Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (8/10/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/7/4)-(8/10/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/7/4)-(8/10/7/4/1)-(8/10/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/7/4)-(7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/7/4)-(7/2/5)-(5/7/2/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(5/7/2/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(5/7/2/9/4)-(10/7/1/2/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-3   WIN (5/7/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/9/4)-(5/7/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/9/4)-(5/7/2/9/4)-(5/7/2/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/2/9/4)-(10/7/1/2/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/9/4)-(10/7/1/2/3)-(6/1/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-4   WIN (10/7/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/1/2/3)-(10/7/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/1/2/3)-(10/7/1/2/3)-(10/7/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/1/2/3)-(6/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/7/1/2/3)-(6/1/8)-(6/2/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/10/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/10/7/8)-(6/1/10/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(6/2/4)-(5/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/3/6)-(2/6/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC WARRIOR Nov11 Sep11 Aug06 Jul03   (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 ★    
2  HOLIDAY FOREVER Aug11         (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
3  UNCLE CHAN Nov08 Oct26 Aug05 Jul14 Jun23 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 120 10.00    
4  YO PLAY Nov10 Jan12 Dec28 Sep13   (west henry)DELCID MARLON 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOAST TO THE GIRLS Nov17 Jun02       (silva walte)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
6  QUICK ZONG Oct27         (dison ma)STOKES A 122 20.00    
7  ARKANSAS ZONG Nov04 Oct07 Aug10 Jul21 Jul07 (dison m)TORRES HUGO 123 6.00 7% 12.60    
8  COOL SPIRIT Mar09 Jan20 Oct28 Aug03 May24 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
9  INGLIS Nov10 Oct07 Sep05 Aug12 Jul28 (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 6.00    
10  ADMIRAL RISTY Sep14         (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
DED-2   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN OF STORMS Nov04 Oct06 Jul08 Jun10 May20 (arnett g)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
2  GRAVES MILL ROAD Nov10 Oct20 Sep10 Aug19 Jul03 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Nov10 Oct20 Sep23 Sep05 Aug14 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 3.50    
4  DEEP STATE Aug19 Jul23 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00 ★    
5  DREWPOWER Nov10 Jul14 Jun05 Mar03 Jan28 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Nov15 Oct26 Aug12 Jul02 Jun18 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
7  RUNNING LATE Oct14 Nov24 Sep14     (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.80 63% 0.60    
8  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Nov10 Jul13 Jun17 Jun02 Apr12 (segura kearney)STOKES A 119 15.00    
9  PALATIAL TIMES Oct20 Sep02 Jul19 Jun17 Jun04 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
 
DED-3   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F HENRY Oct13         (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BALA ROJA by RED BULLET)
2  FRAN'S STAR         (courville rick)THORNTON G 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SARAHS BAYOU BELLE by AFLEET ALEX)
3  PATEK         (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SPARKLING DIAMOND by FINEST HOUR)
4  THEBOYZ SECRET Oct13 Aug19       (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of FIJI D by LYDGATE)
5  LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Nov03 Sep09 Aug19 Jul04 Jun05 (johnson b)MELANCON G 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PATCHOFBADWEATHER by STORM AND A HALF)
6  MATZOH BALL Nov03         (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 121 8.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of GATOR ZONE by SHARP HUMOR)
7  JOSEPH H Oct28         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by IRON FIST out of HENRY'S POSSE by POSSE)
8  MIDNIGHT HALO         (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 121 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LANGSYNE by LANGFUHR)
9  SECRET ROAD Oct21         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of LEE ROAD by BRAHMS)
10  HIT THE BULLSEYE Nov03         (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of RUN N SASSY by RUN PRODUCTION)
SCR  MAGNOLIA SPEED Nov17 Oct21       (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MAJOR ASHWORTH by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR Nov17         (roberts kenneth)ROSIER R 121 8.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TDZ MANDYCORRIENDA by EL CORREDOR)
 
