¼ 73¾ 64½ 713½ (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
9  PALATIAL TIMES 8 4 31 31½ 42½ 8100 8100 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 27.80  
SCR  DIAL IN FOR LUTE               (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 3.50    
 
DED-3   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN 5 1 1nk 1½   11 1¼ (johnson b)MELANCON G 121 2.50 28% 2.60 2.30 W
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PATCHOFBADWEATHER by STORM AND A HALF)
9  SECRET ROAD 9 3 62¼ 42½   21 2¼ (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.30 P
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of LEE ROAD by BRAHMS)
6  MATZOH BALL 6 7 52 32½   45 38¼ (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 121 8.00 4.80  
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of GATOR ZONE by SHARP HUMOR)
8  MIDNIGHT HALO 8 6 94¼ 95¾   86¼ 49 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 121 15.00 6.20  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LANGSYNE by LANGFUHR)
7  JOSEPH H 7 2 2nk 2½   32 59 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 24% 3.20 5.20  
  (by IRON FIST out of HENRY'S POSSE by POSSE)
4  THEBOYZ SECRET 4 5 105¼ 106¾   107 610½ (ward ronnie)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 15.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of FIJI D by LYDGATE)
3  PATEK 3 9 73¼ 75   96½ 711¾ (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 6.00 7.80  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SPARKLING DIAMOND by FINEST HOUR)
2  FRAN'S STAR 2 10 84¼ 85¼   76¼ 812¼ (courville rick)THORNTON G 121 4.50 16% 5.30 15.80  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SARAHS BAYOU BELLE by AFLEET ALEX)
1  C F HENRY 1 8 41½ 64   66 914¼ (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00 24.70  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BALA ROJA by RED BULLET)
10  HIT THE BULLSEYE 10 4 3½ 53½   56 1014¾ (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00 44.40  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of RUN N SASSY by RUN PRODUCTION)
SCR  MAGNOLIA SPEED               (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MAJOR ASHWORTH by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR               (roberts kenneth)ROSIER R 121 8.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TDZ MANDYCORRIENDA by EL CORREDOR)
 
DED-4   11/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TWO JET 10 2 11 11   1½ 12 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 3.00 32% 2.10 3.80 W
5  GYPSYROSELEE 5 1 21 21   2½ 22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00 2.00  
9  R T'S GEM 9 7 75 54   52¾ 35¾ (sam thomas )MORALES ROBERTO 118 12.00 14.60  
8  CHERRY STAR 8 10 89 86½   65¾ 47¼ (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 8.00 8.90  
7  K V SQUARED 7 6 63½ 32½   42½ 57½ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 28% 2.60 11.10  
4  TENSAS BERTIE 4 4 53½ 43½   32½ 68 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 120 8.00 19.60  
1  COURTLY DOC 1 9 1012¼ 109   76¾ 78 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 12% 7.40 7.50  
6  DEAL ME A PENNY 6 5 32 64½   88¾ 818 (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 119 4.50 9.90  
3  ADDI BUG 3 8 99¼ 97½   109¾ 918½ (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
2  VALTESSE 2 3 42½ 75½   98¾ 1018¾ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
SCR  LUMINOUS FLIGHT               (west henry)STOKES A 118 20.00    
 
DED-5   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:143 1:28   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WHISKEY'S GONE 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 11½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00 34.70  
1  STEPHEN'S ANSWER 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 21½ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 29% 2.50 2.10 P
8  BIRTHDAY PARTY 8 3 43½ 42 32 31½ 33¼ (west henry)STOKES A 123 15.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
6  MR B QUIET 6 5 76 86½ 65 53 43¼ (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 123 4.00 40% 1.50 4.80  
5  BIG ROJO 5 6 65 53 43 42 56 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 6.00 6.80  
2  APPLEWOOD 2 7 54½ 64 76 64½ 68 (matthieu ronald )FUSILIER C 123 6.00 23.40  
9  FAST VERDICT 9 9 99½ 99½ 97 86½ 710½ (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 45.00  
7  SMOKY TOPAZ 7 4 33½ 32 86 76½ 811¼ (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 ★ 8.20  
3  TAKEN BACK 3 10 1013½ 1017½ 1017 109¾ 913¾ (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 15.00 38.50  
10  PINCH ASSAULT 10 8 86½ 75 54½ 96¾ 1015 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 ★ 2.90  
 
DED-6   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:233 :472       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUMMER IS HOT 2 2 64 64   32½ 1¾ (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 116 5.00 22% 3.50 6.50 W
7  FINISHWHATUSTARTED 6 1 1½ 11   12 2¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 6.40 DH
8  ZERO POINT ZERO 7 3 2½ 21   22 2¾ (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 15.00 11.50 DH
3  CHEER UP 3 4 52½ 53½   44 45¼ (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 13.20  
4  MARDI GRAS ALARM 4 5 31½ 42½   55 56 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 13% 7.00 6.60  
1  BATTLE OF WITS 1 6 78 712   79 611 (modica osca)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 10.00 18.40  
6  HAPPY IN HEELS 5 7 42 32   68 715¼ (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.00 39% 1.60 0.60  
SCR  CHAOS MAGIC               (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 119 15.00    
 
DED-7   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:223 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DRAFT CHOICE 4 3 41 21   2½ 1¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.90 W
3  SHARP CHARLIE 3 2 1½ 11   1½ 2¼ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 36% 1.80 1.30 P
2  SADIE'S LIGHT 2 6 64½ 66½   44½ 38¼ (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 4.20  
6  LION HEART LEGEND 5 4 53 44½   56½ 417¼ (magnon rylee)BIRZER E 119 12.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
1  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 1 5 3½ 33   34½ 518 (husak j)POMPELL L 119 5.00 5.60  
7  THE BOYZ PRIORITY 6 1 2½ 56   610½ 629¾ (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 118 6.00 15.00  
SCR  BANKROLL               (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 114 12.00    
 
DED-8   11/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:151     1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOTAL SURPRISE 1 8 84 44   21 11½ (berndt joel)THORNTON G 122 2.00 65% 0.50 0.60 W
9  PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER 8 6 41½ 22   11 21½ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00 42.80  
3  BAYOU CHROME 2 2 62½ 56   33 32 (leonard kir)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 8.20  
6  QUIET AS MIDNIGHT 5 9 97 910½   43½ 45 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 117 4.50 10% 9.20 2.30  
7  TREASURE COAST 6 3 73 66   55½ 511¼ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 ★ 16.20  
4  MOSH PIT 3 5 2½ 33   65½ 612½ (noel dane)POMPELL L 123 15.00 20.20  
8  LOST GOLD 7 7 31 87½   811½ 721¼ (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 123 8.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
10  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER 9 4 1½ 12   78½ 821¾ (zenon shelton)DELCID MARLON 115 15.00 ######  
5  AMBASSADOR HOUSE 4 1 52 77   915½ 930¾ (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 120 20.00 92.30  
SCR  SHANKINSTINE               (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.