DED-4   11/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTLY DOC Nov03 Jun03 May06 Mar15 Feb11 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 12% 7.40    
2  VALTESSE Nov03 Apr08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan19 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ADDI BUG Nov15 Jul29 Mar25 Feb23 Jan07 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  TENSAS BERTIE Oct28 Jun03 May19 Apr15 Mar24 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
5  GYPSYROSELEE Nov03 Jul21 Apr19 Feb24 Jan25 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
6  DEAL ME A PENNY Jul22 Jul02 Jun12 Mar08 Feb22 (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 119 4.50    
7  K V SQUARED Oct12 Jun29 Jan25 Nov26 Oct22 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
8  CHERRY STAR Nov02 Aug10 Jul08 May27 Feb02 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 8.00    
9  R T'S GEM Nov15 Jul29 Jul06 Jun10 Apr26 (sam thomas )MORALES ROBERTO 118 12.00    
10  TWO JET Nov16 Oct12 Aug11 Jul20 Jul08 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  LUMINOUS FLIGHT Nov16 Oct19 Jul20 Jul08 Jun02 (west henry)STOKES A 118 20.00    
 
DED-5   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Nov08 Jul13 Jun09 Apr29 Apr15 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 29% 2.50    
2  APPLEWOOD Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Aug10 Jul06 (matthieu ronald )FUSILIER C 123 6.00    
3  TAKEN BACK Jun22 May25 May03 Apr14 Feb25 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 15.00    
4  WHISKEY'S GONE Nov09 Oct27 Jul31 Oct05 Sep03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
5  BIG ROJO Nov18 Nov01 Jun23 May28 May11 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 6.00    
6  MR B QUIET Nov01 Oct13 Jun10 Apr22 Feb28 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  SMOKY TOPAZ Nov18 Oct26 Jun29 Jun09 May20 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 ★    
8  BIRTHDAY PARTY Nov09 Oct27 Dec28 Oct22 Jul20 (west henry)STOKES A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  FAST VERDICT Nov18 Nov02 Sep26 Sep05 Aug13 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
10  PINCH ASSAULT Aug12 Mar26 Feb25 Feb15 Feb04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 ★    
 
DED-6   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE OF WITS Aug27 Jul20 Jun15 May18   (modica osca)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 10.00    
2  SUMMER IS HOT Oct21 Jul15 Jun30 May27 May08 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 116 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  CHEER UP Oct21 Sep09 Aug26 Jul28 Jul09 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
4  MARDI GRAS ALARM Nov16 Oct14 Jul27 Jul06 Jun17 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  CHAOS MAGIC Oct21 Oct07 May13 Apr23 Apr15 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 119 15.00    
6  HAPPY IN HEELS Oct04 Sep14 Aug18 May12 Apr25 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Oct21 Sep09 Aug10 Jul29 Jun24 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50    
8  ZERO POINT ZERO Oct28 Oct12 Jul21 May12 Apr07 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
 
DED-7   11/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Nov10 Oct20 Sep11 Aug29 Aug04 (husak j)POMPELL L 119 5.00    
2  SADIE'S LIGHT Nov01 Aug05 Jul27 Jun16 May19 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00    
3  SHARP CHARLIE Nov10 Oct11 Sep02 Jul24 Jul08 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BANKROLL Nov10 Oct11 Sep05 Aug04 Jul23 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 114 12.00    
5  DRAFT CHOICE Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 Aug21 Aug03 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  LION HEART LEGEND Nov11 Oct07 Jun16 Apr29 Mar11 (magnon rylee)BIRZER E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE BOYZ PRIORITY Nov09 Jul01 May28     (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 118 6.00    
 
DED-8   11/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHANKINSTINE Nov16 Sep12 Jun24 Jun12 May28 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 12.00    
2  TOTAL SURPRISE Nov11 Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 Jul01 (berndt joel)THORNTON G 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
3  BAYOU CHROME Nov02 Oct10 Sep19 Aug28 Jul21 (leonard kir)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50    
4  MOSH PIT Nov09 Oct11 Apr26 Mar10 Feb17 (noel dane)POMPELL L 123 15.00    
5  AMBASSADOR HOUSE Oct27 Nov02 Oct05 Aug25 Aug03 (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
6  QUIET AS MIDNIGHT Oct18 Aug05 Jul08 May25 Apr22 (chatters ben)BARRERA J 117 4.50 10% 9.20    
7  TREASURE COAST Nov16 Nov01 Oct06 Sep11 Sep02 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 ★    
8  LOST GOLD Nov11 Oct18 Aug10 Jul28 Jul15 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER Nov09 Oct18 May10 Apr19 Feb02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00    
10  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Nov17 Nov04 Oct11 Aug11 Jul28 (zenon shelton)DELCID MARLON 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.